Home Underdogs are 6-4 ATS and 5-5 SU _________________________________________________________________________________________________
Another bad night. 2-5 overall...but only -1.3 units thanks to the big Nuggets play. Brings the weekly total to 10-13 and we have some serious work to do in order to get back above 50% for the week. Not going to be easy because there are some REALLY tough games....I may have to get back into the totals end of things....but the fact that I liked the UNDER in the 2nd Half of Pacers/Cavs and they beat it by 17 points doesn't make me like it too much.
Line Projections:
Miami vs. Orlando (-1.5) O/U 201 San Antonio vs. LA Lakers (-2.5) O/U 198.5 Milwaukee vs. Golden State (-4.5) O/U 197.5
Home Underdogs are 6-4 ATS and 5-5 SU _________________________________________________________________________________________________
Another bad night. 2-5 overall...but only -1.3 units thanks to the big Nuggets play. Brings the weekly total to 10-13 and we have some serious work to do in order to get back above 50% for the week. Not going to be easy because there are some REALLY tough games....I may have to get back into the totals end of things....but the fact that I liked the UNDER in the 2nd Half of Pacers/Cavs and they beat it by 17 points doesn't make me like it too much.
Line Projections:
Miami vs. Orlando (-1.5) O/U 201 San Antonio vs. LA Lakers (-2.5) O/U 198.5 Milwaukee vs. Golden State (-4.5) O/U 197.5
From what I saw out of the Heat in the past couple games...they are learning how to get out and run...and play solid defense. I think for a while there they struggled to find the right balance. The reason why they beat the Thunder on Sunday was they stepped up late and played great defense...and also were able to put the foot on the gas pedal and get some fast break points. If you want to throw their scrimmage the other night against the Cavaliers in there...then they did the same thing. Dwayne Wade has been incredible in the past couple weeks...hitting a very high percentage of his shots. This has been probably the biggest reason why they are playing so well. Mike Miller has not stepped up and done what he was supposed to do...so Wade's shooting has been critical. Against the Knicks he went 14-22 and 34 points...against the Thunder he finished 13-22 and 32 points...the other night against the Cavs he shot 13-21 from the field, and had 34 points once again. The thing I noticed about those teams (Knicks/Cavs/Thunder) is that they don't really play great team defense....something we will also see out of the Magic tonight. The Magic play decent individual defense with Howard and Nelson...but also have quite a few mental lapses as well. I will look for another huge game out of D-Wade...LeBron will put up his 25-30 as usual.
Another reason why I really like the OVER in this game is what the Magic have done on Thursday Nights since their acquisition of Arenas, Richardson, and Turkoglu. Their first big time Thursday Night game was on December 23rd against the Spurs. In that game they shot a ridiculous 13 for 25 on 3-pointers...shot 60% from the field...had 7 guys in double figures...and put up a crisp 123 points. A week later on December 30th they played another big time Thursday Night game against the New York Knicks. The Knicks weren't as hot as they were for their game against the Celtics...but they were still among the top teams in the East at that time. The Magic put up 112 points...hit 9 three-pointers...had 7 guys in double figures once again...and outrebounded the Knicks 51-35. Dwight Howard had one of his better games with 24 points and 18 rebounds. The Orlando Magic had their most recent Thursday Night game on January 13th where they traveled to Oklahoma City. This game was by far Dwight Howard's biggest game of the year...as he put up 39 points and 18 rebounds. The Magic shot incredibly well from 3 once again...hitting on 14 of their 28 attempts. They only had 4 guys in double figures...but also had the other four guys that played come within a basket of reaching it as well. This game was very high scoring, as the Thunder came away with a nice late victory 125-124.
The Magic step up under the spotlight. On Thursday Nights they buckle down and put up some big points. All three games since the trade have gone over the total. The Magic shoot the ball incredibly well from 3...something that fuels them without a doubt. Dwight Howard seems to put in a little extra effort as well. The Spurs/Knicks/Thunder don't have a true big man that can guard Howard 1-on-1 which allows him to kick out to an open man when the double team comes. This is something that I can really see the Heat struggling with as well. I'm not going to go as high of a play as I did with the Nuggets...but this game (and even scarier a total) will be another big play for me.
From what I saw out of the Heat in the past couple games...they are learning how to get out and run...and play solid defense. I think for a while there they struggled to find the right balance. The reason why they beat the Thunder on Sunday was they stepped up late and played great defense...and also were able to put the foot on the gas pedal and get some fast break points. If you want to throw their scrimmage the other night against the Cavaliers in there...then they did the same thing. Dwayne Wade has been incredible in the past couple weeks...hitting a very high percentage of his shots. This has been probably the biggest reason why they are playing so well. Mike Miller has not stepped up and done what he was supposed to do...so Wade's shooting has been critical. Against the Knicks he went 14-22 and 34 points...against the Thunder he finished 13-22 and 32 points...the other night against the Cavs he shot 13-21 from the field, and had 34 points once again. The thing I noticed about those teams (Knicks/Cavs/Thunder) is that they don't really play great team defense....something we will also see out of the Magic tonight. The Magic play decent individual defense with Howard and Nelson...but also have quite a few mental lapses as well. I will look for another huge game out of D-Wade...LeBron will put up his 25-30 as usual.
Another reason why I really like the OVER in this game is what the Magic have done on Thursday Nights since their acquisition of Arenas, Richardson, and Turkoglu. Their first big time Thursday Night game was on December 23rd against the Spurs. In that game they shot a ridiculous 13 for 25 on 3-pointers...shot 60% from the field...had 7 guys in double figures...and put up a crisp 123 points. A week later on December 30th they played another big time Thursday Night game against the New York Knicks. The Knicks weren't as hot as they were for their game against the Celtics...but they were still among the top teams in the East at that time. The Magic put up 112 points...hit 9 three-pointers...had 7 guys in double figures once again...and outrebounded the Knicks 51-35. Dwight Howard had one of his better games with 24 points and 18 rebounds. The Orlando Magic had their most recent Thursday Night game on January 13th where they traveled to Oklahoma City. This game was by far Dwight Howard's biggest game of the year...as he put up 39 points and 18 rebounds. The Magic shot incredibly well from 3 once again...hitting on 14 of their 28 attempts. They only had 4 guys in double figures...but also had the other four guys that played come within a basket of reaching it as well. This game was very high scoring, as the Thunder came away with a nice late victory 125-124.
The Magic step up under the spotlight. On Thursday Nights they buckle down and put up some big points. All three games since the trade have gone over the total. The Magic shoot the ball incredibly well from 3...something that fuels them without a doubt. Dwight Howard seems to put in a little extra effort as well. The Spurs/Knicks/Thunder don't have a true big man that can guard Howard 1-on-1 which allows him to kick out to an open man when the double team comes. This is something that I can really see the Heat struggling with as well. I'm not going to go as high of a play as I did with the Nuggets...but this game (and even scarier a total) will be another big play for me.
Spurs/Lakers is a tough one to call because both teams come into this one on a sour note. The Lakers lost to the Kings and C's and barely beat the Rockets.
Spurs/Lakers is a tough one to call because both teams come into this one on a sour note. The Lakers lost to the Kings and C's and barely beat the Rockets.
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