Posted: 4/2/2012 5:07:55 PM
Originally Posted by ZonaCats
UK's defense is all about forcing contested shots which they have done all season/tourney.
The angle i've narrowed this matchup down to is not what KU will be able to do but what UK will or won't be able to do.
And that's hit from 3. If UK hit's 40% or higher from 3, they win and cover. The only clear advantage UK has over KU is 3 pt offense vs 3 pt defense.
And we all know 3 pt defense is a mirage. So it comes down to can UK hit 3's? If so, they win big. If not, will be close and could potentially lose.
Also, based on halftime splits, am strongly leaning towards playing UK 1H and KU 2H.
I see where you're coming from, and it does make sense. I think if you look at the Louisville game, they were able to offset Kentucky scoring with pressure in the full court. I think if Self has any brain, he's got to use it. Maybe not all the time, but in spurts. It was the reason he beat Cal a few years back, and is in general just a change of pace type thing where a young team like Kentucky could get flustered (as they did with Louisville). Louisville had that extra "out" if they couldn't score in the half-court, not sure Kansas has that, unless they go and change something up, which is certainly possible.