Aloha friends! Went 6-1 last week for a total record of 33-14-1. Just wanted to get a head start next weeks games. Here are my leans:
MNF (for Week 15): Titans -1 1/2 over Jets. There's no way I can ever play the Jets...Locker isn't the greatest, but he has been putting up points.
Falcons -3 over Lions. Damn, the Lions looked like garbage, while the Falcons were firing on all cylinders versus the Giants. I'm not sure if Matty Ice is sitting this one out. If so, I will stay away.
Colts -6 over Chiefs. Yes, the Colts did get banged out by the Texans. But if the Texans didn't cover with their late 4th qtr field goal, the Colts would have still covered. Luck had a slow first half, but was able to keep the offense clicking.
3 Team, 10 point Teaser (favorites): Packers -1, Pats -4, Broncos -2
1. Bucs -3 vs Rams. Freeman was horrible against the Saints. I have cashed a few tickets on the Bucs (and lost a few on the Rams). Putting that a side, I do not know what to expect with both teams since the Bucs started off great, while the the Rams have overachieved. If Freeman is clicking, the offense can easily put up points. Likewise, when Bradford has the ball, their offense can eat up the clock and slowly grind away the opposing defense (then they seem to beat you with deep plays...mostly on play action).
2. Cowboys -3 vs Saints Maybe playing the total in this game is the "safest" bet. Both offenses can put up points; Saints poured on 41 pts against the Bucs and the Cowboys racked up a few scores against a stellar Steelers defense. To me, the Cowboys will lose the game if Romo pulls "a Romo..." The Saints will lose because of their porous defense (even though they have improved).
3. Ravens -1 vs Giants The Giants got SMASHED against the Falcons; they were coming off some great wins too. There was no excuse for their poor play/coaching. The Ravens kept it close against RGIII and lost it big time versus the Broncos. I really don't want the Giant's recent lost get to me, but I can't seem to think that they will blow it again.
4. Steelers -4 vs Cincy To me, I feel that both teams are about even. I'm kind of shocked that the Steelers are actually favored by more than a field goal. Big Ben did trip out with his over time INT against the Cowboys. But other than that, he looked like your typical Big Ben...making big plays (and getting sacked haha). Cincy has been playing well and this game should come down to who won't give up the big play(s).
Any thoughts? Looking forward to some new/different perspectives.
Aloha friends! Went 6-1 last week for a total record of 33-14-1. Just wanted to get a head start next weeks games. Here are my leans:
MNF (for Week 15): Titans -1 1/2 over Jets. There's no way I can ever play the Jets...Locker isn't the greatest, but he has been putting up points.
Falcons -3 over Lions. Damn, the Lions looked like garbage, while the Falcons were firing on all cylinders versus the Giants. I'm not sure if Matty Ice is sitting this one out. If so, I will stay away.
Colts -6 over Chiefs. Yes, the Colts did get banged out by the Texans. But if the Texans didn't cover with their late 4th qtr field goal, the Colts would have still covered. Luck had a slow first half, but was able to keep the offense clicking.
3 Team, 10 point Teaser (favorites): Packers -1, Pats -4, Broncos -2
1. Bucs -3 vs Rams. Freeman was horrible against the Saints. I have cashed a few tickets on the Bucs (and lost a few on the Rams). Putting that a side, I do not know what to expect with both teams since the Bucs started off great, while the the Rams have overachieved. If Freeman is clicking, the offense can easily put up points. Likewise, when Bradford has the ball, their offense can eat up the clock and slowly grind away the opposing defense (then they seem to beat you with deep plays...mostly on play action).
2. Cowboys -3 vs Saints Maybe playing the total in this game is the "safest" bet. Both offenses can put up points; Saints poured on 41 pts against the Bucs and the Cowboys racked up a few scores against a stellar Steelers defense. To me, the Cowboys will lose the game if Romo pulls "a Romo..." The Saints will lose because of their porous defense (even though they have improved).
3. Ravens -1 vs Giants The Giants got SMASHED against the Falcons; they were coming off some great wins too. There was no excuse for their poor play/coaching. The Ravens kept it close against RGIII and lost it big time versus the Broncos. I really don't want the Giant's recent lost get to me, but I can't seem to think that they will blow it again.
4. Steelers -4 vs Cincy To me, I feel that both teams are about even. I'm kind of shocked that the Steelers are actually favored by more than a field goal. Big Ben did trip out with his over time INT against the Cowboys. But other than that, he looked like your typical Big Ben...making big plays (and getting sacked haha). Cincy has been playing well and this game should come down to who won't give up the big play(s).
Any thoughts? Looking forward to some new/different perspectives.
Definitely like the Bucs in this spot. They are the better team laying only 3 and they should be motivated this week coming off that spanking at New Orleans. Another side note is that it is their last home game of the season.
Definitely like the Bucs in this spot. They are the better team laying only 3 and they should be motivated this week coming off that spanking at New Orleans. Another side note is that it is their last home game of the season.
Appreciate your post. I'm supportive of your picks for the most part. (Especially: Buccs, Colts, Cowboys) Kinda shakey on that lean on the Steelers though. You're right by being surprised at the 4pt spread. They'll each needs to finish each other off in order to keep that Wild Card draw. All these playoff implications are stirring in the air.
And the NFC? It's a hot mess! Bears, Cowboys, Giants, Vikings and Skins. ::shudder::
Appreciate your post. I'm supportive of your picks for the most part. (Especially: Buccs, Colts, Cowboys) Kinda shakey on that lean on the Steelers though. You're right by being surprised at the 4pt spread. They'll each needs to finish each other off in order to keep that Wild Card draw. All these playoff implications are stirring in the air.
And the NFC? It's a hot mess! Bears, Cowboys, Giants, Vikings and Skins. ::shudder::
Appreciate your post. I'm supportive of your picks for the most part. (Especially: Buccs, Colts, Cowboys) Kinda shakey on that lean on the Steelers though. You're right by being surprised at the 4pt spread. They'll each needs to finish each other off in order to keep that Wild Card draw. All these playoff implications are stirring in the air.
And the NFC? It's a hot mess! Bears, Cowboys, Giants, Vikings and Skins. ::shudder::
Appreciate your post. I'm supportive of your picks for the most part. (Especially: Buccs, Colts, Cowboys) Kinda shakey on that lean on the Steelers though. You're right by being surprised at the 4pt spread. They'll each needs to finish each other off in order to keep that Wild Card draw. All these playoff implications are stirring in the air.
And the NFC? It's a hot mess! Bears, Cowboys, Giants, Vikings and Skins. ::shudder::
I would play ATL -3, but probably nothing more than that. I do think the coach has lost the Lions and they will not show up for this game...I played the under 51 already.
I do think those 10pt teasers hit.
I'm liking the Browns to cover this week after the Broncos clinched their bye. Those are my only leans as of now.
I would play ATL -3, but probably nothing more than that. I do think the coach has lost the Lions and they will not show up for this game...I played the under 51 already.
I do think those 10pt teasers hit.
I'm liking the Browns to cover this week after the Broncos clinched their bye. Those are my only leans as of now.
Neuro: Thanks for the heads up. I've been hitting my 10 point teasers pretty consistently. Used to do two, team 6 pt at the start of the season. I have a friend whose a math wiz and he crunched some numbers for the season...he basically told me to teaser teams since most games are within 10 pts (or something like that).
Tim: What do you think of the Bucs-Saints game total? I know the Bucs got shut out but do you think this will be a high scoring game?
Bet: Great points! Might stay away from the Steelers...thanks for the reinforcments.
Magic: dummy? Thanks for trolling bro! What's your record?
Neuro: Thanks for the heads up. I've been hitting my 10 point teasers pretty consistently. Used to do two, team 6 pt at the start of the season. I have a friend whose a math wiz and he crunched some numbers for the season...he basically told me to teaser teams since most games are within 10 pts (or something like that).
Tim: What do you think of the Bucs-Saints game total? I know the Bucs got shut out but do you think this will be a high scoring game?
Bet: Great points! Might stay away from the Steelers...thanks for the reinforcments.
Magic: dummy? Thanks for trolling bro! What's your record?
Thanks for the addition. I did leave out the Seahawks. Maybe it was subconscious being a 9ers fan. On another note, you should probably work on your delivery. It comes off a bit offensive. Luckily your tag is MagicBoy so it's difficult to take you seriously. Also, you might want to look into how to properly use the quote function. Covers FAQ and help files are solid.
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Six5Juice: No problem. Just working to turn a profit this week! As far as the under for the Chargers and Jets is concerned- I'd lean on the under. The Chargers post a threat to score especially on the road for some reason (20+ with the exception of maybe 2 games this season.) That being said, we'd have to give the Jets credit to score an equal 20+, which is very hard to do. Their run game looked like it had potential- maybe that'll be the "new strategies" they decide to beta-test in these last few games. Still wouldn't count on it. I'd back the under. 40.5
Thanks for the addition. I did leave out the Seahawks. Maybe it was subconscious being a 9ers fan. On another note, you should probably work on your delivery. It comes off a bit offensive. Luckily your tag is MagicBoy so it's difficult to take you seriously. Also, you might want to look into how to properly use the quote function. Covers FAQ and help files are solid.
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Six5Juice: No problem. Just working to turn a profit this week! As far as the under for the Chargers and Jets is concerned- I'd lean on the under. The Chargers post a threat to score especially on the road for some reason (20+ with the exception of maybe 2 games this season.) That being said, we'd have to give the Jets credit to score an equal 20+, which is very hard to do. Their run game looked like it had potential- maybe that'll be the "new strategies" they decide to beta-test in these last few games. Still wouldn't count on it. I'd back the under. 40.5
Thanks for the addition. I did leave out the Seahawks. Maybe it was subconscious being a 9ers fan. On another note, you should probably work on your delivery. It comes off a bit offensive. Luckily your tag is MagicBoy so it's difficult to take you seriously. Also, you might want to look into how to properly use the quote function. Covers FAQ and help files are solid.
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Six5Juice: No problem. Just working to turn a profit this week! As far as the under for the Chargers and Jets is concerned- I'd lean on the under. The Chargers post a threat to score especially on the road for some reason (20+ with the exception of maybe 2 games this season.) That being said, we'd have to give the Jets credit to score an equal 20+, which is very hard to do. Their run game looked like it had potential- maybe that'll be the "new strategies" they decide to beta-test in these last few games. Still wouldn't count on it. I'd back the under. 40.5
Thank you, sir! My local doesn't have that line out yet. Since I like to 6 or 10 pt tease a few of my plays, I might teaser the Under (based on exactly what you said). To me, Rivers is like Cutler...You don't really know what kind of performance you will get. Rivers can play well or play like garbage...nothing in between.
Yes, the back up QB for the Jets did win against AZ, but he is 3rd string...Sanchez has been playing really poorly, but I'm not sure if handing the keys to the team/offense to a 3rd stringer is the best option (well...maybe it's their only option). I'm not much of a Tebow fan, but I would rather start him than the other dude.
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Current locked in plays....Looking to add more when a few more lines come out with my local
Thanks for the addition. I did leave out the Seahawks. Maybe it was subconscious being a 9ers fan. On another note, you should probably work on your delivery. It comes off a bit offensive. Luckily your tag is MagicBoy so it's difficult to take you seriously. Also, you might want to look into how to properly use the quote function. Covers FAQ and help files are solid.
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Six5Juice: No problem. Just working to turn a profit this week! As far as the under for the Chargers and Jets is concerned- I'd lean on the under. The Chargers post a threat to score especially on the road for some reason (20+ with the exception of maybe 2 games this season.) That being said, we'd have to give the Jets credit to score an equal 20+, which is very hard to do. Their run game looked like it had potential- maybe that'll be the "new strategies" they decide to beta-test in these last few games. Still wouldn't count on it. I'd back the under. 40.5
Thank you, sir! My local doesn't have that line out yet. Since I like to 6 or 10 pt tease a few of my plays, I might teaser the Under (based on exactly what you said). To me, Rivers is like Cutler...You don't really know what kind of performance you will get. Rivers can play well or play like garbage...nothing in between.
Yes, the back up QB for the Jets did win against AZ, but he is 3rd string...Sanchez has been playing really poorly, but I'm not sure if handing the keys to the team/offense to a 3rd stringer is the best option (well...maybe it's their only option). I'm not much of a Tebow fan, but I would rather start him than the other dude.
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Current locked in plays....Looking to add more when a few more lines come out with my local
I would play ATL -3, but probably nothing more than that. I do think the coach has lost the Lions and they will not show up for this game...I played the under 51 already.
I would play ATL -3, but probably nothing more than that. I do think the coach has lost the Lions and they will not show up for this game...I played the under 51 already.
Neuro: Great point. It almost seems like the Lions don't really care anymore. Look at their WR (from Boise State) who was deactivated since he was sabotaging the team...I mean, what kind of person would purposely mess up only to piss off his coaches...unreal! They played an okay game against the Packers, but they lose against a WEAK AZ team.
There are some bad teams, but teams like the Eagles are still play hard. The Panthers were tanking (when SCAM Newton was blaming the team's GM/coaches), but a few recent wins have turned things around. Then the Jets...a few bad apples can ruin the team. More so, it seems Rex has no control of his players.
With that being said, I feel that the Falcons are the play for Saturday's game. I might stay away from the game total since I have no clue what type of Lions team will show up.
Neuro: Great point. It almost seems like the Lions don't really care anymore. Look at their WR (from Boise State) who was deactivated since he was sabotaging the team...I mean, what kind of person would purposely mess up only to piss off his coaches...unreal! They played an okay game against the Packers, but they lose against a WEAK AZ team.
There are some bad teams, but teams like the Eagles are still play hard. The Panthers were tanking (when SCAM Newton was blaming the team's GM/coaches), but a few recent wins have turned things around. Then the Jets...a few bad apples can ruin the team. More so, it seems Rex has no control of his players.
With that being said, I feel that the Falcons are the play for Saturday's game. I might stay away from the game total since I have no clue what type of Lions team will show up.
I have a few thoughts on the Giants as I am struggling internally with my Ravens pick. I might have to use this post here in my thread to justify yet another change of heart.
Despite the Giants troubles on the road as of late- they've shown in the past that they can win games when they absolutely have to while losing games that place them in these types of situations.
Last year they went on a 4 game losing streak late and finished off 3-1, advancing them into the Wild Card game (eventually winning the bowl.) The playoff race in the NFC, as I've stated before, is a God awful mess. Apparently if the Skins, Cowboys and Hawks win with a Giants loss- they're going to start making plans to watch the ball drop in NYC. Considering that the Skins are playing the Eagles, Cowboys @home v. the Saints and the Hawks are up against the 9ers- it could happen. I'm sure the Giants know this and they'll step it up a notch.
Bounce back losses or alternating season patterns are money when betting the Giants. The lack of anything last game @ATL leaves us to believe that they'll mount a comeback, like they showed after a remarkable loss in Cinni. (Note: that was a second loss in a row, however the only 2 game losing streak of the season.) The teams experience in the 2 minute drill could be the difference at the end of the day. If their defense shows up with the help of Flacco being Flacco- pass rush and secondary coverage should in turn click.
o Ravens got the [x] o NFC Teams are all desperate o Giants have proven to be clutch o Alternate performances from game to game (the most inconsistent team in the NFL) - No defense -> All defense - No offense -> All offense - & the feared 2 minute drill weapon o Giants were decent at one point on the Road this season- perhaps they have it in them
I have a few thoughts on the Giants as I am struggling internally with my Ravens pick. I might have to use this post here in my thread to justify yet another change of heart.
Despite the Giants troubles on the road as of late- they've shown in the past that they can win games when they absolutely have to while losing games that place them in these types of situations.
Last year they went on a 4 game losing streak late and finished off 3-1, advancing them into the Wild Card game (eventually winning the bowl.) The playoff race in the NFC, as I've stated before, is a God awful mess. Apparently if the Skins, Cowboys and Hawks win with a Giants loss- they're going to start making plans to watch the ball drop in NYC. Considering that the Skins are playing the Eagles, Cowboys @home v. the Saints and the Hawks are up against the 9ers- it could happen. I'm sure the Giants know this and they'll step it up a notch.
Bounce back losses or alternating season patterns are money when betting the Giants. The lack of anything last game @ATL leaves us to believe that they'll mount a comeback, like they showed after a remarkable loss in Cinni. (Note: that was a second loss in a row, however the only 2 game losing streak of the season.) The teams experience in the 2 minute drill could be the difference at the end of the day. If their defense shows up with the help of Flacco being Flacco- pass rush and secondary coverage should in turn click.
o Ravens got the [x] o NFC Teams are all desperate o Giants have proven to be clutch o Alternate performances from game to game (the most inconsistent team in the NFL) - No defense -> All defense - No offense -> All offense - & the feared 2 minute drill weapon o Giants were decent at one point on the Road this season- perhaps they have it in them
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