If this one isn't a good bet, I'm completely lost

Pirates ML(-111) *1.11/1.00

Woo/Ashcraft listed

Good luck 

Since April 14th, Bryan Woo's ERA on the road in the 1st 5 innings is 8.46 over 27.2 innings.

Since the beginning of May, Brandon Ashcraft's ERA at home in the 1st 5 innings is 2.16 over 25 innings.

umpire in this game is 10-6 to the overs

@MrBator

 What are you playing today? 

@undermysac

GL

This was the other game i considered (f5 and for the reason Bator gave)...but I pruned this in favor of going full bore on ATL. 

GL i think you have the right side 

....which could suggest each is due for flip-around of those trends....

@fubah2

 I hope not. Woo is a fly ball guy that greatly benefits him in his ballpark. Fly balls die in the pacific northwest, especially at night.

Everything lines up for me today on this game, way too much to bother writing down.

Good Luck 

The Pirates bats have been cold lately especially with RISP

They arent a team to trust right now especially at home where they are 20-20.

Last 15 days

SEA 29th AVG

PIT 9th AVG

SEA 28th Runs scored 

PIT 15th Runs scored

When the team leads by 10 or more positions in both categories

They're under .500 for the year,almost way under .500 

No matter the pitcher or opening line

Sadly,it's a losing angle when it looks like a winning angle

Pirates are in that spot tonight

@JFelty

 Pirates hitting last 7 days:

.282 BA, .790 OPS, 113 sOPS+(7th best team)

But you are right, Pitt hasn't been good with risp most of the year.

The Mariners are 18-20 on the road this year.

@JFelty

 If you are thinking of yesterday's game, where Pitt only plated 2 runs, that was their first game back at home after a series in Colorado. Teams are usually sluggish after Colorado 

@KingScorpio

 Appreciate your feedback. Your angles most people don't use or think about.

But you can't tell me that most of the good cappers here aren't struggling this year. Dudes that handicap in various ways.

Kind of a fucked up year. I feel like variance is through the roof

The uncanny ability to land on the losing side, nearly every time, will never be explained by science. But here I am. Mariners up quick 1-0.

Last bet for today, and possibly for good.

Cardinals TT O4.5(-105) *1.05/1.00

If this 22 year old AAA pitcher for the D'backs, making his first MLB start, who's fastball averages 91 mph, and who is known for throwing pitches in the strikezone...

You get it. I'll probably eat this one too. GL