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May 8th Baseball ... 88-87-12, -2.32 units 955, Miami Marlins, +140 I am obviously a buyer on Nolasco to start this year and he continues to pitch well. His weakness has been the HR allowed (6 in about 41 innings pitched) but that weakness matches up well here. Even with the new dimensions, Petco is still better than most parks for the flyball pitcher and the Padres are near the bottom of the league in homers and homers off righties (Miami the worst). 3-year-splits show Nolasco as a far better away pitcher than home pitcher. Some concern that the Padres roster has seen him well in the past. There is no sugar coating the Marlins offense --- they stink --- but one thing that can help a struggling offense is a pitcher who has to try to be fine with his pitches and as a result walks a lot of guys. Enter Jason Marquis. Marquis has struggled against his opponents roster, 3-year-splits show a 7-13 home record, and he has walked a lot of guys his last few outings. Sure, he may trust his stuff here more against a Marlins team that might struggle to score playing in a tee-ball game, but the matchup is good. With this big of a plus sign, I have to take a shot. For the rest of today's card, follow @Game_Analysts or at https://www.gameanalysts.com
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April 30th Baseball 962 ... Arizona ... +101 9:40pm EDT ... San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks ... Chase Field ... Phoenix Arizona — Cahill has been suffering from similar problems as Strasburg to start the year in that he simply doesn’t get run support … 3, 3, 1, 3 and 1 in his 5 starts this year. Cahill is a perfect fit for the ballpark, as he throws a heavy ground ball. He has been extremely hard to hit and if he has had a problem, it has been with walks, but most of that came in two starts against a patient Rockies lineup. SF is way below league average in walks and the aforementioned groundball bias induces double plays that can get him out of potential jams. Good numbers against Giants bats (28 hits in 38.1 innings pitched the last 3 years vs. this team), good home pitcher, good night pitcher. I prefer the Dbacks lineup. Not much to dislike about Bumgarner but the Dbacks just saw him for 7 1/3 innings a week ago. A few key bats see him well. Three-year splits show an under .500 away pitcher (better form now though). He has thrown a whopping 515 pitches in April already! And that almost always catches up to a pitcher at some point. Concerns are Bumgarner form and Arizona lack of ability to hit lefties so far this year. For more plays, follow @Game_Analysts or at https://www,gameanalysts.com
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April 29th Baseball 901 ... Washington ... -132 7:10pm EDT, Turner Field, Atlanta Washington bats saw Teheran back on April 12th and Harper went deep on him as the Nats ran him out after just 5 innings pitched. This eliminates some of the “never been seen factor”. Teheran has been terrible at Turner Field over a small sample dating back to 2011. Strasburg has to be motivated at 1-4 on the year and also must be motivated facing another young pitcher after being outdueled by Harvey earlier in the year. Strasburg has pitched extremely well but has suffered from poor run production and poor defense behind him. He took the loss on April 13th against these same Braves despite not allowing an earned run. Strasburg is 13-4 as an away pitcher over the last three years. Some mild concern that some of the Atlanta bats have actually hit him pretty well but I really like this spot. For more, follow @Game_Analysts or at https://www.gameanalysts.com |
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April 26th Baseball Got a push in the Tampa/ChiSox game Thursday, but we move on to the start of the weekend with a large card headlined by ... YOUR Cleveland Indians (+145). The Tribe send Scott Kazmir to the hill on the road against the KC Royals and Ervin Santana from Kauffman Stadium at 8:10pm EDT. Cleveland has won 3 of its last 4 games, heading into this 4-game series while Kansas City kicks off a 9-game homestand after splitting each of its last 3 series. Kazmir has just one start this year after beginning the campaign on the DL, allowing 6 runs on 8 hits and issuing 3 walks in 3 2/3 innings to the Houston Astros in a 19-6 Cleveland win. This will mark just his 3rd start since the end of the 2010 season. Santana is 2-1 with a 2.48 era in 4 starts this year, waling just 5 and striking out 26 in 29 innings of work. He picked up a win Sunday at Fenway Park, limiting the Red Sox to 2 runs on 6 hits and struck out 7 over 7 innings. For all the latest, follow @Game_Analysts and at https://www.gameanalysts.com
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We are up 9.93 units this week and have just 1 play for today. [B]Tampa Bay/Chicago White Sox under 7 (-115)[/B] 8:10pm EDT first pitch from US Cellular Field in Chicago Hellickson takes the hill for the Rays, coming off a 1-0 shutout of Oakland last Saturday and is 1-1 with a 3.55 era on the season. Sale gets the ball for the Pale Hose and is looking to rebound after back-to-back losses ... 3-1 to Toronto where he went 7 innings and 9-4 to Cleveland where he lasted just into the 5th. For more on this one, [B]@Game_analysts[/B] or https://www.gameanalysts.com
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April 17th Baseball 31-39-3, -9.80 units I am sort of stuck between a rock and a hard place in regards to the Angels. My rating for the team and their performance have not matched and it has caused large losses. The problem is that their underperformance keeps getting the market lines where they are undervalued and I have to back that. Baseball is a game where you don’t really want to back the slumping team but again the bats aren’t really slumping. Just a strange scenario. WEDNESDAY'S PLAY 921 Angels -119 For all the latest analysis, @Game_Analysts or https://www.gameanalysts.com
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Kansas city — Guthrie has pitched well his first two starts. He gace up a few ding dongs in his last start but his team ha a big lead and it was his responsibility to throw strikes over the heart of the plate in that situation. I have to mention the homer concern because Atlanta has 20 already this year. Guthrie’s ERA was 1.26 points better on the road than in kauffman last year. Medlen has had two good starts for the braves but those were against the anemic offenses of the Marlins and Phillies. Obviously Medlen has been good and consistently good and all the braves do is win every time he starts but I will take a shot here on the less meaningful game for a hiccup at a price.
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April 16th Baseball ... Thoughts are with Boston 26-34-3, -8.96 units 977 ... Kansas City, +165 Not a good run so far. No fear we don’t end up ok in baseball, but it is demoralizing. What happened at the Boston Marathon puts my silly worries in perspective however. Houston is right on the edge where it sits now but have to pass. We have a big card as it is anyway. For the latest analysis, @Game_Analysts or https://www.gameanalysts.com
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24-29-3, -5.63 units 4-15-03 Plays ... 914, Toronto -127 The offense has been very inconsistent to start. I am not a huge fan of the 34 year old version of Buehrle in general but he should be motivated up against his old mates. While I am sure the White Sox know Buehrle well as an organization, only Alex Rios on that roster has seen a pitch from the man. ChiSox have just 25 AB against left handed pitching this deep into the year and have scored just 2 runs in those AB. It could be an adjustment for them having seen just Gio Gonzalez as a left-handed starter. They struck out 7 times and had 4 hits in those five innings against a lefty starter. Melky, Izturis, and Lind have all seen Floyd well in the past. More motivated team and a motivated starter. I will try it. For all the latest plays and insight, follow us @Game_Analysts or on the web at https://www.gameanalysts.com]
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April 9th Baseball Plays 12-13 ... -2.17 units 904 ... Phillies, -1.5 Runline, +125 1904 ... Phillies, 1st 5, -1/2, -130 Backing Cliff Lee and those guys from the City of Brotherly Love in their tilt against the Mets (D. Gee). Follow us on Twitter @Game_analysts for all of today's plays and on the web at https://www.gameanalysts.com
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April 6th Baseball Plays ... 9-9 ... -0.57 units 978 ... Houston +124 I am going back to the Astros, who we won with in the season opener. Bartolo is now 39 years old, a complete known, and coming off a suspension for performance enhancing drugs. Colon is a flyball pitcher, which should not play well in MinuteMaid against a flyball out team. The Astros haven’t seen much of him but Colon isn’t going to fool people anymore. Bedard’s stuff looked good against Texas, where he gave up just one hit in 3.1 innings pitched. Oakland hit just .236 off lefties last year and shockingly the A's have seen extremely little of Bedard who is 34 himself, but the young pup in this one. Astros could really use a win in one of the next two games as they will be making their first West Coast divisional road trip following this series. A loss today and then on Sunday (which would not just be 1-5 but 1-5 in the division) could make the wheels fall off. I like them to at least split the next two and this is the better match up. Follow us on Twitter @Game_analysts and on the web at https://www.gameanalysts.com
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April 5th Baseball Plays 6-8 ... -2.96 units Yesterday’s Games — Kansas City managed to pull out a win with a 3 run inning in what was almost their only true threatening inning of the entire game. Both pitchers got the job done in their starts. White Sox out-hit and out-threatened the Royals and we were fortunate to win the investment. Angels out-hit, out-threatened and just generally outplayed the reds yesterday but failed over and over again to get the key hit to win the game and ended up losing by a run. The Reds hit several home runs and though I did not make blurbs yesterday,,, that was a major concern with his flyball nature in that tiny little sandbox. I feel ok about the Salami bets .. Away teams played basically even in hits/runners and we just got the short end of efficiency ( namely a huge hr discrepency ). The hits for the away teams should have equated to a lot more runs. I feel pretty locked in. Friday's Play ... Royals +107 Follow us on Twitter @Game_analysts and on the web at https://www.gameanalysts.com
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April 4th Baseball ... 5-5-0 ... -0.95 units Yesterday’s Games — Yankees - Kuroda was already in trouble and when he was taken from the game after a line drive that went off him, and it was destined to get worse. Clay pitched better than expected/normal vs. the Yankees and Boston controlled the game from beginning to end. Jays – The worry was a rare sighting of the “good” Jimenez and that was what happened. Jays couldn’t generate offense and they wasted a good outing from Morrow. Game went to extras where we are now 0-2. Padres – This was just a beatdown ... Harvey went 7 innings of 1-hit baseball and Richard got rocked basically from the opening bell. Oakland – Managed to get the job done after falling behind two quick runs. Today's Games - Well, we are going to have action on all of them! Using the Grand Salami Over 89 for the 11 scheduled games today. Let's get some runs!! Follow along on Twitter @Game_analysts to get all the latest released plays and visit us at https://www.gameanalysts.com
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4-2 on the season for +1.9 units 905 San Diego Padres +136 The Mets were 20th in the league in BA against lefties last season and Clayton Richard seemed to be getting better as spring progressed, though he was so bad early spring there was nowhere to go but up. Citi Field has similarities to Petco and Richard was 8-5 with a 3.02 earned run average on a horrible baseball team. He had one start in Citi last year where he gave up 4 runs in 6 innings but that was from a pair of unlikely back to back homers for 4 runs in the first inning to two players who won’t be in the lineup Wednesday. He did settle down and pitch 5 scoreless after that and he is a ground-ball pitcher in my estimation. The combination of Mets batting vs. lefties, his groundball style and the park being similar to his home park where he pitches well seems like a good equation and if the Mets are able to string hits on the ground through the holes to generate runs, then so be it. Harvey pitched decently for the Mets last year but the Padres batters hit him exceptionally well and Harvey is one of those strikeout pitchers that throws a lot of pitches per inning. I would expect Richard to last longer in this one and an extra inning vs. the pen in this league is often the difference. On a neutral field, I would actually give the Padres the minus sign for this game but I did make the Mets a small favorite at home --- but this price is too good to not take a shot on the lowly Padres. There are 3 other baseball plays today, so follow us on Twitter @Game_Analysts and visit us on the web at https://www.gameanalysts.com
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907
Colorado Rockies +141
Chacin
is embracing the role of opening day pitcher and of course prefers to be away
from Coors but not coming off the greatest tail end of the Spring so there is
some concern there. Ramirez
is terrible Braun protection (assuming he is) … and price is inflated. Chacin
also a short innings pitcher btw ... so those of you with 2H betting options
might want to take a look at that over as a possibility. Going with the Rockies
and an over umpire would help the cause for the away team. Some quick thoughts on the
other games: ·
A
J Burnett is certainly a player that I look to fade as the year progresses. He
is older and has not just hinted at retirement but has all but declared this
will be his last year. The Pirates don’t rate to inspire him as the season
wears on … but there are quite a few reasons that I cannot go against here. The
season opener IS something he may care about and there are some other factors
on his side. He has been a great April Pitcher the last few years and his
day/night splits are pretty dramatic in favor of the day over that same span.
He has some decent numbers vs. some key Cubby bats as well. Certainly cannot
back him against a better pitcher with a minus sign so will wait for a better
situation/spot to go against. ·
As a handicapper, I usually create my line and then compare
it to market afterwards. After I made the Marlins at Washington line, I thought
to myself that there was no way that they could make the Nats a big enough
favorite. I was wrong. Any value in that game is with the Marlins but I have no
interest in backing them here. It is still baseball --- Nats ace could pitch a dandy and lose --- it
isn’t like Nolasco has never had a good outing. I hate the situation … excited
fanbase on opening day with the stud pitcher who they held from the playoffs
for the long term on the hill … tough for the fish. You will never see me lay
this kind of a number in a baseball game. |
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Well, while I am heavily invested in a poor season for the Astros, this seems like a good spot to back the club. Obviously the main point of emphasis is Bud Norris. I think he has a lot going for him in this start. Last year with the Stros, Norris was 4-1 with a 1.71 earned run average at home and held opposing batters to just a .199 average while striking out more than a batter per inning pitched. Follow us on Twitter @Game_Analysts and get all of tonight's Opening Day plays at https://www.gameanalysts.com/baseball/opening-day-mlb
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created a topic
A Winner in Each Bowl Thus Far ... Poinsettia Bowl Analysis, Dec. 20
in Website Promotions San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl: BYU Cougars (8-4, Independent) vs. San Diego State Aztecs (9-3, 7-1 MWC) Location:
Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego California, 8pm EST on ESPN Coaching: Bronco Mendenhall vs. Rocky Long I happen to be a fan of both coaches. Mendenhall seems to care
about the bowl games as his team has won 4 of their last 5 bowl games including
the last three. Rocky Long has been a solid coach for many a year now and lost his
last bowl game a year ago in New Orleans against ULL. I really like Rocky Long
with time to prepare for an opposing offense. He has a brilliant defensive mind
when it comes to stopping the run. I am going to call the coaching a wash .. no
advantage either way. Incidentally, Bronco Mendenhall used to work for Rocky
Long so there is a connection there. Motivational Edges: Conference/Strength of
Schedule/Current Form San Diego
State played in the MWC in what I would consider a down season for the
conference. They did however go into Boise Idaho and win on the blue turf
against Boise State and that shows me something. The Aztecs played against 6
bowl teams and went 3-3 in those ball games with wins over the aforementioned
Boise State, Air Force and Nevada. Their three losses were to Washington, SJSU
and Fresno State. Of note is that the three losses were relatively early in the
year and the three wins were in their final 5 games. They have won their last 7
games of the year and are in great form. BYU is an independent but played a much tougher schedule in my
estimation than did SDSU. The Cougars played 6 bowl teams this year and went
2-4 in those games with wins over Georgia Tech and Utah State and losses to
Notre Dame, Boise State, Oregon State and SJSU. Of note is that they lost by
just a FG to Notre Dame in a game they could have won, by 1 to Boise State in a
game they could have won and just 6 to SJSU as well. BYU has really been
competitive in about every game they have played because of their outstanding
defense. I find their schedule a notch harder than that of SDSU. The Cougars
current form is not nearly as good as that of the Aztecs, however. They have
gone 3-3 in their last 6 games and the lone quality win was a destruction of
Georgia Tech where they completely shut down the option attack. I will give the slightest of edges to SDSU here based on current
form but with the knowledge that BYU is better battle tested.
For more on this game, and a detailed analysis of each of the
remaining 31 bowl games, become a subscriber today at https://www.gameanalysts.com/
and follow along on Twitter @Game_Analysts for up-to-date info, 2nd
Halves and much more. We’ve picked a winning play in each of the first 2 Bowl Games, and
our subscribers have made nearly 19 units since September 1. Thanks for making
GameAnalysts.com one of your stops for sports handicapping information and
Happy Holidays! |
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GameAnalysts.com is offering this special deal for the next few hours ... enroll as a new subscriber for the College Bowl Season and get a full, 100% refund if we don't win! There are 35 bowl games this year, starting with the GILDAN NEW MEXICO BOWL at 1pm EST/10am PST on Saturday, December 15, and we will have at least 1 play on each of the 35 games. Our recommendations have earned players over 19 units this fall already, including 8.5 units in college football, and we are so confident, that if we have a losing record in the bowl season, we will provide you with a full refund, no questions asked. Here's a message from VK on the College Bowl Season: "I intend to post thoughts on every single bowl game and the writeups for these games tend to show my handicapping style. I truly believe those who are not currently winning cappers could learn how to handicap college football by using the principles found in these writeups. I recommend using them not only to understand each play, but to understand how one comes to find quality investments in this particular sport. "If you do not wish to read long writeups or articles, each writeup will have a summary at the bottom and you can skip to that for the basic reasoning or you can just look at the selection itself and be on your merry way. I work really hard to try and provide you guys with winners. I cannot always make the time to write up the plays each week but I think you will really enjoy the bowl content this season. I will add plays as I cap the games out. I will also be advocating the purchase of half points in certain games this year. I advise you to take my advice on those half points or to find a better number. I will not be providing limitations. Use your own judgement. Again with weeks between some selections and gametime you may see movement either for the good or the bad. I will have writeups for every play at least a day prior to gameday and at times weeks prior. Check in daily. "Because of the time I spend handicapping during bowl season, I will be making an investment in every bowl game this season. Some of these edges will be smaller than normal. If you want to limit exposure you will likely be able to ascertain which ones I am really confident about by the accompanying writeup. Please reread that .. I will be recommending at least one play in every bowl game this season(obviously some will be small edges). In addition to that, I will be watching almost all bowl games with the exception of the Hawaii bowl ( Xmas eve ). Therefore I will be stalking halftimes on each." For one low monthly price, you'll get all our College Bowl Season Plays, plus have access to other areas of the site including the NBA, the NFL and College Basketball. We win, you win! We lose, you get a 100% refund! Simple as that, so sign up today at https://www.gameanalysts.com Follow along on Twitter @Game_Analysts If you're already a subscriber, simply renew your membership and qualify for the same promotion. Here's a sample of the analysis for BOWL GAME NUMBER 1 --- Gildan New Mexico Bowl: Arizona Wildcats (7-5, PAC12) vs Nevada Wolfpack (7-5, MWC) Location- Albuquerque, New Mexico The location of this bowl has several angles involved with it. Let’s start with the most obvious which is that it is geographically better for Arizona who also travels better than Nevada. I think it is fair to expect more Arizona fans in the seats in Albuquerque than Wolfpack fans in the stadium that holds about 39,000 folks if all tickets are sold. The second angle deals with the altitude the game will be played at compared to the altitude of where the teams normally play. This becomes even more important in a game that one would expect a lot of plays in. -Albuquerque: Approximately 5300 feet above sea level -Reno: Approximately 4500 feet above sea level -Tucson: Approximately 2400 feet above sea level The third angle deals with the fact that Nevada has already played there this year as UNM hosted them in a conference tilt on November 17th. This may give them some advantages in familiarity but it may also be a disadvantage as far as the team “reward” aspect of the game. It might be a small anti-motivational for them. Also, if you are a travelling fan of Nevada … do you really want to go to New Mexico again if you were just there a few weeks ago? The fourth angle deals with the fact that Chris Ault was embarrassed in the 2007 New Mexico Bowl where the Wolfpack was shut out 23-0 by the local team ( UNM Lobos ). There might be some incentive for the coaching staff in preparation for this game after that effort. These players were not involved in that game so I doubt it matters to them … but again .. It might for the Wolfpack. The fifth angle involves performances away from home. Arizona was 1-3 away from home with their lone win coming at Utah. They had two terrible losses to UCLA and Oregon where they were blown out by 56 and 49 respectively (though the Oregon game was closer in reality than the final score). Their defeat at Stanford was by 6 points. Also of note, the defense gave up 49, 66, 54 and 24 in their four road games. Nevada was 5-1 away from home with the big quality win being against a PAC12 opponent in California. They also struggled defensively on the road in their contests 24 to cal, 24 to abysmal Hawaii, 21 to texas state, 37 to unlv, 48 to air force, and 24 to new mexico. I think when the dust clears you can see an advantage for Arizona in regards to the venue. Altitude would be the one area of true advantage for the Wolfpack but seems minimal. Coaching: Rich Rodriguez vs Chris Ault I have to give a small edge to Rodriguez here for several reasons. The first reason is that the game itself probably means more to Rodriguez and his program at this point. This is year 1 and RichRod probably wants to notch a bowl win to show marked improvement in the program. I am not a big fan of Ault on game day…. I think you have to give him credit for his innovative offense that several teams are copying some now and you have to give him credit for the wins he has accumulated over the course of his career. But at the end of the day, I prefer Rodriguez to Ault. Neither guy really has recent bowl history to smile about. Edge Arizona. Again, for one low monthly price, you'll get all our College Bowl Season Plays, plus have access to other areas of the site including the NBA, the NFL and College Basketball. But you must get in today before kickoff of the NEW MEXICO BOWL (1pm EST/10am PST)!! We win, you win! We lose, you get a 100% refund! Sign up now at https://www.gameanalysts.com and follow along on Twitter @Game_Analysts
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Famous Idaho Potato Bowl: Utah State Aggies (10-2, 6-0 WAC) vs. Toledo Rockets (9-3, 6-2 MAC) Location: Bronco Stadium in Boise, Idaho. Bronco Stadium is located 2,700 feet above sea level and is famous for its blue turf. The Aggies play in Logan, Utah at 4,500 feet above sea level and the Rockets play in Toledo at 614 feet above sea level. Both teams are used to cold environments from Utah and Ohio, respectively. Logan is a little less than 300 miles (5 hour drive or so) from Boise Idaho and Toledo is obviously a long plane ride. Utah State has some experience playing on the blue turf of that stadium having played against Boise State there in 2010 and again against Ohio in last year’s Famous Idaho Bowl. As you can see there are some factors favoring Utah State with regards to the venue. They are close and their fans can travel easily… it is not a resort destination for the Toledo fans to get excited to travel to .. it has a unique playing surface that they have played on before and of course there is a big edge with the elevation difference. Coaching: Gary Andersen vs. Matt Campbell I think you have to admire what Gary Andersen has done with the Utah State program, leading them to its second consecutive bowl appearance after not having seen a bowl game since 1997. Matt Campbell coached Toledo to a victory in the Military Bowl after Tim Beckman left for the Illinois job last year on a failed two pt conversion try by the Falcons at the end of the game. Campbell is in his first year as HC of the Rockets and the bowl game probably does mean something to him. I have to give Andersen the advantage here because he has done so well but do so with the Caveat that I don’t have a strong opinion of Matt Campbell either positively or negatively. Motivational Edges: Utah State has some strong motivation here. They haven’t won a bowl game since 1993 and these players failed to end that streak last year in a close loss to Ohio in the same bowl game. One could argue that this motivation didn’t help them last year. In addition to that, the team feels they just missed making a BCS bowl game this year. The rule that allowed NIU into a BCS bowl was in play for Utah State with one less loss. They finished 22nd in the BCS standings. The Aggies have a lot of returning starters for next year and they believe a bowl win will help them to possibly make the preseason polls next year which would give them an inside track to such an occurrence again. In addition to those motivational factors, the school and community has really bonded together after Utah State Guard/Forward Danny Berger survived a brush with death and cardiac arrest earlier this month. I am not a huge believer in cross-sport motivation but this is a story that really had legs in Logan. Toledo has minimal motivation in my opinion. I think anytime you have a first year coach playing in a bowl game that there is motivation to win it and put your stamp onto the program but how can Toledo get excited for this game? The opponent is Utah State, the fan base will not travel to the game and the “reward” most Ohio school’s look for in their bowl game is to either get a big bowl game/opponent or to get the heck out of the cold and into a more fun and more warm environment. I don’t see how they could be excited for this game. I think there are rather large motivational edges for Utah State here. For the complete write-up and analysis of this game, sign up for our Bowl Season Money-Back Guarantee in the next 2 days!! https://www.gameanalysts.com GameAnalysts.com is offering this special deal for the next 2 days ... enroll as a new subscriber for the College Bowl Season and get a full, 100% refund if we don't win! There are 35 bowl games this year, starting with the GILDAN NEW MEXICO BOWL at 1pm EST on Saturday, December 15, and we will have at least 1 play on each of the 35 games. Our recommendations have earned players over 19 units this fall already, including 8.5 units in college football, and we are so confident, that if we have a losing record in the bowl season, we will provide you with a full refund, no questions asked. Here's a message from VK on the College Bowl Season: "I intend to post thoughts on every single bowl game and the writeups for these games tend to show my handicapping style. I truly believe those who are not currently winning cappers could learn how to handicap college football by using the principles found in these writeups. I recommend using them not only to understand each play, but to understand how one comes to find quality investments in this particular sport. "If you do not wish to read long writeups or articles, each writeup will have a summary at the bottom and you can skip to that for the basic reasoning or you can just look at the selection itself and be on your merry way. I work really hard to try and provide you guys with winners. I cannot always make the time to write up the plays each week but I think you will really enjoy the bowl content this season. I will add plays as I cap the games out. I will also be advocating the purchase of half points in certain games this year. I advise you to take my advice on those half points or to find a better number. I will not be providing limitations. Use your own judgement. Again with weeks between some selections and gametime you may see movement either for the good or the bad. I will have writeups for every play at least a day prior to gameday and at times weeks prior. Check in daily. "Because of the time I spend handicapping during bowl season, I will be making an investment in every bowl game this season. Some of these edges will be smaller than normal. If you want to limit exposure you will likely be able to ascertain which ones I am really confident about by the accompanying writeup. Please reread that .. I will be recommending at least one play in every bowl game this season(obviously some will be small edges). In addition to that, I will be watching almost all bowl games with the exception of the Hawaii bowl ( Christmas eve ). Therefore I will be stalking halftimes on each." For one low monthly price, you'll get all our College Bowl Season Plays, plus have access to other areas of the site including the NBA, the NFL and College Basketball. We win, you win! We lose, you get a 100% refund! Simple as that, so sign up today at https://www.gameanalysts.com Follow along on Twitter @Game_Analysts If you're already a subscriber, simply renew your membership and qualify for the same promotion.
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San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl BYU Cougars ( 8-4, Independent ) vs San Diego State Aztecs (9-3, 7-1 MWC ) Location: Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego California Obviously, there is a very large edge for SDSU with the game being played in their home city. However, it should be noted that BYU travels very well for its bowl games. The game is at sea level so there is no elevation advantages. The location is more of a reward for BYU than SDSU. Large Edge here for SDSU but maybe not quite as large as some think ... but big. Coaching: Bronco Mendenhall vs Rocky Long I happen to be a fan of both coaches. Mendenhall seems to care about the bowl games as his team has won 4 of its last 5, including the last three. Rocky Long has been a solid coach for many a year now and lost his last bowl game a year ago in New Orleans against ULL. I really like Rocky Long with time to prepare for an opposing offense. He has a brilliant defensive mind when it comes to stopping the run. I am going to call the coaching a wash ... no advantage either way. Incidentally, Bronco Mendenhall used to work for Rocky Long so there is a connection there. Motivational Edges *SDSU won a share of the MWC title game this year. A Poinsettia Bowl win would culminate the season, give them a 10-win season and perhaps go down in history as the best Aztec team of all-time. The Aztecs have only gone to 7 bowl games in their history and are 2-5 in those games, one of which was the Poinsettia Bowl in 2010. This team could be highly motivated for that. *We already touched on the coaching history between Rocky Long and Bronco Mendenhall. I have little clue as to which staff would be motivated more by this. *There is some program motivational angles as well regarding leaving the MWC but it is again too hard to read the situation to think it will either have an effect on the game or if it does to what degree. I would think little. *I really see little motivation for the BYU side other than the Defense perhaps meeting a goal of finishing in the top ten of total defense. *I have to give the motivational advantages to SDSU in this game. Conference/Strength of Schedule/Current Form San Diego State played in the MWC in what I would consider a down season for the conference. They did however go into Boise, Idaho and win on the blue turf against Boise State and that shows me something. The Aztecs played against 6 bowl teams and went 3-3 in those ball games with wins over the aforementioned Boise State, Air Force and Nevada. Their three losses were to Washington, SJSU and Fresno State. Of note is that the three losses were relatively early in the year and the three wins were in their final 5 games. They have won their last 7 games and are in great form. BYU is an independent but played a much tougher schedule in my estimation than did SDSU. The Cougars played 6 bowl teams this year and went 2-4 in those games with wins over Georgia Tech and Utah State and losses to Notre Dame, Boise State, Oregon State and SJSU. Of note is that they lost by just a FG to Notre Dame in a game they could have won, by 1 to Boise State in a game they could have won and just 6 to SJSU as well. BYU has really been competitive in about every game they have played because of their outstanding defense. I find their schedule a notch harder than that of SDSU. The Cougars current form is not nearly as good as that of the Aztecs, however. They have gone 3-3 in their last 6 games and the lone quality win was a destruction of Georgia Tech where they completely shut down the option attack. I will give the slightest of edges to SDSU here based on current form but with the knowledge that BYU is better battle tested. For the complete write-up and analysis of this game, sign up for our Bowl Season Money-Back Guarantee in the next 3 days!! https://www.gameanalysts.com GameAnalysts.com is offering this special deal for the next 3 days ... enroll as a new subscriber for the College Bowl Season and get a full, 100% refund if we don't win! There are 35 bowl games this year, starting with the GILDAN NEW MEXICO BOWL at 1pm EST on Saturday, December 15, and we will have at least 1 play on each of the 35 games. Our recommendations have earned players over 19 units this fall already, including 8.5 units in college football, and we are so confident, that if we have a losing record in the bowl season, we will provide you with a full refund, no questions asked. For one low monthly price, you'll get all our College Bowl Season Plays, plus have access to other areas of the site including the NBA, the NFL and College Basketball. We win, you win! We lose, you get a 100% refund! Simple as that, so sign up today at https://www.gameanalysts.com Follow along on Twitter @Game_Analysts If you're already a subscriber, simply renew your membership and qualify for the same promotion.
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