SEA / WASH OVER 146 ( 2 units ) The Mystics PF/PA average at home is 157 while Seattle's PF/PA average on the road is 143 so i think this total should be in the neighborhood of approximately 150 and not 146 or 146.5 as it's quoted in some of the books right now. The Mystics FT % at 73 ppg isn't that great but this team attacks the basket which is evident by a league leading 27 free throw attempts per game. That translates to a lot of clock stoppages and that's why they recently played an 89-80 games against the fever in a total that went OVER by 22 points. LJ is out for the storm but Willingham can hold her own she can score points in the paint. Just for fun i took a look at every total this year that has been posted at 150 or less and the OVER is 8-4 IN THOSE GAMES. I think it'll go up to 148 or so by game time so I'll stress this once again if you like this play i wouldn't wait . It starts to lose value near 149-150 range.
SEA / WASH OVER 146 ( 2 units ) The Mystics PF/PA average at home is 157 while Seattle's PF/PA average on the road is 143 so i think this total should be in the neighborhood of approximately 150 and not 146 or 146.5 as it's quoted in some of the books right now. The Mystics FT % at 73 ppg isn't that great but this team attacks the basket which is evident by a league leading 27 free throw attempts per game. That translates to a lot of clock stoppages and that's why they recently played an 89-80 games against the fever in a total that went OVER by 22 points. LJ is out for the storm but Willingham can hold her own she can score points in the paint. Just for fun i took a look at every total this year that has been posted at 150 or less and the OVER is 8-4 IN THOSE GAMES. I think it'll go up to 148 or so by game time so I'll stress this once again if you like this play i wouldn't wait . It starts to lose value near 149-150 range.
I played it right before i posted. Pinny had 146.5 so i played it at the Greek at 146. About 10 minutes after that the Greek moved it 146.5 and Pinny to 147. I'd say 15 minutes after that it moved to 145.5 just about everywhere. Now i see it up to 146.5. I still think it closes around 148.
gl Proud Canadian ! Yes very much, but if did live in Southern California for 10 years and i do have some very close American friends.
I played it right before i posted. Pinny had 146.5 so i played it at the Greek at 146. About 10 minutes after that the Greek moved it 146.5 and Pinny to 147. I'd say 15 minutes after that it moved to 145.5 just about everywhere. Now i see it up to 146.5. I still think it closes around 148.
gl Proud Canadian ! Yes very much, but if did live in Southern California for 10 years and i do have some very close American friends.
Socrates - love your work, follow closely. Keep it up!
Your 150 based on 157 home and 143 road isn't necessarily best/accurate way to do totals.
Example: NFL avg 20 points per team per game. IND scores 30 and gives up 30. They play DET who scores 20 and gives up 20. The O/U should be 60 (not 55) - as we would expect IND to score 30 (since they are against league average) and give up 30 (since DET is avg and IND gives up 30 vs avg). If IND plays NE and NE gives up 30 and scores 30 - we would expect O/U to be higher than 60 b/c both should score more than 30 (since they do against league avg).
Point is you should add team totals and subtract medians (of league) not average two numbers. In certain cases, it will be same (if one above league avg, one below), but just pointing out.
I took O 146.5 so I too LOVE the bet but just pointing out be CAREFUL to avg scores of two teams b/c that isn't most accurate way to calculate O/U.
Socrates - love your work, follow closely. Keep it up!
Your 150 based on 157 home and 143 road isn't necessarily best/accurate way to do totals.
Example: NFL avg 20 points per team per game. IND scores 30 and gives up 30. They play DET who scores 20 and gives up 20. The O/U should be 60 (not 55) - as we would expect IND to score 30 (since they are against league average) and give up 30 (since DET is avg and IND gives up 30 vs avg). If IND plays NE and NE gives up 30 and scores 30 - we would expect O/U to be higher than 60 b/c both should score more than 30 (since they do against league avg).
Point is you should add team totals and subtract medians (of league) not average two numbers. In certain cases, it will be same (if one above league avg, one below), but just pointing out.
I took O 146.5 so I too LOVE the bet but just pointing out be CAREFUL to avg scores of two teams b/c that isn't most accurate way to calculate O/U.
Socrates - love your work, follow closely. Keep it up!
Your 150 based on 157 home and 143 road isn't necessarily best/accurate way to do totals.
Example: NFL avg 20 points per team per game. IND scores 30 and gives up 30. They play DET who scores 20 and gives up 20. The O/U should be 60 (not 55) - as we would expect IND to score 30 (since they are against league average) and give up 30 (since DET is avg and IND gives up 30 vs avg). If IND plays NE and NE gives up 30 and scores 30 - we would expect O/U to be higher than 60 b/c both should score more than 30 (since they do against league avg).
Point is you should add team totals and subtract medians (of league) not average two numbers. In certain cases, it will be same (if one above league avg, one below), but just pointing out.
I took O 146.5 so I too LOVE the bet but just pointing out be CAREFUL to avg scores of two teams b/c that isn't most accurate way to calculate O/U.
Good luck buddy!!!
Totally agree it's not fool proof and only used as an indicator. You'll get overwhelming differences when you apply it Mercury totals.
Socrates - love your work, follow closely. Keep it up!
Your 150 based on 157 home and 143 road isn't necessarily best/accurate way to do totals.
Example: NFL avg 20 points per team per game. IND scores 30 and gives up 30. They play DET who scores 20 and gives up 20. The O/U should be 60 (not 55) - as we would expect IND to score 30 (since they are against league average) and give up 30 (since DET is avg and IND gives up 30 vs avg). If IND plays NE and NE gives up 30 and scores 30 - we would expect O/U to be higher than 60 b/c both should score more than 30 (since they do against league avg).
Point is you should add team totals and subtract medians (of league) not average two numbers. In certain cases, it will be same (if one above league avg, one below), but just pointing out.
I took O 146.5 so I too LOVE the bet but just pointing out be CAREFUL to avg scores of two teams b/c that isn't most accurate way to calculate O/U.
Good luck buddy!!!
Totally agree it's not fool proof and only used as an indicator. You'll get overwhelming differences when you apply it Mercury totals.
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