If you have never read my wagering strategy I encourage you to do so. Whether or not you adopt is it your choice.
MLB 2012 Regular Season: 363-369 +245.87 Units 6.72% ROI
MLB 2012 Playoffs: 12-9-3 +10.29 Units 14.6% ROI
MLB 2012 @ 1 unit per play = +51.23 Net Units
5.07.2013, 2-0, +16.25 Units, +162.5% ROI
YTD – 82-82-13, +36.74 Units, +4.55% ROI
5 & 9 Innings – ALWAYS Specify Pitchers – NO action plays
All plays are 5 Units Flat, unless otherwise noted
Marlins F5 (+135) FG (+139) (Nolasco / Marquis)
On any given day any one team can beat another, but bettors don’t think like that. If the Marlins are so bad they have lost two straight to the Padres they must be bad enough to lose every game and finish at 10-152 for the season, or at least 5-77 on the road, right? That is not going to happen, but; because public thinking is what it is folks are willing to back Jason Marquis and the Padres offense as a heavy favorite versus Ricky Nolasco and the Marlins. At -149 the Padres need a 59.84% probability of a win just for their backers to have a chance to break even. The Padres do not win 59.84% of their games in any category, much less in Marquis starts, where they have been lucky enough to go 3-3, and that won’t hold up much longer.
Only day game, evening games later.
BOL
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
If you have never read my wagering strategy I encourage you to do so. Whether or not you adopt is it your choice.
MLB 2012 Regular Season: 363-369 +245.87 Units 6.72% ROI
MLB 2012 Playoffs: 12-9-3 +10.29 Units 14.6% ROI
MLB 2012 @ 1 unit per play = +51.23 Net Units
5.07.2013, 2-0, +16.25 Units, +162.5% ROI
YTD – 82-82-13, +36.74 Units, +4.55% ROI
5 & 9 Innings – ALWAYS Specify Pitchers – NO action plays
All plays are 5 Units Flat, unless otherwise noted
Marlins F5 (+135) FG (+139) (Nolasco / Marquis)
On any given day any one team can beat another, but bettors don’t think like that. If the Marlins are so bad they have lost two straight to the Padres they must be bad enough to lose every game and finish at 10-152 for the season, or at least 5-77 on the road, right? That is not going to happen, but; because public thinking is what it is folks are willing to back Jason Marquis and the Padres offense as a heavy favorite versus Ricky Nolasco and the Marlins. At -149 the Padres need a 59.84% probability of a win just for their backers to have a chance to break even. The Padres do not win 59.84% of their games in any category, much less in Marquis starts, where they have been lucky enough to go 3-3, and that won’t hold up much longer.
Nothing is any different today except that I don’t know what the boys did with their night off on the road. If they lose and I find out they spent last night in the titty bars I will be seriously pissed off.
If the Tigers win the World Series both the sportswriters and fans will lavish their love and admiration and hero worship on Verlander, Cabrera and Fielder, but: If they do in fact even get there it will be thanks to guys named Fister, Scherzer and Sanchez. There is so much love thrown at Verlander most folks don’t realize how good the overall starting staff really is. Tonight Sanchez is the better chucker in this matchup and has a far better offense behind him even though he himself has to hit.
Astros F5 (+120) F5 (+127)(Blanton / Norris)
Logic is a forgotten asset to some folks. At 11-21 overall, 4-12 on the road, and 0-6 in Blanton’s starts, why are the Angels favored?
Yankees F5 (+119) FG (+122) (Phelps / Nicasio)
Trust the public bettor to know when to over value one game and ignore the true probability of the next. The Yankees are 9-5-1 in the 5 inning game category their last 15 and have faced better competition than Nicasio. So they lost to the lefty De La Rosa, so what? That is not their strong suit anyway and it was a first game on the road at an unfamiliar site. With an offensive power rating of 34.9 and an oera of 4.8 I don’t think they get shut out again. In fact, I think they light it up.
BOL
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
Nothing is any different today except that I don’t know what the boys did with their night off on the road. If they lose and I find out they spent last night in the titty bars I will be seriously pissed off.
If the Tigers win the World Series both the sportswriters and fans will lavish their love and admiration and hero worship on Verlander, Cabrera and Fielder, but: If they do in fact even get there it will be thanks to guys named Fister, Scherzer and Sanchez. There is so much love thrown at Verlander most folks don’t realize how good the overall starting staff really is. Tonight Sanchez is the better chucker in this matchup and has a far better offense behind him even though he himself has to hit.
Astros F5 (+120) F5 (+127)(Blanton / Norris)
Logic is a forgotten asset to some folks. At 11-21 overall, 4-12 on the road, and 0-6 in Blanton’s starts, why are the Angels favored?
Yankees F5 (+119) FG (+122) (Phelps / Nicasio)
Trust the public bettor to know when to over value one game and ignore the true probability of the next. The Yankees are 9-5-1 in the 5 inning game category their last 15 and have faced better competition than Nicasio. So they lost to the lefty De La Rosa, so what? That is not their strong suit anyway and it was a first game on the road at an unfamiliar site. With an offensive power rating of 34.9 and an oera of 4.8 I don’t think they get shut out again. In fact, I think they light it up.
Nothing is any different today except that I don’t know what the boys did with their night off on the road. If they lose and I find out they spent last night in the titty bars I will be seriously pissed off.
If the Tigers win the World Series both the sportswriters and fans will lavish their love and admiration and hero worship on Verlander, Cabrera and Fielder, but: If they do in fact even get there it will be thanks to guys named Fister, Scherzer and Sanchez. There is so much love thrown at Verlander most folks don’t realize how good the overall starting staff really is. Tonight Sanchez is the better chucker in this matchup and has a far better offense behind him even though he himself has to hit.
Astros F5 (+120) F5 (+127)(Blanton / Norris)
Logic is a forgotten asset to some folks. At 11-21 overall, 4-12 on the road, and 0-6 in Blanton’s starts, why are the Angels favored?
Yankees F5 (+119) FG (+122) (Phelps / Nicasio)
Trust the public bettor to know when to over value one game and ignore the true probability of the next. The Yankees are 9-5-1 in the 5 inning game category their last 15 and have faced better competition than Nicasio. So they lost to the lefty De La Rosa, so what? That is not their strong suit anyway and it was a first game on the road at an unfamiliar site. With an offensive power rating of 34.9 and an oera of 4.8 I don’t think they get shut out again. In fact, I think they light it up.
Nothing is any different today except that I don’t know what the boys did with their night off on the road. If they lose and I find out they spent last night in the titty bars I will be seriously pissed off.
If the Tigers win the World Series both the sportswriters and fans will lavish their love and admiration and hero worship on Verlander, Cabrera and Fielder, but: If they do in fact even get there it will be thanks to guys named Fister, Scherzer and Sanchez. There is so much love thrown at Verlander most folks don’t realize how good the overall starting staff really is. Tonight Sanchez is the better chucker in this matchup and has a far better offense behind him even though he himself has to hit.
Astros F5 (+120) F5 (+127)(Blanton / Norris)
Logic is a forgotten asset to some folks. At 11-21 overall, 4-12 on the road, and 0-6 in Blanton’s starts, why are the Angels favored?
Yankees F5 (+119) FG (+122) (Phelps / Nicasio)
Trust the public bettor to know when to over value one game and ignore the true probability of the next. The Yankees are 9-5-1 in the 5 inning game category their last 15 and have faced better competition than Nicasio. So they lost to the lefty De La Rosa, so what? That is not their strong suit anyway and it was a first game on the road at an unfamiliar site. With an offensive power rating of 34.9 and an oera of 4.8 I don’t think they get shut out again. In fact, I think they light it up.
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