Messages

Forum Index : NFL Betting : Messages
Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: *****Sunday, 11/22/09 NFL*****
thenatural74 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
thenatural74
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 4043
Location: Georgia
#1
Posted: 11/22/2009 9:06:10 AM

3* Indianapolis Colts -1

1* Buffalo Bills +10 (hook)

2* Cincinnati Bengals -9 (hook)

5* Washington Redskins +11

4* San Fransisco 49ers +7

 

Write-ups to come soon. Best of Luck today!!!

quote
Orangemen44
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
Orangemen44
Participation Meter
Legend
Joined: Feb 2008
Posts: 33516
Location: New York
#2
Posted: 11/22/2009 9:07:59 AM
BOL Nat
quote
D-Town send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
D-Town
Participation Meter
Legend
Joined: Jul 2002
Posts: 120365
Location: Michigan
#3
Posted: 11/22/2009 9:09:27 AM
quote
kittsd send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
kittsd
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 5935
Location: North Carolina
#4
Posted: 11/22/2009 9:11:25 AM
Good luck with your card today -
quote
stlunderdog send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
stlunderdog
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 631
Location: Missouri
#5
Posted: 11/22/2009 9:11:27 AM
quote
DAWGPRINT send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
DAWGPRINT
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 4109
Location: Georgia
#6
Posted: 11/22/2009 9:11:42 AM
let's win some
quote
ApacheM send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
ApacheM
Participation Meter
All-Star
Joined: Apr 2008
Posts: 14473
Location: Texas
#7
Posted: 11/22/2009 9:12:08 AM
quote
thenatural74 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
thenatural74
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 4043
Location: Georgia
#8
Posted: 11/22/2009 9:46:40 AM

3* Indianapolis Colts -1

You can’t count Peyton Manning out....ever....you just can’t. Lesson learned the hard way sometimes. For that reason alone only giving up 1point here it should make it a play. Prove me wrong. They haven't lost a game in over a year (18 games) and turned a sure loss into a win last week in New England. Manning leads the league in completion percent (70%), passing yards (2872) and touchdowns (20). He has a 104.2 passer rating (third best in the league). He's only been sacked eight times on the entire season - less than once per game. Baltimore's defense has looked good the last three games, but that includes games against Cleveland, Cincinnati and Denver. Cleveland can't score, Kyle Orton has really struggled of late, and Cincinnati is winning on defense, not offense. Against good offenses and quarterbacks, Baltimore has been lit up this season. They gave up 26 points to Phillip Rivers, 27 to Tom Brady, and 33 to Brett Favre. The Colts are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine road games and they have gone 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last six vs. the Ravens. Even when the Raven's defense was one of the best in the NFL, Manning and the Colts averaged 26 ppg in those contests. Now with Baltimore's defense having slipped, and Indy playing better than anyone, why not expect another Colts win here? Baltimore is 2-7 straight-up the past three seasons vs. teams at .750 or better and they have lost 33 of their last 49 games vs. teams that allow 17 or fewere points per game. The weakness of this Ravens defense is their secondary and if you don't get pressure with your blitz, your man to man coverage behind it is going to get lit up.

quote
thenatural74 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
thenatural74
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 4043
Location: Georgia
#9
Posted: 11/22/2009 9:59:17 AM

1* Buffalo Bills +10 (hook)

Jacksonville is 5-4 this season, but only 1 of their 5 wins have come by more than 7 points. The Bills will likely run a lot in this game as Jacksonville ranks just 22nd against the run and Fred Jackson has had a premier year. If the Bills can get the running game going and shorten the game, nine points will be hard for Jacksonville to overcome as they are likely to employ the same strategy against the Bills who have also had trouble stopping the run. The reality remains that the Jags are a team barely over .500 that has a sub-.500 ATS mark and an 8-17 ATS record dating back to last season. Over that span they are 1-10 ATS as a favorite! So, 9 points here is too much. To put it in perspective, the league’s worst team, the St. Louis Rams, came in here as a 9.5 point underdog and here we have the Bills at +9. The oddsmakers are saying the Bills and Rams are on equal footing? It also should be noted it took the Jags OT to get past the Rams and their two-game winning streak is comprised of wins by 3 points at home against the 2-7 Chiefs, and 2 points vs. the 4-5 Jets. That means that the Jags’ last three wins have come by a total of 8 points against teams with a combined record of 7-20! The Bills are 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games after allowing 35 points or more last game since 1992. The Jaguars are 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. The Bills have covered six of their last eight on the road, while the Jags have struggled to a 2-10 ATS mark in their last 12 at home.

quote
thenatural74 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
thenatural74
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 4043
Location: Georgia
#10
Posted: 11/22/2009 10:03:25 AM

2* Cincinnati Bengals -9 (hook)

For those who don't think that Cincinnati (7-2) is for real, and will win the AFC North, they have already beaten their 2 biggest Division rivals, Pittsburgh and Baltimore twice each, and that 4-0 record will allow them to win any tie-breaker. Cincinnati comes off an impressive 18-12 win at Pittsburgh last Sunday and now heads Oakland knowing they are 6-1 ATS in the 2nd of back-to-back road games. In their only other back-to-back road games this season, they impressively defeated Baltimore 17-14 as 8-point dogs. With Oakland, Cleveland, and Detroit their next 3 games on the schedule, these Bengals know that it's time to step up their game, as they can easily extend their Division lead against these opponents that combine for a 4-22 record this season. The Bengals defense ranks #2 against the run and held a tough Pittsburgh ground attack to just 80 yards on 18 carries last Sunday. With Oakland benching starting QB Russell for inexperienced QB Gradkowski, expect the Bengals to key on the run and force the Raiders to pass the ball.

quote
DAWGPRINT send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
DAWGPRINT
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 4109
Location: Georgia
#11
Posted: 11/22/2009 10:04:10 AM
Hey Natural - picks looking good,  I know this is pro, but man, our college team is horrendous!

GAWSH!
quote
DynastyOne
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
DynastyOne
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2006
Posts: 2516
Location: Michigan
#12
Posted: 11/22/2009 10:05:12 AM
quote
LIU_KANG send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
LIU_KANG
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 436
Location: United States
#13
Posted: 11/22/2009 10:06:44 AM

Good luck Natural, can you give me your opinion on the New England game. Thanks

quote
Langer88 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
Langer88
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 249
Location: Canada
#14
Posted: 11/22/2009 10:07:18 AM
quote
pitbullowner send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
pitbullowner
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Aug 2008
Posts: 2491
Location: District of
              Columbia
#15
Posted: 11/22/2009 10:16:03 AM
quote
ratherBgambling send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
ratherBgambling
Participation Meter
Hall of Fame
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 27228
Location: District of
              Columbia
#16
Posted: 11/22/2009 10:16:50 AM
quote
DOVJAK send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
DOVJAK
Participation Meter
Hall of Fame
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 25333
Location: Pennsylvania
#17
Posted: 11/22/2009 10:17:01 AM
quote
thenatural74 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
thenatural74
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 4043
Location: Georgia
#18
Posted: 11/22/2009 10:17:04 AM

5* Washington Redskins +11

Washington always seems to play the Cowboys tough. Now coming off a huge win over the Broncos, the Redskins finally have some positive vibes to build off of. Washington is 5-3 S.U. and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings with the Cowboys and 4 of the last 5 meetings have been decided by 5 points or less, with the lone exception being a 27-6 home win for Washington in 2007. Dallas was exploited last week against Green Bay, and this team is not as good as their 6-3 record indicates. Washington has allowed just 19.0 points/game this season, and their defense alone gives the Redskins a great chance. The Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. Dallas is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games vs. NFC East foes. The Redskins are 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) vs. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards/game after 8+ games since 1992. Washington is solid defensively, leading the league in passing yards allowed. Dallas took a hit on its offensive line with injury to Marc Colombo.

quote
thenatural74 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
thenatural74
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 4043
Location: Georgia
#19
Posted: 11/22/2009 10:28:21 AM

4* San Fransisco 49ers +7

The 49ers have played the NFC North tough this season, beating the Bears last week and only a fluke play kept them from beating the Vikings in Week 3 of the season. The 49ers are catching the Packers at the right time since they are coming off an emotional victory over Dallas and must play four days later in Detroit on Thanksgiving. San Francisco will enter this game with three days extra rest since they played on Nov.12. The 49ers have covered every road game this year, including an outright win at Arizona. Though the 49ers are 1-3 SU on the road, they are 3-0-1 ATS. Defensively, the 49ers only give up just 88 rushing yards/game and 3.3 yards/carry. The Packers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win. Green Bay continues to put their quarterback in danger with Aaron Rodgers having been sacked a league-leading 41 times this season. Expect the 49ers pass rush to apply pressure all day long and to create some opportunities for its offense.

quote
BetForLife send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BookMaker |
BetForLife
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 64
Location: Illinois
#20
Posted: 11/22/2009 10:41:29 AM
quote
thenatural74 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
thenatural74
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 4043
Location: Georgia
#21
Posted: 11/22/2009 12:16:31 PM
Thanx Guys!!!! 
quote
thenatural74 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
thenatural74
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 4043
Location: Georgia
#22
Posted: 11/22/2009 4:27:03 PM

3* Indianapolis Colts -1 WINNER

1* Buffalo Bills +10 (hook) WINNER

2* Cincinnati Bengals -9 (hook) PENDING

5* Washington Redskins +11 WINNER

4* San Fransisco 49ers +7 WINNER

quote
thenatural74 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
thenatural74
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 4043
Location: Georgia
#23
Posted: 11/22/2009 5:06:39 PM

Cincy out front by 14 right now....looking good for the sweep!!!!

quote
LIU_KANG send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
LIU_KANG
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 436
Location: United States
#24
Posted: 11/22/2009 7:59:04 PM

Great day Natural.Anything for tonight?

quote
niners94 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
niners94
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 39
Location:
#25
Posted: 11/22/2009 8:01:58 PM
what about tonights game?
quote
Forum Index : NFL Betting : Messages
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.