Probably one to stay away from, but I can't resist betting against the K-State coaching staff again- 3-0 this season, and I'm riding it with UA +1.5.
Angry homer biased opinion:
Sure, KSU could win comfortably (hell, the infamous Ron Prince beat a ranked Texas team once upon a time), and I get the angle for how the season has gone so far- Dublin/Iowa St hangover for the North Dakota game, Army triple option is hard to prep for- worth considering, but I'm not buying it.
KSU is just bad in so many ways right now. The worst way- they're soft. Very soft. It's a culture issue. And this was an issue last season. This team has been pretty lifeless since KU last October, going 1-7 ATS since then (and that doesn't include the spread loss to Rutgers in the bowl game). Horrid special teams- again. The defense is bad and still doesn't have an int this season, and one of the worst in the country at defending 3rd down. Even worse at defending 4th downs. Running game? Forget it. The OL is pretty bad. Don't hang your hat on Dylan Edwards, who isn't an every down back in the first place. And his snaps will be limited even if he plays tonight.
If you bet KSU, you gotta hope Avery goes nuts. Which he's capable of (but the dude just isn't tough, man. Prove me wrong, Avery. Please).
What about Arizona? Well...who cares? Home game on a Friday night, short week and travel for KSU, and UA hasn't looked that bad so far.
Not sure if Klieman has lost these guys yet or not, but his team hasn't responded when they've had every reason to do so, and he has become quite the excuse machine. I suspect he's ready to get out, but he's got $6 million reasons to hang around for a while.
Whatever the case, this one isn't worth torpedoing your bank account over.
P.S. I've been hot as a pistol- so I'm overdue for a Vegas beat down.
Good luck and enjoy a good Friday night game, whatever play you make.