Rain delayed the start of the season by a day in Queens, and now the New York Mets will host Opening Day on Friday against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Neither team comes into the 2024 season with high expectations. The Mets were quiet on the free agent market after a disappointing 2023 campaign, while the Brewers traded ace Corbin Burnes and are without closer Devin Williams until at least June after winning 92 games last year. MLB odds are calling this one a coin-flip with the total set at 7.5 runs.
Both sides are turning to unexpected names on the mound for Opening Day. We’ll break down what to expect in our MLB picks and predictions for Brewers vs. Mets on Friday, March 29.
Brewers vs Mets odds
Brewers vs Mets predictions
The New York Mets were one of the biggest disappointments of the 2023 season. Injuries and subpar performances ultimately led New York to be a seller at the trade deadline, and they limped to a 75-87 record.
The Mets didn’t do much to strengthen the roster in the offseason, though they did pick up designated hitter J.D. Martinez during Spring Training and will have closer Edwin Diaz back in action. That may help offset a shoulder injury to All-Star pitcher Kodai Senga.
The Milwaukee Brewers are also expected to be down this year. Milwaukee traded Corbin Burnes to the Baltimore Orioles, and is without Devin Williams until at least June. Still, the Brewers are bringing back most of a dominant bullpen, and have a couple nice additions to their lineup in Rhys Hoskins and 20-year-old Jackson Chourio, who should make his MLB debut on Friday.
With these two teams projecting similarly offensively, the pitching matchup may tell the tale. The Brewers are turning to Freddy Peralta, a solid righthander who is coming into the prime of his career and proved he could be effective as a starter for an entire season last year. The Mets are countering with 35-year-old Jose Quintana, who only made 13 starts in 2023.
While both pitchers have been effective throughout their careers, Peralta has been more consistent and reliable over the last few seasons. With the Mets coming into the game with so many question marks while Milwaukee still has reason for optimism, I’m taking the Brewers to win on Friday.
My best bet: Brewers moneyline (-105 at BetMGM)
Brewers vs Mets same-game parlay
Brewers moneyline
Over 7.5
Jackson Chourio 1+ hit
While I like the Brewers in this game, I think that both lineups are capable of scoring runs against good but not great starting pitchers who will be on short leashes in March. I’ll add in a bet on the Over to start my same-game parlay.
I’m also taking Chourio to record his first major league hit. Chourio hit .283 in the minors last year and .379 in the Venezuelan Winter League, and that success should translate to the big-league level.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Brewers vs Mets moneyline and Over/Under analysis
- This game opened dead-even on the moneyline and has remained there, with the same -110 odds offered on both sides at most sites.
- The Brewers went 79-82 against the spread last year, while the Mets put up a disappointing 73-88 ATS mark.
- The total opened at 7.5 and remains at that number with a slight lean towards the Under, as the Over is available at +100 at some books.
- The Under held an 88-73 edge in New York’s games last year, and also went 84-71-6 when the Brewers played in 2023.
Trend to know
The Brewers won seven of their final eight meetings with the Mets last season. Find more MLB betting trends for Brewers vs. Mets
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Brewers vs Mets game info
| Location: | Citi Field, Queens, NY |
| Date: | Friday, March 29, 2024 |
| First pitch: | 1:40 p.m. ET |
| TV: | Bally Wisconsin, SNY |
Starting pitchers
Freddy Peralta (0-0, 0.00 ERA): With the Brewers having traded Burnes to the Orioles, Peralta is now the ace of the Milwaukee staff. Last year was another solid campaign for the 27-year-old righty, who finished 12-10 with a 3.86 ERA. Peralta was also healthy enough to make 30 starts, the most of his career.
Jose Quintana (0-0, 0.00 ERA): An injury to Senga has left Quintana as the default Opening Day starter for the Mets. Quintana found success in limited time last year, going 3-6 with a 3.57 ERA in 13 starts. While he doesn’t punch out batters the way he did earlier in his career and his control is always a concern, Quintana does a solid job of keeping the ball in the park.
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