NFL Power Rankings: Week 12

By Matt Fargo - Covers Expert

Denver proved its place atop our power rankings with a win over Kansas City. Find out where your favorite team sits as we head into Week 12 of the NFL season.

NFL Power Rankings

Week 12 Rank Last Week Change Team W-L-T
(ATS)
Power Rating Team Comments
1 1 same 9-1-0
(6-3-1)
-8 Denver
The Broncos protection schemes kept Peyton Manning's uniform perfectly clean against the Chiefs elite defense: No sacks or QB hits whatsoever.
2 2 same 10-1-0
(7-4-0)
-7.5 Seattle
Percy Harvin had only two touches in his Seahawks debut, but he certainly had an impact, gaining 75 yards on one kick return and one reception.
3 3 same 8-2-0
(6-4-0)
-6 New Orleans
Drew Brees talking following the Saints "grind it out" three-point victory against San Fran: "These are the ones (wins) that just sharpen you, just build confidence."
4 4 same 7-3-0
(5-5-0)
-5.5 New England
At 7-3, the Patriots are tied with the Colts for the No. 2 seed in the AFC. They'd be 9-1 and tied with Denver for the No. 1 seed had two late-game controversial calls gone in their favor.
5 5 same 6-4-0
(7-3-0)
-5.5 San Francisco
Talk about an inconsistent offense. In San Francisco's six wins, the Niners scored 31-points each time. In their four losses, the Niners put up just 3, 7, 9 and 20 points - averaging less than 10 points per game.
6 7 up 1 7-3-0
(7-3-0)
-4.5 Carolina
The single-most important stat from Carolina's Monday night win was their plus-2 turnover margin. The Panthers ended the Patriots' 36 game streak of forcing at least one turnover in every game.
7 10 up 3 7-3-0
(6-4-0)
-3.5 Indianapolis
The Colts' come-from-behind win at Tennessee last week wasn't the least bit unusual. For the year, Indy has outscored its opponents 133-77 after halftime.
8 6 down 2 9-1-0
(6-4-0)
-3.5 Kansas City
Andy Reid is a shoo-in for Coach of the Year but he took a FG from fourth and goal from the 1-yard line and punted from Denver territory down by two TDs in the fourth quarter - both very iffy decisions.
9 8 down 1 7-4-0
(6-4-1)
-3 Cincinnati
You won't see this stat line very often.The Bengals had three first downs on offense in the first half against Cleveland, but scored 31 points thanks to defensive and special teams excellence.
10 9 down 1 6-4-0
(5-5-0)
-3 Detroit
Lions punter/kick holder Sam Martin fumbled away a key fake field goal try at Pittsburgh on Sunday. It's the second time he's had a carry this year, and the second time he's fumbled.
11 11 same 6-4-0
(2-7-1)
-2 Chicago
Despite sitting in a first-place tie in the NFC North, the Bears have been out-gained on a yards-per-play basis this year and have only two pointspread covers in their first 10 games.
12 12 same 5-5-0
(7-3-0)
-2 Dallas
The Cowboys plus-11 turnover margin ranks second best in the NFL. They finished plus-5 in turnover margin in their Week 1 win against the Giants, with the rematch on tap this Sunday.
13 15 up 2 6-4-0
(6-4-0)
-1 Arizona
The Cardinals have an under-the-radar edge for their matchup against the Colts. Coach Bruce Arians coached Indianapolis last year, with intimate knowledge of schemes and personnel.
14 13 down 1 6-5-0
(6-5-0)
-1 Philadelphia
Philadelphia snapped its 10 game home losing streak last week, but the Eagles are still looking for their first victory of 2013 against an opponent with a winning record.
15 16 up 1 4-6-0
(4-6-0)
0 N.Y. Giants
Before getting too excited about the Giants' four-game winning streak, it's worth noting that they've beaten these four QBs: Josh Freeman, Matt Barkley, Terrelle Pryor and Scott Tolzien.
16 14 down 2 4-6-0
(5-4-1)
1 San Diego
On a yards-per-play basis, the Chargers' defense ranks dead last in the NFL and their passing game is in decline. Philip Rivers has thrown one TD pass or less in four of his last five games.
17 20 up 3 4-6-0
(4-6-0)
2.5 Pittsburgh
Don't be fooled by that second-half shutdown against Detroit. Lions receivers were wide open downfield, but sloppy conditions and missed connections made Pittsburgh's defense look good.
18 18 same 4-6-0
(5-5-0)
3 Baltimore
Ray Rice enjoyed his best game of the season at Chicago last Sunday, but with the game on the line in the fourth quarter he got completely stuffed twice inside the Bears' five-yard line.
19 19 same 4-6-0
(5-5-0)
3.5 Cleveland
CB Joe Haden after the loss to Cincinnati: "At no point did we feel like they enforced their will on us. We were never sitting on the sidelines saying 'what's going on?' with our heads spinning."
20 24 up 4 5-5-0
(5-5-0)
3.5 Miami
The Dolphins' punting game was huge in their win Sunday. San Diego had eight drives of 35-plus yards, but only scored 16 points because of consistently poor field position.
21 17 down 4 5-5-0
(6-4-0)
3.5 N.Y. Jets
Jets fans have to love this stat. Through his first 10 NFL starts, Geno Smith has a lower QBR rating than Mark Sanchez did at the same stage of his career.
22 28 up 6 4-7-0
(6-5-0)
4 Buffalo
At Rich Stadium in Buffalo, the Bills are 5-1 ATS, playing competitive football. Of course, their next "home" game is in Toronto - they won't play at Rich again until December 22.
23 21 down 2 4-6-0
(5-4-1)
4 Tennessee
There's nothing more damaging for a coach on the hot seat, like Mike Munchak, than blowing a two-TD lead at home on national TV to a divisional rival.
24 22 down 2 3-7-0
(3-7-0)
4 Washington
Linebacker Brian Orakpo following the Redskins' latest defeat: "We're 3-7. I'll go to war with these guys. I don't care what our record is. We fight and everyone knows it."
25 26 up 1 5-5-0
(5-5-0)
4.5 Green Bay
It doesn't look as if Aaron Rodgers is going to play again this week. If he did, the current spread of Green Bay -4.5 would go up into the range of Green Bay -14. Maybe even higher.
26 27 up 1 4-6-0
(4-6-0)
4.5 St. Louis
Despite the emergence of rookie WR Tavon Austin and rookie RB Zac Stacy, don't expect a big stretch run for the Rams. Five of their last six games come against foes with winning records.
27 23 down 4 2-8-0
(2-8-0)
5 Houston
The Texans lost straight up at home as 10.5-point favorites to Oakland last week - 0-4 ATS as favorites. They're laying double digits again this week.
28 31 up 3 2-8-0
(4-6-0)
5 Tampa Bay
With cluster injuries at running back, Greg Schiano turned to recently-signed third stringer Bobby Rainey. The result: 30 carries, 163 yards and two rushing TDs.
29 25 down 4 2-8-0
(2-8-0)
5.5 Atlanta
Atlanta's defensive collapse has been every bit as dramatic as its offensive decline from last year. The Falcons have allowed 30-plus in five of their last seven games, all losses.
30 30 same 4-6-0
(6-3-1)
5.5 Oakland
The Raiders' shaky offensive line has now allowed 38 sacks this year - second worst in the NFL. Yet right now, the Raiders hold the No. 8 seed in the playoff race, very much in the AFC mix.
31 29 down 2 2-8-0
(4-6-0)
6 Minnesota
Last year, NFL MVP Adrian Peterson had 10 games 100-plus rushing yards - seven with 150-plus. This year, Peterson has eclipsed the century mark only three times and has yet to break 140.
32 32 same 1-9-0
(2-8-0)
9 Jacksonville
The Jaguars are one of only four teams (Houston, Atlanta and Chicago are the others) with only two pointspread covers through their first 10 games - a testament to their 2013 ineptitude.
Return to the Current Week's rankings

Power Ratings compute offensive and defensive statistics into one number for each team, while accounting for factors like recent performances and strength of schedule. Power Ratings can be used as a baseline for relative spread index to compare current or future match-ups between two teams. The relative spread does not account for non-statistical factors like home-field advantage, recent injuries, game time decisions, rivalries, publicity, and weather.