4-3 last night for +$462...hit the big one. Like just one game, and I likes it A LOT.
Atlanta -120 1680/1400
- Great Price Here to start
- Atlanta top 5 team vs middle of the road, borderline playoff team. Atlanta the better hitting team all things equal
- Atlanta trying to avoid the sweep, motivation and regression to mean EDGE
- And the biggest reason of all is the lopsided pitching matchup. M. Perez has been stellar this year. SD trots out J.P. Sears who was attrocious last year for the Padres, and who will be making his first start of the season. This is the same spot as Shane Bieber yesterday who we picked on due to his terrible AAA numbers before hitting the majors again (and he didn't disappoint letting up back-toback-to-back HRs to the bottom of Houston's lineup. Sears has an almost 8.00 ERA in a large sample (63 innings in AAA this year). He's had control problems, and isn't really missing bats even at that level. Now he gets to face an elite major league lineup. And while I know that Atlanta's best hitters are lefties...Sand Diego themselves are the third worst team against lefties in the Majors.
Smash this.
Suerte
1
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
25-24 51% +$1044
4-3 last night for +$462...hit the big one. Like just one game, and I likes it A LOT.
Atlanta -120 1680/1400
- Great Price Here to start
- Atlanta top 5 team vs middle of the road, borderline playoff team. Atlanta the better hitting team all things equal
- Atlanta trying to avoid the sweep, motivation and regression to mean EDGE
- And the biggest reason of all is the lopsided pitching matchup. M. Perez has been stellar this year. SD trots out J.P. Sears who was attrocious last year for the Padres, and who will be making his first start of the season. This is the same spot as Shane Bieber yesterday who we picked on due to his terrible AAA numbers before hitting the majors again (and he didn't disappoint letting up back-toback-to-back HRs to the bottom of Houston's lineup. Sears has an almost 8.00 ERA in a large sample (63 innings in AAA this year). He's had control problems, and isn't really missing bats even at that level. Now he gets to face an elite major league lineup. And while I know that Atlanta's best hitters are lefties...Sand Diego themselves are the third worst team against lefties in the Majors.
Noticed none of the bonafides really on the Braves...
What am I missing??
I felt so good about this and now
Well, the Braves ARE as cold as they’ve been all season, losers of 9 of their last 12. When a club’s cold, it’s not hard for the best laid plans to fall apart.
I’m on the Padres, but only in the 1st 5 innings. I took the half run with +.5 -130. But after that I will pull for Atlanta.
1
Quote Originally Posted by CaridadDelCobre:
Line has actually went down...
Noticed none of the bonafides really on the Braves...
What am I missing??
I felt so good about this and now
Well, the Braves ARE as cold as they’ve been all season, losers of 9 of their last 12. When a club’s cold, it’s not hard for the best laid plans to fall apart.
I’m on the Padres, but only in the 1st 5 innings. I took the half run with +.5 -130. But after that I will pull for Atlanta.
Quote Originally Posted by CaridadDelCobre: Line has actually went down... Noticed none of the bonafides really on the Braves... What am I missing?? I felt so good about this and now Well, the Braves ARE as cold as they’ve been all season, losers of 9 of their last 12. When a club’s cold, it’s not hard for the best laid plans to fall apart. I’m on the Padres, but only in the 1st 5 innings. I took the half run with +.5 -130. But after that I will pull for Atlanta.
i guess i can live with a tie game thru 5...
0
Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:
Quote Originally Posted by CaridadDelCobre: Line has actually went down... Noticed none of the bonafides really on the Braves... What am I missing?? I felt so good about this and now Well, the Braves ARE as cold as they’ve been all season, losers of 9 of their last 12. When a club’s cold, it’s not hard for the best laid plans to fall apart. I’m on the Padres, but only in the 1st 5 innings. I took the half run with +.5 -130. But after that I will pull for Atlanta.
Only because you asked hermano, here is info favoring the Padres but know that I want you to win.
Padres are 8-0 in their last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta. Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Padres are 10-1 in their last 11 games against Atlanta. Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 games at home. Braves are 3-9 in their last 12 games. Braves are 1-5 in their last 6 games when playing as the favorite. Braves are 1-7 in their last 8 games on the road. Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. National League West. Braves are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Here is good news for the Braves,
Perez allowed one run of 6 quality innings in his last start.
Martin Perez is 11-0 since August 2024 as a favorite when he allowed no more than 3 runs last start.
0
Only because you asked hermano, here is info favoring the Padres but know that I want you to win.
Padres are 8-0 in their last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta. Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Padres are 10-1 in their last 11 games against Atlanta. Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 games at home. Braves are 3-9 in their last 12 games. Braves are 1-5 in their last 6 games when playing as the favorite. Braves are 1-7 in their last 8 games on the road. Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. National League West. Braves are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Here is good news for the Braves,
Perez allowed one run of 6 quality innings in his last start.
Martin Perez is 11-0 since August 2024 as a favorite when he allowed no more than 3 runs last start.
Quote Originally Posted by CaridadDelCobre: Line has actually went down... Noticed none of the bonafides really on the Braves... What am I missing?? I felt so good about this and now Well, the Braves ARE as cold as they’ve been all season, losers of 9 of their last 12. When a club’s cold, it’s not hard for the best laid plans to fall apart. I’m on the Padres, but only in the 1st 5 innings. I took the half run with +.5 -130. But after that I will pull for Atlanta.
Padres 1st 5!!
0
Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:
Quote Originally Posted by CaridadDelCobre: Line has actually went down... Noticed none of the bonafides really on the Braves... What am I missing?? I felt so good about this and now Well, the Braves ARE as cold as they’ve been all season, losers of 9 of their last 12. When a club’s cold, it’s not hard for the best laid plans to fall apart. I’m on the Padres, but only in the 1st 5 innings. I took the half run with +.5 -130. But after that I will pull for Atlanta.
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