Profile | Entries | Thread Author | Posts | Activity |
---|---|---|---|---|
replied to
NEW MEXICO @ COLORADO STATE: LOBOS I have waited all year to fade you after your loss to Rutgers....
in College Football
Love the play
|
scalabrine | 74 |
|
|
Results:
2-1. STD: 17-8 I'll post week 11 later in the week.
|
EagleDinner | 4 |
|
|
Georgia State's QB was listed as questionable for the game, several other Georgia State players banged up as well (including the backup QB).
|
Win4Ever | 4 |
|
|
Paragraphs are your friend...
That being said, it's all moot unless we somehow beat Alabama in Tuscaloosa, and I don't think that's happening until I start seeing Sean White hit some of those deep throws he's been missing all year. The only way a team has a shot against Bama is either: 1. With a DTQB 2. With a QB and WRs that can stretch the field vertically. So far we don't have either, and I don't think Bama will see a team like that until the playoffs.
|
warcameagle56 | 42 |
|
|
Arkansas State -4
Not to be confused with the above squad. Have some intel that Manning is unlikely to start here for Georgia State. Georgia State's offense is limping with backup Winchester and word is that he's a little banged up too. So where does a team that's already having struggles on offense with an injured backup QB go from here? Meanwhile, Arkansas State is hitting their stride, finally playing up to what their preseason expectations were the past few weeks. (51-10 vs. ULM last week) Feel like these are two teams trending in different directions and like playing Arkansas State in a situation with so much uncertainty on the other side from an injury standpoint.
|
EagleDinner | 4 |
|
|
STD: 15-7
Sorry for taking such a long break, last week I posted was week 5, had some things to take care of in the real world, but I'm back with picks and ready to roll! Northwestern +7 I feel like this is the Rodney Dangerfield of the CFB season so far. No matter how close they play good teams the line keeps coming up short. I mostly think it all started in week 2 when they lost to FCS Illinois State, but take that out of the equation as an outlier and what do you have? Loss by: 4 points to Ohio State 1 point to Western Michigan Wins by 7 @ Iowa by 14 @ Michigan State by 10 vs. Indiana Now, they're catching Wisconsin @home, when Wisconsin is off of--- Michigan State, Michigan, Ohio State, Iowa, and Nebraska (OT). Also of note is a rather long injury list for Wisconsin. I don't think Wisconsin is going to have much energy left on the road in this one and I like Northwestern as a pretty safe option in my book to cover a TD at home. Arkansas +4 Everyone's last memory of Arkansas is a 56-3 drubbing at the hands of Auburn, but that loss was in a very bad spot for Arkansas as they were clearly a team out of gas on many weeks without a bye week against tough competition. This week you get them off a bye against Florida at home. Keep in mind this same team scored 30 on Alabama and actually nearly matched Alabama in total yardage in the game, but Alabama's non-offensive touchdown scoring wizardry continued in the 49-30 loss. Florida meanwhile is directly off their WLOCP win. Yet again we were treated to a defensive slugfest of a game as it seems the Gators still have no semblance of an offense to go with that outstanding defense of theirs. We feel like we are catching value with Arkansas here off of their loss to Auburn, and the bye week, with perhaps a potential letdown spot after such a tough physical rivalry game with UGA for Florida, and we think the Hogs have a good shot at pulling an upset here but an even better one of covering the line as they will be highly motivated to get the taste of their last bad loss out of their minds. I may have more later if some lines move a particular way that I want them to, but for now, that's all! BOL |
EagleDinner | 4 |
|
|
Ville has been over-bet all season, like the play, just worried about BC's defensive quickness/talent level and if they can keep up with UL's horses in this one. If BC can run like you say then I like them to cover but if UL's D is shutting them down, I'd be worried, BOL.
|
clubtnt | 6 |
|
|
I'd be wary of it. LSU is playing -extremely- well since Orgeron took over. Pretty much blew out Ole Miss who Bama probably should have lost to earlier in the year, USM & Missouri might as well not have even taken the field. They're a very talented team.
Bama has a lot going for them too (off bye, never a good thing to bet against Saban in that spot), but it's 7.5 points on the road, in Death Valley, at night, against a team that has always been extremely talented and only limited by the boneheadedness of their former coach. Wouldn't touch it, JMO.
|
Tappy | 35 |
|
|
I'm not sure why either, my power ratings had this game as Wyoming -8.
The only thing I can think of is letdown spot, and people are viewing some of Utah State's wins and losses as better than they appeared at the time. Examples: Beat Ark State by 14 at home with Ark State's new QB Hansen, Ark State has beaten Georgia Southern by 1, South Alabama by 10, and ULM by 41 since. Lost to Boise @ Boise 21-10 but total yards in that game-Boise only outgained Ute State by 26 yards. but then you have things like Colorado State beating Utah State by 7 and losing by 21 points to Wyoming the week prior. JMO, but some sharps are reading too much into this one. Wyoming has to be the only play here. |
scalabrine | 66 |
|
|
Looking at Duke +35.5...thoughts bookie?
|
bookieassassin | 54 |
|
|
Quote Originally Posted by EagleDinner: Bad week last week going 0-2, including backing Bowling Green which has to be one of the worst spread beats of the season, but we wipe our noses and move on to this week! Virginia +4. Have liked Virginia all year really ever since they lost to FCS Richmond in Week 1, they've been an ATS machine as people have consistently undervalued them while Bronco Meandenhall has slowly turned them into a decent squad. Duke is coming off of the biggest win in their school history, in what is a clear letdown spot here against an undervalued team. Kansas State +3.5. Bill Snyder, what can you say, looked decent against Stanford week 1, WVU meanwhile struggling at times, KSU won this game outright last year. We look at these coaches as really polar opposites. Bill is not going to do anything flashy but his players are going to play within the lines, not do anything stupid to lose the game, etc. Dana loves the flash but let's discipline go by the wayside at times in games. It has shown as Bill Snyder is 4-0 SU against Dana Holgerson, and KSU is a solid road team, we'll take them here plus the points. Washington State +2.5. We more or less view Oregon and Washington State as similar teams. Both have the offense, both don't have the defense. Leach and Wazzu won on the road against Oregon last year, and Royce Freeman although he will play is probably playing hurt. This game is more or less a coin flip to me on a neutral site and Wazzu getting 2.5 points at home, we'll take it. 3-0. 15-7 So far, |
EagleDinner | 3 |
|
|
Nice card Train, full results gotta be off the charts.
|
TRAIN69 | 118 |
|
|
Bad week last week going 0-2, including backing Bowling Green which has to be one of the worst spread beats of the season, but we wipe our noses and move on to this week!
Virginia +4 Have liked Virginia all year really ever since they lost to FCS Richmond in Week 1, they've been an ATS machine as people have consistently undervalued them while Bronco Meandenhall has slowly turned them into a decent squad. Duke is coming off of the biggest win in their school history, in what is a clear letdown spot here against an undervalued team. Kansas State +3.5 Bill Snyder, what can you say, looked decent against Stanford week 1, WVU meanwhile struggling at times, KSU won this game outright last year. We look at these coaches as really polar opposites. Bill is not going to do anything flashy but his players are going to play within the lines, not do anything stupid to lose the game, etc. Dana loves the flash but let's discipline go by the wayside at times in games. It has shown as Bill Snyder is 4-0 SU against Dana Holgerson, and KSU is a solid road team, we'll take them here plus the points. Washington State +2.5 We more or less view Oregon and Washington State as similar teams. Both have the offense, both don't have the defense. Leach and Wazzu won on the road against Oregon last year, and Royce Freeman although he will play is probably playing hurt. This game is more or less a coin flip to me on a neutral site and Wazzu getting 2.5 points at home, we'll take it. |
EagleDinner | 3 |
|
|
Vols
Heard from someone with a source inside the UGA program that a division has developed among the players "Richt's boys vs. Smart's boys." UGA may turn out to be a fade team and UT is certainly in it to win it.
|
bookieassassin | 95 |
|
|
If you're in the U.S. 5dimes and Bovada best choices, wouldn't trust many of the other books with actually paying out.
5dimes gives the better lines and earlier in the week, but payouts can be a bit more difficult (not that they don't pay but that it may involve a trip to the Western Union with a cut from the payout). Bovada doesn't give good lines and it's generally later in the week, but you get one free payout on the month, no issues. Pick your poison really so far as U.S. players go imo.
|
jjmcfilthy | 13 |
|
|
Number is up to 17.5 now . I should have waited, or it could be i'm just really on the wrong side here, but I'm a rookie what can you do .
Adding.... Marshall +28.5 Kinda figured it would get there eventually, and indeed it has. Louisville has quite frankly looked out of this world. Marshall should have beaten Akron last week but out of this world turnovers/punt return that all led to touchdowns (3) led to a lopsided loss. Louisville is in an ultimate sandwich spot here. They just came off the biggest win of their lives. They have Clemson in a week. Bobby Petrino isn't going to want to put his guys in injury situations for much of this game, and will probably like to keep things a bit vanilla. I think Marshall will be able to score enough to cover whatever Louisville does here (ignore FSU last week, Syracuse could score just fine).
|
EagleDinner | 2 |
|
|
Quote Originally Posted by lordzud: every time I read Bookie Assassin I realize I have a lot to learn thanks again Seconded, best read on the board by far (no disrespect to others), he really helps not only in picking the games, but also with his knowledge making us better at it too. I've had a great start to the year and part of it was from reading his week 1 writeup/guide.
|
bookieassassin | 86 |
|
|
3-0 last week, look to keep the good vibes rolling this week.
Bowling Green +16.5 One trend that I'm really starting to love is catching underdogs in situations where either they gave up a lot of turnovers the last game and more or less matched their opponents in yards leading to a misleading final score, or fading a team that benefited from a large amount of turnovers. In this game, we have both! Memphis +6 TO last week against Kansas in a blowout win 43-7 (only an 80 TY difference), BG -2 TO against MTSU. May actually wish to wait on this one to see if it hits 17 as people seem to be on Memphis or buy the hook, but I think Bowling Green is solid this week. Maybe more later in the week. |
EagleDinner | 2 |
|
|
Quote Originally Posted by RichieRich97: You might consider UNLV. It's down to plus 11 but I still took it. I think they played UCLA tighter than the score indicated but main factor is Central Michigan has got to have a let down after that crazy win at Ok St. Believe it or not I thought about it but stayed away just because I didn't know enough about the teams, lucky for me I guess lol.
|
EagleDinner | 9 |
|
|
Michigan State +7.5 Colorado +21 Ohio +27.5 3-0, 12-5 STD, on to next week |
EagleDinner | 9 |
|
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it. As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.