Philadelphia @ New England props

The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script. THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 52.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The Philadelphia Eagles have played in the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to mean lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier conditions this week. The New England Patriots pass defense has allowed the 4th-lowest Completion% in football (67.7%) to TEs since the start of last season (67.7%). The New England Patriots safeties profile as the 6th-best group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script. THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 52.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The Philadelphia Eagles have played in the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to mean lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier conditions this week. D'Andre Swift has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL among RBs, hauling in a measly 75.9% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 15th percentile. The New England Patriots pass defense has conceded the 7th-lowest Completion% in football (77.1%) versus running backs since the start of last season (77.1%).

The Patriots are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script. The Patriots have been the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 62.0% pass rate. THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. THE BLITZ projects Juju Smith-Schuster to total 7.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 88th percentile among WRs. Juju Smith-Schuster has been among the leading pass-catching WRs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 4.9 receptions per game while checking in at the 84th percentile.

The Patriots are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script. The Patriots have been the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 62.0% pass rate. THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to notch 5.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 98th percentile among RBs. Rhamondre Stevenson has been among the leading RB receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 4.0 receptions per game while checking in at the 97th percentile.

The Patriots are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script. The Patriots have been the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 62.0% pass rate. THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Hunter Henry has run a route on 73.8% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking in the 92nd percentile among TEs. THE BLITZ projects Hunter Henry to notch 4.6 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile among TEs.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 10th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 59.6 plays per game. Opposing QBs have averaged 36.9 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the league. THE BLITZ projects A.J. Brown to accrue 8.3 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among WRs. A.J. Brown has been among the top wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 5.2 receptions per game while grading out in the 90th percentile.

DeVonta Smith has gone over 4.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Quez Watkins has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Mike Gesicki has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Kendrick Bourne has gone over 3.5 in 5 of his last 8 games.