Folks, I don't get it. I don't understand it. Why do the oddsmakers continue to make these unbelievably low spreads for Gonzaga opponents?
Gonzaga has beaten WCC opponents this year by an average of 26.9 per game.
The last time USD and Gonzaga matched up, the Zags beat them by 36.
Spread is currently -23, I say anything under 30 is an absolute DUMP YOUR HOUSE, SELL YOUR CAR, TAKE THE KIDS OUT OF PRIVATE SCHOOL AND USE THAT MONEY TYPE OF BET.
I went to USD. I watch this team all the time. They are nowhere near the same talent as Gonzaga.
USD recently lost at home to LMU by 19 and St. Mary's beat them 71-27, and the Zags defense and interior game is MUCH better than St. Mary's!
Like I said folks, bet it all. Zags will win tomorrow by 30-40+! Maybe more!
Folks, I don't get it. I don't understand it. Why do the oddsmakers continue to make these unbelievably low spreads for Gonzaga opponents?
Gonzaga has beaten WCC opponents this year by an average of 26.9 per game.
The last time USD and Gonzaga matched up, the Zags beat them by 36.
Spread is currently -23, I say anything under 30 is an absolute DUMP YOUR HOUSE, SELL YOUR CAR, TAKE THE KIDS OUT OF PRIVATE SCHOOL AND USE THAT MONEY TYPE OF BET.
I went to USD. I watch this team all the time. They are nowhere near the same talent as Gonzaga.
USD recently lost at home to LMU by 19 and St. Mary's beat them 71-27, and the Zags defense and interior game is MUCH better than St. Mary's!
Like I said folks, bet it all. Zags will win tomorrow by 30-40+! Maybe more!
I honestly find the 'under' a much safer bet, because it should hit whether the Zags 'feel' like winning by so many points or not, because of how ridiculously little San Diego has scored so far against the good defenses of the conference. I can't see SD putting up more than the 43 they did on the road, where they play better. Also; doesn't the spread feel a bit low? And are you concerned that they didn't cover vs Pacific?
I honestly find the 'under' a much safer bet, because it should hit whether the Zags 'feel' like winning by so many points or not, because of how ridiculously little San Diego has scored so far against the good defenses of the conference. I can't see SD putting up more than the 43 they did on the road, where they play better. Also; doesn't the spread feel a bit low? And are you concerned that they didn't cover vs Pacific?
Looking at the end result of how a game finished last time is the #1 surefire way of losing money. Like Papashango said, there's no way a 23 point favorite should be a player of the year, especially when you make no mention why the Zags would play above expectation (the spread) in this game. They're not off a loss, you didn't mention any specific matchup problems in the game (that aren't already reflected in the line). Also, about 80% of bets are on the Zags and they're the most bet team so far today, but the line has dropped. There has to be a reason for that. Vegas doesn't just say, on every averages shmo loves the Zags today, lets give them a better line and free money! There's a reason the line came down a point. What that reason is, idk, and I'm not saying to take San Diego, but if that fish a$$ line move doesn't at least give you pause, you will never make money consistently in sports betting.
Looking at the end result of how a game finished last time is the #1 surefire way of losing money. Like Papashango said, there's no way a 23 point favorite should be a player of the year, especially when you make no mention why the Zags would play above expectation (the spread) in this game. They're not off a loss, you didn't mention any specific matchup problems in the game (that aren't already reflected in the line). Also, about 80% of bets are on the Zags and they're the most bet team so far today, but the line has dropped. There has to be a reason for that. Vegas doesn't just say, on every averages shmo loves the Zags today, lets give them a better line and free money! There's a reason the line came down a point. What that reason is, idk, and I'm not saying to take San Diego, but if that fish a$$ line move doesn't at least give you pause, you will never make money consistently in sports betting.
Goat, I'd like to disagree with you there. I follow the wcc and I have seen the line drop on literally every Gonzaga game. They were -27 at home to San Diego so if anything we could have expected the spread to open at a lower number than it did. In fact, most big lines drop a few points no matter how many is on who. I do not think there is anything strange or fishy. Gonzaga has been a reliable public darling. I will say, though, that after the disappointment vs Pacific, this is the last chance I'll give them. But SD is 1-6 ats at home, only covering vs BYU who is an atrocious road team. SD's one road non-cover was Gonzaga where they mustered only 43 points. I don't see them getting to 50 and then Gonzaga can hit 75-80 imo.
Goat, I'd like to disagree with you there. I follow the wcc and I have seen the line drop on literally every Gonzaga game. They were -27 at home to San Diego so if anything we could have expected the spread to open at a lower number than it did. In fact, most big lines drop a few points no matter how many is on who. I do not think there is anything strange or fishy. Gonzaga has been a reliable public darling. I will say, though, that after the disappointment vs Pacific, this is the last chance I'll give them. But SD is 1-6 ats at home, only covering vs BYU who is an atrocious road team. SD's one road non-cover was Gonzaga where they mustered only 43 points. I don't see them getting to 50 and then Gonzaga can hit 75-80 imo.
Don't the books make bank when people drop a ton of money on Gonzaga -25, to make the line move down 3 points, and Gonzaga wins by enough to make those guys lose their bet?
Don't the books make bank when people drop a ton of money on Gonzaga -25, to make the line move down 3 points, and Gonzaga wins by enough to make those guys lose their bet?
They are 27 points better, but we all know what happens when a team thinks they can just show up and win the game- They just show up and win the game...by12
They are 27 points better, but we all know what happens when a team thinks they can just show up and win the game- They just show up and win the game...by12
Don't the books make bank when people drop a ton of money on Gonzaga -25, to make the line move down 3 points, and Gonzaga wins by enough to make those guys lose their bet?
No, books don't win when you lose- They win when you bet
Jeeez
It's not you vs the book- the book pays the winners from the losers and keeps a small % for themselves for holding the money- They don't know who's gonna win and they don't care
Don't the books make bank when people drop a ton of money on Gonzaga -25, to make the line move down 3 points, and Gonzaga wins by enough to make those guys lose their bet?
No, books don't win when you lose- They win when you bet
Jeeez
It's not you vs the book- the book pays the winners from the losers and keeps a small % for themselves for holding the money- They don't know who's gonna win and they don't care
They are 27 points better, but we all know what happens when a team thinks they can just show up and win the game- They just show up and win the game...by12
I avoided the game just for this reason-
Gonzaga's players like to entertain. They tend to put on a show for the crowd. They beat their conference opponents by an average of 26 points, including blowing out the same team twice. Imo I don't think there's a reason to think that they'll slouch. BOL on your playd
They are 27 points better, but we all know what happens when a team thinks they can just show up and win the game- They just show up and win the game...by12
I avoided the game just for this reason-
Gonzaga's players like to entertain. They tend to put on a show for the crowd. They beat their conference opponents by an average of 26 points, including blowing out the same team twice. Imo I don't think there's a reason to think that they'll slouch. BOL on your playd
I watched NC go from 4.5 to 7.5 last night. Line movement is really important when its the money doing it and not a controversial coach, player or injury. Be careful.
I watched NC go from 4.5 to 7.5 last night. Line movement is really important when its the money doing it and not a controversial coach, player or injury. Be careful.
I think the Gonzaga players will be napping and eating McDonald's hamburgers in the locker room before the game, while the San Diego players will be warming up like boxers getting ready to face a world champion-
I think the Gonzaga players will be napping and eating McDonald's hamburgers in the locker room before the game, while the San Diego players will be warming up like boxers getting ready to face a world champion-
I think the Gonzaga players will be napping and eating McDonald's hamburgers in the locker room before the game, while the San Diego players will be warming up like boxers getting ready to face a world champion-
I hope they'd prefer In N Out
People have been saying that every game. The Zags have done a tremendous job at playing with consistency and of course covering spreads. Don't think it changes today.
I think the Gonzaga players will be napping and eating McDonald's hamburgers in the locker room before the game, while the San Diego players will be warming up like boxers getting ready to face a world champion-
I hope they'd prefer In N Out
People have been saying that every game. The Zags have done a tremendous job at playing with consistency and of course covering spreads. Don't think it changes today.
People have been saying that every game. The Zags have done a tremendous job at playing with consistency and of course covering spreads. Don't think it changes today.
I haven't, and...
It's going to be hard not to get complacent tonight -
People have been saying that every game. The Zags have done a tremendous job at playing with consistency and of course covering spreads. Don't think it changes today.
I haven't, and...
It's going to be hard not to get complacent tonight -
Goat, I'd like to disagree with you there. I follow the wcc and I have seen the line drop on literally every Gonzaga game. They were -27 at home to San Diego so if anything we could have expected the spread to open at a lower number than it did. In fact, most big lines drop a few points no matter how many is on who. I do not think there is anything strange or fishy. Gonzaga has been a reliable public darling. I will say, though, that after the disappointment vs Pacific, this is the last chance I'll give them. But SD is 1-6 ats at home, only covering vs BYU who is an atrocious road team. SD's one road non-cover was Gonzaga where they mustered only 43 points. I don't see them getting to 50 and then Gonzaga can hit 75-80 imo.
Lines move based on who is betting which side and how much they're betting. This is what causes the line to move. A line doesn't move down just because it is big - if that were true, why didn't Vegas just set the line lower to begin with? And the fact that Gonzaga is a public darling only makes the initial move more sketchy - I know it's moved back up now and this isn't so relevant anymore. My point is that a large line and a small line move just the same - it doesn't move any differently just because it is a large line.
Goat, I'd like to disagree with you there. I follow the wcc and I have seen the line drop on literally every Gonzaga game. They were -27 at home to San Diego so if anything we could have expected the spread to open at a lower number than it did. In fact, most big lines drop a few points no matter how many is on who. I do not think there is anything strange or fishy. Gonzaga has been a reliable public darling. I will say, though, that after the disappointment vs Pacific, this is the last chance I'll give them. But SD is 1-6 ats at home, only covering vs BYU who is an atrocious road team. SD's one road non-cover was Gonzaga where they mustered only 43 points. I don't see them getting to 50 and then Gonzaga can hit 75-80 imo.
Lines move based on who is betting which side and how much they're betting. This is what causes the line to move. A line doesn't move down just because it is big - if that were true, why didn't Vegas just set the line lower to begin with? And the fact that Gonzaga is a public darling only makes the initial move more sketchy - I know it's moved back up now and this isn't so relevant anymore. My point is that a large line and a small line move just the same - it doesn't move any differently just because it is a large line.
Lines move based on who is betting which side and how much they're betting. This is what causes the line to move. A line doesn't move down just because it is big - if that were true, why didn't Vegas just set the line lower to begin with? And the fact that Gonzaga is a public darling only makes the initial move more sketchy - I know it's moved back up now and this isn't so relevant anymore. My point is that a large line and a small line move just the same - it doesn't move any differently just because it is a large line.
Right, sorry, I meant that people will always be there to bet the high spread because, like people have been saying, Vegas knows they can add a few extra points to the juggernaut's spread, since they know people will bet anyways, so I guess that's why people always bet on the underdog--for value with those few extra points. But the Zags typically cover anyways
Lines move based on who is betting which side and how much they're betting. This is what causes the line to move. A line doesn't move down just because it is big - if that were true, why didn't Vegas just set the line lower to begin with? And the fact that Gonzaga is a public darling only makes the initial move more sketchy - I know it's moved back up now and this isn't so relevant anymore. My point is that a large line and a small line move just the same - it doesn't move any differently just because it is a large line.
Right, sorry, I meant that people will always be there to bet the high spread because, like people have been saying, Vegas knows they can add a few extra points to the juggernaut's spread, since they know people will bet anyways, so I guess that's why people always bet on the underdog--for value with those few extra points. But the Zags typically cover anyways
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it. As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.