Remove Youngstown State and don't see a single game that MSU has won by more than 15pts. Have to go back to 1999 (Drew Brees) to find an instance of either team winning by more than 20pts. Purdue sucks but I will be taking the points here, think there is at least 7points of value here.
Clemson +3
Home team has won 9 of last 10, last time the road team won was 2006.. Teams that have won their previous game and coming off a bye and going on the road as a favorite cover only about 35% of the time. Like the odds, rare to get Clemson at home as a dog, will be on money line too.
Looking at some others. Arizona and Florida look like good situational plays and possibly Stanford and OU but want to study more.
Remove Youngstown State and don't see a single game that MSU has won by more than 15pts. Have to go back to 1999 (Drew Brees) to find an instance of either team winning by more than 20pts. Purdue sucks but I will be taking the points here, think there is at least 7points of value here.
Clemson +3
Home team has won 9 of last 10, last time the road team won was 2006.. Teams that have won their previous game and coming off a bye and going on the road as a favorite cover only about 35% of the time. Like the odds, rare to get Clemson at home as a dog, will be on money line too.
Looking at some others. Arizona and Florida look like good situational plays and possibly Stanford and OU but want to study more.
I like the Clemson line and it has jumped up to +3.5 at some books. I think after last weeks performance by Clemson since they were looking ahead to Florida St much of the public will be jumping on Florida St early so we may see that line go up to 4 or 4.5. BOL this week
I like the Clemson line and it has jumped up to +3.5 at some books. I think after last weeks performance by Clemson since they were looking ahead to Florida St much of the public will be jumping on Florida St early so we may see that line go up to 4 or 4.5. BOL this week
Public pretty heavy on Clemson. Line surprised me so much I grabbed it at +3. Thought it would be -3. Best indicator is the Vegas line. They are NOT afraid of Clemson money. This worries me greatly.
Public pretty heavy on Clemson. Line surprised me so much I grabbed it at +3. Thought it would be -3. Best indicator is the Vegas line. They are NOT afraid of Clemson money. This worries me greatly.
Bandos. Agree some concern with public money on Clemson and in general on the game as it could have Nat. Championship implications (some funny yellow flags thrown in games like this).
Still think there is value on Clemson but have placed anything yet.
Bandos. Agree some concern with public money on Clemson and in general on the game as it could have Nat. Championship implications (some funny yellow flags thrown in games like this).
Still think there is value on Clemson but have placed anything yet.
Public pretty heavy on Clemson. Line surprised me so much I grabbed it at +3. Thought it would be -3. Best indicator is the Vegas line. They are NOT afraid of Clemson money. This worries me greatly.
Vegas made it clear that they were not afraid of Clemson money each of the last two years, and both times Clemson backers won.
Two years ago, when FSU came to Clemson with Trickett making his first start at QB, the line opened at FSU -3.5. It closed around CU -1. Clemson won 35-30.
Last year, FSU opened at around -14 or 15. Clemson covered.
Clemson has owned this series against the number, covering 8 of the last 10, with one of the non-covers coming in a flat spot in 2008, and Clemson still might have covered that one if not for losing its left tackle to an injury in the first half.
Public pretty heavy on Clemson. Line surprised me so much I grabbed it at +3. Thought it would be -3. Best indicator is the Vegas line. They are NOT afraid of Clemson money. This worries me greatly.
Vegas made it clear that they were not afraid of Clemson money each of the last two years, and both times Clemson backers won.
Two years ago, when FSU came to Clemson with Trickett making his first start at QB, the line opened at FSU -3.5. It closed around CU -1. Clemson won 35-30.
Last year, FSU opened at around -14 or 15. Clemson covered.
Clemson has owned this series against the number, covering 8 of the last 10, with one of the non-covers coming in a flat spot in 2008, and Clemson still might have covered that one if not for losing its left tackle to an injury in the first half.
Remove Youngstown State and don't see a single game that MSU has won by more than 15pts. Have to go back to 1999 (Drew Brees) to find an instance of either team winning by more than 20pts. Purdue sucks but I will be taking the points here, think there is at least 7points of value here.
Sorry I was off a bit here, looks like there was 10 pts of value.
Flipped on the Clemson though, think FSU will be winning and expect that there will be some bad penalty calls helping them do it.
Remove Youngstown State and don't see a single game that MSU has won by more than 15pts. Have to go back to 1999 (Drew Brees) to find an instance of either team winning by more than 20pts. Purdue sucks but I will be taking the points here, think there is at least 7points of value here.
Sorry I was off a bit here, looks like there was 10 pts of value.
Flipped on the Clemson though, think FSU will be winning and expect that there will be some bad penalty calls helping them do it.
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