Best Teams List / Week 10

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BEST TEAMS /PLAYOFF SETUP - most likely

Still #1 = BUCKEYES   (BIG 10) 

#2. Texas AM    (SEC)

#3  Indiana    (BIG 10)

#4 Alabama   (SEC)

---------------In the Playoff likely with this seeding in my opinion------------

5. Georgia  (should make it and be ahead of ND if end up with 2 losses)

6. Oregon  (has 3 tough games left)

7. Ole Miss  (no tough games left)

8. BYU     (2 tough games left to overcome)

9. Georgia Tech  (will likely end with 1 loss/ out of Playoff then)

10. Texas Tech   (in Playoff if they finish with 1 loss)

11. Vanderbilt  (in Playoff if finish schedule with 1 defeat)

12. Memphis or Tulane  *strongest Group of 5 battle*

------------------- THE REST are next in line for playoffs

13. Louisville  (just ahead of Miami but must not lose anymore)

14. Miami  (must beat Pitt and win ACC title game to make Playoff in my opinion)

15. Notre Dame  (need 4 of the 7 teams above them to #8 slot to stumble)

16. Tennessee  (could squeak in if they hold to 2 losses)

---------------------Have a chance   

17. Michigan  (could make it in if they beat Ohio St/stay at 2 losses?)

18. Utah   (needs plenty of help to get into Playoff)

19. Texas  (if two losses with some powerful wins, maybe)

20. Cincy  (must go undefeated the rest of the way to have a chance)

------------------------------21st  to 30+ (not true order/rare chance for Playoff)

Very Good 1-2 Loss Teams =  Missouri, Virginia, USC, Oklahoma, Houston, Washington. Iowa, Tulane, Pitt, USF

Good 2 - 3 Loss Teams = LSU, Nebraska, Illinois, Boise, TCU, NW, 

How good are they? (zero/one loss teams) = San Diego St, James Madison, UNT, UNLV, Navy

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Might make some bets this coming week..... just depends .....would have gone 5-2 if I played my hunches upon first glance of which games I liked with Memphis and Mississippi St being my 2 favorite lines......hit some parlay tickets to make myself feel better 

My Plays: - before lines get eaten through the week

Duke +3.5 x 1U - Clemson lost to Angelli at QB for Syracuse by a wide margin (13 pts) and then the week after, Duke beat Syracuse vs the the backup for Syracuse by 35 pts

- Mensah is a much better QB than Angelli (17 TDs/2 INTs) 

- if Clubnik plays, Mensah can trade scores and Tiger secondary is not a strength

- yes, Clemson will be hungry to get back to .500 but so too is Duke shopping for a good bowl for their resume

Miami-SMU > watching this line and total carefully and gonna fish for a nice little parlay here or smash one side..... hunting a better line for now 

- Beck should not be picked off vs the 136th ranked secondary of SMU!

Navy/N.Texas OVER 64.5 x 1U

-the winner just might get some favor for consideration to become top Group 5 team if Tulane or Memphis slips up

-UNT has issues stopping the run (120th rank) and Navy does, what Navy does with little resistance usually

-will the offense for UNT be rested to move the ball up the field with Mestermaker...100% and they also have a back that can buy them some time for their defense to rest so I see Navy scoring 4 TDs and I definitely see UNT getting a TD for at least 5 and maybe 6...... 10 converted TDs easily covers this and 9 TD's + 1 FG to push their lead to 10 pts over NAVY will likely occur so even one missed PA still buys a nice cover over the number 

Arizona St-Iowa St - kind of shocked at this line given the fact that Texas Tech is by far the best team that either side has defeated ....Iowa St defeating Iowa and Gronk is a nice win but its a major rivalry

-I expect ArizSt coach to emphasize that a nice bowl spot is potentially in the offing if they get this scalp of a highly considered team, but when you look at their defensive stats, its not your typical Cyclone defense

- I am watching the injury report on this one > Jordyn Tyson is a stud WR who is Leavitt safety valve and go to guy on 3rd for sure and he didn't play vs Houston, which made a difference late in that game I bet 

-if motivated, Ariz St would be my pick here, especially if I know Tyson is playing but am going to make one TEASER 

7 PT TEASER x 1U > Ariz St +11 with Miami -3.5 with Over Miami 43.5 

Louisville -VTECH 54 - too high? 

-last year 37 pts were scored in a domination and Cardinals are in the Playoff race

-I see them wanting to place a stamp on VTECH with their defense given the fact they did so vs Miami on the road and they are capable of holding down this VTECH team to under 2 TDs.....so..... 38 - 14 is likely the most I see here, maybe 42 - 10

TEASER #2 x 1U > Louisville -3 with UNDER 61 with Miami -3.5 

Tennessee -3.5 x 1U >> will bang this again if it drops  

-Agular is a gunslinger and loves performing for this crowd...... sure the Sooners have a strong defense but how did that work vs OLE MISS and they were even at home 

- Sooners tend to crumble every year after 2 losses and I expect this Vols crowd and offense to not be inspiring for a team to overcome..... notice the Sooners schedule so far .....they have faced NO GUNSLINGER QB yet