Portland 15th Western Conference21-61
Miami 8th Eastern Conference46-36

Portland @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Deandre Ayton Points Scored Props • Portland

D. Ayton
center C • Portland
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.6
Best Odds
Under
-110

Deandre Ayton has successfully made 0.0% of his treys on the road this year, placing him in the 6th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Trail Blazers have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league away from home this year. The faceoff with Bam Adebayo measures in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs putting up only 12.2 points per game this year. The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games. The Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the league this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Portland Trail Blazers.

Deandre Ayton

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.6
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.6

Deandre Ayton has successfully made 0.0% of his treys on the road this year, placing him in the 6th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Trail Blazers have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league away from home this year. The faceoff with Bam Adebayo measures in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs putting up only 12.2 points per game this year. The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games. The Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the league this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Portland Trail Blazers.

Scoot Henderson Points Scored Props • Portland

S. Henderson
point guard PG • Portland
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.9
Best Odds
Under
-115

Scoot Henderson has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (98th percentile). The Trail Blazers have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league away from home this year. The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games. The Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the league this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Portland Trail Blazers. Scoot Henderson will likely suffer a reduction in efficiency in all stat categories on account of playing away from home in this game.

Scoot Henderson

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.9
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.9

Scoot Henderson has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (98th percentile). The Trail Blazers have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league away from home this year. The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games. The Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the league this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Portland Trail Blazers. Scoot Henderson will likely suffer a reduction in efficiency in all stat categories on account of playing away from home in this game.

Rayan Rupert Points Scored Props • Portland

R. Rupert
shooting guard SG • Portland
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Rayan Rupert has sunk 51.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 8.7% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season when playing away from home. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 12.2 field goal attempts per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Heat, branding this as a positive matchup. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 12.9 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. Rayan Rupert has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 16.7% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season away from his home court. Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 6.0 foul shots per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Rayan Rupert

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.6
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.6

Rayan Rupert has sunk 51.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 8.7% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season when playing away from home. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 12.2 field goal attempts per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Heat, branding this as a positive matchup. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 12.9 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. Rayan Rupert has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 16.7% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season away from his home court. Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 6.0 foul shots per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
22
Best Odds
Over
-125

Jimmy Butler has notched 21.4 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 92nd percentile. Jimmy Butler has made 48.1% of his treys over the last 15 games at home, 11.7% more than he's made over the course of the season with the home court advantage. Out of all players in the league, Jimmy Butler lands in the 93rd percentile for playing time, logging a massive 34.0 minutes per game this year. In regard to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's superb 37.6% rate of made threes as the home team ranks 9th-strongest in the league this year. Jimmy Butler has attempted 7.9 foul shots per game this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22

Jimmy Butler has notched 21.4 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 92nd percentile. Jimmy Butler has made 48.1% of his treys over the last 15 games at home, 11.7% more than he's made over the course of the season with the home court advantage. Out of all players in the league, Jimmy Butler lands in the 93rd percentile for playing time, logging a massive 34.0 minutes per game this year. In regard to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's superb 37.6% rate of made threes as the home team ranks 9th-strongest in the league this year. Jimmy Butler has attempted 7.9 foul shots per game this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Over
-110

Terry Rozier has tallied 31.7 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. In regard to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's superb 37.6% rate of made threes as the home team ranks 9th-strongest in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Portland Trail Blazers may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 6.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-most in the league). Terry Rozier will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to raise player production for all stats.

Terry Rozier

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.3
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.3

Terry Rozier has tallied 31.7 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. In regard to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's superb 37.6% rate of made threes as the home team ranks 9th-strongest in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Portland Trail Blazers may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 6.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-most in the league). Terry Rozier will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to raise player production for all stats.

Nikola Jovic Points Scored Props • Miami

N. Jovic
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Under
-115

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 29.6% on threes (4th-weakest in the league) vs. the Trail Blazers, creating a difficult matchup. The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league this year. The Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Heat. Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 4thworst in in the league with only 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup against Portland may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Trail Blazers are on the road (2nd-least in the league).

Nikola Jovic

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.2

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 29.6% on threes (4th-weakest in the league) vs. the Trail Blazers, creating a difficult matchup. The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league this year. The Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Heat. Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 4thworst in in the league with only 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup against Portland may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Trail Blazers are on the road (2nd-least in the league).

Jabari Walker Points Scored Props • Portland

J. Walker
power forward PF • Portland
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
-112

Jabari Walker has successfully made 61.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 15.1% more than he's sunk overall this year. Jabari Walker has sunk 50.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 20.9% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have averaged 46.4% on three-pointers (highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, identifying this as a good matchup. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 12.9 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. In comparison to last year's 0.8 rate, Jabari Walker's number of foul shot attempts has spiked this year to 2.2 foul shot attempts per game.

Jabari Walker

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.1

Jabari Walker has successfully made 61.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 15.1% more than he's sunk overall this year. Jabari Walker has sunk 50.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 20.9% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have averaged 46.4% on three-pointers (highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, identifying this as a good matchup. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 12.9 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. In comparison to last year's 0.8 rate, Jabari Walker's number of foul shot attempts has spiked this year to 2.2 foul shot attempts per game.

Kris Murray Points Scored Props • Portland

K. Murray
power forward PF • Portland
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-115

Kris Murray has attempted 10.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Kris Murray has attempted 5.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Kris Murray has averaged 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.9 more than he's averaged overall this season. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 6.3 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Heat, resulting in a strong matchup. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 12.9 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Kris Murray

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

Kris Murray has attempted 10.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Kris Murray has attempted 5.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Kris Murray has averaged 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.9 more than he's averaged overall this season. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 6.3 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Heat, resulting in a strong matchup. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 12.9 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez Jr.
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

In regard to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's superb 37.6% rate of made threes as the home team ranks 9th-strongest in the league this year. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 1.9 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 77th percentile among all players in the league. Jaime Jaquez Jr. stands to see an increase in output for all stats as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

In regard to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's superb 37.6% rate of made threes as the home team ranks 9th-strongest in the league this year. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 1.9 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 77th percentile among all players in the league. Jaime Jaquez Jr. stands to see an increase in output for all stats as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.8
Best Odds
Over
+100

Bam Adebayo has made 63.5% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 11.2% more than he's sunk in all games this season. Bam Adebayo has sunk 53.7% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 23.0% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo ranks in the 90th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 33.7 minutes per game at home this year. In regard to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's superb 37.6% rate of made threes as the home team ranks 9th-strongest in the league this year. While on the visiting team and squaring off against other starting Cs, Deandre Ayton slots into the 97th percentile with a monstrous 2.4 threes attempted against him per game this year.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.8
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.8

Bam Adebayo has made 63.5% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 11.2% more than he's sunk in all games this season. Bam Adebayo has sunk 53.7% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 23.0% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo ranks in the 90th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 33.7 minutes per game at home this year. In regard to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's superb 37.6% rate of made threes as the home team ranks 9th-strongest in the league this year. While on the visiting team and squaring off against other starting Cs, Deandre Ayton slots into the 97th percentile with a monstrous 2.4 threes attempted against him per game this year.

Dalano Banton Points Scored Props • Portland

D. Banton
small forward SF • Portland
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds
Over
-122

Dalano Banton has attempted 18.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 10.7 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Dalano Banton has attempted 7.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Dalano Banton has tallied 36.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 24.3 more than he's tallied overall this season on the road. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 12.9 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Dalano Banton

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.8
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.8

Dalano Banton has attempted 18.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 10.7 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Dalano Banton has attempted 7.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Dalano Banton has tallied 36.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 24.3 more than he's tallied overall this season on the road. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 12.9 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Patty Mills Points Scored Props • Miami

P. Mills
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.5
Best Odds
Over
-130

Patty Mills has averaged 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the lowest-fouling players in the league (21st percentile). In regard to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's superb 37.6% rate of made threes as the home team ranks 9th-strongest in the league this year. The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a positive one for shots from the field; the other team's starting SGs have posted the highest Field Goal% in the league this year (51.5%). Patty Mills has made a whopping 100.0% of his foul shot attempts this season, significantly higher than his 87.0 mark last season. The matchup vs. the Portland Trail Blazers may be a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (8th-most in the NBA).

Patty Mills

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.5
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.5

Patty Mills has averaged 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the lowest-fouling players in the league (21st percentile). In regard to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's superb 37.6% rate of made threes as the home team ranks 9th-strongest in the league this year. The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a positive one for shots from the field; the other team's starting SGs have posted the highest Field Goal% in the league this year (51.5%). Patty Mills has made a whopping 100.0% of his foul shot attempts this season, significantly higher than his 87.0 mark last season. The matchup vs. the Portland Trail Blazers may be a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (8th-most in the NBA).

Caleb Martin Points Scored Props • Miami

C. Martin
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.96
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+104
Under
-112

Caleb Martin has gone over 10.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Matisse Thybulle Points Scored Props • Portland

M. Thybulle
shooting guard SG • Portland
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.45
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-115
Under
-115
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
5.45
Best Odds
Over
-115
Under
-115

Matisse Thybulle has gone over 5.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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