Chicago at Jacksonville (10/07/2012)

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Author: [Pro Football] Topic: Chicago at Jacksonville (10/07/2012)
Covers PM Covers
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Posted: 9/30/2012 10:03:11 AM

Away:  Chicago [3-1 ATS]
Home:  Jacksonville [2-2 ATS]

Game Time: 4:05 PM
Stadium: EverBank Field

Recent Meetings:
N/A

Team Leaders:

Chicago:
Passing: Jay Cutler (917)
Rushing: Michael Bush (180)
Receiving: Brandon Marshall (352)

Jacksonville:
Passing: Blaine Gabbert (654)
Rushing: Maurice Jones-Drew (352)
Receiving: Cecil Shorts (162)

More:
Live Odds
In-Depth Matchup Information
Consensus Betting Information

mac0706 PM mac0706
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Posted: 10/2/2012 10:31:54 AM

Short rest for Bears after monday nighter against Cowboys, therefore i like Jaguars here as my dog of the week here

Champkande PM Champkande
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Posted: 10/2/2012 1:30:25 PM
THE BEARS ARE WHO WE THOUGHT THEY WERE!!!!!!

THE BEARS KEEPS ROLLING HERE...

By 2 TD'S
Biscuit PM Biscuit
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Posted: 10/2/2012 3:14:21 PM
UNDER 40 looks like the best bet to me

7 of the last 10 games @ JAX have played UNDER
TheQuadYeah PM TheQuadYeah
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Posted: 10/2/2012 7:36:45 PM

WON'T

EVEN

BE

CLOSE.......

BEARS

MINUS

WHATEVER.....

THANK

YOU!

Runnie72 PM Runnie72
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Posted: 10/2/2012 8:52:20 PM
these are the games the Bears look like they should blowout teams but then throw a nugget, if they play anything like the Dallas game then Bears will destroy a weak jags team

Lean Bears -5.5
Schumonty PM Schumonty
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Posted: 10/3/2012 12:40:06 AM
The self admitted homer is back to lay out this game. You can check my previous posts as I was almost dead on with how the last 2 Bears games played out with the stats/trends to back it.

I'll start w/ Jags inept offense. They're tied 21st overall and dead last in scoring with a hair over 15 pts/gm. They're 31st in passing while 15th in running with 1 of the leagues premier backs.

This plays right into the hands of the Bears D. They're 3rd in rush D and 18th verse the pass. However, they're 3rd in sacks and lead the league in interceptions. Yes, I know 5 were off Romo but minus those and they'd still be tied 4th. They also score the most on D ranking 1st. What does it all mean? I am asking myself how Jacksonville manages to score in this game. The Bears D/Sp teams may be able to outscore the Jags offense. Hester is due and getting close to breaking 1. 

The thorn of the Bears has been the dismal O line which held up considerably better against the best pass rusher in the league last week. The line has resulted in some of the other issue concerning Jay's Int's and pressure. I'm not saying they're there yet but compare that to Jacksonville's  2 sacks/interceptions ALL YEAR and I'd say this a week where they look better. Jay has plenty of time this week to do as he pleases and we've seen glimpses of what the receivers can do when that happens. 

Forte should be healthier this week and I expect the Bears to be able to improve upon there middle of league rushing O vs the 30th ranked run D of Jacksonville. The run game will help open up play action and allow the Bears to grind out the 4th quarter w/ a sizable lead. 

I'm staying away from the trends this week and going purely on stats, my gut and brain. Bears EASY in this one. I expect something of a 31-6 type game but Bears and under nonetheless. GLTA and BEAR DOWN. 

P.S. This team gets hot over the next month against the struggling to mediocre teams in the Jags, Titans, Lions(who they own) and Panthers. The ladder being the stiffest competition in the next 5 weeks. Great timing for a team getting hot and looking to improve and gel on O.

Schumonty PM Schumonty
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Posted: 10/3/2012 12:52:52 AM
[Quote: Originally Posted by TheQuadYeah]

WON'T

EVEN

BE

CLOSE.......

BEARS

MINUS

WHATEVER.....

THANK

YOU!

AGREED! I see the Bears winning by no less than 10 taking into account a possible late Jags td after trailing big. It's also the only way I could see this going over despite it being relatively low.
mellowman7883 PM mellowman7883
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Posted: 10/3/2012 2:31:40 AM
Jags dont have the will while Bears are playing furious football.

Bears  will have their way with the lowly Jags.
shochuman PM shochuman
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Posted: 10/3/2012 2:48:59 PM
Over 40

(YTD: 21-12-1) 63.6%
vue21849 PM vue21849
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Posted: 10/3/2012 3:07:03 PM

  I second that "emotion" stated by Quad above. See the Jags getting a mauling by da Bears!

CHICAGO  - 6

babygus17 PM babygus17
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Posted: 10/3/2012 7:40:57 PM
Are any of the Bears backers going to witness Cutler taking his bipolar meds? This is the hardest team in NFL to figure out in my opinion..thats all I know. Anyone remember last yrs jax balt gm? better games on board. never liked short weeks for teams either.
mgmprofits PM mgmprofits
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Posted: 10/3/2012 9:58:29 PM
What is the stat for home teams getting +6 or more?
I hardly ever see the favorites cover in these types of games.
That said, I already liked the Jags to cover this, as the Bears are inconsistent and they haven't been good for a long time. The jags are better this year than they were last year. Look for a possible upset here.

Jags +6
Jags Money Line
dustyvaultz PM dustyvaultz
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Posted: 10/4/2012 2:13:25 AM
Bears hate the Jags almost as much as GB  ... this will be a asswhipping 
dustyvaultz PM dustyvaultz
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Posted: 10/4/2012 2:21:05 AM
no i change my mind this is a rivalry and the jags are at home i let my heart get the best of me Bears win no cover
Tarynfor12 PM Tarynfor12
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Posted: 10/4/2012 8:14:34 AM

Bears coming off a win that I picked sensing the Cowgirls would be the team to show up and they did.I won't diss the Bears but that win can only be taken as serious as one can take the Cowboys.

The Bears get..."GABBERTIZED" amazingly enough.

mellowman7883 PM mellowman7883
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Posted: 10/4/2012 1:04:15 PM
Gabber isnt gettng the protection he needs to be able to execute a decent aerial attack and Bears are stopping the run nicely. Bears defense is getting at quarterbacks and Gabbert does not have enough experience with dealing with that. Gabbert is going to toss alot of picks ala Romo.  JAgs also are not getting to the quarterbacks so Cutler wont be choking. Cutler had a 140 rating last week. Lastly, JAgs defense has slipped quite a bit from last year.  

JAgs get their behind handed to them.  

27- 7   Chicago 
Fordawg99 PM Fordawg99
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Posted: 10/4/2012 4:57:41 PM

Chicago is on a short week -less time to prepare

Chicago is coming off a National tv game where they won big on the road and everyone saw it - the line reflects public preception

Chicago is coming off a divisonal game and after this game is on to another divisonal game - Non Divisonal sandwhich games are let downs for the favorite

Cutler is very inconsistent from game to game.

Chicago is tired - This will be thier 3rd road game in 4 weeks and 2nd in a row

The jags are at home

Chicago has gained less yards than the oppenant in 2 of the 4 games despite their winning record

I got the jags at +7 after heaving betting on the bears

 

rumalo PM rumalo
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Posted: 10/4/2012 8:15:56 PM
jax at home 2 loses over 20 pts diff   i usually play the home dog but i stay away from this game  75% of the money is on chi,  that scare me  if i have to bet i would bet the under
seahawks44 PM seahawks44
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Posted: 10/5/2012 1:17:42 PM
HMMMM HOME TEAM 5  ATS   CHICAGO 13  JAGS 10
joedaddy76 PM joedaddy76
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Posted: 10/6/2012 2:06:21 PM

This analysis doesn't even call for stats of any sort.  The spread is under a TD. The Bears ( a playoff team ) are playing the Jags ( a junk team that is freefalling ).  The Bears are hot, the Jags are not.  Bears could be without half their starters and beat this team.  How will the Jags score?  This could be an ugly low-scoring affair with Bears winning 20-6.  I've stated before - u either bet vs. garbage teams or leave the game alone entirely.  Well, I'm not scared to pull the trigger -5.5 in this situation.

Bears minus wutevs

Dinitalian PM Dinitalian
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Posted: 10/6/2012 6:50:39 PM
Bears 30
Jags 14

Gl!!!!
Posted using a mobile device.
roofdog03 PM roofdog03
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Posted: 10/7/2012 12:23:43 AM
dusty this is in no way a rivalry!!!btw i can forsee a lot of chicago backers behind hurting after this game!!!
ATLiens007 PM ATLiens007
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Posted: 10/7/2012 12:28:29 AM
Jay Cutler messed up by calling out MJD.
Jax covers!
ewillie169 PM ewillie169
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Posted: 10/7/2012 2:07:37 AM
JAC +5.5 (.5u) - predicting a Chicago let down on a short week also line movement seems to favor the Jaguars. SCORE: Bears 17- Jaguars 15
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