|The self admitted homer is back to lay out this game. You can check my previous posts as I was almost dead on with how the last 2 Bears games played out with the stats/trends to back it.
Posted: 10/3/2012 12:40:06 AM
I'll start w/ Jags inept offense. They're tied 21st overall and dead last in scoring with a hair over 15 pts/gm. They're 31st in passing while 15th in running with 1 of the leagues premier backs.
This plays right into the hands of the Bears D. They're 3rd in rush D and 18th verse the pass. However, they're 3rd in sacks and lead the league in interceptions. Yes, I know 5 were off Romo but minus those and they'd still be tied 4th. They also score the most on D ranking 1st. What does it all mean? I am asking myself how Jacksonville manages to score in this game. The Bears D/Sp teams may be able to outscore the Jags offense. Hester is due and getting close to breaking 1.
The thorn of the Bears has been the dismal O line which held up considerably better against the best pass rusher in the league last week. The line has resulted in some of the other issue concerning Jay's Int's and pressure. I'm not saying they're there yet but compare that to Jacksonville's 2 sacks/interceptions ALL YEAR and I'd say this a week where they look better. Jay has plenty of time this week to do as he pleases and we've seen glimpses of what the receivers can do when that happens.
Forte should be healthier this week and I expect the Bears to be able to improve upon there middle of league rushing O vs the 30th ranked run D of Jacksonville. The run game will help open up play action and allow the Bears to grind out the 4th quarter w/ a sizable lead.
I'm staying away from the trends this week and going purely on stats, my gut and brain. Bears EASY in this one. I expect something of a 31-6 type game but Bears and under nonetheless. GLTA and BEAR DOWN.
P.S. This team gets hot over the next month against the struggling to mediocre teams in the Jags, Titans, Lions(who they own) and Panthers. The ladder being the stiffest competition in the next 5 weeks. Great timing for a team getting hot and looking to improve and gel on O.