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After Utah came to Orlando and beat them I wouldn't be surprised this game should pe a pk
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Covers | 11 |
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Sac is horrible on the road
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Covers | 11 |
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Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:
Why do people continue to talk about injuries when capping? Oddsmakers already take into account every injury when making the spread, there is no use to look any further into injuries. If those injuries weren't prevalent the spread wouldn't be what it is. Therefore it is useless to cap injuries, oddsmakers have already done it for me Odds makers are wrong at times i just cant see how you can just disregard this many injuries going against a legit contender look what mike nolan and this defense did to the manning brothers. but hey who knows anything is possible one of us will be right good luck brotha |
LeagueCapper | 214 |
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Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:
Atlanta Falcons @ Detroit Lions Was big on the Falcons last week but this is a perfect spot to fade them here. Falcons shutting out the superbowl champs then having to travel to face a team that just got embarrassed by one of the worst teams in the league. This has been a disappointing season for the Lions to say the least but last week definitely hurt there ego's. Lions rebound here and give the Falcons there third loss of the year. - Teams beating the Super Bowl champs are 18-30 ATS (37%) the following week - Teams with 11 wins or more as road favorites are 9-29 ATS (23%) past 9 years. - Teams who lose by 30 points or more ATS and home dogs of 3 or more are 12-1 ATS (92%) past 10 years. Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins Love the Bills here as well for my 2nd and final play of the week. Dolphins defense shutting down the Jaguars last week while the Bills got creamed at home. - Teams who lose by 30+ points and are dogs between 3 and 6 are 17-3 ATS (85%) past 6 years - Teams who allow 7 or less points last week at home with a home Sunday game this week are 4-18 ATS (18%) past 4 years - Divisional favorites who are divisional dogs next week are 13-41 ATS (24%) past 5 years Lions +4 (-118) 20 units Bills +4 (-110) 7 units those stats are nice but what about all the injuries that have hit the lions no fairley .corey william,titus young ,jacob lacey,broyles burleson and if pettigrew and delmas dont play thats going to really hurt them.with no pettigrew their best receiver behind CJ is tony scheffler and after that we got scrubs Durham,Logan,Robiskie,Tohmas. Stafford and CJ are great players but i just cant see them carrying the lions for four quarters |
LeagueCapper | 214 |
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a can we get you to do a write up on why you like the lions i need another laugh
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crazy1464 | 18 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Sammy_Ace:
My inner wise guy first liked the Lions in this spot. They have played everyone tough at home, and have lost their last 3 home games (33-35 to Indy, 31-34 to Houston, and 20-24 to Green Bay). But after further review, I've decided to fade myself. There are far too many injuries for me to support a play on the Lions. Plus, they are playing for practically nothing. They are obviously not in playoff contention and beating Atlanta wouldn't really be playing "spoiler" because the Falcons have already clinched the division and have a pretty tight grip on home field advantage. I'd much rather back the Lions when they host their division rival Bears next week, where I know there is a mutual hatred for each other, and there is a great chance they will be able to knock the Bears out of the playoffs with a win. Detroit's wide receiving corps is absolutely decimated with injuries (no Broyles and obviously Titus Young has effectively been kicked off the team), Brandon Petigrew is also questionable and wasn't able to suit up last week in the embarrassing loss to Arizona. And what has quietly gone under the radar is that Nick Fairly, their other stud defensive tackle, has been placed on the IR due to a shoulder injury suffered in the Arizona game. Delmas, one of the leaders in their secondary, is also listed as questionable. The Lions are simply too banged up and won't be motivationally challenged enough to defend their home turf this Saturday night. Not to mention, their home field advantage isn't really that much of an edge given Atlanta is a dome team. If this were outdoors on a grass surface like Carolina from 2 weeks ago, thats a different story.
I am sure its a public bet, but I know Atlanta is the better team...I know they are the healthier team. And I know they are the team with the better momentum (coming off a statement game against the Giants). The Lions are coming off an embarrassing loss to the Cardinals. And their offensive gameplan will be no mystery this Saturday...Lets heave the ball up to Megatron, and hope he breaks Jerry Rice's single season receiving yards record.
I think Atlanta locks up home field advantage this Saturday Night.
couldnt have said it any better my self just to many injuries and if pettigrew cant go the lions second best receiver is tony scheffler and behind him its a toss between durham and thomas and on the defense side no jacob lacey ,corey williams, nick fairley and delmas been hurt all year and missed the last two games atlanta -3.5 and under 50.5 |
Covers | 63 |
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Best Bet playing 60$ Atlanta Falcons +1 1/2 3 team parlay 15 $ Atlanta Falcons +1 1/2 Baltimore -4 Detroit Lions -4 |
jaybrown2088 | 1 |
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Romo does not belong on the list he is average at best |
dhayse21 | 35 |
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just added Added Mavs Money line also
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jaybrown2088 | 27 |
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YTD 9-11 Dallas +4.5 Mavs/heat over 187.5 |
jaybrown2088 | 27 |
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YTD 8 - 10 Bulls -3 Bulls under 180 |
jaybrown2088 | 27 |
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YTD 8-8 Heat -5 over 179.5 good day yesterday a little luck overtime came but i will take it. ok on to todays picks 5-25 picks Dallas -6.5 and over 198.5 |
jaybrown2088 | 27 |
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ytd 6-8 huge win last night great come back performance by the mavs glad to be on the right side of that game Dallas +4 and over 195.5 5-24 picks Heat -5 i just dont think chicago has enough offence to get passed the heat kyle krover has not showed up yet boozer has been incosistent i doubt he puts up another 27 points. and rose looks like he is having a hard time finishing at the hoop against miami . heat/bulls over 179.5
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jaybrown2088 | 27 |
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ytd 4-8 Dallas plus 4 and over 195.5 |
jaybrown2088 | 27 |
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Typo my YTD 4-7
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jaybrown2088 | 27 |
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YTD 3-5 2 units on bulls / heat over 90 first half out of the 5 games they played this year 4 of them have been over 94 or higher and the last 2 games they played they hit 94 points and 96 in the first half i like those odds GL |
jaybrown2088 | 27 |
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Quote Originally Posted by mws:
Bounceback? He had an unusually good game in game one. i agree. westbrook is great at attacking the hoop but other then that he really has not showed much in the playoffs |
Qtkalbo | 12 |
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Nice write up with you on both
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MakeitRain84 | 10 |
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ytd 3-5 man horrible 0-2 the over looked so good at halftime and then only 24 points in the 4th qtr ouch i guess that is just how it goes sometimes on to todays picks 5/19 picks 2 team parlay 2 units on Mavs -5.5 at -110 Mavs under 201 at -110 then i did a first half bet mavs over 100.5 at -110 hope things turn for the better cause i need it GL to all
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jaybrown2088 | 27 |
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perfectly said
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njcapper | 13 |
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