A ton of money now coming in on the Saints, making this line scary may be inflating too much. I think the Bears could keep it close in the first half, so I will wait for the value. I liked the Saints laying 10 or less, so now I will just wait for a live line while the bears are keeping it close hopefully get a number below the 10 probably even better. If I don't get the chance for a better line so be it. With that being said, and since I will be waiting there is one prop bet that I could not resist.
A ton of money now coming in on the Saints, making this line scary may be inflating too much. I think the Bears could keep it close in the first half, so I will wait for the value. I liked the Saints laying 10 or less, so now I will just wait for a live line while the bears are keeping it close hopefully get a number below the 10 probably even better. If I don't get the chance for a better line so be it. With that being said, and since I will be waiting there is one prop bet that I could not resist.
Just remember there is always a number that should shy bettors away. 11 and 10 may not seem like a big difference, but its all about value. Always have to keep in mind Vegas psychology. For instance I'm sure almost everyone was comfortable laying 10 points with Tom Brady against a backup QB in Washington. Simply, waiting and allowing the lines come to you allowed TB backers get them laying 7 points on live lines. The initial line is always twerked in Vegas favor, so why lay 11 and go crazy pulling out your hair all game when it has the same probability of landing on 10 point win. And if you miss out and they run away with it so be it, there is always more events to make money. Just don't lose money and money not wagered can't be lost money.
Just remember there is always a number that should shy bettors away. 11 and 10 may not seem like a big difference, but its all about value. Always have to keep in mind Vegas psychology. For instance I'm sure almost everyone was comfortable laying 10 points with Tom Brady against a backup QB in Washington. Simply, waiting and allowing the lines come to you allowed TB backers get them laying 7 points on live lines. The initial line is always twerked in Vegas favor, so why lay 11 and go crazy pulling out your hair all game when it has the same probability of landing on 10 point win. And if you miss out and they run away with it so be it, there is always more events to make money. Just don't lose money and money not wagered can't be lost money.
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