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Funny hitter we were on completely different games tonight I was on the leafs and sabres
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hitterno24 | 18 |
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Yeah it's a tough one. I was burned earlier this year thinking it was a soft line at -1.5 against Portland. I was leaning sa at first then I flipped to chi now I'm not sure at all
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hitterno24 | 24 |
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I regret taking the warriors last night it was the wrong call.
I like the grizz, raps, cavs, 76ers |
hitterno24 | 24 |
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I took it at 145 when it got hit from 150. Nyi this morning was bet big at 160 and 150 this morning, at least that was my opinion. Was hoping for it steam up higher but it only reached back to 150
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hitterno24 | 49 |
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Mon moves another penny and the board lights up.... sure draws a lot of attention....
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hitterno24 | 49 |
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A little steam on wash then nyi just got hammered by sharp money I think
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hitterno24 | 49 |
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Agree with those gl hitter
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hitterno24 | 11 |
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I was expecting the caps to steam but haven't seen it yet
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hitterno24 | 49 |
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Nucks opened at -115 v phx. Seems a little light. If it drifts enough i would lean phx
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hitterno24 | 49 |
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Lines stink for both teams frequently IMO hitter. Tb closed at -102 last time at home.
Nucks closed at -160 against stars. I use only pinnacle lines for analysis as they have the sharpest money IMO shaping them |
hitterno24 | 49 |
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Montreal must get a lot of money on them.
This drift towards them is a story we see all the time. Look at Anaheim and Calgary yesterday. Except being with st Louis someone decided to pound them when the line hit -115 about 30-45 min before post. If they didn't want Montreal money they would do like they did with the rangers yesterday. Open strong, one adjustment in the morning up and then kept it firm all day to keep as much attention away from it as possible |
hitterno24 | 49 |
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is there that many people out there drinking the anaheim punch? -115 to -157? are you going to play the west in the all star game? east opened at -2.5, feels like they rolled out the red carpet with that one.... but what do i know |
hitterno24 | 18 |
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Good luck I'm on it as well at +147
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hitterno24 | 18 |
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Gl hitter and to everyone with their picks today
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hitterno24 | 42 |
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The opener gave colorado no respect whatsoever, clb now at +120 wonder how high it will go? I'd have to think clb is the right side at this price.
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hitterno24 | 42 |
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Yeah hitter I don't think line is fishy. Fading the line move in the 1 hr period before game time is probably the winner
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hitterno24 | 42 |
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I think this van letdown jersey angle is going to be popular today. It will be interesting to see where the line goes
I also lean mon clb and nyi, not sure about buf/bos yet |
hitterno24 | 42 |
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Another thing I've been thinking about quite a bit is what incentive does the oddsmaker have in screwing around with a line?
Would they rather manipulate a cc sabathia Yankees line or an Ian kennedy dbacks line? The one with 10x more betting handle I would think. I think I'm becoming less suspicious of the latter type lines for this reason. |
hitterno24 | 24 |
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Yeah I hear you. I just mentioned the public bet percentage as a general comment
My thinking was ind -10.5 at home against cha and then on a b2b in cha then line should be about -4. Because they won big you might increase it a bit but then there is the revenge factor. So my thinking was that because it was at -5.5 the oddsmaker wasn't buying into Charlotte I think that colorado is getting undervalued at home consistently. I think they won 5 or 6 straight as dogs at home earlier this year. I think I'm coming to the opinion that if no one really notices there is a edge the oddsmaker has no reason to change if the money doesn't say so. I think la gets more money than Colorado so the line opened that way? This of course is my speculation based on my observations. |
hitterno24 | 24 |
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Of course that being said anything can happen on any day due to variance. My opinion on Knicks line is that it is not that strong. I will prob play them.
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hitterno24 | 24 |
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