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Quote Originally Posted by LonghornHoosier:
This is N Dame's last chance to impress...Its sad when such a historically and proud program like SC has to try to pull off a miracle just to become blow eligible...Sure, Helton's players love him...Sure an upset of a good N Dame team, could buy him one more year. I don't see it. Recruits go to N Dame to win National Championships. Granted, they don't have the innate talent of say Bama, Clemson or Georgia, but they have the discipline and focus of a service academy...I think SC will stay close for a quarter, then N Dame will methodically them apart...I think your original assessment is about right, a 14-17 pt N Dame win! |
hillardoh1 | 6 |
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Quote Originally Posted by RLeith35: Play AG teams who won by more than a TD, while being out gained by at least 115 yds are 50-75-2 ATS Play Against N.Orleans Quote Originally Posted by Baby_BA:
GL What does this mean? |
RLeith35 | 14 |
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Rams are gonna lose. Their pass defense is terrible against good teams. Rodgers was torching them in the 2H. Denver and Minny also played well against them.
OTOH, Saints D is looking better and better these days.
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amirjohnson | 11 |
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Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:
5/15/18 As of this morning there have been 604 games played in the regular season. 179 of hem have been 1 run games, only 29.6% So less than a third of all games are 1 run games. Now, if we assume that the standard rule of favorites hitting 57% is accurate, would that not tell us that probably the +1.5 benefitted the dog only 102 times?
I think you should find out the exact number of 1-run favorite won by the favorite.
Since the dog naturally isn't as good, I'm guessing that they win more of the 1-run games and less of the 1.5+ run games. So they'll win more than 43% of the 1-run games. |
KeyElement | 30 |
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OTOH, I won both Philly and NO by 0.5. That was skill, not luck.
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koypikz | 10 |
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Quote Originally Posted by melossinglet: why do you say he is a dirty player??i think the absolute opposite,he is known for graciousness and sportsmanship throughout his career...now he is one of my all time favourite players so i have a bias no doubt,but i dont mind calling what i see...i definitely agree during his miami/lebron/bosh years he became a bit of a douche-bag with the posing and posturing and teasing dirk,that was childish for sure..i think he felt xtra empowered by having such a strong squad and his best mate and worlds best player by his side and started to act out a bit.i certainly noticed it.....but for the majority of his career i dont think he has been known as being a foul or dirty player,doesnt get alot of techs and doesnt get in hardly any altercations....i stand to be corrected though.havent seen every single minute of his career by any stretch. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wQ2u9YZ4i10 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SJmyMfpbsMY https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZxzaDIzbQag https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RFQamund2cE
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kevmode | 13 |
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Francisco Lindor: Opposite field HR off Michael Fulmer. As Rick Manning just said, that might've been a fly out a couple of days ago, b/c of the weather. |
KeyElement | 37 |
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[quote] If a homer is wind assisted and lands in the first row of seats, that is bad luck[/quote]
Uh, no. It's not luck. It's part of handicapping. If the wind turns a long fly ball into a home run, that justifies the increase from o/u 7 to an o/u 8. |
KeyElement | 37 |
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Quote Originally Posted by zeets1: Correction, Greek Freak just went through shoot around along with Delly. They both will play tonight but on minute restriction. Bucks actually would be better suited to lose this game because they would most likely play the beat up Celtics. I think the line is where it should be. Sixers playing for 3 seed and are at home. Best of luck on your plays though. Bucks will likely play Toronto if they lose -- assuming Toronto loses to Miami tonight. |
Bling11 | 10 |
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If Milwaukee wins, they guarantee that they'll face Cleveland in the 1st round. If they lose, they'll either face Toronto (if Mia wins tonight) or Boston (if Tor wins tonight).
Wouldn't Milwaukee strongly prefer Boston (and even Toronto) over Cleveland?
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Bling11 | 10 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Indigo999: I've got OKC +4 and Miami -2'...win some lose some in picking where the line movement goes. I'd be inclined to fade Milwaukee tonight as well, but haven't pulled the trigger. Looking at taking the Celtics over the Wizards tomorrow if either Miami or Milwaukee lose tonight, and will take the Timberwolves over the Nuggets if the Nuggets win tonight. If the Nuggets were to somehow make the playoffs, they are an over machine,,,...they can't play defense but often they play offense with the best of them. Why? Wouldn't Boston rather play Washington instead of Miami or Milwaukee? Why wouldn't the Celtics tank?
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Indigo999 | 12 |
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Has any team covered EVERY game in the NCAA tournament like Villanova has?
I can't think of any. |
jdukes0004 | 8 |
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replied to
+31 units in COLLEGE BASKETBALL but i got a special one at 6am today for you degenerates in s. korea
in College Basketball Great pick! This was never in doubt. |
NFLteaserguy | 10 |
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Great pick!!!! |
packers1992 | 22 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Mrbmw:
I played this system for the last 2,3 years and been profited.Keep in mind 1h line CAN NOT be lower than 24.5 point! I thought OP said take every 1H under.
Is it every one? Or just 1H under 24.5? |
Roggs05 | 917 |
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There's plenty of sites that show line movement. But are there any that show prop bet line movement? Like Lebron James o/u 28.5 total points?
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pargo | 1 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Cooler999: Your write ups took a HUGE hit in validity with your Pittsburgh analysis. Ben's worst day of his football life. Not bashing winning or losing.....just your arrogant stance on Pittsburgh left no room for opposing dialog. Funny how you only write this after the game is over but it's crickets before then. Maybe you should share your picks with us if you're so much better. I don't always agree with LC -- but I've never found him arrogant. Plus, how could he be so arrogant when it's not even his best pick? |
LeagueCapper | 6 |
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GL. But New England coming off a loss gets a fake line movement?!? C'mon.
Yeah, because LV *needs* more public bettors to pile on the Patriots. I have no idea if NE will cover. But this would be the last scenario for a head fake.
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Crashdavis565 | 6 |
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When everyone picks the same side, there's always a troll to bash the pick if it loses.
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BIGDTITLE | 18 |
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good luck on the last game.
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KeyElement | 45 |
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