Been playing too many games lately with often 4 or 5 games per day. I'm going to be reducing plays to 1-3 picks per day but posting leans for all games going forward.
Thursday Plays:
5 units: Dallas @ Oklahoma City -9.5
Dallas on the Road: 4-12 SU, scoring 94.8ppg while giving up 104.4
Dallas is giving up 109ppg over their last 5
OKC at home: 14-2 SU, scoring 107.7ppg and giving up 96.4
OKC have won the last 6 meetings SU
After losing 2 straight OKC should be fired up for a statement win in this situation. Dirk is back but can't be 100% but even at 100% Dirk provides very little boost to a Dallas defense that has been awful on the road, giving up 104.4ppg
4 units: Dallas @ Oklahoma City over 207
As described above, I see a strong likelyhood that Oklahoma City scores >107 tonight, meaning that the over will be decided by:
a) how much over 107 OKC goes
b) whether dallas can score 100
I see at least one of these scenarios coming through to push the over.
Been playing too many games lately with often 4 or 5 games per day. I'm going to be reducing plays to 1-3 picks per day but posting leans for all games going forward.
Thursday Plays:
5 units: Dallas @ Oklahoma City -9.5
Dallas on the Road: 4-12 SU, scoring 94.8ppg while giving up 104.4
Dallas is giving up 109ppg over their last 5
OKC at home: 14-2 SU, scoring 107.7ppg and giving up 96.4
OKC have won the last 6 meetings SU
After losing 2 straight OKC should be fired up for a statement win in this situation. Dirk is back but can't be 100% but even at 100% Dirk provides very little boost to a Dallas defense that has been awful on the road, giving up 104.4ppg
4 units: Dallas @ Oklahoma City over 207
As described above, I see a strong likelyhood that Oklahoma City scores >107 tonight, meaning that the over will be decided by:
a) how much over 107 OKC goes
b) whether dallas can score 100
I see at least one of these scenarios coming through to push the over.
I think this spread is bang on, and seems like alot of points to be laying against a respectable, scrappy Celtics team. That being said you just can't bet against the Clippers right now. I really don't see an argument how they're not the best team in the NBA at the moment. They've been playing red hot and just dominating teams especially at home. I couldn't see a strategy to go against them right now.
Los Angeles Clippers under 190.5
The Celtics know the only chance they have in this game is to slow the tempo and lock the Clippers down in the half court. To keep the fastbreak dunks/alleyoops down, and eliminate the transition 3s that the Clippers have been killing teams with. The clippers defense has also been playing great of late and could easily hold the Celtics under 90 tonight.
I think this spread is bang on, and seems like alot of points to be laying against a respectable, scrappy Celtics team. That being said you just can't bet against the Clippers right now. I really don't see an argument how they're not the best team in the NBA at the moment. They've been playing red hot and just dominating teams especially at home. I couldn't see a strategy to go against them right now.
Los Angeles Clippers under 190.5
The Celtics know the only chance they have in this game is to slow the tempo and lock the Clippers down in the half court. To keep the fastbreak dunks/alleyoops down, and eliminate the transition 3s that the Clippers have been killing teams with. The clippers defense has also been playing great of late and could easily hold the Celtics under 90 tonight.
Alot of good cappers on here seem to also like the Clip, like i said above i just don't see a reason you could have to go against the Clip at home the way they've been playing
Alot of good cappers on here seem to also like the Clip, like i said above i just don't see a reason you could have to go against the Clip at home the way they've been playing
Agree with you 100% on that Boston/LAC under 190.5. Over the last hour you and a number of the more reliable cappers have been leaning that way, I'm going in on it. Boston is going to bring that game to a grinding halt, and keep it very competitive.
$250: Boston/LAC Under....what are your thoughts on a parlay with LAC moneyline?
Agree with you 100% on that Boston/LAC under 190.5. Over the last hour you and a number of the more reliable cappers have been leaning that way, I'm going in on it. Boston is going to bring that game to a grinding halt, and keep it very competitive.
$250: Boston/LAC Under....what are your thoughts on a parlay with LAC moneyline?
You are a great capper and I respect your skills. I am with you on the DAL over. However, I think BOS plays well tonite and may even win SU. I had MINNY last time vs. OKC and they ended their long win streak. Granted MINNY was at home. I think BOS rises up to the challenge. BOS did beat LAC last year in LA as a 5.5 dog. Good luck tonite!
You are a great capper and I respect your skills. I am with you on the DAL over. However, I think BOS plays well tonite and may even win SU. I had MINNY last time vs. OKC and they ended their long win streak. Granted MINNY was at home. I think BOS rises up to the challenge. BOS did beat LAC last year in LA as a 5.5 dog. Good luck tonite!
@bookiekilla def and much respect with the Minnesota pick against OKC that was money. I agree Boston is dangerous they could win SU but I just couldn't go against LAC right now they've been playing so well while Boston has struggled on the road. I don't disagree with A Boston play. To be fair my clippers play is the smallest unit play.
@bookiekilla def and much respect with the Minnesota pick against OKC that was money. I agree Boston is dangerous they could win SU but I just couldn't go against LAC right now they've been playing so well while Boston has struggled on the road. I don't disagree with A Boston play. To be fair my clippers play is the smallest unit play.
I have to assume he is. I havent heard a time table but everything i've heard has been that he's been rehabbing really well is at or ahead of schedule and has been doing really well. All i've seen of him is the rare footage of him doing shoot around before bulls games as he hasn't been sticking around to watch the games/sit on the bench. As a bulls fan i just hope he takes however long he needs and makes sure he's 100% before he attempts to come back. He seems like the type of guy who would rush things to come back earlier. Hopefully the bulls being competitive without him helps him take his time.
I have to assume he is. I havent heard a time table but everything i've heard has been that he's been rehabbing really well is at or ahead of schedule and has been doing really well. All i've seen of him is the rare footage of him doing shoot around before bulls games as he hasn't been sticking around to watch the games/sit on the bench. As a bulls fan i just hope he takes however long he needs and makes sure he's 100% before he attempts to come back. He seems like the type of guy who would rush things to come back earlier. Hopefully the bulls being competitive without him helps him take his time.
^ Thanks Carlos, but I was VERY LUCKY. A winner is a winner, but I look at it as my read was way off on that game. OT is always a possible savior when playing the over and it saved me today but I'm not happy with my read.
^ Thanks Carlos, but I was VERY LUCKY. A winner is a winner, but I look at it as my read was way off on that game. OT is always a possible savior when playing the over and it saved me today but I'm not happy with my read.
I haven't been playing many 2nd half lines, but I've been capping them recently and doing quite well so i'm going to occassionally post halftime plays as well. Today happens to be one of those, love this play, my second largest play of the month.
7 units: 2nd half Boston @ Los Angeles Clippers over 93
I originally was leaning under 190 for this game but the first half is pacing over with a 60-47 halftime score. The Clippers are producing efficiently as usual, scoring at 53% from the field while Boston is shooting just 42%. I see LA continuing to score at this rate and finishing with at least 110 (50 in the second half) while Boston has the opportunity to improve from the field in the second half. I see the 2nd half total finishing over 100.
I haven't been playing many 2nd half lines, but I've been capping them recently and doing quite well so i'm going to occassionally post halftime plays as well. Today happens to be one of those, love this play, my second largest play of the month.
7 units: 2nd half Boston @ Los Angeles Clippers over 93
I originally was leaning under 190 for this game but the first half is pacing over with a 60-47 halftime score. The Clippers are producing efficiently as usual, scoring at 53% from the field while Boston is shooting just 42%. I see LA continuing to score at this rate and finishing with at least 110 (50 in the second half) while Boston has the opportunity to improve from the field in the second half. I see the 2nd half total finishing over 100.
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