If Iowa St wins this game they are going to the Big 12 Championship for the first time ever in school history. They have not won at Austin since 2010 which is their only win at Austin. Iowa St is very solid team, Matt Campbell has done a great job with the program and the best way to show it is with a conference title. Texas has a lot of injuries while ISU comes into this showdown in good shape as far as injury wise. Cyclones have the better QB, better O-line(debatable), and defense(not debatable).The only game I bet Texas was "Red River Shootout" and it took the almost the entire game to wake up but it was too little to late, Hopefully Campbell gets his team ready down the stretch to at least get in the B12cc
If Iowa St wins this game they are going to the Big 12 Championship for the first time ever in school history. They have not won at Austin since 2010 which is their only win at Austin. Iowa St is very solid team, Matt Campbell has done a great job with the program and the best way to show it is with a conference title. Texas has a lot of injuries while ISU comes into this showdown in good shape as far as injury wise. Cyclones have the better QB, better O-line(debatable), and defense(not debatable).The only game I bet Texas was "Red River Shootout" and it took the almost the entire game to wake up but it was too little to late, Hopefully Campbell gets his team ready down the stretch to at least get in the B12cc
Nebraska(+13.5) @ Iowa; 1 unit @ (-114) .3 units ML(+390)
Nebraska looked terrible against the Illini Saturday. For the big discrepancy in points in the game they had the same amount of 1st downs and I can't remember off top but the yardage difference was not that big. So had did they get manhandled by sub .500 team, 5 turnovers. Usually kills most teams an the Huskers are not that good to overcome it. This is a game were Scott Frost has to really have his team coached up for this one. McCaffery had a good game versus PSU then a bad versus Illinois which was kinda to be expected because Illinois had had an entire game's worth of footage of what Nebraska was running with him at QB. Ferentz has been around a long time so there is nothing he has not seen so Frost has to have them prepared and focused for this game. One of the reasons Frost was hesitant at putting him at QB was because he has to play up-tempo for him to be successful which wears out the defense especially if the opposing team is up-tempo. I don't think they will have worry about that with Iowa. As I stated earlier in this thread, if you have seen Iowa football before you know what to expect, fast paced offense isn't it. Iowa has been very dominant in there last 3 games(all wins) and should have handed N'western their only loss so far. I think Nebraska is not as bad as their last performance and Iowa has caught some teams on a down year. Iowa has owned the series lately winning 5 in a row.
Nebraska(+13.5) @ Iowa; 1 unit @ (-114) .3 units ML(+390)
Nebraska looked terrible against the Illini Saturday. For the big discrepancy in points in the game they had the same amount of 1st downs and I can't remember off top but the yardage difference was not that big. So had did they get manhandled by sub .500 team, 5 turnovers. Usually kills most teams an the Huskers are not that good to overcome it. This is a game were Scott Frost has to really have his team coached up for this one. McCaffery had a good game versus PSU then a bad versus Illinois which was kinda to be expected because Illinois had had an entire game's worth of footage of what Nebraska was running with him at QB. Ferentz has been around a long time so there is nothing he has not seen so Frost has to have them prepared and focused for this game. One of the reasons Frost was hesitant at putting him at QB was because he has to play up-tempo for him to be successful which wears out the defense especially if the opposing team is up-tempo. I don't think they will have worry about that with Iowa. As I stated earlier in this thread, if you have seen Iowa football before you know what to expect, fast paced offense isn't it. Iowa has been very dominant in there last 3 games(all wins) and should have handed N'western their only loss so far. I think Nebraska is not as bad as their last performance and Iowa has caught some teams on a down year. Iowa has owned the series lately winning 5 in a row.
Notre Dame @ UNC(+4.5) 1 unit @(+104); .5 unit ML(+170)
If Notre Dame loses this game there could be a three way tie for first in the ACC. In that case they would come out on top still because they would be 1-0 versus the three teams that could be tied, Clemson would be 1-1 and Miami would be 0-1 head to head versus each other. Notre Dame has the advantage on defense and in the trenches easy but even with a strong defense they are going to give up their fare share of yards. They gave up over 400 yards passing vs Clemson with QB that was only playing in his second game at on the road. This game they will go against a QB(Howell) that has been on fire since his FR year and has continued it this year. Also Clemson was on dimensional that game they only ran for like 33 yards I believe, Tar Heels are going to run for more than that. They average 233yds on the ground, This will be Notre Dame biggest challenge in the regular season this year. If UNC played good defense I would wager more on them but they don't so I'm not. I still feel good enough of them to sell 1.5 and take the ML, for those of you who like totals over might be worth a look.
Notre Dame @ UNC(+4.5) 1 unit @(+104); .5 unit ML(+170)
If Notre Dame loses this game there could be a three way tie for first in the ACC. In that case they would come out on top still because they would be 1-0 versus the three teams that could be tied, Clemson would be 1-1 and Miami would be 0-1 head to head versus each other. Notre Dame has the advantage on defense and in the trenches easy but even with a strong defense they are going to give up their fare share of yards. They gave up over 400 yards passing vs Clemson with QB that was only playing in his second game at on the road. This game they will go against a QB(Howell) that has been on fire since his FR year and has continued it this year. Also Clemson was on dimensional that game they only ran for like 33 yards I believe, Tar Heels are going to run for more than that. They average 233yds on the ground, This will be Notre Dame biggest challenge in the regular season this year. If UNC played good defense I would wager more on them but they don't so I'm not. I still feel good enough of them to sell 1.5 and take the ML, for those of you who like totals over might be worth a look.
The Sun Devils have the worst defense in the nation, the Bruins have the 26th ranked total offense in the nation. They also have a top 30 defense to go along with it. Both teams can run the ball averaging over 200 yards. ASU is more reliant on the run as it is 63.8% of the offense. UCLA's defensive front is a little more active so I'll trust them to make the plays at the line of scrimmage and behind it to make this Saturday morning(Pacific Time) game difficult for ASU.
The Sun Devils have the worst defense in the nation, the Bruins have the 26th ranked total offense in the nation. They also have a top 30 defense to go along with it. Both teams can run the ball averaging over 200 yards. ASU is more reliant on the run as it is 63.8% of the offense. UCLA's defensive front is a little more active so I'll trust them to make the plays at the line of scrimmage and behind it to make this Saturday morning(Pacific Time) game difficult for ASU.
This was one of those games I looked at earlier in the year and leaned Ok.St., now I see that this team is good; but not as good as I thought they could've been. Something about these B12 schools it seems like every game I like the teams are close together stats wise. So instead let's look at the line and the movement. OkSU opened up as 1.5 point fave. Before the season TCU was 1 point fave. Now the line keeps jumping between 1 and PK with sometime TCU as the favorite then OkSU. So far the Pokes are getting more tickets bet on them but that's not gone to get settled until way after we get a chance to utilize the info. Just looking at the line TCU is the play in my mind. OkSU looked bad versus OKlahoma then followed that up with a classic B12 shootout with TTech. The backup QB for the Cowboys is out(Illingworth), so Sanders has to go the distance in this one and I still think they have some more nagging injuries to some of the other playerson the team. TCU is 1-3 at home and I think Patterson will try his best to finish this season with a winning record after last years sub-par season.
This was one of those games I looked at earlier in the year and leaned Ok.St., now I see that this team is good; but not as good as I thought they could've been. Something about these B12 schools it seems like every game I like the teams are close together stats wise. So instead let's look at the line and the movement. OkSU opened up as 1.5 point fave. Before the season TCU was 1 point fave. Now the line keeps jumping between 1 and PK with sometime TCU as the favorite then OkSU. So far the Pokes are getting more tickets bet on them but that's not gone to get settled until way after we get a chance to utilize the info. Just looking at the line TCU is the play in my mind. OkSU looked bad versus OKlahoma then followed that up with a classic B12 shootout with TTech. The backup QB for the Cowboys is out(Illingworth), so Sanders has to go the distance in this one and I still think they have some more nagging injuries to some of the other playerson the team. TCU is 1-3 at home and I think Patterson will try his best to finish this season with a winning record after last years sub-par season.
Probably the healthiest Navy has been all year that's one good thing going for the Middies. Might be able to catch Tulsa in a look a head game. It's also Senior Day at Annapolis and I heard Navy has great record on that day; forgot where I saw it and too lazy to look it up again. Now the bad news Tulsa has a great defensive front which is key in stopping the option which Navy has struggled running all the year. Tulsa also has Zach Smith for this game but lose the regular backup Seth Boomer also. Tulsa games have been usually single digits all year except for when they played USF. Lost earlier in this week with an NFL pick with this reasoning, we'll see how this goes. Since I already used "Anchor Aweigh".........................................................................
Probably the healthiest Navy has been all year that's one good thing going for the Middies. Might be able to catch Tulsa in a look a head game. It's also Senior Day at Annapolis and I heard Navy has great record on that day; forgot where I saw it and too lazy to look it up again. Now the bad news Tulsa has a great defensive front which is key in stopping the option which Navy has struggled running all the year. Tulsa also has Zach Smith for this game but lose the regular backup Seth Boomer also. Tulsa games have been usually single digits all year except for when they played USF. Lost earlier in this week with an NFL pick with this reasoning, we'll see how this goes. Since I already used "Anchor Aweigh".........................................................................
Utah hasn't played many games this year due to cancellations. They finally got in the win column versus Oregon St. on Saturday. Colorado is surprisingly undefeated this year, but in this game they are only -2 to -3.5 point favorite. This makes me think that Utah's defense which is better than the Buffs' is the reason they will at least stay connected in this game and not get blown out. Utah's offense is sputtering this year but they do not shoot themselves in foot too often where as Colorado is a top 30 offense but in the bottom as far a negative plays on offense. Utes defense has played great so far this season, if they could come up with some consistent offense I would make this a moneyline bet. They have QB(Bentley) who transferred from SCar. and a a lot of unexperienced players on offense, which is most likely the reason they're struggling on that side of the ball.
Utah hasn't played many games this year due to cancellations. They finally got in the win column versus Oregon St. on Saturday. Colorado is surprisingly undefeated this year, but in this game they are only -2 to -3.5 point favorite. This makes me think that Utah's defense which is better than the Buffs' is the reason they will at least stay connected in this game and not get blown out. Utah's offense is sputtering this year but they do not shoot themselves in foot too often where as Colorado is a top 30 offense but in the bottom as far a negative plays on offense. Utes defense has played great so far this season, if they could come up with some consistent offense I would make this a moneyline bet. They have QB(Bentley) who transferred from SCar. and a a lot of unexperienced players on offense, which is most likely the reason they're struggling on that side of the ball.
The line is showing reverse line movement early in this week I don't know why but, I think it's because people don't believe the Badgers can't lose three in row. Same reasoning people took OU vs Texas earlier this year, difference is this team is not comparable to OU. Wisconsin has the best defense in the land and Iowa is not that far behind them. Let's look into those numbers though. There is one B10 offense in the top 50 in total yards(tOSU). In fact there is only four teams that average over 400 yards with Wisconsin being one of them barely, along with tOSU, PSU, and Minny. Both teams have taken advantage of bad offenses in their conference this year. Wisconsin has taken a hit at the skill position this year as their leading receiver is a TE and the next closest receiver is like 10 catches behind him. Iowa's offense yardage wise is not great but they do spread out the offense a little more evenly then the Badgers with a dual RB attack and some legit threats at WR. Even though Bucky's defense is rated better the Hawkeyes should have better results defending them with there DB's and active front seven they have. This is Chryst's 5th year at Wis. meaning majority of the players are his not the last coaches I don't think the Badgers have the same talent they use to but the jury is still out. I'll back Ferentz and the Hawkeyes to break a 4 game losing streak overall and 5 games streak at home to the Badgers and win the "Heartland Trophy".
The line is showing reverse line movement early in this week I don't know why but, I think it's because people don't believe the Badgers can't lose three in row. Same reasoning people took OU vs Texas earlier this year, difference is this team is not comparable to OU. Wisconsin has the best defense in the land and Iowa is not that far behind them. Let's look into those numbers though. There is one B10 offense in the top 50 in total yards(tOSU). In fact there is only four teams that average over 400 yards with Wisconsin being one of them barely, along with tOSU, PSU, and Minny. Both teams have taken advantage of bad offenses in their conference this year. Wisconsin has taken a hit at the skill position this year as their leading receiver is a TE and the next closest receiver is like 10 catches behind him. Iowa's offense yardage wise is not great but they do spread out the offense a little more evenly then the Badgers with a dual RB attack and some legit threats at WR. Even though Bucky's defense is rated better the Hawkeyes should have better results defending them with there DB's and active front seven they have. This is Chryst's 5th year at Wis. meaning majority of the players are his not the last coaches I don't think the Badgers have the same talent they use to but the jury is still out. I'll back Ferentz and the Hawkeyes to break a 4 game losing streak overall and 5 games streak at home to the Badgers and win the "Heartland Trophy".
Haven't grabbed a 20+ spread since the beginning of the year feel like a got a chance with this one. LSU is struggling this year, and as the season comes to a close they are still searching for an identity going into next year. Their are a couple of positives going into this game. Stingley and FR Safety Jordan Toles will return to the secondary this week. Also there is good chance that a QB change will happen with TJ Finley being replaced by Max Johnson. Johnson played in the Bama game and went 11-17 and Coach O seems to feel good with him at the helm. Florida will be on their way to the SECCG and a shot at getting in the playoff this year. The Gators have one glaring flaw, the lack of a run game they only average around 130 yards per game. They only ran for 19 yards last week and had to ride the arm of Kyle Trask who threw for over 400 yards. I don't see them running that little yards this week but I don't think Trask will throw for that many either. I'll being looking for the Tigers to put up more of a fight than they did versus Bama and rise up to the challenge of their cross section rivals.
Haven't grabbed a 20+ spread since the beginning of the year feel like a got a chance with this one. LSU is struggling this year, and as the season comes to a close they are still searching for an identity going into next year. Their are a couple of positives going into this game. Stingley and FR Safety Jordan Toles will return to the secondary this week. Also there is good chance that a QB change will happen with TJ Finley being replaced by Max Johnson. Johnson played in the Bama game and went 11-17 and Coach O seems to feel good with him at the helm. Florida will be on their way to the SECCG and a shot at getting in the playoff this year. The Gators have one glaring flaw, the lack of a run game they only average around 130 yards per game. They only ran for 19 yards last week and had to ride the arm of Kyle Trask who threw for over 400 yards. I don't see them running that little yards this week but I don't think Trask will throw for that many either. I'll being looking for the Tigers to put up more of a fight than they did versus Bama and rise up to the challenge of their cross section rivals.
Basically for "Commander In Chief Trophy". Under hits a lot historically in most academy games don't see why it would not here not my lane but putting that out there for those that do. I believe Action network had a stat that showed over a number years that when all three play each other under hits at a high rate. Both teams rank high in defense AFA has played tougher opponents but Army has played almost twice the amount of games as the Falcons as a matter of fact AFA will not have played a game in three weeks when they play this game. Plenty of time to prepare for Army's offense but will their own offense be operating at a high rate not playing meaningful football for so long, we will see. This will be unique for Army because I can't think of many times when there has been a regular season game after Army-Navy for the Knights. Hopefully they have came down off the high of beating the Middies and get ready for the Falcons in a quasi Bowl game for both. I'll take the Mules to roll along at home.
Basically for "Commander In Chief Trophy". Under hits a lot historically in most academy games don't see why it would not here not my lane but putting that out there for those that do. I believe Action network had a stat that showed over a number years that when all three play each other under hits at a high rate. Both teams rank high in defense AFA has played tougher opponents but Army has played almost twice the amount of games as the Falcons as a matter of fact AFA will not have played a game in three weeks when they play this game. Plenty of time to prepare for Army's offense but will their own offense be operating at a high rate not playing meaningful football for so long, we will see. This will be unique for Army because I can't think of many times when there has been a regular season game after Army-Navy for the Knights. Hopefully they have came down off the high of beating the Middies and get ready for the Falcons in a quasi Bowl game for both. I'll take the Mules to roll along at home.
[Sugar Bowl CFP] Ohio St.(+7.5) vs. Clemson 1.5 units @ (-107) ML later
Just like last year people were low key tired of Bama in the playoffs I'm starting to feel the same way about Clemson in the Championship game. So I guess this is going to be rinse, wash, and repeat of last year. Let's look at last years game. Ohio St lead 16-0 had the Tigers on the ropes until a controversial roughing the passer penalty that kept a drive alive that Clemson would eventually score a TD on. The Buckeyes outgained, out first downed them and beat them in every stat except TO's, penalties and of course scoreboard.
That was last year lets look at this year, both teams are continuing the domination of their conferences but a little differently. Where as JK Dobbins got bulk of the carries last year most of the carries are split between Teague, Sermon and Fields. Bucks go for about 270 on the ground and Clemson avg. about 180 on the ground as Etienne has had year where his numbers are not what was expected of him this year. The Tigers O-line and running game have not been high caliber but their WR's and basically pro QB make up for it almost all of the time. The two games vs. ND is where you can see the difference of how much Lawrence means to the Tigers. They went from being one dimensional to doing what ever they wanted against them in ACCCG.
One key factor will be the lines offensive and defensive. Ohio St. does great in yardage in total but does have a quite a few number of negative plays in the run game but I believe this is due to Fields and some miss reads on whether to hand off or keep it. Clemson is solid in yardage and better at not giving up negative plays also at pass protection they grade out pretty high. Defensively tOSU did not dominate the B10 competition but where still solid this year where as Clemson did and where #6 in avg. yards per game in the nation. Numbers aside I think tOSU has the advantage here together as front 7 tOSU turns out some of the best in the country every year, Clemson does good job also but I think it's more of emphasis to be physical and control the line of scrimmage at Columbus than most places.
Finally lets look at the QB's. Like I said earlier Lawrence is pro QB lets face it, Fields will be high draft choice possibly #2 QB taken but as far as throwing the ball and running the offense Lawrence has the nod. Both can work on their accuracy at times but I think Lawrence utilizes the weapons around him more than Fields who seems to make one or two plays in a game that make you . Clemson also has a slightly better special teams grading than the Buckeyes. Clemson is also undefeated vs. tOSU all-time(4-0) all in bowl games/playoffs. Last year was a learning experience for tOSU as to not let your foot off the pedal and capitalize on your chances when you get them cause they will come back and get you in the end especially against a team like Clemson. In the end I think Ohio St controls the line of scrimmage a little better than the Tigers and Ryan Day has his team ready for this game and to advance to the title game.
[Sugar Bowl CFP] Ohio St.(+7.5) vs. Clemson 1.5 units @ (-107) ML later
Just like last year people were low key tired of Bama in the playoffs I'm starting to feel the same way about Clemson in the Championship game. So I guess this is going to be rinse, wash, and repeat of last year. Let's look at last years game. Ohio St lead 16-0 had the Tigers on the ropes until a controversial roughing the passer penalty that kept a drive alive that Clemson would eventually score a TD on. The Buckeyes outgained, out first downed them and beat them in every stat except TO's, penalties and of course scoreboard.
That was last year lets look at this year, both teams are continuing the domination of their conferences but a little differently. Where as JK Dobbins got bulk of the carries last year most of the carries are split between Teague, Sermon and Fields. Bucks go for about 270 on the ground and Clemson avg. about 180 on the ground as Etienne has had year where his numbers are not what was expected of him this year. The Tigers O-line and running game have not been high caliber but their WR's and basically pro QB make up for it almost all of the time. The two games vs. ND is where you can see the difference of how much Lawrence means to the Tigers. They went from being one dimensional to doing what ever they wanted against them in ACCCG.
One key factor will be the lines offensive and defensive. Ohio St. does great in yardage in total but does have a quite a few number of negative plays in the run game but I believe this is due to Fields and some miss reads on whether to hand off or keep it. Clemson is solid in yardage and better at not giving up negative plays also at pass protection they grade out pretty high. Defensively tOSU did not dominate the B10 competition but where still solid this year where as Clemson did and where #6 in avg. yards per game in the nation. Numbers aside I think tOSU has the advantage here together as front 7 tOSU turns out some of the best in the country every year, Clemson does good job also but I think it's more of emphasis to be physical and control the line of scrimmage at Columbus than most places.
Finally lets look at the QB's. Like I said earlier Lawrence is pro QB lets face it, Fields will be high draft choice possibly #2 QB taken but as far as throwing the ball and running the offense Lawrence has the nod. Both can work on their accuracy at times but I think Lawrence utilizes the weapons around him more than Fields who seems to make one or two plays in a game that make you . Clemson also has a slightly better special teams grading than the Buckeyes. Clemson is also undefeated vs. tOSU all-time(4-0) all in bowl games/playoffs. Last year was a learning experience for tOSU as to not let your foot off the pedal and capitalize on your chances when you get them cause they will come back and get you in the end especially against a team like Clemson. In the end I think Ohio St controls the line of scrimmage a little better than the Tigers and Ryan Day has his team ready for this game and to advance to the title game.
[Cotton Bowl] Florida vs. Oklahoma(+3.5) 1.5 units @ (-115) ML(+132) .75 units
Line has changed from 3.5 to 4.5 and like the title of the thread I bet it early but I still like Oklahoma. Florida won the only previous meeting in 2008 for the natty. Massey Ratings actually has Oklahoma as one point favorite. These two teams have headed in to different directions down the stretch of the season.
The Gators were in line to next in the CFBP until a loss to LSU knocked them out but not to far as they still made a NY6 bowl. Florida has returned to the Spurrier years and have changed into a "Fun n Gun" team other than the Read Option Urban and Tebow days. The run game is not dominating for Florida, if you look at Mullen's offense's(teams) over the years they are good when they can run the ball. Maybe they are playing to Trasks strength and letting him be shotgun passer, but in the end its a lot yards and points with mixed results. Also Pitts will not be playing in this game his main target and he is very key to the offense especially in the red zone as we seen in the LSU game. The defense has given up little over 400 yds per game it's been good enough to get them this far but far from their defenses of the past or even last year.
Oklahoma struggled earlier in the year and most people were ready to write them off including me. After losing two in a row and nearly three in almost blowing a lead to Texas the Sooners have never looked back or loss. Rattler looked bad vs. Texas but since then he has thrown 12 TD's and 2 INT's. The yardage has not been gaudy like previous Okie QB's but eventually that will come with him being a true FR. His decision making has come along as the season has progressed. The defense has also progressed unlike previous OK teams that seem to get exposed as the season goes on. They are top 20 in avg. yards per game(333.6). You can use the argument that the offenses have not been typical B12 offenses but I think Riley knows they have to be strong defensively to stand a chance in these bowl games and outside of the conference. The running game has been below average for the Sooners and the line has allowed some negative plays also.
In the end Boomer Sooner returns to the place where they won last Sat.(AT&T Stadium) and won their three previous B12CG and knock some of that stigma of not being able to beat upper echelon teams versus a at this moment Pittsless team and who knows who else will sit out this game for Florida or Oklahoma.
[Cotton Bowl] Florida vs. Oklahoma(+3.5) 1.5 units @ (-115) ML(+132) .75 units
Line has changed from 3.5 to 4.5 and like the title of the thread I bet it early but I still like Oklahoma. Florida won the only previous meeting in 2008 for the natty. Massey Ratings actually has Oklahoma as one point favorite. These two teams have headed in to different directions down the stretch of the season.
The Gators were in line to next in the CFBP until a loss to LSU knocked them out but not to far as they still made a NY6 bowl. Florida has returned to the Spurrier years and have changed into a "Fun n Gun" team other than the Read Option Urban and Tebow days. The run game is not dominating for Florida, if you look at Mullen's offense's(teams) over the years they are good when they can run the ball. Maybe they are playing to Trasks strength and letting him be shotgun passer, but in the end its a lot yards and points with mixed results. Also Pitts will not be playing in this game his main target and he is very key to the offense especially in the red zone as we seen in the LSU game. The defense has given up little over 400 yds per game it's been good enough to get them this far but far from their defenses of the past or even last year.
Oklahoma struggled earlier in the year and most people were ready to write them off including me. After losing two in a row and nearly three in almost blowing a lead to Texas the Sooners have never looked back or loss. Rattler looked bad vs. Texas but since then he has thrown 12 TD's and 2 INT's. The yardage has not been gaudy like previous Okie QB's but eventually that will come with him being a true FR. His decision making has come along as the season has progressed. The defense has also progressed unlike previous OK teams that seem to get exposed as the season goes on. They are top 20 in avg. yards per game(333.6). You can use the argument that the offenses have not been typical B12 offenses but I think Riley knows they have to be strong defensively to stand a chance in these bowl games and outside of the conference. The running game has been below average for the Sooners and the line has allowed some negative plays also.
In the end Boomer Sooner returns to the place where they won last Sat.(AT&T Stadium) and won their three previous B12CG and knock some of that stigma of not being able to beat upper echelon teams versus a at this moment Pittsless team and who knows who else will sit out this game for Florida or Oklahoma.
[Frisco Bowl] Hawaii(+10) vs. Houston 1.05 units @ (-114)
You know it's Christmas time when either Hawaii is playing or hosting a bowl game.
Hawaii had a pretty good season so far under a new coach under new coach at 4-4. Pulled off a few surprises and the games they were not expected tp win except maybe Wyoming but that was not really upset loss when it happened. They are lead by Chevan Cordiero as a dual threat QB. He had his best season so far at Hawaii this year running and throwing the ball even though the INT's were a little high but nothing too alarming. The offense is almost like the previous regime but with more RPO plays. The defense is not the worst but far from great and can get hurt on the ground with giving up 230 ypg.
Houston will be without 10-15 player in some form or fashion from injuries, Covid, opting out or grades. The Cougs also have a four game losing streak in bowl games. They also have played 2 games(USF and Memphis) since Nov. 14, were the Rainbows have played 5. UH(Texas Style) has a lot moving parts and concerns going into this game. The one good thing they do have is a shorter trip than there opponent. That's also why I like the Rainbows in this one they should be more cohesive and focused than their opponent.
Aloha Stadium looks like it's going to be condemned, I don't know what that means for the Bows football program, but I hope I still can get my midnight early Sun. morning degenerate fix.
[Frisco Bowl] Hawaii(+10) vs. Houston 1.05 units @ (-114)
You know it's Christmas time when either Hawaii is playing or hosting a bowl game.
Hawaii had a pretty good season so far under a new coach under new coach at 4-4. Pulled off a few surprises and the games they were not expected tp win except maybe Wyoming but that was not really upset loss when it happened. They are lead by Chevan Cordiero as a dual threat QB. He had his best season so far at Hawaii this year running and throwing the ball even though the INT's were a little high but nothing too alarming. The offense is almost like the previous regime but with more RPO plays. The defense is not the worst but far from great and can get hurt on the ground with giving up 230 ypg.
Houston will be without 10-15 player in some form or fashion from injuries, Covid, opting out or grades. The Cougs also have a four game losing streak in bowl games. They also have played 2 games(USF and Memphis) since Nov. 14, were the Rainbows have played 5. UH(Texas Style) has a lot moving parts and concerns going into this game. The one good thing they do have is a shorter trip than there opponent. That's also why I like the Rainbows in this one they should be more cohesive and focused than their opponent.
Aloha Stadium looks like it's going to be condemned, I don't know what that means for the Bows football program, but I hope I still can get my midnight early Sun. morning degenerate fix.
[Gator Bowl] Kentucky vs. N.C. State ML(+115) 1 unit
NC St. has had a surprisingly good year and are looking to cap it off with a their first bowl victory since the 2017 Sun Bowl. The defensive numbers are not that impressive but they do make plays in the backfield being top 15 in TFL's and top 25 in sacks with their 3-3-5 defensive alignment they use. Bailey Hockman has been solid in stepping in for the starter Leary and has only lost his first start of the season versus Miami. He's thrown a pick in every game except one and NCSU has a negative TO ratio so I would not be surprised if they do so this game. The run game is subpar and could be a liability in a game like this.
At first look I was wondering why UK was the fave in this game but as I look at more stats I see why. The thing with UK is that they have a 4-6 record so you instantly think this a bad team but with having Bama, Fla., and UGa on the schedule not to many teams are going to have a great record. As most Stoops teams at UK this is a physical team on both sides of the ball especially at offensive line where they could be one the arguably one of the best country. The thing that makes me weary of the Wildcats is at QB where T.Wilson has had a good season and has some what stayed away from TO's yet nothing spectacular also. UK has played a tougher schedule than NCSU but even the games where you'd think they would look good Vandy and Mizzou they haven't.
Even though UK has a great line I think the Wolfpack can generate enough pressure and cause some havoc and do enough on offense to win this game. They have made a major step this year from last year and capping it off with a bowl victory. This could be one of those ugly games but I still like the Wolfpack to pull it out.
[Gator Bowl] Kentucky vs. N.C. State ML(+115) 1 unit
NC St. has had a surprisingly good year and are looking to cap it off with a their first bowl victory since the 2017 Sun Bowl. The defensive numbers are not that impressive but they do make plays in the backfield being top 15 in TFL's and top 25 in sacks with their 3-3-5 defensive alignment they use. Bailey Hockman has been solid in stepping in for the starter Leary and has only lost his first start of the season versus Miami. He's thrown a pick in every game except one and NCSU has a negative TO ratio so I would not be surprised if they do so this game. The run game is subpar and could be a liability in a game like this.
At first look I was wondering why UK was the fave in this game but as I look at more stats I see why. The thing with UK is that they have a 4-6 record so you instantly think this a bad team but with having Bama, Fla., and UGa on the schedule not to many teams are going to have a great record. As most Stoops teams at UK this is a physical team on both sides of the ball especially at offensive line where they could be one the arguably one of the best country. The thing that makes me weary of the Wildcats is at QB where T.Wilson has had a good season and has some what stayed away from TO's yet nothing spectacular also. UK has played a tougher schedule than NCSU but even the games where you'd think they would look good Vandy and Mizzou they haven't.
Even though UK has a great line I think the Wolfpack can generate enough pressure and cause some havoc and do enough on offense to win this game. They have made a major step this year from last year and capping it off with a bowl victory. This could be one of those ugly games but I still like the Wolfpack to pull it out.
Thought this would go up higher but dropped at some books some still haven't caught up. Dabo has really piped up his disdain for tOSU put up or shut up time later on this evening.
Thought this would go up higher but dropped at some books some still haven't caught up. Dabo has really piped up his disdain for tOSU put up or shut up time later on this evening.
Adding Ohio St. ML+250 .5 units Thought this would go up higher but dropped at some books some still haven't caught up. Dabo has really piped up his disdain for tOSU put up or shut up time later on this evening.
Ding Ding Ding!!! Winner Winner Winner! OSU ML and the OVER
Adding Ohio St. ML+250 .5 units Thought this would go up higher but dropped at some books some still haven't caught up. Dabo has really piped up his disdain for tOSU put up or shut up time later on this evening.
Ding Ding Ding!!! Winner Winner Winner! OSU ML and the OVER
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