NBA Playoff Same-Game Parlay Picks: Nesmith, Siakam Shine vs Bucks

Two of tonight's three NBA Game 3s profile as defensive slugfests, but that's not the case in Indiana where the Pacers welcome the Bucks. Find out why our NBA SGP picks are highlighting the Pacers' Aaron Nesmith.

Apr 26, 2024 • 13:49 ET • 4 min read
Aaron Nesmith Indiana Pacers NBA
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

We've got some pivotal Game 3s taking place in the NBA playoffs, and our NBA picks see defenses dominating proceedings tonight, except where defense goes to die in Indiana.

Our experts tell you how to squeeze value out of these NBA playoff odds slugfests in our NBA SGPs for tonight's action.

Tonight's NBA same-game parlay picks

Our betting experts have scoured through today's NBA odds to find your best SGP bets for Friday's NBA lineup:

Bucks vs Pacers same-game parlay (SGP)

Pacers -6

Pascal Siakam Over 26.5 points

Aaron Nesmith Over 11.5 points

Matchup-wise, the Bucks simply don't have a good answer for Pascal Siakam (36 and 37 points in each of the first two games), who has beaten Brook Lopez with his speed and has beaten Bobby Portis with his size and finesse in the paint.

Another underpriced player is Aaron Nesmith, who has just 18 points through the first two games of the series. The playoffs are notoriously a great spot to back role players as a series moves towards their home court for the first time, as their underperformance on the road leads to underpricing and their home-away splits tend to be a bit more pronounced.

Nesmith has eclipsed his 11.5-point total for Game 3 in 10 of his last 16 home games, while now having surpassed it just once in his last six road games.

Read Shawn Wronka's full Bucks vs. Pacers predictions.

Clippers vs Mavericks same-game parlay (SGP)

Clippers +4.5

Kawhi Leonard Over 5.5 rebounds

Russell Westbrook Over 7.5 points

The spread feels too high, considering the ceiling for this Clippers team on both sides of the ball now that Leonard is healthy.

Leonard hauled down seven rebounds in Game 2, and player projections call for six-plus boards tonight.

Russell Westbrook is a much-needed spark off the bench for L.A., and game models forecast closer to 10 points from him in Game 3.

Read Jason Logan's full Clippers vs. Mavericks predictions.

Timberwolves vs Suns same-game parlay (SGP)

Under 207

Anthony Edwards Under 24.5 points

Devin Booker Under 25.5 points

In many ways, the story of the series so far is Edwards drastically outplaying Booker. McDaniels has taken Booker completely out of the series by denying his drives and avoiding any foul drawing. Booker has also only scored 26 or more once in his last eight games.

While Ant shook loose in Game 1, the Suns have done a solid job defending him this season. In addition to getting back to their gap help principles in Game 2, the Suns also decided to show aggressive help off the strong side corner when Ant came off a side pick and roll. This wrinkle allowed Beal and the helper to both contest Ant’s pull ups coming off the screen. 

With all their attention focused on defending Edwards again, I like him to go Under here.

Read Rory Breasail's full Timberwolves vs. Suns predictions.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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