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Today trends for matches in NBA and MLB doesn't exist on the covers site. I hope it is temporary because it is ussualy very useful tool. When it is going to come back?
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insaner | 4 |
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Can anybody explain why so many matches are not count for starting pitcher record (ND) - I.E. Craig Stammen from WAS has 4-7 record in 2009 although he was a starter 19 times - sometimes as a fav, ussualy as a dog - but I don't understand why 8 times is not count for record. Is it counted for Era at all? Im confused.
In this case record calculated this way means nothing for me - I must just check performance in last games because I don't records calculated that way - in almost half games in Result it is written ND. Why? Please explain me why this is so and how to use this kind of pitcher representation |
insaner | 2 |
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Hallo,
I'm confused about ATS term in Ice Hockey and MLB. In NBA it is simple ATS=against handicap (50/50 theoretical probability by bookies). Can anyone explain me clearly what is the meaning of ATS in MLB and NBA? In Example: Team A line: -130, Team B line +190, Team C Line -150 - which result means that team A,B, C will give theam ATS +1 and which ATS -1 or push. Im completely confused although I'm using covers.com for years |
insaner | 2 |
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Sorry for fonts, text formatting, end mistakes in my english ;) It should be possible to edit own posts on this forum ;(
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Tomspeople | 536 |
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Hallo, I have
prepared execel spredsheet which uses covers closing lines to test this method.
I know that you are trying to use opening lines but records for previous
seasons are almost same for your records (+/- 1 unit). After many tests I can
say that excel formulas dont make any mistakes and according to this data you
should now have record: Chase 52-4 Home swept favorites after being dogs are: 05/08/09 CLE fav -129 after losing as +148 which geneates
-10,8 units loss 05/29/09 KC fav -114 after losing as +115 which geneates -11
units loss 06/09/09 MIL fav -136 after losing as +134 which generates
-13,9 units loss 05/12/09 TOR fav -210 after losing as +140 which generates
-15 units loss According to closing lines your chases results would be only
about +1 unit. Betting each game result whould be about +2,5 units (using wager
-125 means 125$ as a stake) - but I only play 3 games, even if a series is 4
games. Can you explain wchich one chase did you skip and why? Is it
only a difference between opening and closing line which decides about playing
or not? Did I understand everything
correctly? Looking at this lines above It looks like only KC can be a team
which opening line can be set as a home dog - rest is set to low to change from
dog to favorite. Results from my spreadsheet from others years (favorite line
<=-104): 2008: Chase: 113 - 8 and +27 profit, yield 5,5% Beting each game (but only first 3 games in series 3-5
games, 4th game was skipped): 224-138 and +41,5 units profit, yield 8,2% 2007 Chase: 103 - 3 and +73,2, yield 18,1 % (insane!) Betting 3 games in series: +33,2 units, yield 7,4% 2006 Chase: 98 - 7 and -12,3 loss Betting each 3 games in series: 126-111 and -19,9 loss 2005: Chase: 93 - 9 and -0,5 loss All :175 - 131 and -0,9 loss As we can see - one year can be profitable another can make
as very very poor. We must remember that playing progressions on favorites we
can be temporary much more below then we can afford. Playing that way during
hard season we can be temporary or even finally under -40 units or even more
(i.e. 3 games at 3rd level which sometimes happens, and for each one we must
put over 10 units) - which normally ends our career and we stay in the rope on
our neck. I must notice also that last two seasons was very profitable and
almost all methods/systems friendly - I have found 2 others very profitable
methods for this seasons - but for others it wasn't profitable at all. This are my conclusions for this methods. Even in your method was very good from 3 last sesons I must
wish to you Good Luck. For this seasons we shoudl remember that although we
have almost half of regular season we have only 23 team series swept at home.
It is little bit abnormal because for each 4 previous seasons at the end there
were 65-70 team sweeps at the end. It means that is very probable that the rest
(about 90 games left, so about 27 series for each team) we will have about 45
home sweeps. So it is very probable that it will be more than 4 sweeps after
beeing dog in previus game - if it happen - you will go down a little bit with
your bankroll. But so far it looks quite nice ;) Anyway Good Luck ;) |
Tomspeople | 536 |
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HI I have big problem with undestanding some data which concern NHL teams. Can anyone explain to me clearly what exactly should I read data like: New Jersey Devils: W/L : 47-24-2-2 ATS : 40-35
So far, I thought that W/L means: W/L in regulation time and 2-2 win and loss in overtime/shootout, but I have already checked past results of NJD and I see that this team had finished games 17 times in overtime this season. So what exactly this 47-24-2-2 means? Next thing - ATS, in NBA it is very simple (against handicap), but how should I understand ATS for NHL games/teams?
Hope for clear answer - THX |
insaner | 2 |
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