BP and Smaller wins were all pretty solid .. UCLA last min had to pull off a big win credit choosing the good home spot to eek that one out for us .. but otherwise wins good and felt like a couple shock losses but man cookie crumbled against us 3 or maybe 4 times in the L column ..
Vandy the right play all the way .. no doubt and good move to play early and not lay points .. worked out this time .. wouldn't chance it this week if running it back on them ..
Oklahoma .. yeah from the git go .. OU didn't really need Mateer to do much the D pinned SCAR down on the road and just strangled em ..
TAMU / ARK .. Ark had 2 early drives stall close to the end zone .. 2 FG's .. they coulda won that game .. defense is nothing .. offense is prolific .. starting to remind me ALOT of that LSU team with Jayden Daniels a few years back .. woah nellie are they awesome .. and just like that team, the D ... omg ... the D is so bad ..
Miami .. total mis read .. thought they were maybe the one real team in the ACC .. They got the tools to be great but here they are off a bye at home and got completely out coached by Brohm in the big spot .. big loss for them as there are many scenarios with them not making the ACC champ game although they can still make the playoff ..
UGA .. Dawgs got 43 points and mammoth effort in a MAJOR REVENGE comeback .. got Gun Stock playing like a heisman .. and didn't cover this one .. head shaker ..
Neb / Minny .. the b2b first road gms spot weighted Neb down .. i'd imagine lotta money on them and here goes minny doing more than their part to hit this total .. the unforseen part was 9 sacks minny dropped on Neb .. basically doubling their sacks year to date and doubling Neb's sacks taken .. hard to do much with THAT weight hanging over the team that needed to drive points for us here .. sick ..
CLEM / SMU .. this was under the entire way .. another absolute sicko freak loss ..
0
RECAP
BP and Smaller wins were all pretty solid .. UCLA last min had to pull off a big win credit choosing the good home spot to eek that one out for us .. but otherwise wins good and felt like a couple shock losses but man cookie crumbled against us 3 or maybe 4 times in the L column ..
Vandy the right play all the way .. no doubt and good move to play early and not lay points .. worked out this time .. wouldn't chance it this week if running it back on them ..
Oklahoma .. yeah from the git go .. OU didn't really need Mateer to do much the D pinned SCAR down on the road and just strangled em ..
TAMU / ARK .. Ark had 2 early drives stall close to the end zone .. 2 FG's .. they coulda won that game .. defense is nothing .. offense is prolific .. starting to remind me ALOT of that LSU team with Jayden Daniels a few years back .. woah nellie are they awesome .. and just like that team, the D ... omg ... the D is so bad ..
Miami .. total mis read .. thought they were maybe the one real team in the ACC .. They got the tools to be great but here they are off a bye at home and got completely out coached by Brohm in the big spot .. big loss for them as there are many scenarios with them not making the ACC champ game although they can still make the playoff ..
UGA .. Dawgs got 43 points and mammoth effort in a MAJOR REVENGE comeback .. got Gun Stock playing like a heisman .. and didn't cover this one .. head shaker ..
Neb / Minny .. the b2b first road gms spot weighted Neb down .. i'd imagine lotta money on them and here goes minny doing more than their part to hit this total .. the unforseen part was 9 sacks minny dropped on Neb .. basically doubling their sacks year to date and doubling Neb's sacks taken .. hard to do much with THAT weight hanging over the team that needed to drive points for us here .. sick ..
CLEM / SMU .. this was under the entire way .. another absolute sicko freak loss ..
SMU - winner all the way .. Clemson is an absolute dud and backup QB actully wasn't HORRIBLE but didn't matter .. team can't run the ball and its impossible to play winning football that way ..
UCLA .. cookie crumbled our way sure but being in the good X country home spot .. first big road game for MD in many weeks .. we had an edge and eeked it out ..
APP St .. winning and covering much of the game .. hard to call it bad luck when they end up losing by 8 points!!! .. I dropped in the notes my worry on it with Samari Collier and Coastal's run game .. yep that was the worry that ended up killing us here .. Coastal reinventing itself with their JUCO NATTY QB dude .. watch out ..
TENN .. holy friggin smokes .. I understand them not winning the game but absolutely were set up over and over again and if they just execute in the red zone they prob do win .. Bama needs the FREAK 14 point swinger and multiple red zone stops for no points and give up a safety .. and give bama a 99 yd drive .. I mean .. Tenn deserved to lose that one ..
JMU / ODU .. never had a shot .. JMU lit the fuse a few weeks ago .. slow burn operation .. then .. KA BOOM ..
PSU / IOWA .. TD drives of 35 yds and 1 yd .. and Iowa landing a 75 yd TD drive in 2 plays right at the end to put the total on ICE .. any good luck on missed FG's totally negated w 3 quick n easy TD's .. sigh.
0
Smaller
SMU - winner all the way .. Clemson is an absolute dud and backup QB actully wasn't HORRIBLE but didn't matter .. team can't run the ball and its impossible to play winning football that way ..
UCLA .. cookie crumbled our way sure but being in the good X country home spot .. first big road game for MD in many weeks .. we had an edge and eeked it out ..
APP St .. winning and covering much of the game .. hard to call it bad luck when they end up losing by 8 points!!! .. I dropped in the notes my worry on it with Samari Collier and Coastal's run game .. yep that was the worry that ended up killing us here .. Coastal reinventing itself with their JUCO NATTY QB dude .. watch out ..
TENN .. holy friggin smokes .. I understand them not winning the game but absolutely were set up over and over again and if they just execute in the red zone they prob do win .. Bama needs the FREAK 14 point swinger and multiple red zone stops for no points and give up a safety .. and give bama a 99 yd drive .. I mean .. Tenn deserved to lose that one ..
JMU / ODU .. never had a shot .. JMU lit the fuse a few weeks ago .. slow burn operation .. then .. KA BOOM ..
PSU / IOWA .. TD drives of 35 yds and 1 yd .. and Iowa landing a 75 yd TD drive in 2 plays right at the end to put the total on ICE .. any good luck on missed FG's totally negated w 3 quick n easy TD's .. sigh.
Stanford .. haha .. best game they'll play all year .. even had their QB hurt and were still finding life on offense .. Run game been so bad but came alive vs this FSU team in one of the most horrific spots on the CFB schedule .. and FSU had a couple guys like Castallanos actually still playing .. but you could tell the team around him was not playing hard in this one .. prob a terrible week of practice and just a team that didn't want to be there .. AT ALL .. in the end they tried to regroup and punch in a game tie TD .. did the guy make it in?.. debatable .. but one things for sure .. STAN deserved it and got it .. +18.5 wasnt secure until maybe a drive or two into H2 but felt pretty solid all the way ..
0
^^
ohhhh .. Forgot ..
Stanford .. haha .. best game they'll play all year .. even had their QB hurt and were still finding life on offense .. Run game been so bad but came alive vs this FSU team in one of the most horrific spots on the CFB schedule .. and FSU had a couple guys like Castallanos actually still playing .. but you could tell the team around him was not playing hard in this one .. prob a terrible week of practice and just a team that didn't want to be there .. AT ALL .. in the end they tried to regroup and punch in a game tie TD .. did the guy make it in?.. debatable .. but one things for sure .. STAN deserved it and got it .. +18.5 wasnt secure until maybe a drive or two into H2 but felt pretty solid all the way ..
Think we can size this group up now as a legit surprise .. Zevi wasn't playing early on in the ssn and think the new coaches were holding mass position tryouts and just seeing what they had on the roster .. that ended up delivering some very mixed and undesierable results early .. like tangling up with Idaho in their FCS game .. getting BLOWN TO SMITHEREENS by a surprisingly good N.Texas team .. but S.Dakota State coaches brought S.Dakota St players and one thing we can say is they have real football players on this team .. they have a good hard nose run game and play decently well on the lines .. they have an absolute DUDE Playmaker in Zevi at QB ..
No doubt Toledo has a good team but the big question for them .. every week .. is will they play up to their level .. they still have an outside chance to make the conf champ game and this non con to the paloose is a real WACKY spot on their schedule .. I'd say best shot for them to show up is if they were undefeated and vying for a G5 playoff spot .. no coach could convince a team this game is that important .. I think the motivation needed is from Jason Candle as the program maybe ready to move on from him after years of BOTCHING great shots to win the MAC .. been the top team for like 5 or 6 years and think its just 1 championship to show for it .. lotta shocking losses ..
Toledo is off their get it right revenge smack o rama vs Kent .. I think the best move for them is still focus on conf .. they do still have a shot and actually a real one .. playing around with the MAC calculator apparently Toledo likely to have the best conf opponent win % and at 6-2 with multiple ties their losses to BG and W.MICH won't be the key factor .. yeah I'd not risk too much on this trip and focus on what's important..
Wash State blew the last game being too worn out on the looong B2B road gms vs much better opponents .. they had UVA in the bag and multiple false starts and major mistakes and D was totally gassed by the end .. tough travel spot killed them .. I don't think they walk away from those games somehow less motivated to win another big game at home .. and maaan I was impressed in both games how hard this team is playing ..
1
BRIDGE PLAY
WASH STATE -1
Think we can size this group up now as a legit surprise .. Zevi wasn't playing early on in the ssn and think the new coaches were holding mass position tryouts and just seeing what they had on the roster .. that ended up delivering some very mixed and undesierable results early .. like tangling up with Idaho in their FCS game .. getting BLOWN TO SMITHEREENS by a surprisingly good N.Texas team .. but S.Dakota State coaches brought S.Dakota St players and one thing we can say is they have real football players on this team .. they have a good hard nose run game and play decently well on the lines .. they have an absolute DUDE Playmaker in Zevi at QB ..
No doubt Toledo has a good team but the big question for them .. every week .. is will they play up to their level .. they still have an outside chance to make the conf champ game and this non con to the paloose is a real WACKY spot on their schedule .. I'd say best shot for them to show up is if they were undefeated and vying for a G5 playoff spot .. no coach could convince a team this game is that important .. I think the motivation needed is from Jason Candle as the program maybe ready to move on from him after years of BOTCHING great shots to win the MAC .. been the top team for like 5 or 6 years and think its just 1 championship to show for it .. lotta shocking losses ..
Toledo is off their get it right revenge smack o rama vs Kent .. I think the best move for them is still focus on conf .. they do still have a shot and actually a real one .. playing around with the MAC calculator apparently Toledo likely to have the best conf opponent win % and at 6-2 with multiple ties their losses to BG and W.MICH won't be the key factor .. yeah I'd not risk too much on this trip and focus on what's important..
Wash State blew the last game being too worn out on the looong B2B road gms vs much better opponents .. they had UVA in the bag and multiple false starts and major mistakes and D was totally gassed by the end .. tough travel spot killed them .. I don't think they walk away from those games somehow less motivated to win another big game at home .. and maaan I was impressed in both games how hard this team is playing ..
Took this out the gate at 54.5 .. played a little more at 57 now .. could be some rain but doesn't look like they'll be blasted with it .. Auburn has played a string of very very good D's and we have to look back to their performance vs Baylor to find anything comparable .. its been a while and we can't say for sure how this team will play .. but I will say if they lose this game I think Freeze is out .. if they pull a no show job in any way here I think they lose .. its a low motivation spot but we're also banking on Arkansas' defense to remain crappy and booooy oh boy is it .. no pressure bad coverage cant stop anything ..
On the flip side .. Arkansas is maybe one of the best offenses in the country .. is it elite in a way that they can best an elite defense .. idk .. I doubt Auburn's D plays elite here .. even if they do Ark has the weapons to keep drives going and hit big plays .. TAMU's D is not that bad we only see them give way vs ND and some good teams .. AUB struggled all the way with them .. and any D with a pulse .. I think Ark can drive the pace here and Aub finalllllly has a defense they can maneuver against .. again lot depends on how they show up ..
Ark looks like they don't care about W's and L's at this point and looking to make the most out of their year .. which still seems pretty fun if they can go toe to toe with most every team in the conference .. I suspect another big home game the HOGS are showing up .. the offense at least .. the D can show up or not show up .. can't be much worse .. I will say if Auburn is deflated and doesn't get back in the saddle .. Arkansas can oblige them and maybe margin call them by 3 TD's .. That probably wouldn't help us cover this total if Aub's offense doesn't show up with a winning attitude .. but yeah that seems like a legit risk here ..
yeah got it 54.5 and took another on 57 now .. so call it 57 for the record keeping .. GO HOGS!!
1
BRIDGE PLAY
ARKANSAS / AUB OVER 57
Took this out the gate at 54.5 .. played a little more at 57 now .. could be some rain but doesn't look like they'll be blasted with it .. Auburn has played a string of very very good D's and we have to look back to their performance vs Baylor to find anything comparable .. its been a while and we can't say for sure how this team will play .. but I will say if they lose this game I think Freeze is out .. if they pull a no show job in any way here I think they lose .. its a low motivation spot but we're also banking on Arkansas' defense to remain crappy and booooy oh boy is it .. no pressure bad coverage cant stop anything ..
On the flip side .. Arkansas is maybe one of the best offenses in the country .. is it elite in a way that they can best an elite defense .. idk .. I doubt Auburn's D plays elite here .. even if they do Ark has the weapons to keep drives going and hit big plays .. TAMU's D is not that bad we only see them give way vs ND and some good teams .. AUB struggled all the way with them .. and any D with a pulse .. I think Ark can drive the pace here and Aub finalllllly has a defense they can maneuver against .. again lot depends on how they show up ..
Ark looks like they don't care about W's and L's at this point and looking to make the most out of their year .. which still seems pretty fun if they can go toe to toe with most every team in the conference .. I suspect another big home game the HOGS are showing up .. the offense at least .. the D can show up or not show up .. can't be much worse .. I will say if Auburn is deflated and doesn't get back in the saddle .. Arkansas can oblige them and maybe margin call them by 3 TD's .. That probably wouldn't help us cover this total if Aub's offense doesn't show up with a winning attitude .. but yeah that seems like a legit risk here ..
yeah got it 54.5 and took another on 57 now .. so call it 57 for the record keeping .. GO HOGS!!
Florida off the bye .. off the coach fired .. heading into .. not ONE OF THE .. But .. THE ONE .. game they wanted to win this year .. forget the others .. Cocktail Party was always the big one for them and has eluded them for some time .. I put some down game of the year pre-ssn for UF +9.5 .. I think we'll see Florida give their best effort of the year .. by far .. and Fan giving us over a TD for this spot fine w me ... I suspect with both teams off a bye the big spot will be more apparent next week and we'll see this line come down a little bit maybe close 5.5 .. very hard to imagine unless there's unknown major injuries brewing for Florida that they won't get the benefit of the doubt as a dog in this spot and we see this line move up to 8.5 or wherever ..
Good luck!
0
LOOK AHEAD WEEK 9
BRIDGE PLAY
FLORIDA / UGA (FAN)
Florida off the bye .. off the coach fired .. heading into .. not ONE OF THE .. But .. THE ONE .. game they wanted to win this year .. forget the others .. Cocktail Party was always the big one for them and has eluded them for some time .. I put some down game of the year pre-ssn for UF +9.5 .. I think we'll see Florida give their best effort of the year .. by far .. and Fan giving us over a TD for this spot fine w me ... I suspect with both teams off a bye the big spot will be more apparent next week and we'll see this line come down a little bit maybe close 5.5 .. very hard to imagine unless there's unknown major injuries brewing for Florida that they won't get the benefit of the doubt as a dog in this spot and we see this line move up to 8.5 or wherever ..
Forgot to note the line lol My bad .. welp if you read it you knew what we were doin .. Florida w a free TD on a neutral in their biggest game of the year must must must win in the coach fired spot .. super human strength spot like we've seen in just about every "coach fired" game with nearly perfect ATS rate and often see this followed up with a MAMMOTH SU win vs a rival .. most recently with UAB pulling the shocker vs Memphis at home in "the battle of the bones" rivalry .. Oklahoma State covered their coach fired game but really don't have the personnel to pull a big upset so just covering was really a big effort .. we also had VA Tech not cover vs their FCS opponent Wofford but followed that up with a big win vs NC State on the road as over 10 point underdogs .. UCLA covered vs NU in a loss then pulled off one of the biggest shockers in CFB history .. Florida has the guys to win this game .. the time off to plan .. the motivation to win so gotta take free points and def putting this ML in a parlay somewhere .. its a good spot and must be played .. GOOD LUCK!
0
^^^ OOPS
LOOK AHEAD WEEK 9
BRIDGE PLAY
UGA / FLORIDA +7.5 (FAN)
Forgot to note the line lol My bad .. welp if you read it you knew what we were doin .. Florida w a free TD on a neutral in their biggest game of the year must must must win in the coach fired spot .. super human strength spot like we've seen in just about every "coach fired" game with nearly perfect ATS rate and often see this followed up with a MAMMOTH SU win vs a rival .. most recently with UAB pulling the shocker vs Memphis at home in "the battle of the bones" rivalry .. Oklahoma State covered their coach fired game but really don't have the personnel to pull a big upset so just covering was really a big effort .. we also had VA Tech not cover vs their FCS opponent Wofford but followed that up with a big win vs NC State on the road as over 10 point underdogs .. UCLA covered vs NU in a loss then pulled off one of the biggest shockers in CFB history .. Florida has the guys to win this game .. the time off to plan .. the motivation to win so gotta take free points and def putting this ML in a parlay somewhere .. its a good spot and must be played .. GOOD LUCK!
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