So the Falcons visit the Rams this week. They are more rested. And overall a better team in my eyes then the Rams The Rams have a good home record. But Matt Ryan is good at his house in the dome, so going into another stadium indoors seem like it wont mean much? So im thinking of going for the Falcons -3 Your thoughts on the game. I mean when it comes down to it. I look at it simply. Do I think the Falcons win against the Rams? YES Do I think they can win by more then 3 points? YES
So the Falcons visit the Rams this week. They are more rested. And overall a better team in my eyes then the Rams The Rams have a good home record. But Matt Ryan is good at his house in the dome, so going into another stadium indoors seem like it wont mean much? So im thinking of going for the Falcons -3 Your thoughts on the game. I mean when it comes down to it. I look at it simply. Do I think the Falcons win against the Rams? YES Do I think they can win by more then 3 points? YES
i see this match this way real nfl bettors know rams are winning at home despite on paper the rams suck, so the line is just about right at-3 falcons is a good team no doubt, better than the rams, i just dont know why this year rams are winning that many games at home, it will in fact bring lot of rams moneyline action now we know rams can win at home,(falcons is so so on the road) but rams are really due for shit home game,falcons -3 or we can buy half a point it should be a good move.
i see this match this way real nfl bettors know rams are winning at home despite on paper the rams suck, so the line is just about right at-3 falcons is a good team no doubt, better than the rams, i just dont know why this year rams are winning that many games at home, it will in fact bring lot of rams moneyline action now we know rams can win at home,(falcons is so so on the road) but rams are really due for shit home game,falcons -3 or we can buy half a point it should be a good move.
So the Falcons visit the Rams this week. They are more rested. And overall a better team in my eyes then the Rams The Rams have a good home record. But Matt Ryan is good at his house in the dome, so going into another stadium indoors seem like it wont mean much? So im thinking of going for the Falcons -3 Your thoughts on the game. I mean when it comes down to it. I look at it simply. Do I think the Falcons win against the Rams? YES Do I think they can win by more then 3 points? YES
So is Falcons -3 a good bet to make?
This game seems fishy to me and looks aweful easy !!!
So the Falcons visit the Rams this week. They are more rested. And overall a better team in my eyes then the Rams The Rams have a good home record. But Matt Ryan is good at his house in the dome, so going into another stadium indoors seem like it wont mean much? So im thinking of going for the Falcons -3 Your thoughts on the game. I mean when it comes down to it. I look at it simply. Do I think the Falcons win against the Rams? YES Do I think they can win by more then 3 points? YES
So is Falcons -3 a good bet to make?
This game seems fishy to me and looks aweful easy !!!
the rams are built a lot like the falcons using the run heavily to set up PA passing down the field... i think ATL has the obvious advatange in the WR position and both Ds are playing solid.... with that said im on STL something just tells me that in this league of parady the rams pull this one out at home
the rams are built a lot like the falcons using the run heavily to set up PA passing down the field... i think ATL has the obvious advatange in the WR position and both Ds are playing solid.... with that said im on STL something just tells me that in this league of parady the rams pull this one out at home
I think you have to look at the Rams differently from their overall record this season and their road record. At home..I feel they can beat or stay competitive against any team that comes to town. I think that outlook will give the Rams backers a chance.
I like the Rams at home. I don't think the Falcons can walk in there and walk out with a win.
I think you have to look at the Rams differently from their overall record this season and their road record. At home..I feel they can beat or stay competitive against any team that comes to town. I think that outlook will give the Rams backers a chance.
I like the Rams at home. I don't think the Falcons can walk in there and walk out with a win.
vs CAR (W 20-10) vs SD (W 20-17) vs SEA (W 20-3) vs WAS (W 30-16) vs ARI (L 13-17)
So they're 4-1 at home but they have played some of the worst road teams in the league. I love the way Bradford and the Rams have been playing, but i can't see them keeping up with Falcons. I'm thinking a 24-17 win for Falcons.
vs CAR (W 20-10) vs SD (W 20-17) vs SEA (W 20-3) vs WAS (W 30-16) vs ARI (L 13-17)
So they're 4-1 at home but they have played some of the worst road teams in the league. I love the way Bradford and the Rams have been playing, but i can't see them keeping up with Falcons. I'm thinking a 24-17 win for Falcons.
Atlanta comes off a big win against a top AFC Ravens team, while St. Louis loses to a pitiful San Fran team and the Rams are only favoured by 3?
Hmmm...
First off: 85% of money is coming in on Atlanta and yet the line hasn't budged.
The Home team has won the last six meetings dating back to 2002 (In those six games St. Louis is 4-2 ATS).
Atlanta is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 meetings with St. Louis.
Atlanta is only 5-4 ATS this season, while St. Louis is 7-2 ATS (tied with Detroit for league best).
St. Louis is also 4-0 at Home, while Atlanta is 2-2 on the Road; the stats also don't lie as St. Louis plays better at home - both offensively and defensively - than Atlanta does on the road.
This Atlanta team is still the same one that almost lost to Cleveland on the Road, while barely inching past Cincinnati, Tampa Bay and San Francisco.
Sure, they've played well, but this has all the makings for a Cleveland/New England game two weeks ago.
Hell, Sports Interaction only has St. Louis +145 on the Money Line (In retrospect, Detroit is +235 ML, Washington is +260 ML and Denver at +405 ML).
All these stats, plus knowing Atlanta has to come back down to earth soon, have me feeling happy about taking St. Louis for a major (at least public money wise) upset this weekend. This is a mediocre NFL season - there is no sure thing, or top dynamic team this year.
Atlanta comes off a big win against a top AFC Ravens team, while St. Louis loses to a pitiful San Fran team and the Rams are only favoured by 3?
Hmmm...
First off: 85% of money is coming in on Atlanta and yet the line hasn't budged.
The Home team has won the last six meetings dating back to 2002 (In those six games St. Louis is 4-2 ATS).
Atlanta is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 meetings with St. Louis.
Atlanta is only 5-4 ATS this season, while St. Louis is 7-2 ATS (tied with Detroit for league best).
St. Louis is also 4-0 at Home, while Atlanta is 2-2 on the Road; the stats also don't lie as St. Louis plays better at home - both offensively and defensively - than Atlanta does on the road.
This Atlanta team is still the same one that almost lost to Cleveland on the Road, while barely inching past Cincinnati, Tampa Bay and San Francisco.
Sure, they've played well, but this has all the makings for a Cleveland/New England game two weeks ago.
Hell, Sports Interaction only has St. Louis +145 on the Money Line (In retrospect, Detroit is +235 ML, Washington is +260 ML and Denver at +405 ML).
All these stats, plus knowing Atlanta has to come back down to earth soon, have me feeling happy about taking St. Louis for a major (at least public money wise) upset this weekend. This is a mediocre NFL season - there is no sure thing, or top dynamic team this year.
The -3 seems like almost too much of a gift. The Rams have had the easiest schedule so far. They haven't played a high caliber team all season. Their offense is pretty bad and Atlanta's D is pretty good so Ryan should be able to put up enough points to win by at least a fg.
The -3 seems like almost too much of a gift. The Rams have had the easiest schedule so far. They haven't played a high caliber team all season. Their offense is pretty bad and Atlanta's D is pretty good so Ryan should be able to put up enough points to win by at least a fg.
Atlanta comes off a big win against a top AFC Ravens team, while St. Louis loses to a pitiful San Fran team and the Rams are only favoured by 3?
Hmmm...
First off: 85% of money is coming in on Atlanta and yet the line hasn't budged.
The Home team has won the last six meetings dating back to 2002 (In those six games St. Louis is 4-2 ATS).
Atlanta is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 meetings with St. Louis.
Atlanta is only 5-4 ATS this season, while St. Louis is 7-2 ATS (tied with Detroit for league best).
St. Louis is also 4-0 at Home, while Atlanta is 2-2 on the Road; the stats also don't lie as St. Louis plays better at home - both offensively and defensively - than Atlanta does on the road.
This Atlanta team is still the same one that almost lost to Cleveland on the Road, while barely inching past Cincinnati, Tampa Bay and San Francisco.
Sure, they've played well, but this has all the makings for a Cleveland/New England game two weeks ago.
Hell, Sports Interaction only has St. Louis +145 on the Money Line (In retrospect, Detroit is +235 ML, Washington is +260 ML and Denver at +405 ML).
All these stats, plus knowing Atlanta has to come back down to earth soon, have me feeling happy about taking St. Louis for a major (at least public money wise) upset this weekend. This is a mediocre NFL season - there is no sure thing, or top dynamic team this year.
St. Louis +3 Please
Some of those stats are irrelevant. They date back to when St Louis was still the greatest show on turf. The teams have gone in opposite directions since then.
Atlanta comes off a big win against a top AFC Ravens team, while St. Louis loses to a pitiful San Fran team and the Rams are only favoured by 3?
Hmmm...
First off: 85% of money is coming in on Atlanta and yet the line hasn't budged.
The Home team has won the last six meetings dating back to 2002 (In those six games St. Louis is 4-2 ATS).
Atlanta is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 meetings with St. Louis.
Atlanta is only 5-4 ATS this season, while St. Louis is 7-2 ATS (tied with Detroit for league best).
St. Louis is also 4-0 at Home, while Atlanta is 2-2 on the Road; the stats also don't lie as St. Louis plays better at home - both offensively and defensively - than Atlanta does on the road.
This Atlanta team is still the same one that almost lost to Cleveland on the Road, while barely inching past Cincinnati, Tampa Bay and San Francisco.
Sure, they've played well, but this has all the makings for a Cleveland/New England game two weeks ago.
Hell, Sports Interaction only has St. Louis +145 on the Money Line (In retrospect, Detroit is +235 ML, Washington is +260 ML and Denver at +405 ML).
All these stats, plus knowing Atlanta has to come back down to earth soon, have me feeling happy about taking St. Louis for a major (at least public money wise) upset this weekend. This is a mediocre NFL season - there is no sure thing, or top dynamic team this year.
St. Louis +3 Please
Some of those stats are irrelevant. They date back to when St Louis was still the greatest show on turf. The teams have gone in opposite directions since then.
Some of those stats are irrelevant. They date back to when St Louis was still the greatest show on turf. The teams have gone in opposite directions since then.
Out of the six games, St. Louis was favoured twice by 10 or more points. Does that look like "greatest show on turf" quality lines? Besides for the 2003 season (when St. Louis went 12-4) I don't know what you're talking about with "greatest show on turf." St. Louis has been pretty much bad since 2002 - when I date back to their last 6 games.
So the only stat that was apparently irrelevant, isn't so irrelevant by your theory, is it?
Some of those stats are irrelevant. They date back to when St Louis was still the greatest show on turf. The teams have gone in opposite directions since then.
Out of the six games, St. Louis was favoured twice by 10 or more points. Does that look like "greatest show on turf" quality lines? Besides for the 2003 season (when St. Louis went 12-4) I don't know what you're talking about with "greatest show on turf." St. Louis has been pretty much bad since 2002 - when I date back to their last 6 games.
So the only stat that was apparently irrelevant, isn't so irrelevant by your theory, is it?
Not my analysis but an interesting angle on playbook.com;
Play against any NFL road favorite off three striaght home games considering these teams are 22-43-1 ATS since 1980.
Put these road favorites in non-division affairs and they drop to their knees, going 10-28-1 ATS. Worse yet, dress them up as non-division road favorites of 3 or more points off three straight home games against .666 or less opposition and they disappear deeper than a cigar shared between Bill Clinton and an intern, going 3-21 ATS.
Not my analysis but an interesting angle on playbook.com;
Play against any NFL road favorite off three striaght home games considering these teams are 22-43-1 ATS since 1980.
Put these road favorites in non-division affairs and they drop to their knees, going 10-28-1 ATS. Worse yet, dress them up as non-division road favorites of 3 or more points off three straight home games against .666 or less opposition and they disappear deeper than a cigar shared between Bill Clinton and an intern, going 3-21 ATS.
Not my analysis but an interesting angle on playbook.com;
Play against any NFL road favorite off three striaght home games considering these teams are 22-43-1 ATS since 1980.
Put these road favorites in non-division affairs and they drop to their knees, going 10-28-1 ATS. Worse yet, dress them up as non-division road favorites of 3 or more points off three straight home games against .666 or less opposition and they disappear deeper than a cigar shared between Bill Clinton and an intern, going 3-21 ATS.
Not my analysis but an interesting angle on playbook.com;
Play against any NFL road favorite off three striaght home games considering these teams are 22-43-1 ATS since 1980.
Put these road favorites in non-division affairs and they drop to their knees, going 10-28-1 ATS. Worse yet, dress them up as non-division road favorites of 3 or more points off three straight home games against .666 or less opposition and they disappear deeper than a cigar shared between Bill Clinton and an intern, going 3-21 ATS.
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