We went 4-2 - last week - prior to that it has been on the losing end overall. I'm feeling pretty good about this week as one poster said - rub that belly longer - I did...lol. Let's look at some numbers:
NYJ 1 21 2 2 9 25
9.5 NE 21 2 22 16 1 13
Ne opens up as a 9.5 fav. currently around 7. NYJ rank number 1 in rushing off., rushing def. and passing def. While NE is better in Off. passing, Sagarin rank at 1 and schedule strength at 13. When you look at history for similar opening lines and scenarios like the above - the home team usually scores a lot of points and gets the cover as well as over on the team total. IMO the line has dropped because the jets have an incredible def. in both rushing and passing.....but I think NE gets it.
My Plays: 1. NE - 7 2. NE over TT 27.5 3. Houston +4 4. Minn -1 5. Over wash/tb 41 6. Norleans +4.5 7. Oak +3.5 8. Under kc/pitt 42.5 9. Kc - 3 10. Pilly +3
We went 4-2 - last week - prior to that it has been on the losing end overall. I'm feeling pretty good about this week as one poster said - rub that belly longer - I did...lol. Let's look at some numbers:
NYJ 1 21 2 2 9 25
9.5 NE 21 2 22 16 1 13
Ne opens up as a 9.5 fav. currently around 7. NYJ rank number 1 in rushing off., rushing def. and passing def. While NE is better in Off. passing, Sagarin rank at 1 and schedule strength at 13. When you look at history for similar opening lines and scenarios like the above - the home team usually scores a lot of points and gets the cover as well as over on the team total. IMO the line has dropped because the jets have an incredible def. in both rushing and passing.....but I think NE gets it.
My Plays: 1. NE - 7 2. NE over TT 27.5 3. Houston +4 4. Minn -1 5. Over wash/tb 41 6. Norleans +4.5 7. Oak +3.5 8. Under kc/pitt 42.5 9. Kc - 3 10. Pilly +3
I'm travellin....thanks for the well wishes guys and back at ya....van.....I just look at numbers and patterns....the oddsmakers put a line of 2.5 on this game.... Based on the line and scenario ..... Historically the home team often gets the victory....this my rationale.....and thought process
I'm travellin....thanks for the well wishes guys and back at ya....van.....I just look at numbers and patterns....the oddsmakers put a line of 2.5 on this game.... Based on the line and scenario ..... Historically the home team often gets the victory....this my rationale.....and thought process
Az opens up as a 7 point fav currently around 10.Balt. Is better in 2 categories – Def.rushing at 8 and schedule strength of 6.While AZ is better in the other categoires. Historically, the home team scores lot’s of points and overwhelmingly gets the cover. I don’t like the fact the line has jumped up to 10 and I hate buying points. I still believe AZ does it. I’m taking Az -10 and over the tt of 30.5.
Fire guy, Rookie – Back at ya
Kamphil – Thanks man
Dream – It worked out well – line movements – can definitely make us think this or that – glad I stuck with the numbers.
Az opens up as a 7 point fav currently around 10.Balt. Is better in 2 categories – Def.rushing at 8 and schedule strength of 6.While AZ is better in the other categoires. Historically, the home team scores lot’s of points and overwhelmingly gets the cover. I don’t like the fact the line has jumped up to 10 and I hate buying points. I still believe AZ does it. I’m taking Az -10 and over the tt of 30.5.
Fire guy, Rookie – Back at ya
Kamphil – Thanks man
Dream – It worked out well – line movements – can definitely make us think this or that – glad I stuck with the numbers.
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