Long story short: No good reason why not. You already know all the reasons the Dodgers are favored. Best record in baseball, home field advantage, outstanding bullpen, the (formerly) greatest pitcher in baseball, blah, blah blah. What makes Houston competitive, game and/or series? For one thing Keuchel will also enjoy the natural advantages of a lefty in the Dodger Stadium that Kershaw has enjoyed his entire career. Lack of experience versus either starter is a detriment to both offenses. One succeeds, one fails, but that does not automatically make Kershaw the on that succeeds. The Astros are extremely aggressive, and they know beforehand that to win it they must neutralize home field advantage and win at least one on the road. For all their glamorous stats the most impressive the Astros hold may be their “best in MLB” lack of strikeouts. All other offensive stats are related, because they focus on putting the ball in play and taking what they are given. Home runs are nice, and very glamorous, but nothing is more frustrating than watching three straight guys, with runners aboard, strike out or pop out with nothing to show for it. So, if one realizes the Dodgers have not been challenged, and Kershaw has not been overly impressive, the odds look very long that they are a shoo-in winner, game or series.
BOL
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
Long story short: No good reason why not. You already know all the reasons the Dodgers are favored. Best record in baseball, home field advantage, outstanding bullpen, the (formerly) greatest pitcher in baseball, blah, blah blah. What makes Houston competitive, game and/or series? For one thing Keuchel will also enjoy the natural advantages of a lefty in the Dodger Stadium that Kershaw has enjoyed his entire career. Lack of experience versus either starter is a detriment to both offenses. One succeeds, one fails, but that does not automatically make Kershaw the on that succeeds. The Astros are extremely aggressive, and they know beforehand that to win it they must neutralize home field advantage and win at least one on the road. For all their glamorous stats the most impressive the Astros hold may be their “best in MLB” lack of strikeouts. All other offensive stats are related, because they focus on putting the ball in play and taking what they are given. Home runs are nice, and very glamorous, but nothing is more frustrating than watching three straight guys, with runners aboard, strike out or pop out with nothing to show for it. So, if one realizes the Dodgers have not been challenged, and Kershaw has not been overly impressive, the odds look very long that they are a shoo-in winner, game or series.
Apparently you haven't seen Astro bullpen implode multiple times over the entire season and postseason, but most importantly at the end of the season and in the postseason
That is such a glaring disadvantage to the Astros that Dodger backers should be counting their blessings it doesn't show in the line.
Astro starts have to hope they go CG because if not who's coming, Giles, Peacock?
LAD will run Kenley 6 innings every time if they have to. Not only will Keuchel have to hope for a lead and to keep pace with Kershaw, but he will need to outlast him for Hinch to avoid going to his BP
Remember, LAD the most comeback wins in the league. They were doing it nightly just for fun. I would not back Astros at Dodger stadium esp.
Apparently you haven't seen Astro bullpen implode multiple times over the entire season and postseason, but most importantly at the end of the season and in the postseason
That is such a glaring disadvantage to the Astros that Dodger backers should be counting their blessings it doesn't show in the line.
Astro starts have to hope they go CG because if not who's coming, Giles, Peacock?
LAD will run Kenley 6 innings every time if they have to. Not only will Keuchel have to hope for a lead and to keep pace with Kershaw, but he will need to outlast him for Hinch to avoid going to his BP
Remember, LAD the most comeback wins in the league. They were doing it nightly just for fun. I would not back Astros at Dodger stadium esp.
Boy I would like to pull the trigger on the Astros but haven't quite yet. I don't think the media is giving the Astros their due. They miss the Yanks/Dodgers matchup. I have the Over right now for my GM 1 play.
Boy I would like to pull the trigger on the Astros but haven't quite yet. I don't think the media is giving the Astros their due. They miss the Yanks/Dodgers matchup. I have the Over right now for my GM 1 play.
The Cubs batters sure made Kershaw look like Goliath last 2. In comes Altuve This is my favorite matchup to watch.
McCullers is pitching his brains out.
If I'm Dave Roberts, I would start Darvish game 3, Maeda game 4, keep the southpaws on the left coast.
Verlander is the baddest man in the ballpark, period. Game 2 and 7 are his, all day, every day. If they fall behind in the series he will appear earlier.
Jansen is the closest thing to "unhittable" as there is. Besides a 100% healthy Zach Britton, he's the best closer.
This is interesting...Cory Seager is playing. But all ready relegated to DH when in Houston. So he starts at SS to begin the series. Gotta wonder how's that back? The stros put the ball in play and have speed on the bags.
The Cubs batters sure made Kershaw look like Goliath last 2. In comes Altuve This is my favorite matchup to watch.
McCullers is pitching his brains out.
If I'm Dave Roberts, I would start Darvish game 3, Maeda game 4, keep the southpaws on the left coast.
Verlander is the baddest man in the ballpark, period. Game 2 and 7 are his, all day, every day. If they fall behind in the series he will appear earlier.
Jansen is the closest thing to "unhittable" as there is. Besides a 100% healthy Zach Britton, he's the best closer.
This is interesting...Cory Seager is playing. But all ready relegated to DH when in Houston. So he starts at SS to begin the series. Gotta wonder how's that back? The stros put the ball in play and have speed on the bags.
Doesn't the lack of hitting on the road during the postseason from Altuve and Correa concern you?
Not much. That is one of those things that can turn around in a heartbeat. Regular season the Stros were he best in baseball (tied with Indians) at 53-28. I think they can hit on the road. 65.4% could not have been all pitching.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
Doesn't the lack of hitting on the road during the postseason from Altuve and Correa concern you?
Not much. That is one of those things that can turn around in a heartbeat. Regular season the Stros were he best in baseball (tied with Indians) at 53-28. I think they can hit on the road. 65.4% could not have been all pitching.
Key, I have enjoyed checking your threads over the years. I appreciate the insight you offer and respect your opinions. If I recall correctly, you typically are in the black at years end. However, this season has been different.
You have been in the red most of the year, yet you haven’t changed a thing to try and correct it. If you have, forgive me- I haven’t noticed. I didn’t even need to open your thread to know you were on Houston. Keuchel at +money, done deal.
But, I believe it’s a big mistake to not consider the bullpens. It’s going to be hot in LA tonight and I know you don’t think it will matter. But, I think it could. There is no doubt that the juiced ball will be carrying. With that in mind, I believe the bullpens come into play. How anyone can trust the Houston pen right now is beyond me. Even Giles looks shaky. LA on the other hand has the best pen in the league.
Both lineups are stacked. But advantage tonight goes to LA with Keuchel replacing either McCann or Gattis. I know the Astros hit lefties, but let’s be honest- most lefties are not Clayton Kershaw and the lineup has very little experience facing him. Both starters are aces, but slight advantage goes to Kershaw at home. The bullpens are not close, heavy advantage goes to LA. The way I see it, -165 is justified.
I understand that the Astros know they must take a game in LA. But, that doesn’t mean they will. And I will never put money behind a bet that says they’ll do it against Kershaw and the Dodgers pen. I would call that wishful thinking.
Key, I have enjoyed checking your threads over the years. I appreciate the insight you offer and respect your opinions. If I recall correctly, you typically are in the black at years end. However, this season has been different.
You have been in the red most of the year, yet you haven’t changed a thing to try and correct it. If you have, forgive me- I haven’t noticed. I didn’t even need to open your thread to know you were on Houston. Keuchel at +money, done deal.
But, I believe it’s a big mistake to not consider the bullpens. It’s going to be hot in LA tonight and I know you don’t think it will matter. But, I think it could. There is no doubt that the juiced ball will be carrying. With that in mind, I believe the bullpens come into play. How anyone can trust the Houston pen right now is beyond me. Even Giles looks shaky. LA on the other hand has the best pen in the league.
Both lineups are stacked. But advantage tonight goes to LA with Keuchel replacing either McCann or Gattis. I know the Astros hit lefties, but let’s be honest- most lefties are not Clayton Kershaw and the lineup has very little experience facing him. Both starters are aces, but slight advantage goes to Kershaw at home. The bullpens are not close, heavy advantage goes to LA. The way I see it, -165 is justified.
I understand that the Astros know they must take a game in LA. But, that doesn’t mean they will. And I will never put money behind a bet that says they’ll do it against Kershaw and the Dodgers pen. I would call that wishful thinking.
Key, I have enjoyed checking your threads over the years. I appreciate the insight you offer and respect your opinions. If I recall correctly, you typically are in the black at years end. However, this season has been different.
You have been in the red most of the year, yet you haven’t changed a thing to try and correct it. If you have, forgive me- I haven’t noticed. I didn’t even need to open your thread to know you were on Houston. Keuchel at +money, done deal.
But, I believe it’s a big mistake to not consider the bullpens. It’s going to be hot in LA tonight and I know you don’t think it will matter. But, I think it could. There is no doubt that the juiced ball will be carrying. With that in mind, I believe the bullpens come into play. How anyone can trust the Houston pen right now is beyond me. Even Giles looks shaky. LA on the other hand has the best pen in the league.
Both lineups are stacked. But advantage tonight goes to LA with Keuchel replacing either McCann or Gattis. I know the Astros hit lefties, but let’s be honest- most lefties are not Clayton Kershaw and the lineup has very little experience facing him. Both starters are aces, but slight advantage goes to Kershaw at home. The bullpens are not close, heavy advantage goes to LA. The way I see it, -165 is justified.
I understand that the Astros know they must take a game in LA. But, that doesn’t mean they will. And I will never put money behind a bet that says they’ll do it against Kershaw and the Dodgers pen. I would call that wishful thinking.
Key, I have enjoyed checking your threads over the years. I appreciate the insight you offer and respect your opinions. If I recall correctly, you typically are in the black at years end. However, this season has been different.
You have been in the red most of the year, yet you haven’t changed a thing to try and correct it. If you have, forgive me- I haven’t noticed. I didn’t even need to open your thread to know you were on Houston. Keuchel at +money, done deal.
But, I believe it’s a big mistake to not consider the bullpens. It’s going to be hot in LA tonight and I know you don’t think it will matter. But, I think it could. There is no doubt that the juiced ball will be carrying. With that in mind, I believe the bullpens come into play. How anyone can trust the Houston pen right now is beyond me. Even Giles looks shaky. LA on the other hand has the best pen in the league.
Both lineups are stacked. But advantage tonight goes to LA with Keuchel replacing either McCann or Gattis. I know the Astros hit lefties, but let’s be honest- most lefties are not Clayton Kershaw and the lineup has very little experience facing him. Both starters are aces, but slight advantage goes to Kershaw at home. The bullpens are not close, heavy advantage goes to LA. The way I see it, -165 is justified.
I understand that the Astros know they must take a game in LA. But, that doesn’t mean they will. And I will never put money behind a bet that says they’ll do it against Kershaw and the Dodgers pen. I would call that wishful thinking.
With all due respect, I'm still trying to figure this whole "value" thing out through the eyes of key element. I msybgetbtold to stfu like last time because I'm asking questions here but I think it needs to asked about. There are some in here who all they care about is winning. You'd think that's the main goal right? It isn't to gather info to support or challenge a line, it isn't to look at probabilities. Sure those things have to come in play when capping anything but correct me if I'm wrong: value is only value IF it wins, right? I could sell you a guaranteed piece of sh@t for cheap and it could look amazing but if it's a piece of sh@t, is there a value? There is a reason why certain cars, certain material things, certain GAMES are better and just because they are more expensive does that mean they don't offer value? If you are getting more production or you are winning more times than not with paying more doesn't that trump everything? If I put 1700 on the Dodgers to win 1000 and I put 690 on the Astros to win a 100 that extra 1010 I'm saving seems great right? Not really if that 690 bet is a piece of sh@t bet. Maybe it was set out to look great at the price but at the end of the day, that was the bait of selling the piece of sh&at. I'm not necessarily speaking about tonites line; I'm speaking about your idea of value and how if you feel it's not the right line....better hit it. Ask yourself this: why is Kershaw at -170 and kuechel at +147? What variables go into those lines? Do you think the books continually get the lines wrong and that guys like you key who put a ton of emphasis on finding false lines are ahead of the books? Really? Again, I guess I'm just trying to figure this out. Another example: you gonna bet the cavs to win the NBA championship because they are better value at +350 rather than betting the warriors at -160? You just placing the bet because of the "value" even though the value might be with the better team in golden state? Key, you can get all defensive and pop your chest out here with me asking questions or you can just know that I'm trying to understand where you are coming from because lately, this "value" thing doesn't seem to be working over the long haul for those who rely on the way you do. Good luck the rest of the way buddy
With all due respect, I'm still trying to figure this whole "value" thing out through the eyes of key element. I msybgetbtold to stfu like last time because I'm asking questions here but I think it needs to asked about. There are some in here who all they care about is winning. You'd think that's the main goal right? It isn't to gather info to support or challenge a line, it isn't to look at probabilities. Sure those things have to come in play when capping anything but correct me if I'm wrong: value is only value IF it wins, right? I could sell you a guaranteed piece of sh@t for cheap and it could look amazing but if it's a piece of sh@t, is there a value? There is a reason why certain cars, certain material things, certain GAMES are better and just because they are more expensive does that mean they don't offer value? If you are getting more production or you are winning more times than not with paying more doesn't that trump everything? If I put 1700 on the Dodgers to win 1000 and I put 690 on the Astros to win a 100 that extra 1010 I'm saving seems great right? Not really if that 690 bet is a piece of sh@t bet. Maybe it was set out to look great at the price but at the end of the day, that was the bait of selling the piece of sh&at. I'm not necessarily speaking about tonites line; I'm speaking about your idea of value and how if you feel it's not the right line....better hit it. Ask yourself this: why is Kershaw at -170 and kuechel at +147? What variables go into those lines? Do you think the books continually get the lines wrong and that guys like you key who put a ton of emphasis on finding false lines are ahead of the books? Really? Again, I guess I'm just trying to figure this out. Another example: you gonna bet the cavs to win the NBA championship because they are better value at +350 rather than betting the warriors at -160? You just placing the bet because of the "value" even though the value might be with the better team in golden state? Key, you can get all defensive and pop your chest out here with me asking questions or you can just know that I'm trying to understand where you are coming from because lately, this "value" thing doesn't seem to be working over the long haul for those who rely on the way you do. Good luck the rest of the way buddy
The Cubs batters sure made Kershaw look like Goliath last 2. In comes Altuve This is my favorite matchup to watch.
McCullers is pitching his brains out.
If I'm Dave Roberts, I would start Darvish game 3, Maeda game 4, keep the southpaws on the left coast.
Verlander is the baddest man in the ballpark, period. Game 2 and 7 are his, all day, every day. If they fall behind in the series he will appear earlier.
Jansen is the closest thing to "unhittable" as there is. Besides a 100% healthy Zach Britton, he's the best closer.
This is interesting...Cory Seager is playing. But all ready relegated to DH when in Houston. So he starts at SS to begin the series. Gotta wonder how's that back? The stros put the ball in play and have speed on the bags.
Best of Luck Key
This could have been your original post or a post all on its own. What's in bold above is the key, Key.
I'll take Keuchel a lefty on a small ball team(more or less - moreso than LAD) in a pitchers park (that favors lefty pitchers) all day, every day.
I have this game at LAD -126 true line (-134/+124) mostly because Kecuhel L in this park and the small ball, base running grit of HOU.
Are Turner, Bellinger and Puig going to homer tonight? More importantly will anyone be on base?
Lastly LAD bullpen is the ONLY thing that stands in the way of a HOU series victory.
The Cubs batters sure made Kershaw look like Goliath last 2. In comes Altuve This is my favorite matchup to watch.
McCullers is pitching his brains out.
If I'm Dave Roberts, I would start Darvish game 3, Maeda game 4, keep the southpaws on the left coast.
Verlander is the baddest man in the ballpark, period. Game 2 and 7 are his, all day, every day. If they fall behind in the series he will appear earlier.
Jansen is the closest thing to "unhittable" as there is. Besides a 100% healthy Zach Britton, he's the best closer.
This is interesting...Cory Seager is playing. But all ready relegated to DH when in Houston. So he starts at SS to begin the series. Gotta wonder how's that back? The stros put the ball in play and have speed on the bags.
Best of Luck Key
This could have been your original post or a post all on its own. What's in bold above is the key, Key.
I'll take Keuchel a lefty on a small ball team(more or less - moreso than LAD) in a pitchers park (that favors lefty pitchers) all day, every day.
I have this game at LAD -126 true line (-134/+124) mostly because Kecuhel L in this park and the small ball, base running grit of HOU.
Are Turner, Bellinger and Puig going to homer tonight? More importantly will anyone be on base?
Lastly LAD bullpen is the ONLY thing that stands in the way of a HOU series victory.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it. As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.