Boston 1st Eastern Conference64-18
Atlanta 10th Eastern Conference36-46
NBCS - BA, BSN, NBALP

Boston @ Atlanta props

State Farm Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Vit Krejci Points Scored Props • Atlanta

V. Krejci
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-130

Vit Krejci has made 2.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. Vit Krejci has averaged 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.5 more than he's averaged overall this season. The matchup against Boston is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Celtics are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.7). The Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Vit Krejci has converted a whopping 75.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, quite a bit more than his 50.0 mark last year.

Vit Krejci

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

Vit Krejci has made 2.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. Vit Krejci has averaged 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.5 more than he's averaged overall this season. The matchup against Boston is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Celtics are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.7). The Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Vit Krejci has converted a whopping 75.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, quite a bit more than his 50.0 mark last year.

De'Andre Hunter Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Hunter
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.9
Best Odds
Over
-110

De'Andre Hunter has attempted 13.5 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted in all games this year. De'Andre Hunter has attempted 6.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted overall this year. The Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). De'Andre Hunter will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally boosts player performance in all stat categories.

De'Andre Hunter

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.9
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.9

De'Andre Hunter has attempted 13.5 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted in all games this year. De'Andre Hunter has attempted 6.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted overall this year. The Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). De'Andre Hunter will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally boosts player performance in all stat categories.

Payton Pritchard Points Scored Props • Boston

P. Pritchard
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Under
+106

The 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics are expected to see a decline in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-most lethargic pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Hawks). Payton Pritchard stands to suffer a drop-off in production in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this contest.

Payton Pritchard

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.2

The 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics are expected to see a decline in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-most lethargic pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Hawks). Payton Pritchard stands to suffer a drop-off in production in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this contest.

Kristaps Porzingis Points Scored Props • Boston

K. Porzingis
power forward PF • Boston
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.5
Best Odds
Over
+100

Kristaps Porzingis has attempted 16.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Kristaps Porzingis has attempted 6.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this year. Kristaps Porzingis has played 29.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 79th percentile. The Celtics rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kristaps Porzingis

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.5
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.5

Kristaps Porzingis has attempted 16.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Kristaps Porzingis has attempted 6.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this year. Kristaps Porzingis has played 29.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 79th percentile. The Celtics rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-115

Derrick White has attempted 15.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Derrick White has attempted 10.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 more than he's attempted overall this year. Among all players in the league, Derrick White slots into the 87th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 32.6 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Atlanta is a favorable one for field goal attempts; when the Atlanta Hawks are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 9th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (13.6). The Celtics rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Derrick White

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

Derrick White has attempted 15.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Derrick White has attempted 10.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 more than he's attempted overall this year. Among all players in the league, Derrick White slots into the 87th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 32.6 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Atlanta is a favorable one for field goal attempts; when the Atlanta Hawks are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 9th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (13.6). The Celtics rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.5
Best Odds
Over
-105

Jaylen Brown has successfully made 11.2 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 more than he's sunk in all games this year. Jaylen Brown has converted 2.9 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown ranks in the 90th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 33.4 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Atlanta Hawks are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (60.1%). The Celtics rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.5
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.5

Jaylen Brown has successfully made 11.2 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 more than he's sunk in all games this year. Jaylen Brown has converted 2.9 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown ranks in the 90th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 33.4 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Atlanta Hawks are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (60.1%). The Celtics rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Atlanta

B. Bogdanovic
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Over
-105

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 13.9 shots per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 11.1 rate last season. In contrast to last year's 6.6 mark, Bogdan Bogdanovic's shot attempts from beyond the arc have increased this year to 8.2 per game. Bogdan Bogdanovic has averaged 34.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 5.2 higher than he's averaged overall this season at home. The Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Bogdan Bogdanovic will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally increases player performance in all stat categories.

Bogdan Bogdanovic

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.3
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.3

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 13.9 shots per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 11.1 rate last season. In contrast to last year's 6.6 mark, Bogdan Bogdanovic's shot attempts from beyond the arc have increased this year to 8.2 per game. Bogdan Bogdanovic has averaged 34.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 5.2 higher than he's averaged overall this season at home. The Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Bogdan Bogdanovic will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally increases player performance in all stat categories.

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Holiday
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
+102

Jrue Holiday has sunk 58.8% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 13.2% higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season. Jrue Holiday has been on the court for 33.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 89th percentile. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 7.6 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, branding this as a good matchup. The Celtics rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Jrue Holiday has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 15.4% more than he's converted overall this year.

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Jrue Holiday has sunk 58.8% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 13.2% higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season. Jrue Holiday has been on the court for 33.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 89th percentile. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 7.6 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, branding this as a good matchup. The Celtics rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Jrue Holiday has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 15.4% more than he's converted overall this year.

Bruno Fernando Points Scored Props • Atlanta

B. Fernando
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Under
-114

Bruno Fernando has made 0.0% of his attempts from downtown on his home court this year, ranking him in the 7th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Bruno Fernando has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.7 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year at home. The Hawks have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games as the home team. The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games away from their home city, which should decrease possessions for the Atlanta Hawks.

Bruno Fernando

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.3

Bruno Fernando has made 0.0% of his attempts from downtown on his home court this year, ranking him in the 7th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Bruno Fernando has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.7 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year at home. The Hawks have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games as the home team. The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games away from their home city, which should decrease possessions for the Atlanta Hawks.

Clint Capela Points Scored Props • Atlanta

C. Capela
center C • Atlanta
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-120

Clint Capela has made 68.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 8.5% more than he's converted overall this season while playing at home. The matchup vs. Kristaps Porzingis is a positive one for field goals; when Porzingis is on the visiting team other starting Cs this year, they have sunk an enormous 6.7 field goals per game (90th percentile). The Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Clint Capela stands to get a boost in production in all facets of the game due to controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Clint Capela

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Clint Capela has made 68.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 8.5% more than he's converted overall this season while playing at home. The matchup vs. Kristaps Porzingis is a positive one for field goals; when Porzingis is on the visiting team other starting Cs this year, they have sunk an enormous 6.7 field goals per game (90th percentile). The Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Clint Capela stands to get a boost in production in all facets of the game due to controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Dejounte Murray Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Murray
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.8
Best Odds
Over
-106

Dejounte Murray has logged 27.7 points per game over the last 10 games, 5.3 higher than he's logged overall this year. Dejounte Murray has sunk 4.3 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Dejounte Murray registers in the 97th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 35.4 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a good one for threes; opposing starting PGs have tallied the most threes per game in the league this year (3.0). The Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Dejounte Murray

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.8
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.8

Dejounte Murray has logged 27.7 points per game over the last 10 games, 5.3 higher than he's logged overall this year. Dejounte Murray has sunk 4.3 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Dejounte Murray registers in the 97th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 35.4 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a good one for threes; opposing starting PGs have tallied the most threes per game in the league this year (3.0). The Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.5
Best Odds
Over
-104

Jayson Tatum has logged 27.3 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA in this category: 98th percentile. Jayson Tatum has shot and missed 5.2 3-point attempts per game this year, significantly lower than his 5.9 rate last year. Jayson Tatum has tallied 35.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 98th percentile. This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 54.1% on field goals (3rd-best in the NBA) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, marking this as a favorable matchup. The Celtics rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.5
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.5

Jayson Tatum has logged 27.3 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA in this category: 98th percentile. Jayson Tatum has shot and missed 5.2 3-point attempts per game this year, significantly lower than his 5.9 rate last year. Jayson Tatum has tallied 35.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 98th percentile. This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 54.1% on field goals (3rd-best in the NBA) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, marking this as a favorable matchup. The Celtics rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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