RECAP
Toledo is how you do it .. total mismatch revenge home game .. toledo's pass D is killer and the worry was Maverick Mcguyver was gunna have a chance to backdoor us so we hurried into the -6.5 laying some odds but still took some action at -7 .. and worry not this was 45-7 before MM and WKY put up 17 points up in Q4 and their garbage time stretched basically the entire 2nd half so much of their GT was actually scoreless ...
UNC .. don't have a nice thing to say about it .. nearly back door'd on a couple drives by a completely hapless charlotte offense and then failure to close it out led to one last series of heaves .. and one pass coulda connected for the score .. the key to this really was Charlotte's offense is a complete turd maybe worst in CFB and i think the win had little to do with the shame UNC feels and need to do much better .. safe to say I won't be putting any more money on these turds and I'd suggest you steer clear of them as well ..
K.State .. what can you say but holy smokes I've seen very few more horrific starts to a season .. We even got the Army backup QB in there w coleman's hamstring still an issue form the taleton game late exit and gotta say Hellum is a Helluf a player and future dude QB for them .. things weren't fully lined up to cover this one early but we were at least in semi decent shape at some point in H1 up 13-zip .. then jumped head first into the army quicksand w full scale meltdown unable to stop Army on final H1 drive, set up Cadents possessing the ball for 30 of the last 33 minutes of game time, total TOP 40/20 Army, total plays 82 to 43 .. Army offense 16 3rd/4th down conversions vs 5 stops .. K-State w just two 3rd/4th conversions vs 5 stops incl the game icing pick ..
UCLA .. never shoulda touched it .. man they suck .. finally had a comeback down 23-30 Nico leading them to the red zone chance to tie it up at least and hit this TT for us .. throws a ball right at the LB tipped up and picked for what felt like a totally deflating loss and prob puts the kebash on any hope for a bowl .. UCLA geniuniely sucks and needs to fire their coach and find some sorta internal spark and not just guys lookin to collect a small dollar NIL payday ..
Tulsa .. put drives together and snuffed themselves out over and over .. out yarded 375 to 290, +1 turnovers, +3TFL's, +6 1st dn's, shut NMSU's run game down 39 yds 1.5/carry.. dominating stats H1 totally .. late H2 NMSU's QB found a rhythem passing and Tulsa just bent right over .. had the stats and the worry of course is all new team going on the road can you execute on drives... no .. and cost em what shoulda been an easy win ..
smaller stuff ..
BAMA.. best call of the day .. we knew they'd be fired up after copious amounts of abuse online and in major cfb talking head media .. up 52-zip end of the Q3 and the can of whoop ass was just getting opened still .. Bama scores on 11 / 11 drives .. 1 FG 10 TD's .. 60 minutes high intensity football like we thought and shoulda made this my play of the day lol .. next time ..
Iowa +3 for the tie .. took a little more on +3.5 to land a win .. EPIC drive outta Iowa started at their own 3 yard line I didn't think they had it in em ..
Oklahoma - needed the win and wipped their ass pretty good .. tough physical home game win .. one that mighta sent Venables packing if he didn't get it .. GOY -1.5 was never in doubt .. some puckering if anyone took the pre-kick line but all cashed ..
Buffalo .. no doubt very good MAC team noted in their barely cover vs a tough Minny team last week .. knew they'd be solid vs very crappy FCS comp .. 45-6 .. some sweating late maybe miss the cover if you got in that one too late ..
SDSU - knew that would be tough ask for forming team to hit the pallose but Wash st between FCS tough rivalry vs Idaho .. battle for the pallose which was a struggle all the way .. but nice rebound by wazzoo, SDSU early 7-zip lead fell apart .. offense needs to click ..
GAME OF THE YEAR
From pre-ssn thread
https://www.covers.com/forum/college-football/bridge-pre-ssn-2025-103954648/10
BRIDGE PLAYS
GEORGIA -5.5
Still love it and would play up to a TD .. the BRIDGE POSITION is that Tenn is just not nearly the team they were before esp on D .. Cuse put up 5 legitimate drives on the vols in what seemed like a big easy win for Tenn .. Tenn with 6 sacks, scoop n score TD and another turnover setting up an easy score .. got late TD end of half and yeah the yardage says they were the clear winners but I think UGA's offense can open up a can in this one .. Line back under a TD in some spots because of Vols beating cuse and doing a number on a hapless ETSU FCS team .. think UGA will be in good shape to put Tenn back in their place here ..
SMALLER
FLORIDA +7
Didn't count on Florida botching the game vs south Florida .. we also know LSU ain't F'in around this year .. but do we know Clemson to be all they were cracked up to be?.. something is definitely up with them in the early goings here .. we saw this line +10.5 when fan D put it out and I took a sniff of that ... Florida with an unreal mountain of SEC quality football ahead of them I'm guessing they got sucked into a really tough spot vs what we know to be a really tricky team vs these big boys .. got absolutely BYRUM'D and I expect much better this week .. good luck!
SMALLER
NEW MEXICO +14.5
You can get better at Fanatics maybe 15.5 I suggest you light those losers up if your wager limit hasn't been knocked down to .. $27.50 .. pathetic loser book deserves an ass pounding from you ..
Anyway jury is still out on NM but they put 2 very legitimate drives together vs Michigan in the BIG HOUSE .. and nobody saw THAT coming .. I'm not sure if NM's defense is any good up front vs the run but I did note quite a few safeties and DB's in their units that probably make them a little tricky to pass on .. UCLA we saw was a total turd vs a D that we suspect might really stink in UNLV and their lights didn't even come close to turning on in that game until the 2nd half .. Bruins can def cover this line if things go right but I think the team has a problem in that nothing really looks right on offense and they're probably in trouble ..
VANDY +8.5
Opened 9.5 and took that .. this was sitting 8.5 all night .. unsure if its still around but you needed to get at it .. can't call it a BP because of the amounts I could get down but man o man .. #InDiegoWeTrust .. and I don't care he's going B2B roadies .. backing ultimate warrior and recall they have almost all of the team returning and just beat the crap out of a team that SCAR did merely okay against .. did it on the road in a tough environment .. I have no prob grabbing +6.5 or wherever it is now ..
Oklahoma rushed 7, dropped 4 all night. Seems Michigan doesn't have a quick slant in the playbook. No respect for wolv wr's and rightfully so.
That play where Underwood threw to McCulley who was blocking was an rpo gone bad. Two linemen were blocking deeper than McCulley, no wonder Haynes was pissed.
How about Badgers at Bama? Man I can see an epic beatdown coming.
I tailed ya a bit yesterday… I picked all losses … k state was my fav play… they have to be on the take … unexplainable… army looked like the more athletic team… tarleton st … good call on bama. They cost me a few grand week one moneyline. 2 most impressive teams for me are Flo st and Oregon. So I left alone… typical for me.
@UNIMAN
That was an incredibly tough physical game every time I look over someone takin a big hit .. saw the QB and RB gettin scrappy on the side line w themselves .. no great look very high emotion game .. yeah WR sitch is not good and QB is getting better, needs someone to throw at .. def gotta ask if Mich D is the real deal again gave up 2 big drives to NM and one 3 n out couple 4 n outs but really just one drive they limited yardage .. quite a few drives okla moved the ball and came up empty .. Mich w 5 drives ending w under 10 yards .. ace kicker whiffs an easy FG .. +2 in turnovers and big 75 yd TD feels like they shoulda found a way to keep it a one score game ..
BRIDGE PLAYS
FIU playing 2 very good games feels like they get the nod vs an FAU team that fell apart vs MD .. tough to be certain but this is a huge home game for the panthers and coaching change clearly moving them in the right direction .. quite possibly even opens the door for them to punch a ticket to the CUSA champ game which at this point looks as wiiiiiide open as yo mama's legs boiiiiiii ohhhh snap ..
Buffalo so far very impressive and we saw Minny go 187 on that NW State FCS team we like Minny's capabilities alot .. Buff found ways to stay in that game and if they were a dick around team they'd have succumbed much bigger .. feel like Buff still has some cover from not necessarily keeping that one close albeit they covered .. Kent state is still searching for the bottom of the power ratings .. they play like a bad FCS team .. its conference and Kent in a no win sitch last week might have just packed it in early .. seemed like it .. glad its under 24 .. Buffalo doesn't give up freak scores and plays for 60 mins this could be / should be an ass wippin vs a team they beat by 32 last year and I think Kent St somehow probably got worse this year .. maybe much worse?.. that was the call pre-ssn taking them under 2.5 wins with Ball State, Akron and Umass on their schedule .. after struggling vs Merrimack needing a kick return TD to win that one and whatever the heck they were doing last week friggin 48-zip H1 or something .. I'll just say the Flashes haven't disappointed us yet and neither has Buffalo for that matter .. Lembo & Co w the Big Blue Machine .. think its a big win ..
UGA line not where I expected after late dicking around vs marshall failing to cover that one .. then real ho - humm game vs AP .. felt like an all time classic Kirby brake check .. Vols did right to keep the line down by putting up a number vs Cuse .. we saw cuse now dick around w uconn needing a huge comeback and lucky win .. we should note that Cuse put multiple big drives on the vols and not saying Vols wouldn't have covered but scoop n score TD and another pick leads to 17 yd short field TD .. Tenn got the last moment H1 TD drive and Cuse w a nice final drive went out on downs almost scored .. potential 4 TD variance there all going vols way .. leaves some questions for both the offense and defense .. Kirby known to open the can in these spots playing small games down then ripping a real challenger .. like the roster they have and the WR/RB situation much better this year .. the big key is keeping the pressure off of Gun Stock and making Joey Agg's beat them w his arm .. think its torouble for the vols in that scenario and bulldogs look "back" after this one .
SMALLER
Troy getting a free TD early at home .. I know its off a big game but this is another biggie they can win and Memphis with a massive game on deck vs Arkansas .. they beat FSU in similar bad spot last year but just no shot really at the champ game and it was all for not .. S.FLA sets the bar very very high now for G5 resumes and Memphis wants to grab a playoff spot it doesn't help to lose this one but they can take the driver seat beating Arkansas, SFLA and winning their conference .. this game vs troy is very much an afterthought with the big stuff they have coming up .. oh and Troy didn't look too bad last week taking advantage of Clemson in a clear down spot ..
Old Dom you just gotta love that QB .. hard to say what VT needs to do here had vandy on the ropes and mid 4th had the crowd heading for the exits .. maybe Pry about to head for the exits too .. MASSIVE game for ODU in state rival big game for them its one you know they will 100% show up to and just a matter of where VT is at .. I could def see a RAGE ROMP outta them so might be one we look to middle if this line continues downward ..
ECU .. Coastal looked so out of sorts in every way just about vs UVA in week 1 .. no identity .. pass game was crap .. then just cant find much fortitude vs FCS Charleston Southern who is a big pile of crap .. ECU may not be very great but we've seen them at least go toe to toe and man up vs NC State and they're a pretty solid squad .. don't love to lay 7 on the road but I do think ECU can win the stats and much better chance their drives end with success .. coastal I feel like maybe can fumble and bumble their way into some scores but I think they can maybe reveal themselves to be true dog sh!t vs 3 levels of competition P4, FCS and now vs the G5 level ..
Temple gets Oklahoma at home in just a really nasty down spot off their big michigan win .. wouldn't surprise me if the doctors notes come flowing in for this trip and just see this being a very down game .. Venables would be correct to rest his guys ahead of a MAJOR SEC schedule and not blow his early victory with a MASSIVE auburn game on deck .. EPIC SANDWICH SPOT..
WAITING ON ..
UCONN / DEL .. was waiting for a spot to fade Del in game vs the Buffs but it never came .. reallllly punched above their weight class albeit still didn't cover the big 23.5 point spread they had alot of fight in them .. they flew into denver friday afternoon bus to boulder got them in the evening .. bus back get home 1am .. this is a huuuuge first home vs fbs in their first fbs year and couldn't have found a better upper east coast opponent to be excited about in their (almost) neighbors .. can take a 3 hr train to get there.. and used to be a big regional rival in the fcs level 27 games between 1950 to 1990 and Del was 20-7 in those games .. so another biiiig game for the Hens and Huskies ..
I can't help but think the hens at some point will be completely gassed out by this hard running n hitting uconn team.. Uconn seething in disappointment after last week too .. does feel like at some point the wheels start falling off .. backup del QB was great last week took hard hits and is a real fighter played thru 330 yds passing .. I do get the sense that this could be a total over 50.5, I have a few questions out for both of these defenses but can't hit em yet .. maybe some point in the game if Del comes out with their best stuff maybe we can get Uconn -3 or better and sorta half expect the tide to turn in their favor ..
SMALLER
GA.SOUTHERN / JVILLE OVER 55
GA So struggled mightly vs the run in their first 2 outtings giving up 350 to Fresno and 300 to USC .. both teams able to pass the ball a bit on them ..USC throwing for another 300 on em .. JVILLE can really run the ball vs the right defense and think they found the right one here .. GA SO's offense can def come to life vs a team that struggles vs the pass the way we saw JVILLE do .. looked like their guys can get beat and lotta questions in the secondary .. Ethan Vasko isin't great but had a pretty solid day vs them even while getting sacked 5 times and taking a bit of other pressure .. think the diff there is GA SO's offense doesn't do much scanning the field in the pocket, that ball comes out pretty quick .. Lib QB and UCF QB holding the ball quite a while pressures them where I think GA SO will hit WR's much faster albeit w fewer home run shots .. either way both these offenses play into the seemingly weak spot of both defenses and seems like a matchup we get a few scores in .. G.SO D lotta trouble getting pressure so if JVILLE wants to pass they might at least have some time in the pocket for that ..
Generally speaking I do like the spot for GA-SO with team staying in cali together and yeah USC was a sure thing loss but they had some success in that one on offense and couple TD's early they hung in for the first half before it went sideways .. couple really tough games early, maybe they are bonded as a team and first big home game catch Jville off their very good game vs UCF nearly a big road win and off a massive home win their biggest game of the year beating Lib and lookin like the team to beat in conf .. this game just doesn't feel as important .. maybe another in-game spot if we see jville a bit lax we can take a short fav line w G-SO .. think Jax should def be taking bets this week grabbing a few points and push the line down pre kick .. good luck!
LSU has their worst offensive line in the past 20 years and lost their center against LA Tech. He was their best lineman. They only ran for 128 yards and struggled to score. I’m very pessimistic that LSU is as good as some think. Nuss played poorly this week and I don’t think the defense can continue to bail them out. I’ll be looking to play their team total under when it comes out. I can see a very ugly defensive battle this week against the Gators. UGA will maul Tennessee! Good luck this week!!
BRIDGE PLAY
W.MICHIGAN +28
Got in at +29 at BM and limited where I can get it now so you should look for 28.5 or something w a hook on it .. this is just such an epic down spot for ILL they're off the HUUUGE Duke game a big road test of their meddle and passed with flying colors great game and next week kick off the MAJOR key stretch of the season going @Indy, USC .. nice break with Purdue although Boilers will show up and take a swing for this rivalry game .. you then have Ohio State, Bye @Wash then Rutgers before they get another bye week to regroup ... huge season determining stretch coming up and I've seen in the past Bielema talk about the need to pace the season and we've seen them show up in big spots and play slow as big favs .. we saw that recently with a pretty slow game vs W.ILL a team they shoulda hung 70 points on .. W.Mich isin't much to look at but I do think they can muck this up into a slower paced game and land a couple scores on an Illini squad just looking to get a win and get outta there as healthy as possible .. perfect time to play their 2-deep group and test the depth out .. My one concern is we've seen W.MICH play tough last year early vs Wisco and take a total dive vs stronger Ohio State .. this does feel like a spot with Toledo on deck we might see that .. however they are working with 2 QB's still and I suspect they give one a full game nod before conference .. if not it still kinda bodes well to have a QB competition going on into this one .. both guys trying and getting a good game called from the coaches / wanting to see what they can do .. the big thing to lean on is ILL off the big game with their entire season on the line over the next month and a half and hard to not put ILL on upset watch regardless of the perceived talent they're facing here .. good luck!
@blowoutgm
Yeah and time to start questioning how good clemson really is / was or will be?.. it was a total epic down spot for them but man they lost last year their opener and think they're still opening up the can of whoop ass they layed on app state .. very diff vibe this year incase you couldn't tell lol .. can't say LSU doesn't deserve credit for the Clem win it was max effort all the way and they prevailed in a place very few have before and often in a huge shock loss not a huge night game sure thing all systems go spot like that .. yeah I hit florida for a few bucks +10.5 when it came out might go again at 8.5 .. lotttta weird results to consider at this point and really comes down to ignoring the fumbles and lucky bounces and what do we see on the tape .. Florida another hitting the epic down spot and flew right off the bike into the bushes .. just like Bama and we'll see both teams throw their best heat this week ..
Yeah def hope UGA is no holds barred vs Tenn total suplex and dropkick them into the deep mid of the SEC ..
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