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Curious Parlays (Hey hey)

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Posted: #26
 
Prospect
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Posted: #27
4/25/2011
Let me explain how this works, if anyone is following this thread.  I don't win every day.  That is not the goal.  The goal is to have one big win every week.  By a big win, I mean that we went 6-0 or 5-1 or 6-2 or 7-3, something like that.  If we  go 4-3 then we will make a few dollars.   3-4 we will break even or lose a couple of dollars.

Now, when we have a big day we win $10,000.  Our goal is to do that once a week.  There is no sense in starting baseball until the end of April, and regular season is over at the end of September.  So, figure 21 weeks of play.  If we make $10,000 once a week and don't have any huge losses, we will be up $210,000.

We started this week and yesterday we won over $10,000.  Play prior to that in the first week was pretty much break even, one win and a few losses which broke even.  Then on Sunday we had the big day.

IDIOTS:  Please don't come in here talking smack about these projections.  Yes, everyone cannot bet this high but they can divide.  So, if they cannot handle a bet size to win $10,000, they can try to win $1,000 or $100.  It is everyone's responsibility to size the bets to equate to their bankroll.
 
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Posted: #28
4/25/2011

NY Yankees RL -1 1/2 +100
Washington +115
Florida RL -1 1/2 +150
Texas RL -1 1/2 +140
Milwaukee RL -1 1/2 +170
Philly RL -1 1/2 +120
Atlanta RL -1 1/2 +130
LA Angels RL -1 1/2 +130

8 pick parlay $5 to win $4,400
7 pick round robin $11.68 to win $4,415
6 pick round robin $28.00 to win $4,532
5 pick round robin $64.40 to win $4,437
4 pick round robin $154 to win $4,460
3 pick round robin $378 to win $4,471
2 pick round robin $981 to win $4,400
 
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Posted: #29
4/25/2011 2nd parlay
Rockies +120
Atl/San Diego UNDER 6.5 +105
Cubs/Rockies OVER 7 -120
White Sox/Yankees OVER 10 -105
Florida/Dodgers UNDER 8 -105

5 pick parlay $35 to win $1,068
4 pick round robin $75 to win $1,112
3 pick round robin $159 to win $1,108
2 pick round robin $400 to win $1,194
 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by curiousone:

Fri, April 22

San Fran    +100
LA Angels    +100
Cardinals    RL +165
Brewers    RL +100
Rockies    +100
Orioles    +170

6 pick parlay risk $18 to win $2,042   
5 pick round robin risk $39 to win $2,005   
4 pick round robin risk $88.5 to win $2,029   
3 pick round robin risk $210 to win $2,075   
2 pick round robin risk $525 to win $2,063   


San Fran    +100  Loss
LA Angels    +100 Loss
Cardinals    RL +165 Win
Brewers    RL +100 Win
Rockies    +100 Loss
Orioles    +170 rained out

2 pick round robin -$176
3 pick round robin -$154
4 pick round robin -$88.5
5 pick round robin -$39.0
6 pick cancelled

loss -$449.00
 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by curiousone:

Fri April 22 Totals

Hou Mil  OVER 8 +100
Phi San Diego OVER 6.5 +100
Atlanta San Fran OVER 7.5 +105
Dodgers Cubs OVER 8 +100
Oak Seattle UNDER 7 +110

5 pick round robin risk $65.5 to win $2,190 
4 pick round robin risk $137 to win $2,188
3 pick round robin risk $290 to win $2,185  
2 pick round robin risk $700 to win $2,180



Loss -$1,192
 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by curiousone:

Lost a few dollars yesterday.  No big deal.  Let's get 'em today.

Houston +150
Baltimore +160
Arizona +119
Colorado RL +150
Phillies RL  +160
Rangers RL +100
Indians RRL +175

7 pick parlay $5 to win $2,540.00
6 pick round robin $12.25 to win $2561.00
5 pick round robin $29.4 to win $2515.00
4 pick round robin $73.5 to win $2542.00
3 pick round robin $185.5 to win $2524.00
2 pick round robin $525 to win $2,617.00



Hou W
Bal L
Ari L
Col W
Phi W
Tex W
Indians L

7 pick parlay Loss -$5.00
6 pick round robin Loss -$12.25
5 pick round robin Loss -$29.4
4 pick round robin Loss -$5.0
3 pick round robin Win +$104.00
2 pick round robin Win +$336.00

Total Win  +$388.00
 
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Posted: #33
Recap
4/20 Win +$762
4/21 Loss -$200
4/22 Loss -$1,600
4/23 Win +$388
4/24 Win +$10,878

Total 3-2 +$10,228.00

I don't count each game separately, I count the entire set of round robins for the day as one play.  If the entire set wins money then that is a win, otherwise it is a loss.  People have argued with me about this in the past and all I can tell them is that they can make their own picks in their own thread and count the wins any way they want, but this is how I do it.
 
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Posted: #34
Bump today's picks
4/25/2011

NY Yankees RL -1 1/2 +100
Washington +115
Florida RL -1 1/2 +150
Texas RL -1 1/2 +140
Milwaukee RL -1 1/2 +170
Philly RL -1 1/2 +120
Atlanta RL -1 1/2 +130
LA Angels RL -1 1/2 +130

8 pick parlay $5 to win $4,400
7 pick round robin $11.68 to win $4,415
6 pick round robin $28.00 to win $4,532
5 pick round robin $64.40 to win $4,437
4 pick round robin $154 to win $4,460
3 pick round robin $378 to win $4,471
2 pick round robin $981 to win $4,400


4/25/2011 2nd parlay
Rockies +120
Atl/San Diego UNDER 6.5 +105
Cubs/Rockies OVER 7 -120
White Sox/Yankees OVER 10 -105
Florida/Dodgers UNDER 8 -105

5 pick parlay $35 to win $1,068
4 pick round robin $75 to win $1,112
3 pick round robin $159 to win $1,108
2 pick round robin $400 to win $1,194
 
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Posted: #35
4/25/2011 3rd parlay

Toronto/Texas O 9 1/2 -115
Nationals/Pirates U 8 105
Cincinatti/Milwaukee U 8 1/2 -120
Oakland/LA Angels U 6 1/2 -105
Philly/Arizona O 8 -120

5 pick parlay $42 to win $1,014
4 pick round robin $105 to win $1,281
3 pick round robin $210 to win $1,245
2 pick round robin $450 to win $1,186
 
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Posted: #36
Nice thread CuriousOne...jumping on board today...BOL...hope im on board on the right day! and all days going forward 
 
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Posted: #37
Let me reiterate, we are looking for one big day per week, we expect 1 very bad day and 4 or 5 so so days per week.  If you don't have a bankroll that can stand a few losses, do not play this.

Results for 4/25/11
round robin #1 -$1617
round robin #2 -67
round robin #3 -133
total -$1,817.00

YTD 3-3 +$8,411
 
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Posted: #38
4-26-2011
Atlanta -110
LA Angels +105
Arizona +115
Angels/Oakland U 7 1/2 -110
Atlanta/San Diego U 6 1/2 -120
Philly/Arizona U 8 -115

6 pick parlay $25 to win $1351
5 pick round robin $54 to win $1472
4 pick round robin $105 to win $1418
3 pick round robin $220 to win $1416
2 pick round robin $600 to win $1688

 
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Posted: #39
4-27-2011
Rockies    -145
Braves    -105
Phillies    -145
Yankees    -155
Indians    -135
Angels    -160
Tigers    -200
Giants/Pirates OVER  8 1/2 +105 
Cardinals    -135
Rays    +125

10 pick parlay $15 to win $4671
9 pick round robin $25 to win $4500
8 pick round robin $56 to win $5580
7 pick round robin $78 to win $4340
6 pick round robin $147 to win $4550
5 pick round robin $252 to win $4285
4 pick round robin $472 to win $4314
3 pick round robin $1,080 to win $5040
2 pick round robin $2,430 to win $5388

 
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Posted: #40
KINDA NEW HERE.. NOT UNDERSTANDING WHAT YOU GOT GOIN HERE?? 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by curiousone:

4-27-2011
Rockies    -145
Braves    -105
Phillies    -145
Yankees    -155
Indians    -135
Angels    -160
Tigers    -200
Giants/Pirates OVER  8 1/2 +105 
Cardinals    -135
Rays    +125

10 pick parlay $15 to win $4671
9 pick round robin $25 to win $4500
8 pick round robin $56 to win $5580
7 pick round robin $78 to win $4340
6 pick round robin $147 to win $4550
5 pick round robin $252 to win $4285
4 pick round robin $472 to win $4314
3 pick round robin $1,080 to win $5040
2 pick round robin $2,430 to win $5388



I like to play your system with MVPPLAYS system (2 games UNDER/OVER chase for series). I think it's gonna hit big!!!!
 
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Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by SHANE1752:

KINDA NEW HERE.. NOT UNDERSTANDING WHAT YOU GOT GOIN HERE?? 


I play round robins every possible size from 2 team to the total number of picks.  Obviously, the highest size is a parlay, not a round robin.  So, if you have 6 teams, the 6 pick play is a parlay, then you have round robins of size 5 teams, 4 teams, 3 teams, and 2 teams.  As you can see, the amount to bet is fairly small compared to the max win size.  For example, today I am risking $4100 to win $35,000.  If I go a few games over .500 I will win a smaller amount, say four or five thousand.  If I get totally creamed I will lose a couple thousand.

Because I size these to win the same amount I play them separately, most books don't have a way to place round robins to win equal amounts on each size.  You can risk an equal amount on each size but this is stupid.  The odds of winning a 2 pick parlay are much higher than the odds of winning say a 7 pick parlay so we should risk much more on the 2 pick than on the 7 pick.
 
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Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by erikhaovo:



I like to play your system with MVPPLAYS system (2 games UNDER/OVER chase for series). I think it's gonna hit big!!!!


Can you explain the MVPPLAYS system?  I don't know what that means.
 
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Posted: #44
 
Prospect
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Posted: #45
Quote Originally Posted by curiousone:

4-27-2011
Rockies    -145
Braves    -105
Phillies    -145
Yankees    -155
Indians    -135
Angels    -160
Tigers    -200
Giants/Pirates OVER  8 1/2 +105 
Cardinals    -135
Rays    +125

10 pick parlay $15 to win $4671
9 pick round robin $25 to win $4500
8 pick round robin $56 to win $5580
7 pick round robin $78 to win $4340
6 pick round robin $147 to win $4550
5 pick round robin $252 to win $4285
4 pick round robin $472 to win $4314
3 pick round robin $1,080 to win $5040
2 pick round robin $2,430 to win $5388



We go 6-3-1 (one rain delay) and win $1,397.38.

Since we started this, we end up 4-3 and +$9808.38.  Not too shabby.
 
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Posted: #46
Thursday, April 28
Pirates -110
Mariners +110
Rays (Game 1) +145
Rangers -165
Red Sox -175
Yankees -195
Royals/Indians OVER 8.5 -115
Cardinals -135
Twins (Game 2) -130
Cubs/DBacks OVER 9.5 -105

10 pick parlay $10 to win $4205
9 pick round robin $20 to win $4629
8 pick round robin $45 to win $5713
7 pick round robin $60 to win $4157
6 pick round robin $126 to win $4729
5 pick round robin $226 to win $4554
4 pick round robin $400 to win $4200
3 pick round robin $912 to win $4805
2 pick round robin $1755 to win $4225
 
Prospect
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Posted: #47
Wish I had a fat bankroll. Nice thing you got going here.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #48
Hey Curiousone I am new to this can you help me pick a 3 team round robin for MLB tomorrow.  I have a very small bank roll, but would like to try out this strategy as it seems to be working very well for you.  Please help!
 
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Posted: #49
GL, Could you please set out the bets so we can get an understanding of your system?

Sorry for the trouble 

Thanks !!!!!  
 
 
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Posted: #50
Quote Originally Posted by Durantula:

Wish I had a fat bankroll. Nice thing you got going here.


Pick the top 4 best plays and play a 2 pick, 3 pick, and 4 pick for small amounts.  Just make sure you play them to WIN the same amount and not to risk the same amount.

I think the 4 best plays are Pirates, Rangers, Red Sox, Cardinals.  Take the Red Sox and Cardinals on the Runline.  Set up the 4 pick parlay first and then set up the 3 pick round robin and the 2 pick round robin to win the same amount that the 4 pick parlay wins.  Keep the bet sizes a low % of your bankroll.  If you start the 4 pick to risk $5 and then size the 3 pick and 2 pick to win the same amount you should be fine.
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