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2-2 Wed. 9-6 overall for 60%
Here's for Thursday: Lac-3 (2 units) I'll leave it to a CP3 quote for this writeup: "It's getting to be a little bit embarrassing. A couple losses here and there and we're out of the playoffs. So we've got to play with a sense of urgency." I look for that urgency tom to carry them to a cover. Mem-1 Por's average margin of defeat in its past five losses is 24.4 points. Its 29pt loss vs Mil has broken what's left of Por's aura of invincibility at home. Mem needs this game, and I see them getting it. |
mondaman | 27 |
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Lac+8
I did say that Lac has been overrated since Billups' injury, but CP3 and the Clippers are facing Okc at a good time. Okc has lost four of seven, and have been inconsistent as of late, even at home. Lac may have its struggles, too, but I'll take CP3's competitive spirit and the +8 points. Atl-7.5 Double-digit victories over Cleveland have been common of late for Atl, and again, I don't see any reason to deviate from this trend. Chi-7 No DRose, no problem. Esp with Tor just returning home from a 5gm road trip that concluded just yesterday. |
mondaman | 27 |
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I mean Nyk +4.5
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mondaman | 27 |
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3-1 Tuesday, 7-4 overall for 64%
On to Wed: Nyk -4.5 As I said yesterday, I am riding Woodsanity until the wheels fall off. Will post more plays later |
mondaman | 27 |
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NBA Tuesday is a little tricky, with no clear lines that will jump on you, but such is the nature of gambling, so here goes:
Ind -3.5 IND has one victory in its last nine games vs teams with winning records, and I look for them to really want this one vs LAC. IND is just a half game up on Atl and a mere 2 gms ahead of Bos, so I believe they will "bring it" in this game. I've also taken the stance that LAC has been grossly overrated ever since Billup's injury, which explains my bias towards IND here. Pho +10.5 Two red hot teams collide in Pho vs Mia, and I just think that Pho is not getting the respect that it currently deserves. I still think Mia wins, just not by double digits. Por -4 For all its current woes, Por is still a formidable customer at home. Mil gambled that Ellis and Jennings can work well as a backcourt duo, and they are indeed explosive, but a one game sample cannot yet change my mind to go against Por at home. Nyk -8.5 Looking for Woodsanity to continue in this game. Nyk's great pool of talent is finally showing signs of chemistry, and I am riding them until the wheels fall off. |
mondaman | 27 |
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Slipped in a Dal -4 bet last night, got to 1-1 Monday, 4-3 overall for 57%.
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mondaman | 27 |
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Mamba, is Pekovic playing for Min tom?
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theblackmamba | 8 |
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Leans for now:
Gsw -1.5, but I will only pull trigger if Pekovic does not play. Anybody have any update on this? Without Pek, I think Lee cancels out KLove, and imo, that would be enough for a Gsw win, absence of Curry and Ellis notwithstanding. Dal -4, but only if I get confirmation that Mcgee and Chandler still wont suit up. Again, any update on their status? I can't bet on Dal if the frontcourt matchups read injured Haywood and Mahini vs. Faried, Chandler and Mcgee. |
mondaman | 27 |
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3-2 Sunday for 60%. Losses were Hou to Pho (Michael Redd entered a time machine!) and Mem (which decided to play only in one of four quarters ).
On to NBA Monday: Njn -4 Cle and Njn went opposite directions in the trade deadline. Cle traded Sessions and stacked up for the future, whereas Njn went all in now and got Crash Wallace. Cle gets points for looking ahead, but for tomorrow and for now, I like Njn even at -4. Say what you want about him, but Wallace fills a huge hole at small forward and brings defense to Njn that ranks last on that end of the floor. I like Njn here even more considering Varejao (huge x-factor) is still out for the Cavs. |
mondaman | 27 |
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Add also: Hou +6.5
Got insight from one of the posters here that with or without Kmart and Lowry, Hou is a tough one to crack, specially with playoff posturing now very important. Besides, Hou has always been a tough opponent for Pho. |
mondaman | 27 |
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Sorry, I meant Uta +11
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mondaman | 27 |
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Add: Uta -11
I know, I know, LAL is 19-2 at Home and Uta is 5-16 on the road. Big Al won't play and Sessions is a big upgrade at point for Lal. Uta coming off an OT win, so they will be fatigued. Lal is on a 5gm winning streak. All point to an LAL win, but 11pts for me is a bit too much, specially with the way Favors played vs GSW. I'm thinking Lal wins by around 7-9 pts. |
mondaman | 27 |
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Been here at covers for quite a long time now, finally decided to post, primarily to monitor my Record, and hopefully to get some inputs from the community.
Here goes: NBA SUNDAY Okc -10 I look for KD and company to right the ship with a big win vs. a Por side that currently sucks, more so on the road. I know Por just won at Chi, but I look at that as a fluke rather than a trend. KD's final word on current home struggles:"We can't be relaxed because we're at home. Just because we're at home, we're not going to win games. We've just got to come out with a sense of urgency, play harder and we'll be all right." Atl -2 Atl owns Cle, and I don't see any reason to deviate from this trend. Atl's current three guard lineup (Teague, Williams, Johnson) would make matters worse for Irving and Co. Side note: Jason Collins is expected to be back for this game. Mem -12.5 Mem needs this win, as they gear up for a stretch of nine of 11 on the road, while only three games ahead of the ninth spot in the Western Conference. Was has had major problems at FedEx Forum, and Zach's presence, coupled with Nene's absence, will even make it worse. |
mondaman | 27 |
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tep | 37 |
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BOL CMM
I have the same plays- https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=22&sub=101035492 |
CrazyMilkMan | 22 |
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My local bookie only offers ATS bets, and I wanted to start a thread
here so I can get other people's opinions, hopefully help each other on
ATS betting in the NBA playoffs.
I won 2 units each yesterday on Dal-5 and Atl-8.5, lost 1 unit on the Bulls and 2 units on Mia. Overall, +1unit on these playoffs so far. NOH@LAL -10 Despite Lal's lackadaisical play of late, I see them covering the spread here. Noh has a ton of match up problems (outside of Chris Paul vs Fisher), and IMO, the Lakeshow still has what it takes to "turn it on" for the playoffs. LAL -10 DEN@OKC-5.5 It's hard to overlook the lat two games between these two teams prior to the playoffs (Okc winning by 7 on the road and 15 at home) and not like OKC's chances. Den is a good, well-balanced team, but I don't see them slowing down Westbrook and Durant. Den also has a few "injury redflags", which alll the more convinces me that OKC is the play. OKC -5.5 NY@BOS-6 Both teams made major roster changes. Both teams initially had success following big trades, and both teams faltered afterwards. However, Bos still has the big four's championship pedigree and playoff experience, and I am a believer that defense trumps offense in the playoffs. I like BOS-6 here. MEM@SAS-6 Teams split the regular season series, with Mem beating the Spurs in the last two. However, the Mem wins were at home, and the last one was when Duncan was injured. As if Spurs need any extra motivation, benching of Mem players for the last two regular season games show that they "chose" Spurs for 1st round, and IMO, Spurs will show Mem that it was a mistake for them to do so. SAS-6 Just noticed that my leans are all faves for tonight's games. Anyway. I would really appreciate any inputs guys here would have. |
mondaman | 1 |
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3RICB3RRY | 17 |
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CrazyMilkMan | 34 |
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“Very few times in your coaching career does your team spark and come
together like this team has come together—and has done so in a short
period of time,” George Karl told the Denver Post on Saturday. “I'm just trying
to convince them to keep working at it. You are a good team and you can
be a better team"
I'm a Laker fan, and I still think they'll win . But I don't think they'll cover . Den would relish this "coming out party". BOL CMM |
CrazyMilkMan | 36 |
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THESHOOTER | 20 |
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