I dont think the saints will be good enough on Defense, even with their HC back. Panthers and Bucs? Improved, but not enough.
The Giants are allways a threat in my opinion. I think RGIII will miss some games,so that the Redskins will get problems. The eagles need to fix their D and learn a new system - not more than 8 wins. And how can you trust the cowboys? For +200 the giants offer some value here.
All other Divisions seem too clear (so the odds are too low for me - no value) or too uncertain. Maybe Indy has some value @ +240 - but this texans team is still very strong. So for me:
Falcons +130
Giants +200
Falcons over 10 wins
Opinions?