MASN, Sportsnet

Toronto @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Trey Lipscomb Total Hits Props • Washington

T. Lipscomb
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+1600
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+1600
Projection Rating

This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. LaVictor Lipscomb will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Trey Lipscomb

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. LaVictor Lipscomb will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+700
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+700
Projection Rating

This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Alek Manoah) in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage in today's game. Keibert Ruiz grades out in the 75th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (45.3% rate since the start of last season).

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Alek Manoah) in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage in today's game. Keibert Ruiz grades out in the 75th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (45.3% rate since the start of last season).

Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Meneses
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+450
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+450
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Joey Meneses has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Joey Meneses will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Joey Meneses has notched a .323 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 82nd percentile.

Joey Meneses

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Joey Meneses has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Joey Meneses will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Joey Meneses has notched a .323 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 82nd percentile.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+240
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Because of Alek Manoah's large platoon split, CJ Abrams will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Because of Alek Manoah's large platoon split, CJ Abrams will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Toronto

J. Turner
designated hitter DH • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+255
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+255
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Turner in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Justin Turner is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Justin Turner will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Justin Turner has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Justin Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Turner in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Justin Turner is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Justin Turner will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Justin Turner has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Bo Bichette Total Hits Props • Toronto

B. Bichette
shortstop SS • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 6th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average talent. Bo Bichette is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Bo Bichette will have an advantage in today's game. Bo Bichette has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Bo Bichette

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 6th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average talent. Bo Bichette is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Bo Bichette will have an advantage in today's game. Bo Bichette has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto

A. Kirk
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Alejandro Kirk will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore today. Alejandro Kirk has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Alejandro Kirk has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .246 figure is deflated compared to his .275 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Alejandro Kirk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Alejandro Kirk will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore today. Alejandro Kirk has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Alejandro Kirk has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .246 figure is deflated compared to his .275 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Luis Garcia Jr. Total Hits Props • Washington

L. Garcia Jr.
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-244
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-244
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the worst stadium in the game for LHB batting average. Luis Garcia has been lucky this year, compiling a .353 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .046 deviation. Luis Garcia's 4.4° launch angle (a reliable stat to study a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most groundball-inducing in the majors: 5th percentile.

Luis Garcia Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the worst stadium in the game for LHB batting average. Luis Garcia has been lucky this year, compiling a .353 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .046 deviation. Luis Garcia's 4.4° launch angle (a reliable stat to study a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most groundball-inducing in the majors: 5th percentile.

Jesse Winker Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Winker
designated hitter DH • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-137
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-137
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jesse Winker ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesse Winker is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Nationals Park has the 6th-shallowest RF fences in the majors. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Given Alek Manoah's large platoon split, Jesse Winker will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.

Jesse Winker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jesse Winker ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesse Winker is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Nationals Park has the 6th-shallowest RF fences in the majors. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Given Alek Manoah's large platoon split, Jesse Winker will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.

Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Varsho
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-148
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-148
Projection Rating

This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the whole game. Daulton Varsho pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.3% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Daulton Varsho's 20.3° launch angle (a reliable stat to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in the majors: 96th percentile.

Daulton Varsho

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the whole game. Daulton Varsho pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.3% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Daulton Varsho's 20.3° launch angle (a reliable stat to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in the majors: 96th percentile.

Ernie Clement Total Hits Props • Toronto

E. Clement
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Ernie Clement's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Ernie Clement will have an advantage in today's game. Ernie Clement's speed has increased this season. His 28.36 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.9 ft/sec now. In notching a .328 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Ernie Clement grades out in the 99th percentile.

Ernie Clement

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Ernie Clement's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Ernie Clement will have an advantage in today's game. Ernie Clement's speed has increased this season. His 28.36 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.9 ft/sec now. In notching a .328 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Ernie Clement grades out in the 99th percentile.

Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Young
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Jacob Young is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Jacob Young has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jacob Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Jacob Young is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Jacob Young has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Total Hits Props • Toronto

V. Guerrero Jr.
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

As it relates to his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 8th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.345) provides evidence that Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has had bad variance on his side this year with his .304 actual wOBA.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As it relates to his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 8th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.345) provides evidence that Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has had bad variance on his side this year with his .304 actual wOBA.

Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington

A. Call
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Alex Call will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Alex Call has exhibited impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 92nd percentile with a 1.48 K/BB rate.

Alex Call

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Alex Call will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Alex Call has exhibited impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 92nd percentile with a 1.48 K/BB rate.

Nick Senzel Total Hits Props • Washington

N. Senzel
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Nick Senzel has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (60% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Nick Senzel will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Nick Senzel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Nick Senzel has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (60% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Nick Senzel will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Davis Schneider Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Schneider
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Davis Schneider ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Davis Schneider is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Davis Schneider will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore today. Based on Statcast data, Davis Schneider ranks in the 97th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .380.

Davis Schneider

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Davis Schneider ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Davis Schneider is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Davis Schneider will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore today. Based on Statcast data, Davis Schneider ranks in the 97th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .380.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Toronto

I. Kiner-Falefa
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-204
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-204
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.251) provides evidence that Isiah Kiner-Falefa has been lucky this year with his .288 actual wOBA.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.251) provides evidence that Isiah Kiner-Falefa has been lucky this year with his .288 actual wOBA.

Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Washington

E. Rosario
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-137
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-137
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 6th-shallowest RF fences in the majors. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Given Alek Manoah's large platoon split, Eddie Rosario will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Eddie Rosario will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Eddie Rosario has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .146 mark is a good deal lower than his .323 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Eddie Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Nationals Park has the 6th-shallowest RF fences in the majors. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Given Alek Manoah's large platoon split, Eddie Rosario will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Eddie Rosario will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Eddie Rosario has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .146 mark is a good deal lower than his .323 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

G. Springer
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, George Springer will have an advantage today. George Springer has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .264 mark is quite a bit lower than his .400 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

George Springer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, George Springer will have an advantage today. George Springer has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .264 mark is quite a bit lower than his .400 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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