Sportsnet, MASN

Toronto @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington

A. Call
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+475
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+475
Projection Rating

Alex Call will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Sporting a 1.45 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Alex Call has shown impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 92nd percentile.

Alex Call

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Alex Call will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Sporting a 1.45 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Alex Call has shown impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 92nd percentile.

Jesse Winker Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Winker
designated hitter DH • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+400
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+400
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jesse Winker ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesse Winker is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Among all parks, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Jesse Winker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jesse Winker will hold that advantage today.

Jesse Winker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jesse Winker ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesse Winker is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Among all parks, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Jesse Winker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jesse Winker will hold that advantage today.

Trey Lipscomb Total Hits Props • Washington

T. Lipscomb
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+380
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+380
Projection Rating

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and LaVictor Lipscomb will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Trey Lipscomb

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and LaVictor Lipscomb will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+285
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+285
Projection Rating

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Keibert Ruiz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Kevin Gausman today. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Keibert Ruiz will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Keibert Ruiz is in the 75th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (45.3% rate since the start of last season). Posting a 1.95 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Keibert Ruiz has displayed strong plate discipline, grading out in the 77th percentile.

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Keibert Ruiz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Kevin Gausman today. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Keibert Ruiz will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Keibert Ruiz is in the 75th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (45.3% rate since the start of last season). Posting a 1.95 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Keibert Ruiz has displayed strong plate discipline, grading out in the 77th percentile.

Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Meneses
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Joey Meneses is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Joey Meneses has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Joey Meneses will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Grading out in the 82nd percentile, Joey Meneses sports a .324 BABIP since the start of last season.

Joey Meneses

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Joey Meneses is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Joey Meneses has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Joey Meneses will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Grading out in the 82nd percentile, Joey Meneses sports a .324 BABIP since the start of last season.

Cavan Biggio Total Hits Props • Toronto

C. Biggio
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+310
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+310
Projection Rating

Among all parks, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Cavan Biggio will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Cavan Biggio is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever the whole game. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Cavan Biggio ranks in the 100th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (23% rate since the start of last season).

Cavan Biggio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Among all parks, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Cavan Biggio will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Cavan Biggio is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever the whole game. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Cavan Biggio ranks in the 100th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (23% rate since the start of last season).

Kevin Kiermaier Total Hits Props • Toronto

K. Kiermaier
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+310
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+310
Projection Rating

Among all parks, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Kevin Kiermaier will have the upper hand today. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Kevin Kiermaier is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the whole game. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.

Kevin Kiermaier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Among all parks, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Kevin Kiermaier will have the upper hand today. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Kevin Kiermaier is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the whole game. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.

Daniel Vogelbach Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Vogelbach
designated hitter DH • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+270
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+270
Projection Rating

Among all parks, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Daniel Vogelbach will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin today. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Daniel Vogelbach is certain to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the whole game. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.

Daniel Vogelbach

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Among all parks, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Daniel Vogelbach will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin today. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Daniel Vogelbach is certain to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the whole game. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.

George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

G. Springer
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

Nationals Park ranks as the #26 stadium in baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast projects the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, George Springer has a tough challenge today. George Springer will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. With a .267 wOBA in the past week, George Springer has been struggling at the plate.

George Springer

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Nationals Park ranks as the #26 stadium in baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast projects the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, George Springer has a tough challenge today. George Springer will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. With a .267 wOBA in the past week, George Springer has been struggling at the plate.

Bo Bichette Total Hits Props • Toronto

B. Bichette
shortstop SS • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-200
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-200
Projection Rating

Nationals Park ranks as the #26 stadium in baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast projects the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, Bo Bichette will not have the upper hand in today's game. Bo Bichette will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Bo Bichette has shown bad plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 22nd percentile with a 3.67 K/BB rate.

Bo Bichette

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Nationals Park ranks as the #26 stadium in baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast projects the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, Bo Bichette will not have the upper hand in today's game. Bo Bichette will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Bo Bichette has shown bad plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 22nd percentile with a 3.67 K/BB rate.

Nick Senzel Total Hits Props • Washington

N. Senzel
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-134
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-134
Projection Rating

Nick Senzel is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Nick Senzel will hold that advantage in today's game.

Nick Senzel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nick Senzel is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Nick Senzel will hold that advantage in today's game.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Total Hits Props • Toronto

V. Guerrero Jr.
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 8th-best hitter in the game when estimating his batting average ability. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .308 mark is deflated compared to his .345 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s 11.3% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 77th percentile since the start of last season.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 8th-best hitter in the game when estimating his batting average ability. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .308 mark is deflated compared to his .345 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s 11.3% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 77th percentile since the start of last season.

Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Young
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jacob Young has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jacob Young will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jacob Young has posted a .285 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ranking in the 90th percentile, Jacob Young has posted a .281 batting average since the start of last season.

Jacob Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jacob Young has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jacob Young will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jacob Young has posted a .285 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ranking in the 90th percentile, Jacob Young has posted a .281 batting average since the start of last season.

Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Varsho
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an edge in today's game. Daulton Varsho is assured to never face a bullpen mismatch the entire game since none of the available options for the Washington Nationals share his handedness. Daulton Varsho pulls many of his flyballs (39.3% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.

Daulton Varsho

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an edge in today's game. Daulton Varsho is assured to never face a bullpen mismatch the entire game since none of the available options for the Washington Nationals share his handedness. Daulton Varsho pulls many of his flyballs (39.3% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.

Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Washington

E. Rosario
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

Among all parks, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Eddie Rosario will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's matchup. Eddie Rosario will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Eddie Rosario has had some very poor luck this year. His .132 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .325. Eddie Rosario and his 18.6° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 96th percentile, among the highest in MLB since the start of last season.

Eddie Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Among all parks, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Eddie Rosario will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's matchup. Eddie Rosario will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Eddie Rosario has had some very poor luck this year. His .132 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .325. Eddie Rosario and his 18.6° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 96th percentile, among the highest in MLB since the start of last season.

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Toronto

J. Turner
designated hitter DH • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

Justin Turner's batting average ability is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Justin Turner is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Justin Turner has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Justin Turner and his 15.9° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 85th percentile, among the highest in the game since the start of last season.

Justin Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Justin Turner's batting average ability is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Justin Turner is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Justin Turner has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Justin Turner and his 15.9° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 85th percentile, among the highest in the game since the start of last season.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Toronto

I. Kiner-Falefa
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-213
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-213
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has been lucky this year. His .294 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .255.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has been lucky this year. His .294 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .255.

Luis Garcia Jr. Total Hits Props • Washington

L. Garcia Jr.
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Luis Garcia is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Among all parks, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Luis Garcia will hold the platoon advantage over Kevin Gausman today. Luis Garcia will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Luis Garcia Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Luis Garcia is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Among all parks, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Luis Garcia will hold the platoon advantage over Kevin Gausman today. Luis Garcia will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Danny Jansen Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Jansen
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Danny Jansen is in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (21.4% rate since the start of last season). Posting a .347 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Danny Jansen has performed in the 82nd percentile.

Danny Jansen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Danny Jansen is in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (21.4% rate since the start of last season). Posting a .347 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Danny Jansen has performed in the 82nd percentile.

Davis Schneider Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Schneider
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Davis Schneider ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Davis Schneider is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of Washington (#2-worst of all teams today). Based on Statcast data, Davis Schneider grades out in the 97th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .380. Davis Schneider's 17.8% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) grades out in the 97th percentile since the start of last season.

Davis Schneider

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Davis Schneider ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Davis Schneider is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of Washington (#2-worst of all teams today). Based on Statcast data, Davis Schneider grades out in the 97th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .380. Davis Schneider's 17.8% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) grades out in the 97th percentile since the start of last season.

Ildemaro Vargas Total Hits Props • Washington

I. Vargas
second base 2B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Among all parks, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Ildemaro Vargas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. When it comes to plate discipline, Ildemaro Vargas's skill is quite strong, posting a 1 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 98th percentile.

Ildemaro Vargas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Among all parks, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Ildemaro Vargas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. When it comes to plate discipline, Ildemaro Vargas's skill is quite strong, posting a 1 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 98th percentile.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-286
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-286
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. CJ Abrams will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and CJ Abrams will hold that advantage today.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. CJ Abrams will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and CJ Abrams will hold that advantage today.

Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto

A. Kirk
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-244
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-244
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Alejandro Kirk has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Alejandro Kirk has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .246 rate is considerably lower than his .275 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Alejandro Kirk has exhibited strong plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 97th percentile with a 1.05 K/BB rate.

Alejandro Kirk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Alejandro Kirk has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Alejandro Kirk has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .246 rate is considerably lower than his .275 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Alejandro Kirk has exhibited strong plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 97th percentile with a 1.05 K/BB rate.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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