@DrStrangelove
DR
FAU +3 (-120)
Boston College +5
UCF +10.5 1H
UCF/OU over 65.5
UCONN/USF over 54.5
FAU, BC & UCF are all running dogs. UCONN is too. But I'm waiting to see if this line goes back up to +3. But I like the over. UCONN has found an offense. UCF gets back Plumlee this week. Which is huge in my opinion. And with 2 weeks for Malzahn to throw in a few new wrinkles to the offense, I think they can have some early success on the Sooners. I also have a lean on the over tonight for Tulsa. But haven't decided on a side.
FAU +3 (-120)
Boston College +5
UCF +10.5 1H
UCF/OU over 65.5
UCONN/USF over 54.5
FAU, BC & UCF are all running dogs. UCONN is too. But I'm waiting to see if this line goes back up to +3. But I like the over. UCONN has found an offense. UCF gets back Plumlee this week. Which is huge in my opinion. And with 2 weeks for Malzahn to throw in a few new wrinkles to the offense, I think they can have some early success on the Sooners. I also have a lean on the over tonight for Tulsa. But haven't decided on a side.
TCU +7
Navy +10
Okie State +3.5
The only running dog here is Okie St. But I like the other two, especially TCU. I wouldn't be surprised if the line starts to go down on the Frogs. I juiced it a little from 6.5.
TCU +7
Navy +10
Okie State +3.5
The only running dog here is Okie St. But I like the other two, especially TCU. I wouldn't be surprised if the line starts to go down on the Frogs. I juiced it a little from 6.5.
Miami/Clemson under 48.5
Utah +7
If you like the Miami under I would get it while it's hot. It wouldn't susprise me if it dipped below 48. As for Utah, they are one of my running dogs. I do understand the love for USC this week. It is a good situational spot for the Trojans. And I even considered them at -4. But at +7 and taking two scores to beat me, I have to go with the Utes and the better D. Here's some interesting info: Since leading Colorado, 34-7, in Boulder late in the first half the final Saturday in September, USC has been out scored, 123-77, defeating Colorado, 48-41, and Arizona, 43-41, in triple OT, while losing to Notre Dame, 48-20.
Miami/Clemson under 48.5
Utah +7
If you like the Miami under I would get it while it's hot. It wouldn't susprise me if it dipped below 48. As for Utah, they are one of my running dogs. I do understand the love for USC this week. It is a good situational spot for the Trojans. And I even considered them at -4. But at +7 and taking two scores to beat me, I have to go with the Utes and the better D. Here's some interesting info: Since leading Colorado, 34-7, in Boulder late in the first half the final Saturday in September, USC has been out scored, 123-77, defeating Colorado, 48-41, and Arizona, 43-41, in triple OT, while losing to Notre Dame, 48-20.
TCU +7
Okie St +3.5
Miami/Clemson under 48.5
Good luck!
TCU +7
Okie St +3.5
Miami/Clemson under 48.5
Good luck!
For anybody that's interested, my list of running dogs this week are: Jax St, UCF, Miss St, BC, PSU, ULM, Illinois, Pitt, Ball St, Okie St, SC, Tenn, Minny, UCONN, FAU, ODU, Duke, Utah. The reason I don't play all of them is I prefer they also fall on or inside my power ratings. All of the teams I have listed fall within my power ratings except Miss St, which is right on the number. But the reason I played them out of the gate is because I knew this line would get hit because Arky is a little banged up from playing 3 out of 4 tough games on the road in the last month. And Miss St is coming off a bye. The only two running dogs left that fall in my power rating parameters are UCONN and ODU. Well, ODU did before they were bet down to 5.5. Now they are right on my number. So right now I'm still looking around. I'm still not sure I trust UCONN even though I actually have them favored by 2. The best play on that game could be the over. The Huskies look like they've found a little offense in the last two games.
For anybody that's interested, my list of running dogs this week are: Jax St, UCF, Miss St, BC, PSU, ULM, Illinois, Pitt, Ball St, Okie St, SC, Tenn, Minny, UCONN, FAU, ODU, Duke, Utah. The reason I don't play all of them is I prefer they also fall on or inside my power ratings. All of the teams I have listed fall within my power ratings except Miss St, which is right on the number. But the reason I played them out of the gate is because I knew this line would get hit because Arky is a little banged up from playing 3 out of 4 tough games on the road in the last month. And Miss St is coming off a bye. The only two running dogs left that fall in my power rating parameters are UCONN and ODU. Well, ODU did before they were bet down to 5.5. Now they are right on my number. So right now I'm still looking around. I'm still not sure I trust UCONN even though I actually have them favored by 2. The best play on that game could be the over. The Huskies look like they've found a little offense in the last two games.
@Brooklyncapper
Good luck Brooklyn. Unless it's one of those games that comes around maybe once or twice a season, I bet the same amount on all my plays no matter how I feel about them. So I'm not really a top 3 type of guy. I leave that to the show ponies on here. I just try to throw as many plays on the wall as I feel comfortable with and see what sticks.
@Brooklyncapper
Good luck Brooklyn. Unless it's one of those games that comes around maybe once or twice a season, I bet the same amount on all my plays no matter how I feel about them. So I'm not really a top 3 type of guy. I leave that to the show ponies on here. I just try to throw as many plays on the wall as I feel comfortable with and see what sticks.
@DrStrangelove
I like it!
BoL with your bets this weekend!
@DrStrangelove
I like it!
BoL with your bets this weekend!
Jax St +7
UTEP/NMST over 46.5
Miss St +7
FAU +3
Boston College +5
UCF +10.5 1H
UCF/OU over 65.5
UCONN/USF over 54.5
TCU +7
Navy +10
Okie St +3.5
Miami/Clemson under 48.5
Utah +7
New Mexico +2.5 (-115)
Akron +9 (-117)
Jax St +7
UTEP/NMST over 46.5
Miss St +7
FAU +3
Boston College +5
UCF +10.5 1H
UCF/OU over 65.5
UCONN/USF over 54.5
TCU +7
Navy +10
Okie St +3.5
Miami/Clemson under 48.5
Utah +7
New Mexico +2.5 (-115)
Akron +9 (-117)
I just barely stayed north of the Mendoza Line going 8-7. My totals continue to kill me. And my 3 other losses (Akron, TCU, Navy were not running dogs). Again, if I had blindly played my entire list of posted running dogs (post #35) I would have gone 12-6. The running dogs continue to kill it week after week. Since I started using them in week 5 they are 47-25 (65%). Week 5 (10-7) Week 6 (12-6) Week 7 (13-6) Week 8 (12-6). Yesterday, the ACTUAL RUNNING DOGS (teams that outrushed their opponents) went 10-1 with Duke being the only loss.
Here's a breakdown of the Actual Running Dogs from this week (PRD stands for Probable Running Dog)
Home Team: 5-1-1 (15-4 YTD)
Away Team: 17-10 (32-21 YTD)
PRD’s w/ Better D: 3-0 (23-10 YTD)
PRD’s w/ Better D at Home: 2-0 … (6-0 YTD!)
PRD’s of 7 points or more: 4-3 (PRD’s of DD were 2-1)….. 19-9 YTD (12-5 YTD)
Actual PRD’s: 10-1 (33-6 YTD)
Jacksonville State 262 to 89 (W)
Mississippi State 120 to 103 (W)
Boston College 308 to 248 (W)
Illinois 223 to 139 (W)
Ball State 243 to 99 (W)
Oklahoma State 281 to 226 (W)
Minnesota 113 to 11 (W)
ODU 221 to 127 (W)
Duke 197 to 152 (L)
Utah 247 to 145 (W)
New Mexico 227 to 58 (W)
PRDs that were not the ACTUAL running dogs:
YTD: 14-19 (42.42%)
Week # 5: 4-4
Week # 6: 3-5
Week # 7: 5-5
Week # 8: 2-5
I just barely stayed north of the Mendoza Line going 8-7. My totals continue to kill me. And my 3 other losses (Akron, TCU, Navy were not running dogs). Again, if I had blindly played my entire list of posted running dogs (post #35) I would have gone 12-6. The running dogs continue to kill it week after week. Since I started using them in week 5 they are 47-25 (65%). Week 5 (10-7) Week 6 (12-6) Week 7 (13-6) Week 8 (12-6). Yesterday, the ACTUAL RUNNING DOGS (teams that outrushed their opponents) went 10-1 with Duke being the only loss.
Here's a breakdown of the Actual Running Dogs from this week (PRD stands for Probable Running Dog)
Home Team: 5-1-1 (15-4 YTD)
Away Team: 17-10 (32-21 YTD)
PRD’s w/ Better D: 3-0 (23-10 YTD)
PRD’s w/ Better D at Home: 2-0 … (6-0 YTD!)
PRD’s of 7 points or more: 4-3 (PRD’s of DD were 2-1)….. 19-9 YTD (12-5 YTD)
Actual PRD’s: 10-1 (33-6 YTD)
Jacksonville State 262 to 89 (W)
Mississippi State 120 to 103 (W)
Boston College 308 to 248 (W)
Illinois 223 to 139 (W)
Ball State 243 to 99 (W)
Oklahoma State 281 to 226 (W)
Minnesota 113 to 11 (W)
ODU 221 to 127 (W)
Duke 197 to 152 (L)
Utah 247 to 145 (W)
New Mexico 227 to 58 (W)
PRDs that were not the ACTUAL running dogs:
YTD: 14-19 (42.42%)
Week # 5: 4-4
Week # 6: 3-5
Week # 7: 5-5
Week # 8: 2-5
Play em all and reduce your wagers if you have to.
I play a lot of games because they hit my list. If I cut I will second guess my process. That plays head games when I could have and should have.
just my feeling
best wishes
Play em all and reduce your wagers if you have to.
I play a lot of games because they hit my list. If I cut I will second guess my process. That plays head games when I could have and should have.
just my feeling
best wishes
Also you can cut the actual wagers in the totals. Track them and if they start winning add them back.
one of the processes I use is tracking my best and filter out losing tendencies
Also you can cut the actual wagers in the totals. Track them and if they start winning add them back.
one of the processes I use is tracking my best and filter out losing tendencies
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