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Panthers were tough last night I honestly thought they were going to win when they had the Phins at 3rd and 12. Honestly, that was the worse game plan I have ever seen. D'Angelo put up 122 on 13 carries yet they got inside the 10 twice and threw 5 out of 6 plays. If he had 22+ carries guarantee Carolina wins that game.
So be it. Still feeling great about the rest of the card. |
DrCizZee | 11 |
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Just parlayed..
Carolina -2.5 Pitt -9.5 Wash +11 SD -2.5 50 to win 506 |
DrCizZee | 11 |
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Two weeks ago I went 7-0, last week 2-5, this week I really like the card.
Redskins +11 - The Skins play good defense and Betts instead of Portis is actually helping this team. Boys should win at home but these two teams generally play each other tough. Wayyy too many points, this spread should be about 7. Chargers -3 - I actually got this as PK in the pool I'm in, but still feel comfortable taking them here (probably buy the hook to 2.5). Two teams going in opposite directions. Chargers always start off slow, but this is still their division. Teams are starting to catch on to the Broncos offense and they cannot spread the field. The aging Broncos secondary will be exposed in this game. Steelers -10 (buy hook to 9.5) - Losing DBowe is going to be much bigger than people realize. The Cheifs pass attack now consists of Chris Chambers, Lance Long and Bobby Wade. I don't see any possibility of the Cheifs scoring over 10 points this week and the Steelers will be looking for a big bounce back after last weeks loss. Panthers -3 (hook to 2.5) - I can't believe people are still willing to take the Dolphins after Brown goes down for the season. He is by far their most valuable player. Carolina has been playing well as of late and being at home they should definitely win this game. Bills +9 - I think Fitzpatrick is an upgrade over Edwards. He doesn't make as many mistakes and they won two in a row when he was playing at the Jets and at Carolina. This team can play on the road and they have playmakers on offense. Jacksonville has the worst home field advantage in the league, they win by a FG. Lions -3.5 - Browns cannot score. Lions can. Titans +4.5 - VY back in Texas. Come on now the guys a winner. |
DrCizZee | 11 |
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I was really high on the Panthers until I found out Stewart wasn't playing, but I still think they're going to win. They have been playing better football as of late and Ronnie Brown is the worse player that could ever get hurt for the Dolphins. That Wildcat is very complex and he is a much stronger runner than Pat White. Also, Carolina's secondary is one of the best in the league and Bess and Ginn are not the toughest matchup to begin with. Low scoring game I'm taking the Panthers and the Under.
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Covers | 126 |
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Great analysis on the Bills/Titans, definitely liking the Bills in the Music City Miracle rematch. There is no chance I can ever bet on the Raiders and actually kind of like the Chiefs in that game. Although Cassel has struggled this season I think the advantage between him and JaMarcus is significant. Another full week of practice with Chambers and Jamal Charles as the starter without the distraction of LJ, I can see this team putting together a few wins here in the second half. I also think the Bengals game looks great although I do think Pitt will win SU. I think I would honestly take the Bengals +7 against any team in the league right now. The two times the Bengals were big dogs this season (@GB and @BAL) they won outright so definitely taking the points.
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pickinvet | 14 |
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I don't know why everyone is all over the 49ers. I'm not sure if you guys have been following football over the past month but Alex Smith is playing quarterback in San Fran. This guy is a career bust who is yet to win a game. In case you havn't noticed SF has lost their last 4 contests. Granted the Bears aren't playing great football but the Cardinals are a tough matchup, especially on the road this year.
I'm not a huge Jay Cutler supporter but I like this matchup for him. People are talking about the 49ers defense like its Steel Curtain, they just gave up 34 points to the Titans with Vince Young at QB. Bears defense isn't great, but they have some pass rushers and it doesn't help that the Niners left tackle is out for the year. I agree that against the right type of offense the Bears defense will struggle tremendously, but Alex Smith is never going to be part of one of those offenses. I see the Bears keeping their playoff hopes alive for at least one more week. BEARS 20 49ERS 17 |
Covers | 125 |
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Let me know what you all think, these are my early leans.
Packers -7 over Browns- Love this game, Packers looked good last week granted against the Lions, but the Browns are awful as well. Not traveling too far, Pack have too many weapons, Browns have too few to make this a game. Bills +9 over Panthers- This spread just seems way too high considering the Panthers aren't any good this year. The Bills played sloppy last week but after a full week of practice with Fitzpatrick they should be able to get it going a little bit. Two good running teams should be a low scoring affair. Under 47 NO/MIA - Hard to justify this after watching the Saints cover this over themselves last week but I think the Phins will have a much different gameplan. First of all this game is outdoors, the Saints looked vulnerable against the run last week and the Wildcat has looked sharp the past few weeks. Coming off of a bye Sparano should have them ready to go and I think they will try and control the clock just like they did against the Colts earlier in the year. Under 46.5 NYG/ARZ - This could change based on weather but Sunday night late October in Jersey could mean a lot of wind which has not proved to be a strong point of either of these two quarterbacks. Over 44 HOU/SF - Houston can score points on anyone and San Fran coming off a bye and getting back Gore and the debut of Crabtree will give Hill some weapons. |
DrCizZee | 1 |
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I have bet KC the past two weeks and won big but I don't like them in this spot at all. They have been playing better but this is the definition of a must win-- not only for the Chargers playoff hopes but also for Norv Turners livelihood. The Chargers are not good and Arrowhead is tough, but they play there every year. Rivers will have his way against this defense and KC won't have enough firepower to stay with them.
SD -4 |
nycfrotter | 38 |
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Here's what I like this week.
Chiefs +6 - Washington beat the Rams by 2 and Tampa by 3 in there last two home games. The Skins couldn't beat anyone by a TD. Under 37 WSH/KC- There won't be much scoring in this one. Neither team gets to 20. Texans +5 - I have been all over the Bengals this season betting them almost every week but this is the week I stop. Each of the Bengals games this year have come down to the wire. I'll take the explosive Texans offense and the points-- maybe even squeak out a win here. Giants +3 - 18-3 in there last 21 games on the road. Saints defense may have stifled the Jets and Bills, but lets see what happens this week against a bruising running game and a great offensive line. |
DrCizZee | 2 |
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This game was bothering me as well and I ended up throwing NE ML in a parlay. Doesn't seem like such a risky play, but NE has not impressed me thus far this year. However, they have proven to be a solid home team and have not lost 2 games in a row since 2003. When the lost at the Jets earlier they came back and took care of the Falcons the following week. They also beat the Ravens at home. They should be able to throw the ball all over the TEN secondary and with Mayo back they should be able to contain Chris Johnson.
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darien123 | 22 |
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My take on the Jags this year is that they are not a terrible team, but they are nowhere near as good as the Titans. True, the Titans are banged up, but lost one game they shouldn't have at home against the Texans. Besides that they lost a nail biter OT game at Pitt to open the year with a healthy Polamalu and a tough game at the Meadowlands against the Jets which they would have won if there punt returner wasn't retarted.
Jacksonville can't come close to selling out that stadium so playing on the road here compared to Pitt and NYJ is gonna be a cakewalk. Titans are a veteran team that know they need to win and when you say its a bad defense already thats banged up, thats just false. This is a good defense, especially against the run, going against a team with one playmaker, MJD, the running back. Take the Titans and enjoy your winnings. |
demapples | 53 |
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I agree with the Skins -10. I watched the NYG-WSH game last week and honestly thought the Skins looked a lot better than last year. They held Jacobs in check and had a little trouble with Bradshaw but thats to be expected when they are used to taking on the much bigger Jacobs. The Rams have a pourous offensive line and this should be the game where Big Albert's presence is felt. Not to mention the Rams couldn't score in Seattle and the Skins D is at least as good if not better. Last year after losing to the GMen in week 1 the Skins came home to beat New Orleans. This year they'll take care of probably the worst team in the NFL.
Skins- 27 Rams- 10 |
BosssMan | 18 |
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Started off real hot last week but I feel like the lines are much trickier this week.
YTD: 5-2 (+11 units) Seahawks +1.5 (3 units) Patriots -3.5 (3 units) Broncos -3 (2 units) Teasers (+10) Seahawks +11.5 Redskins PK Panthers +16 Redskins PK Patriots +6.5 Texans +16.5 |
DrCizZee | 1 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Creepa: Under...look at my post on the first page for reasoning I read your reasoning and I respect your opinion however disagree. This isn't the type of matchup where either coach is going to come out and try and control the clock. This is going to be two teams lining up in shotgun most of the game and airing it out. Neither team has the defensive firepower to shut down their opponent and I see this being a high scoring game from start to finish. |
WOW | 96 |
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I'm not saying that Buffalo can't cover an 11.5 point spread-- its MNF, TO adds a playmaking threat this team has desperately needed and I don't think Fred Jackson will be that significant of a drop-off from Marshawn, but there is no chance that Buffalo wins this game straight up. This game is being played in NE on Monday Night to open up the season, the Bills haven't made teh playoffs in almost a decade (Music City Miracle I believe was the last time) and last time Brady was healthy this team didn't lose in the regular season. I'm laying off this spread but this game is going over.
38-21 Pats |
WOW | 96 |
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I havn't made too many posts on this site but I've been wagering for a while so I figure I should get started this season. These are the spreads I'm currently getting from my book.
Seahawks -7.5 (5 units) Cowboys- 5.5 (4 units) Vikings -4 (4 units) Chargers -9 (4 units) 49ers +6 (2 units) Jags +7 (1 unit) Panthers +2.5 (1 unit) |
DrCizZee | 2 |
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Its not fair for people to keep discounting the 49ers last two wins. Bottom line, they beat two division rivals of Miami in the past two weeks. San Fran is just building confidence for the first time in years under a new head coach and Miami is not an overpowering team. This is going to be a close game that will be decided by a field goal, probably in favor of the Fins.
17-14 Miami SF +6 UNDER 41
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Mr_Covers | 53 |
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After reading all of these posts and considering my own thoughts I have come to the conclusion of taking Green Bay which I have as a pick em. I know that the public is all over them which makes me nervous, but they are a far superior team to the Saints. Nevermind the identical 5-5 records, Green Bay should dominate this game. Where the Pack struggles is stopping the run. They have one of the best pass defense in the league and are the best in the league at putting up points when on the defensive side of the ball. The Saints have already lost a primetime game at home against the Vikings and homefield hasn't been an overwhelming advantage for the Saints in the past. I know Green Bay's road record isn't spectacular, but flying out to Seattle is a lot harder than going to New Orleans. Plus they're used to the dome atmosphere since they go to Minnesota every year. At first I really liked the over in this game and still kind of do, but I wonder if New Orleans will be able to put enough points on the board to get it over 52. I think they will.
Green Bay- 33 New Orleans- 24
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Mr_Covers | 174 |
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I think people are forgetting how talented this Cowboys team really is. A healthy Tony Romo is a top five, if not higher, quarterback in this league. TO, Roy Williams, Witten, MBIII-- this team is loaded with weapons. I know every game is big for every team, but the Cowboys need to win this game and they know this. The defense is a little suspect, but still capable of getting to the quarterback and causing turnovers. Redskins homefield advantage is not that strong and they lost in primetime to the Steelers two Mondays ago.
Cowboys- 31 Redskins- 20 Staying away from the over, Cowboys -2.
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Mr_Covers | 144 |
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How about the under in this game? I know 38.5 is low, but Oakland flat out cannot score. Shut out by the Falcons, only put up six last week. Miami isn't putting up more than twenty on a decent Oakland defense. Final score probably something like 20-13 Miami.
UNDER 38.5
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Mr_Covers | 37 |
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