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Thread Author crazykind Post Entries
specimen24
specimen24
Using MLS bias to justify your own MLS bias - only on covers!

You hate it so much you can't even watch it but you feel the need to criticize it anyway...why?

Everyone in the world of soccer knows that MLS is not on the level of the top leagues in the world...but the fact that you are here trying to make this point by quoting an MLS critic only proves that its a closer contest than most people think
Damaged99
Damaged99
Sure didn't slow down Drew Brees and the fast paced, turf oriented Saints offense - they scored 41 on 571 total yards of offense there a few weeks ago...
HailFlutie
HailFlutie
no idea about BW, but fwiw the word is Floyd Mayweather has $480,000 on the Cubs....two Vegas books took the action
RLeith35
RLeith35
Great info in this thread, thanks RLeith  

the stuff on the home plate ump's tendencies is gold, where did you find that?
oneplayaday22
oneplayaday22
MLB Betting / Hendricks / View Post
Quote Originally Posted by BigPell:

no hendricks has been starting when he does to hide him from having to pitch on the road and keep him in a friendly environment. he gets his first road start of the postseason tonight in game 7. lester will be in by the 4th or 5th inning.

So if the Cubs had homefield advantage, Hendricks would've started game 1?  CMON MAN 
oneplayaday22
oneplayaday22
MLB Betting / Hendricks / View Post
Quote Originally Posted by PoeticJustice:

HENDRICKS IS THE TRUE ACE OF THIS TEAM 

Lester got the nod because of his playoff experience. Henricks was then moved to 2nd in the rotation. I think Arrieta was upset about this which is why he got the start last night as he wanted the pressure for do or die. Arrieta has always been pissed that hes not the ace of the team. 

After this regular season, Hendricks has always been the true ace in my eyes. 

True aces ALWAYS pitch game 1 when they are fully rested, regardless of experience...and by the way, having experience is part of what makes an ace a 'true ace'
oneplayaday22
oneplayaday22
MLB Betting / Hendricks / View Post
Quote Originally Posted by sandique:

All pitchers bar the g6 starters will be available for hire. Lester will do his bit if required, and Miller might be asked to go 5. Don't get hung up on the starters.

This is a good point, every arm is available today...that said, it works both ways:  do you want to fall behind the Indians when they have a fresh Miller and Allen ready to go 5 innings at least??

For that reason, the starters matter and scoring the first run is key to controlling the pressure...being down 1 run in game 7 can feel like being down 10
buffer
buffer
People love to point at this line as a positive sign for the Cubs (books putting Kluber at home at plus money and begging for action, right??!!)

OR, they know they are going to get 60%+ action on the cubs anyway so may as well tack on a little surcharge...

Let's say they have 600 bets on cubs at -140 to win 100 bucks and 400 on the tribe at +120 to win 100 (very hypothetical, i know).  They would have $84000 in cubs bets and approx $34,000 in tribe money for a total handle of 118,000.  If cubs win they have to pay the 84k back and they keep the 34k for a net loss of 50k.  If the Indians win they pay out 40k and pocket 78 grand.

Who do you think the books are rooting for in this scenario?  If they expect a Cubs win, wouldn't setting the line like this be foolish?

Books are always a step ahead...How many people thought they were being sharp getting the Bills plus 5.5 points this past weekend?  
oneplayaday22
oneplayaday22
MLB Betting / Hendricks / View Post
Hendricks was in trouble in every inning and wriggled off the hook in game 3, we will see what he is made of tonight...so much is said about his calm demeanor under pressure, to me he looks a little like a deer in the headlights ala eli manning...he likes to paint the corners with his 90 mph 'heater' - if hes painting and getting the calls, he's tough - if you can make him come in off the corners, hes quite hittable...if Cubs have all of their arms available, Hendricks is the third choice here, which may help answer the OP's question...we find out in 9 hours
Relax_Dude
Relax_Dude
Everyone in the world is on a coinflip priced ML?

Give me the other side please!
Andrew1976
Andrew1976
Soccer / CSKA Moscow +1 / View Post
nice job
jimc0911
jimc0911
Covers is known in the industry as a forum full of squares and rookies and, to be honest, it was only the dedicated work of the regulars here that turned it into a respectable place.  A quick look at the other forums here shows that the soccer forum is by far the most 'professional'.  But all good things must come to an end...

I suggest moving to a forum with active moderators and a more businesslike approach.  Therxforum is great for other sports but the soccer forum is quite slow, with only a couple regular posters.  This crew could easily slide in there and be welcomed with open arms.  Good luck with whatever path you choose...
dpman39
dpman39
Quote Originally Posted by mac39bps:

I just don't like when people say these are "gifts." Nothing is guaranteed in gambling and you never count your money, when you're sittin' at the table.


since you are quoting kenny rogers, allow me to quote stevie wonder

When you believe in things you don't understand, then you suffer.  Superstition ain't the way!  ???
dpman39
dpman39
Quote Originally Posted by mac39bps:

Sweeeet now we celebrate! Hahaha

lol, i am glad you won

jinxes are funny to talk about and everything, but you cannot honestly take them seriously enough to tell someone else to stop talking, can you?

of all the factors in this universe which could possibly affect the result of that game, do you really count a couple sentences on an internet message board among the most crucial?  CMON MAN!  
vanzack
vanzack
any thoughts on champions lg action today?  i miss your opinions in the soccer forum
Covers
Covers
Quote Originally Posted by tapnitruc:

I dont post much, but when I do, I post to clarify things. I like trends myself mr 8 unders in a row. But you have to take in consideration the Actual #. The last 2 times they played @BYU the total went over 50. Also, just like NFL game last night QB out, and a division rivalry blowout. This might be oranges and apples to some of you but I find it to be a sort of a forshadowing. Also, I believe in Symmetry. All 3 dogs won outright, leads me to believe favs tonight. I should of stopped with the totals insight, thats more helpful, the rest is just my personal problems I have to deal with as a nuerotic sports handicapper. 

Hope you don't mind being clarified yourself.  The last time they played @ BYU it was a 6-3 final, well under 50 wouldn't ya say?
jennifer666
jennifer666
thanks for posting your picks...if you dont mind me asking, how do you personally play these?  i.e w/p/s, exbox, etc.
aaustinova67
aaustinova67
started raining again, they called it....6-1 final
aaustinova67
aaustinova67

Game will resume at appx. 6pm MT.

Absolutxedge22
Absolutxedge22
onto the next one

nice hit AbsoluteX  
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