First off, congratulations to mollydog for the pure domination of the 2024 NCAAB contest, very impressive once again. I know he has won it at least one other time and ihe could stop now and win this year, but he keeps posting dozens and dozens of picks each day. I guess he wants to cover the spread and win by 60k instead of 30 or 40k.
Anyway, the reason for my post is to ask a question to see if anyone knows how he gets the lines he gets? I have followed him over the past couple years and often see his new pick within a minute of him posting his pick. But on many of his picks, the line is 2-3 points in his favor over the current live line. This is something I have noticed over multiple years with hundreds, probably thousands of games.
My initial thought is he figures out a steam game before covers does and covers is slow to change the lines. But that doesn’t seem to be the case as the line has changed on covers by the time I see the pick. My second guess is he opens a large number of windows with the original line on each game and when the line changes he finalizes the pick with the original line. Doesn’t seem likely that covers wouldn’t adjust the line to the current line when posting the bet. So I am confused on how he can get a 2-3 point line movement in his favor on almost every bet that he posts. It is very impressive and would love to know how he does it.
By the way, if mollydog is a female, please replace all he/him with she/her. Don’t want to assume mollydog is a male.
First off, congratulations to mollydog for the pure domination of the 2024 NCAAB contest, very impressive once again. I know he has won it at least one other time and ihe could stop now and win this year, but he keeps posting dozens and dozens of picks each day. I guess he wants to cover the spread and win by 60k instead of 30 or 40k.
Anyway, the reason for my post is to ask a question to see if anyone knows how he gets the lines he gets? I have followed him over the past couple years and often see his new pick within a minute of him posting his pick. But on many of his picks, the line is 2-3 points in his favor over the current live line. This is something I have noticed over multiple years with hundreds, probably thousands of games.
My initial thought is he figures out a steam game before covers does and covers is slow to change the lines. But that doesn’t seem to be the case as the line has changed on covers by the time I see the pick. My second guess is he opens a large number of windows with the original line on each game and when the line changes he finalizes the pick with the original line. Doesn’t seem likely that covers wouldn’t adjust the line to the current line when posting the bet. So I am confused on how he can get a 2-3 point line movement in his favor on almost every bet that he posts. It is very impressive and would love to know how he does it.
By the way, if mollydog is a female, please replace all he/him with she/her. Don’t want to assume mollydog is a male.
Personally I think the contest would be more interesting and realistic to have a starting bankroll and allow people to bet whatever they want per game. Once you lose you are out. That is more realistic. So many of the people just bet max 500 every game. Disadvantage to those who can key on smaller number of games but hit a higher percentage. Also, harder to follow a mollydog with 100 games a day.
Personally I think the contest would be more interesting and realistic to have a starting bankroll and allow people to bet whatever they want per game. Once you lose you are out. That is more realistic. So many of the people just bet max 500 every game. Disadvantage to those who can key on smaller number of games but hit a higher percentage. Also, harder to follow a mollydog with 100 games a day.
Read Fox News website at least an hour a day. About as right as you can get. Sorry I wrote that fucking last line, just didn’t know if mollydog was a man or a woman. Does anyone have a reasonable answer to my post about how mollydog gets the lines he gets?
Read Fox News website at least an hour a day. About as right as you can get. Sorry I wrote that fucking last line, just didn’t know if mollydog was a man or a woman. Does anyone have a reasonable answer to my post about how mollydog gets the lines he gets?
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