BALTIMORE AT DALLAS: There was early sentiment on Baltimore +5 at the opener. The line came down to +4 and has stayed there ever since it was clear that Tony Romo would be able to play for Dallas. The total hasn't moved much. A lot of sharps went against Dallas last week with the Giants and lost, so they're not as gung-ho on Baltimore as they might have been otherwise. A lot of those same guys had the Ravens vs. Pittsburgh too. It's worth noting that the line stopped at +4 rather than coming all the way down to a field goal.
PITTSBURGH AT TENNESSEE: The sharps were all over the Steelers here, moving them from +1 all the way up to -2. That's not quite as big a move as it seems because ties are so rare. But, the Wise Guys clearly think Pittsburgh is the better team right now by a good bit. The Titans have been inconsistent over the past month, while the Steelers keep finding ways to win. When the game is a virtual pick-em, "finding a way to win" means covering the spread. The total has come down a tick from 34.5 to 34. If the weather is going to be bad, more Under money will come in on game day.
MIAMI AT KANSAS CITY: It's amazing that the Unders keep getting hit in Miami games every week...but the opening line won't adjust! The opener here was 42 on the total. It's now down to 39 or even 38 in some places. Every week! I'm not a totals guy, and even I've noticed that the sharps are hitting every Miami Under. The team side line opened at -4 and came down to -3.5. That's some support for the home dog. It didn't come all the way down to three though. And, if it did, a lot of Miami money would probably come in because finding a way to win the game will probably result in a push at worst. Miami has been winning these types of games, and has to keep winning to make the playoffs. It looks like the opener had a point of "need" factored in, and the sharps took a shot that it was a shade too high. The totals guys LOVED the Under at the early number. If the weather's bad, more Under money may come in on Sunday.
ARIZONA AT NEW ENGLAND: The dog and Under got the limited money that has come in on this one. Arizona was +8 at the opener, and it's down to +7.5 now. The total has fallen from 46 to 45. Based on how these teams have been playing lately, the Under doesn't make a lot of sense. I'm guessing that was based on preliminary weather forecasts. It was snowing in Las Vegas and Reno this week. So, people had weather on their minds, and bet any possibilities for weather on Sunday. They can always buy off of it if they need to. Note that New England is in the teaser window that crosses both the 7 and the 3 when you move the line six points on a two-teamer. Those haven't been as strong this year as in the past. But, a playoff contender in this kind of spot is going to get some attention.
CINCINNATI AT CLEVELAND: There was a big move here on the Under, as an opener of 35 came all the way down to 32. That was based on a combination of bad quarterbacking and weather potential based on what I was told. If you watched Monday Night's game, you know the Cleveland offense hasn't scored a TD in several quarters. Early money also came in on the Bengals at +3. You have to pay extra juice to get the field goal now. Some places may drop the line to 2.5 because NO money is coming in on Cleveland. That might trigger some Browns money. It might not!
PHILADELPHIA AT WASHINGTON: There was some Under interest here as well, with an opener of 40 dropping to 38.5. I saw some early support for Philadelphia at -4.5. But, not many places are settling at -5, so there must be some love for the Redskins at that price. Given all the games in the Northeast or Midwest this week, it looks like the sportsbooks will be rooting for a lot of Overs. That's normally not the case. The public bets Overs, but won't do that if all the pregame shows are talking about horrible weather. They'll jump on the Under bandwagon at worse prices than the sharps got.