NCAA FB Week 1: 3-1 YTD + 0.95u

Week 0: 3-1

week 1:

Thursday: Ball state + Tennessee under 68

                 CMU +21

Friday:  TCU + Colorado over 55

Saturday:

Texas State +7.5

Army +4 -112

Boise State +4 -116

Kent State + Washington over 60

Miami oh +21.5 -122

Arkansas -6.5 -117

Rice +35

Troy +24

UL Monroe +39.5 -122

alabama + Utah state over 62 -111

Love the picks! Good luck this season Step! 

Bol this week step looking into picks 

I was on Boise +4 myself but i saw it drop to 2.5 and couldnt help myself… I took Oregon St for the chance to middle it. Either im a genius or im chicken-shit BOL bro

Love the Under on Vols now that I look at last year's results.....they tended to keep teams ranked around 90 - 130th to a minimum of 14 pts or less, when they played at home. 

I also noticed they rarely ran the score up over 45....lets say they run it to 52, this total should still be good 

Nice find Duck 

With you in Whoo Pig 

TCU gonna put up 35+ or the Buffs gonna keep this one interesting?

Duck

@TRAIN69

 I don’t see how the buffs will cover the TCU receivers. Thinking they score early and often…but the sonny dykes factor has to be at play as well (no D…constant risk taking even when unnecessary) could se this being 42-20… or 38-31

Once all the real books add a line for holy cross + Merrimack I would pounce on the cruisaiders. 

currently seeing HC +17.5. Outrageous line 

@Aldan52

@Last2thirst

more please.   

nice info my guy. 

thibking 45-13 type score. 

@steponaduck

respect your insight -  GL this season duck 

@steponaduck

Hey Mr. Duck,

Thanks for the great plays and hope you have a good year. Looks like all the lines changed bigtime from a few hours ago. Just curious, are you buying points on most of these and adjusting lines to what you feel is best.

Texas State is a pick currently.

Thanks

@witswits

 True. Texas state was not a pick 30 days ago when I first posted it. I’ve been making week one picks here in the forum since July 20th. 

https://www.covers.com/forum/college-football-33/ncaa-fb-week-0-103651666/2

post 29 is when I posted about Texas state. 

207 Texas State @ 208 Nevada 09/03/22 02:30:00PM Pacific Pacific Time Texas State Nevada 08/29/22 08:24:56AM +1-114 -1-106 08/29/22 08:13:49AM +1-115 -1-105 08/29/22 08:11:57AM +1-110 -1-110 08/29/22 08:11:30AM +2-110 -2-110 08/29/22 08:11:00AM +3-118 -3-103 08/29/22 06:47:24AM +3-107 -3-113 08/29/22 06:16:52AM +3-105 -3-115 08/28/22 07:12:30PM +3½-115 -3½-105 08/28/22 07:04:23PM +3½-112 -3½-108 08/28/22 02:30:58PM +3½-110 -3½-110 08/27/22 09:44:00AM +4½-110 -4½-110 08/27/22 06:02:06AM +4-107 -4-113 08/26/22 11:12:19PM +4-110 -4-110 08/26/22 11:11:12PM +4½-111 -4½-109 08/26/22 11:11:02PM +4½-112 -4½-108 08/26/22 11:09:19PM +5-116 -5-104 08/26/22 06:04:49AM +5-108 -5-112 08/21/22 06:43:11PM +5½-108 -5½-112 08/21/22 06:41:33PM +6-115 -6-105 08/21/22 06:41:00PM +6-119 -6-102 08/13/22 01:56:57PM +6-108 -6-112 08/13/22 09:48:40AM +5½-108 -5½-112 08/13/22 09:47:11AM +5+101 -5-122 08/13/22 07:16:05AM +5-107 -5-113 08/13/22 07:15:32AM +5-106 -5-114 08/13/22 07:13:56AM +5-110 -5-110 08/12/22 08:45:44PM +5½-110 -5½-110 08/12/22 08:44:09PM +6-116 -6-104 08/12/22 07:02:14PM +6-113 -6-108 08/12/22 06:55:20PM +6-112 -6-106 08/10/22 01:17:35PM +6½-114 -6½-106 08/09/22 01:59:32PM +6½-112 -6½-108 08/04/22 03:03:10PM +6½-110 -6½-110 08/04/22 03:02:39PM +7-121 -7+100 08/04/22 01:54:29PM +7-110 -7-110 08/04/22 01:54:20PM +7-105 -7-115 08/04/22 01:49:28PM +7½-114 -7½-106 07/26/22 06:18:28PM +7½-110 -7½-110 07/26/22 06:16:48PM +8-113 -8-108 06/26/22 02:24:24PM +8-110 -8-110

That did not paste properly. 

https://madduxsports.com/newodds/v2/history.php?event_id=1389438&book_id=489&league_id=2&sport_id=1&timezone=America%2FChicago&period_id=1&page_type=1

here is the link to track the previously offered lines. 

Completely understood. Thanks for that explanation.

Duck,

I believe they meant to list Holy Cross as -17.5 favorites.  There are a few others that the line is about right for magnitude, just wrong team favored.

@witswits

good luck this week my guy. 

of course that is the case, likely. 

maybe the others will follow 5D blindly since they know nothing about patriot league FB, like you and I do? 

 Maybe they are asleep at the wheel?

Regarding Kent state and Washington, I think UW wants to “get right” on offense early and often in this game. A potent offense is something that has been missing at Washington for quite some time. Now with an offensive minded head coach, penix at QBs, more continuity in the trenches…this could get ugly. 

kent state allowed 500 yds to TExas a&m and MD last year. Those offenses blew scoring chances time and time again.  Still got to 51 and 53 combined total. 

no reason Washington doesn’t hang 42-49 on the flashes and their Swiss cheese defense. Maybe Kent makes a game if this before getting pounded @ OU and @UGA before mac play? 

wouldn’t be surprised to see them with 20+ points…

I would assume Washington is extremely motivated to give their supporters some offensive fireworks and this is the perfect team to do that against. 

@steponaduck

They were relatively close last week.  But no errors last week on who should be favored, just double checked a screen shot.

only problem with betting if/when they do blindly follow, is your bet likely will be canceled for a line error and then they also flag you as a troublemaker/ cut your max wager amounts, etc..  of course they might do that anyway if you win too much with legit lines.

anyway, I know you know the drill.  Just replying for others out there - give them something to think about I guess.

Should be noted these lines would have had to been locked in a long time ago but all these lines have moved in favor of you .. early weeks smart to take points .. 

@TRAIN69 

i personally think Colorado +13.5 is the play altitude first game will be big factor along with tcu’s uncertainty qb carousel .. dykes is a step down in coaching from Patterson .. see if tcu’s defense is legit but Colorado should keep it within 13 .. what do I know.. maybe I’ll throw out my leans on a thread and go from there for plays 

@supermanbets

 They were locked in…idiot. 

I posted between august 4th and 12th. While you were sleeping or partying all summer. 

please stay out of my threds pal. I don’t want to have to pull your pants down and spank you in front of everyone again this year, like last year.