Write-up will be posted later this morning but this is my favorite play for today. I'm also going to add a play or 2 later today. A few totals that I like and a few leans. Stay tuned.
_________________ '10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130 '10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600 '10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800 '10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400 '10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400 '10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200 '10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400 '10 NBA: 151-99 @ 60% for +$42,100 '10 NBAP: 30-26 @ 54% for +$1,400 '10 NHL: 18-9 @ 67% for +$6,175 '10 NHLP: 16-7 @ 70% for +$5,575
----------------------------------- TOTAL: 415-277 @ 60% for +$107,580
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned"
Write-up will be posted later this morning but this is my favorite play for today. I'm also going to add a play or 2 later today. A few totals that I like and a few leans. Stay tuned.
_________________ '10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130 '10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600 '10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800 '10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400 '10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400 '10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200 '10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400 '10 NBA: 151-99 @ 60% for +$42,100 '10 NBAP: 30-26 @ 54% for +$1,400 '10 NHL: 18-9 @ 67% for +$6,175 '10 NHLP: 16-7 @ 70% for +$5,575
----------------------------------- TOTAL: 415-277 @ 60% for +$107,580
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned"
Florida Marlins 44-48 (48%) @ Chicago Cubs 37-56 (40%)
R.
Nolasco, starting for Florida Marlins, has a FIP of 3.27 (#41 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.42 (#33 in MLB), and tERA of 4.37 (#114 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .308, LOB% of 71%, and E-F of 0.44. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.17, with
a WHIP of 1.28, and opponent BA of .265. His batted-ball peripherals
are: LD%: 25%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 32% for a 1.34 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of
8%.
R. Dempster, starting for Chicago Cubs, has a FIP of 3.92
(#101 in MLB), xFIP of 3.43 (#34 in MLB), and tERA of 4.66 (#141 in
MLB), with a BABIP of .326, LOB% of 68%, and E-F of 1.09. He has a K/BB
ratio of 2.55, with a WHIP of 1.44, and opponent BA of .272. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 33% for a 1.38
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 13%.
Florida Marlins have the #11
bullpen, #21 offense, and are rated #19 in fielding. They have a road
record of 23-22 (51%), ranked #11 in MLB and have Won 6 in a row.
Chicago
Cubs have the #24 bullpen, #14 offense, and are rated #24 in fielding.
They have a home record of 20-27 (43%), ranked #28 in MLB and have Lost 2
in a row.
Dempster's ERA was 3.10 in May/June after a disastrous
April. He has given up 3 ER's or less in 6 straight games, with Cubs
going 5-1 in those. Dempster's home ERA is 3.84 compared to 6.70 on the
road. Nolasco has given up 2 ER's and 18 hits in his last 25 innings
pitched. He gave up 9 hits and 4 ER's tot he Cubs earlier this year.
Home/away ERA: 3.13 / 4.47
Philadelphia Phillies 57-34 (63%) @ New York Mets 46-45 (51%)
V.
Worley, starting for Philadelphia Phillies, has a FIP of 3 (#24 in
MLB), xFIP of 4.04 (#113 in MLB), and tERA of 3.24 (#18 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .265, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of -0.8. He has a K/BB ratio of
1.89, with a WHIP of 1.22, and opponent BA of .216. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 16%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 38% for a 1.2 GB/FB ratio, and
a HR/FB of 4%.
R. Dickey, starting for New York Mets, has a FIP
of 4.15 (#125 in MLB), xFIP of 3.88 (#91 in MLB), and tERA of 3.99 (#75
in MLB), with a BABIP of .283, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of -0.5. He has a
K/BB ratio of 2.2, with a WHIP of 1.32, and opponent BA of .256. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 15%, GB%: 52%, FB%: 33% for a 1.58
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 11%.
Philadelphia Phillies have the
#22 bullpen, #17 offense, and are rated #22 in fielding. They have a
road record of 23-19 (55%), ranked #5 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
New
York Mets have the #14 bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #21 in
fielding. They have a home record of 19-22 (46%), ranked #24 in MLB and
have Lost 2 in a row.
Worley got rocked by the Mets earlier this
year: 3 innings 12 hits, 5 ER's (8 runs total), after going 6 innings
of 2-hit game against them in his first start of the year. Victorino is
out for the Phils. Reyes and Wright are out for the Mets. Dickey is
1-5 at home this year. He had an ERA of 2.25 against Phillies in 2010.
Mets traded their closer, Francisco Rodriguez, to the Brewers over the
All-Star break.
St Louis Cardinals 49-43 (53%) @ Cincinnati Reds 45-47 (49%)
J.
Westbrook, starting for St Louis Cardinals, has a FIP of 4.48 (#154 in
MLB), xFIP of 4.06 (#117 in MLB), and tERA of 4.53 (#126 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .32, LOB% of 67%, and E-F of 0.86. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.3,
with a WHIP of 1.61, and opponent BA of .295. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 16%, GB%: 61%, FB%: 23% for a 2.7 GB/FB ratio, and
a HR/FB of 13%.
J. Cueto, starting for Cincinnati Reds, has a
FIP of 3.55 (#62 in MLB), xFIP of 3.74 (#75 in MLB), and tERA of 3.83
(#64 in MLB), with a BABIP of .218, LOB% of 81%, and E-F of -1.59. He
has a K/BB ratio of 1.92, with a WHIP of 1, and opponent BA of .194. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 54%, FB%: 29% for a 1.86
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.
St Louis Cardinals have the #21
bullpen, #4 offense, and are rated #29 in fielding. They have a road
record of 24-22 (52%), ranked #9 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Cincinnati
Reds have the #20 bullpen, #8 offense, and are rated #2 in fielding.
They have a home record of 23-21 (52%), ranked #15 in MLB and have Lost 1
in a row.
Westbrook gave up 3 HR's to Cincy in his last start
prior to All-Star Break. He was coming off a 112-pitching outing in
that one, and 3 strating 100+ games. Earlier this year, he held Cincy
to 3-hits and 0 ER's in 6 innings of work. Cueto hasn't allowed more
than 3 ER's in any of his 12 starts this year.
Washington Nationals 46-46 (50%) @ Atlanta Braves 54-38 (59%)
L.
Hernandez, starting for Washington Nationals, has a FIP of 3.63 (#74 in
MLB), xFIP of 4.01 (#106 in MLB), and tERA of 4.16 (#93 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .315, LOB% of 71%, and E-F of 0.38. He has a K/BB ratio of
2.33, with a WHIP of 1.37, and opponent BA of .278. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 41%, FB%: 39% for a 1.07 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 7%.
T. Hudson, starting for Atlanta Braves, has a
FIP of 3.43 (#50 in MLB), xFIP of 3.44 (#36 in MLB), and tERA of 3.59
(#41 in MLB), with a BABIP of .264, LOB% of 67%, and E-F of 0.14. He has
a K/BB ratio of 2.63, with a WHIP of 1.15, and opponent BA of .229. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 58%, FB%: 25% for a 2.29
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Washington Nationals have the #17
bullpen, #25 offense, and are rated #27 in fielding. They have a road
record of 18-28 (39%), ranked #24 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Atlanta
Braves have the #1 bullpen, #23 offense, and are rated #25 in fielding.
They have a home record of 28-18 (61%), ranked #7 in MLB and have Lost 1
in a row.
Martin Prado is going to be activated for this one and
should replace Chipper at 3B. Hudson is 11-3 with a 2.0 ERA against
Washington. He's 1-1 against them this year. Nats totaled 5 runs in
their last 3 games prior to the break. Hernandez is 7-17 with 4.77 ERA
against the Braves. He has an ERA of 2.73 in his last 9 starts against
them.
Florida Marlins 44-48 (48%) @ Chicago Cubs 37-56 (40%)
R.
Nolasco, starting for Florida Marlins, has a FIP of 3.27 (#41 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.42 (#33 in MLB), and tERA of 4.37 (#114 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .308, LOB% of 71%, and E-F of 0.44. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.17, with
a WHIP of 1.28, and opponent BA of .265. His batted-ball peripherals
are: LD%: 25%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 32% for a 1.34 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of
8%.
R. Dempster, starting for Chicago Cubs, has a FIP of 3.92
(#101 in MLB), xFIP of 3.43 (#34 in MLB), and tERA of 4.66 (#141 in
MLB), with a BABIP of .326, LOB% of 68%, and E-F of 1.09. He has a K/BB
ratio of 2.55, with a WHIP of 1.44, and opponent BA of .272. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 33% for a 1.38
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 13%.
Florida Marlins have the #11
bullpen, #21 offense, and are rated #19 in fielding. They have a road
record of 23-22 (51%), ranked #11 in MLB and have Won 6 in a row.
Chicago
Cubs have the #24 bullpen, #14 offense, and are rated #24 in fielding.
They have a home record of 20-27 (43%), ranked #28 in MLB and have Lost 2
in a row.
Dempster's ERA was 3.10 in May/June after a disastrous
April. He has given up 3 ER's or less in 6 straight games, with Cubs
going 5-1 in those. Dempster's home ERA is 3.84 compared to 6.70 on the
road. Nolasco has given up 2 ER's and 18 hits in his last 25 innings
pitched. He gave up 9 hits and 4 ER's tot he Cubs earlier this year.
Home/away ERA: 3.13 / 4.47
Philadelphia Phillies 57-34 (63%) @ New York Mets 46-45 (51%)
V.
Worley, starting for Philadelphia Phillies, has a FIP of 3 (#24 in
MLB), xFIP of 4.04 (#113 in MLB), and tERA of 3.24 (#18 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .265, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of -0.8. He has a K/BB ratio of
1.89, with a WHIP of 1.22, and opponent BA of .216. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 16%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 38% for a 1.2 GB/FB ratio, and
a HR/FB of 4%.
R. Dickey, starting for New York Mets, has a FIP
of 4.15 (#125 in MLB), xFIP of 3.88 (#91 in MLB), and tERA of 3.99 (#75
in MLB), with a BABIP of .283, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of -0.5. He has a
K/BB ratio of 2.2, with a WHIP of 1.32, and opponent BA of .256. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 15%, GB%: 52%, FB%: 33% for a 1.58
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 11%.
Philadelphia Phillies have the
#22 bullpen, #17 offense, and are rated #22 in fielding. They have a
road record of 23-19 (55%), ranked #5 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
New
York Mets have the #14 bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #21 in
fielding. They have a home record of 19-22 (46%), ranked #24 in MLB and
have Lost 2 in a row.
Worley got rocked by the Mets earlier this
year: 3 innings 12 hits, 5 ER's (8 runs total), after going 6 innings
of 2-hit game against them in his first start of the year. Victorino is
out for the Phils. Reyes and Wright are out for the Mets. Dickey is
1-5 at home this year. He had an ERA of 2.25 against Phillies in 2010.
Mets traded their closer, Francisco Rodriguez, to the Brewers over the
All-Star break.
St Louis Cardinals 49-43 (53%) @ Cincinnati Reds 45-47 (49%)
J.
Westbrook, starting for St Louis Cardinals, has a FIP of 4.48 (#154 in
MLB), xFIP of 4.06 (#117 in MLB), and tERA of 4.53 (#126 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .32, LOB% of 67%, and E-F of 0.86. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.3,
with a WHIP of 1.61, and opponent BA of .295. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 16%, GB%: 61%, FB%: 23% for a 2.7 GB/FB ratio, and
a HR/FB of 13%.
J. Cueto, starting for Cincinnati Reds, has a
FIP of 3.55 (#62 in MLB), xFIP of 3.74 (#75 in MLB), and tERA of 3.83
(#64 in MLB), with a BABIP of .218, LOB% of 81%, and E-F of -1.59. He
has a K/BB ratio of 1.92, with a WHIP of 1, and opponent BA of .194. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 54%, FB%: 29% for a 1.86
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.
St Louis Cardinals have the #21
bullpen, #4 offense, and are rated #29 in fielding. They have a road
record of 24-22 (52%), ranked #9 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Cincinnati
Reds have the #20 bullpen, #8 offense, and are rated #2 in fielding.
They have a home record of 23-21 (52%), ranked #15 in MLB and have Lost 1
in a row.
Westbrook gave up 3 HR's to Cincy in his last start
prior to All-Star Break. He was coming off a 112-pitching outing in
that one, and 3 strating 100+ games. Earlier this year, he held Cincy
to 3-hits and 0 ER's in 6 innings of work. Cueto hasn't allowed more
than 3 ER's in any of his 12 starts this year.
Washington Nationals 46-46 (50%) @ Atlanta Braves 54-38 (59%)
L.
Hernandez, starting for Washington Nationals, has a FIP of 3.63 (#74 in
MLB), xFIP of 4.01 (#106 in MLB), and tERA of 4.16 (#93 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .315, LOB% of 71%, and E-F of 0.38. He has a K/BB ratio of
2.33, with a WHIP of 1.37, and opponent BA of .278. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 41%, FB%: 39% for a 1.07 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 7%.
T. Hudson, starting for Atlanta Braves, has a
FIP of 3.43 (#50 in MLB), xFIP of 3.44 (#36 in MLB), and tERA of 3.59
(#41 in MLB), with a BABIP of .264, LOB% of 67%, and E-F of 0.14. He has
a K/BB ratio of 2.63, with a WHIP of 1.15, and opponent BA of .229. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 58%, FB%: 25% for a 2.29
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Washington Nationals have the #17
bullpen, #25 offense, and are rated #27 in fielding. They have a road
record of 18-28 (39%), ranked #24 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Atlanta
Braves have the #1 bullpen, #23 offense, and are rated #25 in fielding.
They have a home record of 28-18 (61%), ranked #7 in MLB and have Lost 1
in a row.
Martin Prado is going to be activated for this one and
should replace Chipper at 3B. Hudson is 11-3 with a 2.0 ERA against
Washington. He's 1-1 against them this year. Nats totaled 5 runs in
their last 3 games prior to the break. Hernandez is 7-17 with 4.77 ERA
against the Braves. He has an ERA of 2.73 in his last 9 starts against
them.
J.
Karstens, starting for Pittsburgh Pirates, has a FIP of 4.71 (#172 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.82 (#85 in MLB), and tERA of 4.97 (#162 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .24, LOB% of 88%, and E-F of -2.13. He has a K/BB ratio of
3.57, with a WHIP of 1.07, and opponent BA of .241. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 38% for a 1.14 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 14%.
B. Myers, starting for Houston Astros, has a
FIP of 5.05 (#190 in MLB), xFIP of 4.06 (#117 in MLB), and tERA of 4.91
(#156 in MLB), with a BABIP of .283, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of -0.17. He
has a K/BB ratio of 2.27, with a WHIP of 1.37, and opponent BA of .268.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 16%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 40% for a 1.08
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 15%.
Pittsburgh Pirates have the #10
bullpen, #23 offense, and are rated #7 in fielding. They have a road
record of 24-21 (53%), ranked #8 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Houston
Astros have the #25 bullpen, #20 offense, and are rated #28 in
fielding. They have a home record of 14-33 (30%), ranked #30 in MLB and
have Lost 4 in a row.
Myers is 1-5 at home this year. Pirates
got 13 hits and 5 runs off him in 6 innings earlier this year. Houston
is 6-13 in his starts this year. Karstens hasn't allowed more than 3
ER's in 14 straight starts.
C.
Narveson, starting for Milwaukee Brewers, has a FIP of 3.53 (#60 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.51 (#45 in MLB), and tERA of 4.48 (#124 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .319, LOB% of 69%, and E-F of 1.21. He has a K/BB ratio of
2.23, with a WHIP of 1.46, and opponent BA of .265. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 25%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 31% for a 1.42 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 9%.
J. Nicasio, starting for Colorado Rockies, has
a FIP of 4.44 (#147 in MLB), xFIP of 3.61 (#58 in MLB), and tERA of
5.72 (#191 in MLB), with a BABIP of .313, LOB% of 71%, and E-F of 0.47.
He has a K/BB ratio of 2.62, with a WHIP of 1.41, and opponent BA of
.28. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 34% for a
1.28 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 15%.
Milwaukee Brewers have the
#7 bullpen, #7 offense, and are rated #13 in fielding. They have a road
record of 16-30 (35%), ranked #27 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Colorado
Rockies have the #13 bullpen, #12 offense, and are rated #14 in
fielding. They have a home record of 23-22 (51%), ranked #17 in MLB and
have Won 1 in a row.
Surprisingly Nicasio has a 2.08 ERA at home
(STL, LAD, SD, KC) versus 9.0 on the road (SF, CLE, NYY, ATL).
Obviously the sample size is very small and it seems to be a bit of a
'fluke'. Nicasio has never faced these Brewers 'bats'. Brewers have
won 6 of Narveson's last 7 starts. Milwaukke though, has lost 11 out of
their last 14 roadies. Rockies are 14-3 at home against the Brewers.
Odds: MIL +115 (47%) COL -122 (55%) O/U = 9.5
Lean: OVER
=======================================
Los Angeles Dodgers 41-51 (45%) @ Arizona Diamondbacks 49-43 (53%)
C.
Kershaw, starting for Los Angeles Dodgers, has a FIP of 2.45 (#5 in
MLB), xFIP of 2.68 (#4 in MLB), and tERA of 2.56 (#8 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .284, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of 0.58. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.2,
with a WHIP of 1.05, and opponent BA of .211. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 39% for a 1.1 GB/FB ratio, and
a HR/FB of 7%.
J. Saunders, starting for Arizona Diamondbacks,
has a FIP of 4.79 (#175 in MLB), xFIP of 4.36 (#159 in MLB), and tERA of
5.78 (#192 in MLB), with a BABIP of .282, LOB% of 79%, and E-F of
-0.93. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.45, with a WHIP of 1.38, and opponent BA
of .265. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 42%, FB%: 37%
for a 1.16 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 12%.
Los Angeles Dodgers
have the #19 bullpen, #22 offense, and are rated #15 in fielding. They
have a road record of 18-24 (43%), ranked #21 in MLB and have Won 4 in a
row.
Arizona Diamondbacks have the #15 bullpen, #9 offense, and
are rated #6 in fielding. They have a home record of 23-19 (55%), ranked
#11 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.
Kershaw won 4 straight
against Arizona. His ERA is above 4 away from home. Saunders' ERA is
4.94 at home vs 3.06 on the road.
San Francisco Giants 53-40 (57%) @ San Diego Padres 40-53 (43%)
T.
Lincecum, starting for San Francisco Giants, has a FIP of 2.72 (#12 in
MLB), xFIP of 2.93 (#9 in MLB), and tERA of 3 (#11 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .297, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of 0.34. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.93,
with a WHIP of 1.2, and opponent BA of .223. His batted-ball peripherals
are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 51%, FB%: 31% for a 1.62 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB
of 7%.
D. Moseley, starting for San Diego Padres, has a FIP of
3.93 (#102 in MLB), xFIP of 4.14 (#131 in MLB), and tERA of 3.79 (#59 in
MLB), with a BABIP of .274, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of -0.72. He has a
K/BB ratio of 1.69, with a WHIP of 1.29, and opponent BA of .251. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 51%, FB%: 32% for a 1.57
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
San Francisco Giants have the #3
bullpen, #26 offense, and are rated #8 in fielding. They have a road
record of 25-24 (51%), ranked #12 in MLB and have Won 3 in a row.
San
Diego Padres have the #2 bullpen, #29 offense, and are rated #18 in
fielding. They have a home record of 19-28 (40%), ranked #29 in MLB and
have Lost 6 in a row.
Lincecum is 1-1 against SD this year. He
has an ERA of 3.0 off him in those 2 starts. The Padres have lost 5
straight when Moseley starts. His last start prior to the ASB was @ SF,
where he gave up 5 hits and 4 ER's in 7.1 innings. He did have 9 K's
to only 1 BB in that outing.
Odds: SFG -133 (57%) SDP +125 (44%) O/U = 6
Lean: Giants and UNDER.
=======================================
J.
Karstens, starting for Pittsburgh Pirates, has a FIP of 4.71 (#172 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.82 (#85 in MLB), and tERA of 4.97 (#162 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .24, LOB% of 88%, and E-F of -2.13. He has a K/BB ratio of
3.57, with a WHIP of 1.07, and opponent BA of .241. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 38% for a 1.14 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 14%.
B. Myers, starting for Houston Astros, has a
FIP of 5.05 (#190 in MLB), xFIP of 4.06 (#117 in MLB), and tERA of 4.91
(#156 in MLB), with a BABIP of .283, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of -0.17. He
has a K/BB ratio of 2.27, with a WHIP of 1.37, and opponent BA of .268.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 16%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 40% for a 1.08
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 15%.
Pittsburgh Pirates have the #10
bullpen, #23 offense, and are rated #7 in fielding. They have a road
record of 24-21 (53%), ranked #8 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Houston
Astros have the #25 bullpen, #20 offense, and are rated #28 in
fielding. They have a home record of 14-33 (30%), ranked #30 in MLB and
have Lost 4 in a row.
Myers is 1-5 at home this year. Pirates
got 13 hits and 5 runs off him in 6 innings earlier this year. Houston
is 6-13 in his starts this year. Karstens hasn't allowed more than 3
ER's in 14 straight starts.
C.
Narveson, starting for Milwaukee Brewers, has a FIP of 3.53 (#60 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.51 (#45 in MLB), and tERA of 4.48 (#124 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .319, LOB% of 69%, and E-F of 1.21. He has a K/BB ratio of
2.23, with a WHIP of 1.46, and opponent BA of .265. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 25%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 31% for a 1.42 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 9%.
J. Nicasio, starting for Colorado Rockies, has
a FIP of 4.44 (#147 in MLB), xFIP of 3.61 (#58 in MLB), and tERA of
5.72 (#191 in MLB), with a BABIP of .313, LOB% of 71%, and E-F of 0.47.
He has a K/BB ratio of 2.62, with a WHIP of 1.41, and opponent BA of
.28. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 34% for a
1.28 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 15%.
Milwaukee Brewers have the
#7 bullpen, #7 offense, and are rated #13 in fielding. They have a road
record of 16-30 (35%), ranked #27 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Colorado
Rockies have the #13 bullpen, #12 offense, and are rated #14 in
fielding. They have a home record of 23-22 (51%), ranked #17 in MLB and
have Won 1 in a row.
Surprisingly Nicasio has a 2.08 ERA at home
(STL, LAD, SD, KC) versus 9.0 on the road (SF, CLE, NYY, ATL).
Obviously the sample size is very small and it seems to be a bit of a
'fluke'. Nicasio has never faced these Brewers 'bats'. Brewers have
won 6 of Narveson's last 7 starts. Milwaukke though, has lost 11 out of
their last 14 roadies. Rockies are 14-3 at home against the Brewers.
Odds: MIL +115 (47%) COL -122 (55%) O/U = 9.5
Lean: OVER
=======================================
Los Angeles Dodgers 41-51 (45%) @ Arizona Diamondbacks 49-43 (53%)
C.
Kershaw, starting for Los Angeles Dodgers, has a FIP of 2.45 (#5 in
MLB), xFIP of 2.68 (#4 in MLB), and tERA of 2.56 (#8 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .284, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of 0.58. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.2,
with a WHIP of 1.05, and opponent BA of .211. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 39% for a 1.1 GB/FB ratio, and
a HR/FB of 7%.
J. Saunders, starting for Arizona Diamondbacks,
has a FIP of 4.79 (#175 in MLB), xFIP of 4.36 (#159 in MLB), and tERA of
5.78 (#192 in MLB), with a BABIP of .282, LOB% of 79%, and E-F of
-0.93. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.45, with a WHIP of 1.38, and opponent BA
of .265. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 42%, FB%: 37%
for a 1.16 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 12%.
Los Angeles Dodgers
have the #19 bullpen, #22 offense, and are rated #15 in fielding. They
have a road record of 18-24 (43%), ranked #21 in MLB and have Won 4 in a
row.
Arizona Diamondbacks have the #15 bullpen, #9 offense, and
are rated #6 in fielding. They have a home record of 23-19 (55%), ranked
#11 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.
Kershaw won 4 straight
against Arizona. His ERA is above 4 away from home. Saunders' ERA is
4.94 at home vs 3.06 on the road.
San Francisco Giants 53-40 (57%) @ San Diego Padres 40-53 (43%)
T.
Lincecum, starting for San Francisco Giants, has a FIP of 2.72 (#12 in
MLB), xFIP of 2.93 (#9 in MLB), and tERA of 3 (#11 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .297, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of 0.34. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.93,
with a WHIP of 1.2, and opponent BA of .223. His batted-ball peripherals
are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 51%, FB%: 31% for a 1.62 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB
of 7%.
D. Moseley, starting for San Diego Padres, has a FIP of
3.93 (#102 in MLB), xFIP of 4.14 (#131 in MLB), and tERA of 3.79 (#59 in
MLB), with a BABIP of .274, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of -0.72. He has a
K/BB ratio of 1.69, with a WHIP of 1.29, and opponent BA of .251. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 51%, FB%: 32% for a 1.57
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
San Francisco Giants have the #3
bullpen, #26 offense, and are rated #8 in fielding. They have a road
record of 25-24 (51%), ranked #12 in MLB and have Won 3 in a row.
San
Diego Padres have the #2 bullpen, #29 offense, and are rated #18 in
fielding. They have a home record of 19-28 (40%), ranked #29 in MLB and
have Lost 6 in a row.
Lincecum is 1-1 against SD this year. He
has an ERA of 3.0 off him in those 2 starts. The Padres have lost 5
straight when Moseley starts. His last start prior to the ASB was @ SF,
where he gave up 5 hits and 4 ER's in 7.1 innings. He did have 9 K's
to only 1 BB in that outing.
Odds: SFG -133 (57%) SDP +125 (44%) O/U = 6
Lean: Giants and UNDER.
=======================================
J.
Tomlin, starting for Cleveland Indians, has a FIP of 3.96 (#110 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.82 (#85 in MLB), and tERA of 4.59 (#134 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .245, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of -0.15. He has a K/BB ratio of
4.64, with a WHIP of 1.02, and opponent BA of .235. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 37%, FB%: 41% for a 0.9 GB/FB ratio, and
a HR/FB of 10%.
J. Arrieta, starting for Baltimore Orioles, has a
FIP of 4.92 (#183 in MLB), xFIP of 4.33 (#156 in MLB), and tERA of 4.84
(#152 in MLB), with a BABIP of .264, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of -0.02. He
has a K/BB ratio of 1.6, with a WHIP of 1.4, and opponent BA of .238.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 14%, GB%: 45%, FB%: 41% for a 1.08
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 13%.
Cleveland Indians have the #8
bullpen, #15 offense, and are rated #16 in fielding. They have a road
record of 21-24 (47%), ranked #17 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Baltimore
Orioles have the #27 bullpen, #12 offense, and are rated #30 in
fielding. They have a home record of 22-23 (49%), ranked #21 in MLB and
have Lost 8 in a row.
Tomlin is 3-3 on the road with a 4.35 ERA.
He is 7-1 at home with a 3.38 ERA. Arrieta gave up 5 HR's in this last
4 starts (15 ER's in 21 innings pitched) - Indians has 2 HR's
yesterday. He is 5-2 at home with a 4.50 ERA (LUCKY!) Indians have won 5
in a row in this series with the O's. Baltimore is 6-22 in their last
28 games.
Chicago White Sox 44-48 (48%) @ Detroit Tigers 49-43 (53%)
G.
Floyd, starting for Chicago White Sox, has a FIP of 3.78 (#86 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.82 (#85 in MLB), and tERA of 4.44 (#122 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .29, LOB% of 67%, and E-F of 0.77. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.67, with a
WHIP of 1.26, and opponent BA of .254. His batted-ball peripherals are:
LD%: 20%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 37% for a 1.15 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
J.
Verlander, starting for Detroit Tigers, has a FIP of 2.72 (#12 in MLB),
xFIP of 2.93 (#9 in MLB), and tERA of 2.91 (#10 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .232, LOB% of 81%, and E-F of -0.57. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.74,
with a WHIP of 0.87, and opponent BA of .186. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 41%, FB%: 41% for a 0.99 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 8%.
Chicago White Sox have the #4 bullpen, #19
offense, and are rated #20 in fielding. They have a road record of 23-23
(50%), ranked #14 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Detroit
Tigers have the #28 bullpen, #5 offense, and are rated #11 in fielding.
They have a home record of 27-19 (59%), ranked #10 in MLB and have Won 1
in a row.
White Sox loast 8 of Floyd's last 9 starts. He does
have a road ERA of 3.60 compared to a 6.26 ERA at home (hmmm). Tigers
are 11-2 in Verlander's last 13 starts. Opponents are averaging .191
off him at home where he is 7-2 with an ERA of 2.20 He is already 2-0
against the ChiSox this year, and 7-0 against them in the last 7.
Tigers are 11-1 against Chicago in the last 12 meetings and have won 6
straight at home against them.
New York Yankees 53-36 (60%) @ Toronto Blue Jays 46-47 (50%)
F.
Garcia, starting for New York Yankees, has a FIP of 3.97 (#112 in MLB),
xFIP of 4.17 (#135 in MLB), and tERA of 5.1 (#167 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .28, LOB% of 80%, and E-F of -0.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.15, with
a WHIP of 1.26, and opponent BA of .254. His batted-ball peripherals
are: LD%: 25%, GB%: 35%, FB%: 41% for a 0.86 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of
8%.
B. Morrow, starting for Toronto Blue Jays, has a FIP of 2.7
(#11 in MLB), xFIP of 3.26 (#24 in MLB), and tERA of 3.34 (#28 in MLB),
with a BABIP of .317, LOB% of 64%, and E-F of 1.91. He has a K/BB ratio
of 2.97, with a WHIP of 1.28, and opponent BA of .23. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 34%, FB%: 42% for a 0.81 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 5%.
New York Yankees have the #9 bullpen, #2
offense, and are rated #4 in fielding. They have a road record of 23-17
(58%), ranked #3 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Toronto Blue
Jays have the #11 bullpen, #6 offense, and are rated #26 in fielding.
They have a home record of 20-22 (48%), ranked #22 in MLB and have Won 4
in a row.
Morrow has an ERA of 6.87 at home (2.88 on the road)
with a 1-4 record. He was terrible against the 'Bombers' last year with
a 5.93 ERA. He did have 40K's to 9BB's against them, so the potential
to pitch a good game is definitely there. Garcia is 1-1 against Toronto
this year. He has an ERA of 4.76 against them in 2011. Bautista left
yesterday's game with an ankle injury and will most likely be out for
this one.
Boston Red Sox 55-35 (61%) @ Tampa Bay Rays 49-41 (54%)
A.
Miller, starting for Boston Red Sox, has a FIP of 4.55 (#161 in MLB),
xFIP of 4.58 (#177 in MLB), and tERA of 4.71 (#145 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .311, LOB% of 79%, and E-F of -0.97. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.18,
with a WHIP of 1.59, and opponent BA of .281. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 15%, GB%: 53%, FB%: 32% for a 1.7 GB/FB ratio, and
a HR/FB of 9%.
D. Price, starting for Tampa Bay Rays, has a FIP
of 2.9 (#18 in MLB), xFIP of 2.96 (#12 in MLB), and tERA of 3.29 (#24 in
MLB), with a BABIP of .29, LOB% of 71%, and E-F of 0.8. He has a K/BB
ratio of 4.81, with a WHIP of 1.09, and opponent BA of .232. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 36% for a 1.22
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Boston Red Sox have the #4
bullpen, #1 offense, and are rated #1 in fielding. They have a road
record of 27-18 (60%), ranked #1 in MLB and have Won 6 in a row.
Tampa
Bay Rays have the #26 bullpen, #16 offense, and are rated #3 in
fielding. They have a home record of 21-21 (50%), ranked #20 in MLB and
have Lost 2 in a row.
Miller last faced the Rays in 2009. He's
allowed 9 ER's in 22.2 innings so far this year. Price is coming off a
'toe' injury but is reported to be ready to go in this one.
Odds: BOS +136 (42%) TBR -145 (59%) O/U = 8
Lean: UNDER
=======================================
J.
Tomlin, starting for Cleveland Indians, has a FIP of 3.96 (#110 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.82 (#85 in MLB), and tERA of 4.59 (#134 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .245, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of -0.15. He has a K/BB ratio of
4.64, with a WHIP of 1.02, and opponent BA of .235. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 37%, FB%: 41% for a 0.9 GB/FB ratio, and
a HR/FB of 10%.
J. Arrieta, starting for Baltimore Orioles, has a
FIP of 4.92 (#183 in MLB), xFIP of 4.33 (#156 in MLB), and tERA of 4.84
(#152 in MLB), with a BABIP of .264, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of -0.02. He
has a K/BB ratio of 1.6, with a WHIP of 1.4, and opponent BA of .238.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 14%, GB%: 45%, FB%: 41% for a 1.08
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 13%.
Cleveland Indians have the #8
bullpen, #15 offense, and are rated #16 in fielding. They have a road
record of 21-24 (47%), ranked #17 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Baltimore
Orioles have the #27 bullpen, #12 offense, and are rated #30 in
fielding. They have a home record of 22-23 (49%), ranked #21 in MLB and
have Lost 8 in a row.
Tomlin is 3-3 on the road with a 4.35 ERA.
He is 7-1 at home with a 3.38 ERA. Arrieta gave up 5 HR's in this last
4 starts (15 ER's in 21 innings pitched) - Indians has 2 HR's
yesterday. He is 5-2 at home with a 4.50 ERA (LUCKY!) Indians have won 5
in a row in this series with the O's. Baltimore is 6-22 in their last
28 games.
Chicago White Sox 44-48 (48%) @ Detroit Tigers 49-43 (53%)
G.
Floyd, starting for Chicago White Sox, has a FIP of 3.78 (#86 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.82 (#85 in MLB), and tERA of 4.44 (#122 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .29, LOB% of 67%, and E-F of 0.77. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.67, with a
WHIP of 1.26, and opponent BA of .254. His batted-ball peripherals are:
LD%: 20%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 37% for a 1.15 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
J.
Verlander, starting for Detroit Tigers, has a FIP of 2.72 (#12 in MLB),
xFIP of 2.93 (#9 in MLB), and tERA of 2.91 (#10 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .232, LOB% of 81%, and E-F of -0.57. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.74,
with a WHIP of 0.87, and opponent BA of .186. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 41%, FB%: 41% for a 0.99 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 8%.
Chicago White Sox have the #4 bullpen, #19
offense, and are rated #20 in fielding. They have a road record of 23-23
(50%), ranked #14 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Detroit
Tigers have the #28 bullpen, #5 offense, and are rated #11 in fielding.
They have a home record of 27-19 (59%), ranked #10 in MLB and have Won 1
in a row.
White Sox loast 8 of Floyd's last 9 starts. He does
have a road ERA of 3.60 compared to a 6.26 ERA at home (hmmm). Tigers
are 11-2 in Verlander's last 13 starts. Opponents are averaging .191
off him at home where he is 7-2 with an ERA of 2.20 He is already 2-0
against the ChiSox this year, and 7-0 against them in the last 7.
Tigers are 11-1 against Chicago in the last 12 meetings and have won 6
straight at home against them.
New York Yankees 53-36 (60%) @ Toronto Blue Jays 46-47 (50%)
F.
Garcia, starting for New York Yankees, has a FIP of 3.97 (#112 in MLB),
xFIP of 4.17 (#135 in MLB), and tERA of 5.1 (#167 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .28, LOB% of 80%, and E-F of -0.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.15, with
a WHIP of 1.26, and opponent BA of .254. His batted-ball peripherals
are: LD%: 25%, GB%: 35%, FB%: 41% for a 0.86 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of
8%.
B. Morrow, starting for Toronto Blue Jays, has a FIP of 2.7
(#11 in MLB), xFIP of 3.26 (#24 in MLB), and tERA of 3.34 (#28 in MLB),
with a BABIP of .317, LOB% of 64%, and E-F of 1.91. He has a K/BB ratio
of 2.97, with a WHIP of 1.28, and opponent BA of .23. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 34%, FB%: 42% for a 0.81 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 5%.
New York Yankees have the #9 bullpen, #2
offense, and are rated #4 in fielding. They have a road record of 23-17
(58%), ranked #3 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Toronto Blue
Jays have the #11 bullpen, #6 offense, and are rated #26 in fielding.
They have a home record of 20-22 (48%), ranked #22 in MLB and have Won 4
in a row.
Morrow has an ERA of 6.87 at home (2.88 on the road)
with a 1-4 record. He was terrible against the 'Bombers' last year with
a 5.93 ERA. He did have 40K's to 9BB's against them, so the potential
to pitch a good game is definitely there. Garcia is 1-1 against Toronto
this year. He has an ERA of 4.76 against them in 2011. Bautista left
yesterday's game with an ankle injury and will most likely be out for
this one.
Boston Red Sox 55-35 (61%) @ Tampa Bay Rays 49-41 (54%)
A.
Miller, starting for Boston Red Sox, has a FIP of 4.55 (#161 in MLB),
xFIP of 4.58 (#177 in MLB), and tERA of 4.71 (#145 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .311, LOB% of 79%, and E-F of -0.97. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.18,
with a WHIP of 1.59, and opponent BA of .281. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 15%, GB%: 53%, FB%: 32% for a 1.7 GB/FB ratio, and
a HR/FB of 9%.
D. Price, starting for Tampa Bay Rays, has a FIP
of 2.9 (#18 in MLB), xFIP of 2.96 (#12 in MLB), and tERA of 3.29 (#24 in
MLB), with a BABIP of .29, LOB% of 71%, and E-F of 0.8. He has a K/BB
ratio of 4.81, with a WHIP of 1.09, and opponent BA of .232. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 36% for a 1.22
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Boston Red Sox have the #4
bullpen, #1 offense, and are rated #1 in fielding. They have a road
record of 27-18 (60%), ranked #1 in MLB and have Won 6 in a row.
Tampa
Bay Rays have the #26 bullpen, #16 offense, and are rated #3 in
fielding. They have a home record of 21-21 (50%), ranked #20 in MLB and
have Lost 2 in a row.
Miller last faced the Rays in 2009. He's
allowed 9 ER's in 22.2 innings so far this year. Price is coming off a
'toe' injury but is reported to be ready to go in this one.
Odds: BOS +136 (42%) TBR -145 (59%) O/U = 8
Lean: UNDER
=======================================
Kansas City Royals 37-55 (40%) @ Minnesota Twins 42-48 (47%)
L.
Hochevar, starting for Kansas City Royals, has a FIP of 4.79 (#175 in
MLB), xFIP of 4.22 (#146 in MLB), and tERA of 5.29 (#177 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .281, LOB% of 63%, and E-F of 0.67. He has a K/BB ratio of
1.58, with a WHIP of 1.38, and opponent BA of .27. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 51%, FB%: 31% for a 1.68 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 13%.
N. Blackburn, starting for Minnesota Twins,
has a FIP of 4.63 (#169 in MLB), xFIP of 3.98 (#101 in MLB), and tERA of
5.18 (#175 in MLB), with a BABIP of .303, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of
-0.38. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.87, with a WHIP of 1.45, and opponent BA
of .287. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 52%, FB%: 28%
for a 1.88 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 14%.
Kansas City Royals
have the #23 bullpen, #11 offense, and are rated #9 in fielding. They
have a road record of 13-28 (32%), ranked #30 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a
row.
Minnesota Twins have the #29 bullpen, #27 offense, and are
rated #12 in fielding. They have a home record of 21-19 (53%), ranked
#14 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Hochevar has a road ERA of
6.21 this year with a 1-4 record. He's 1-1 against Minny in 2011 with a
6.57 ERA. Blackburn has allowed 18 ER's in the last 13 innings pitched
(3 starts).
Odds: KCR +116 (46%) MIN -123 (55%) O/U = 9
Lean: OVER
=======================================
D.
Haren, starting for LAA Angels, has a FIP of 2.55 (#8 in MLB), xFIP of
3.05 (#14 in MLB), and tERA of 2.55 (#7 in MLB), with a BABIP of .261,
LOB% of 74%, and E-F of 0.09. He has a K/BB ratio of 5.7, with a WHIP of
0.96, and opponent BA of .214. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%:
16%, GB%: 45%, FB%: 39% for a 1.14 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 5%.
B.
McCarthy, starting for Oakland Athletics, has a FIP of 2.74 (#14 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.43 (#34 in MLB), and tERA of 3.2 (#15 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .315, LOB% of 63%, and E-F of 0.92. He has a K/BB ratio of
3.83, with a WHIP of 1.22, and opponent BA of .273. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 48%, FB%: 32% for a 1.48 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 4%.
LAA Angels have the #16 bullpen, #17 offense,
and are rated #5 in fielding. They have a road record of 24-20 (55%),
ranked #6 in MLB and have Won 4 in a row.
Oakland Athletics have
the #6 bullpen, #28 offense, and are rated #22 in fielding. They have a
home record of 23-21 (52%), ranked #15 in MLB and have Lost 4 in a row.
C.
Lewis, starting for Texas Rangers, has a FIP of 4.91 (#182 in MLB),
xFIP of 4.09 (#124 in MLB), and tERA of 4.95 (#161 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .263, LOB% of 76%, and E-F of -0.53. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.91,
with a WHIP of 1.24, and opponent BA of .244. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 16%, GB%: 32%, FB%: 52% for a 0.61 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 13%.
D. Fister, starting for Seattle Mariners, has
a FIP of 3.13 (#33 in MLB), xFIP of 3.79 (#83 in MLB), and tERA of 3.4
(#31 in MLB), with a BABIP of .292, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of -0.05. He
has a K/BB ratio of 3.04, with a WHIP of 1.17, and opponent BA of .253.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 35% for a 1.32
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 4%.
Texas Rangers have the #30
bullpen, #3 offense, and are rated #10 in fielding. They have a road
record of 21-23 (48%), ranked #16 in MLB and have Won 8 in a row.
Seattle
Mariners have the #18 bullpen, #30 offense, and are rated #17 in
fielding. They have a home record of 25-24 (51%), ranked #19 in MLB and
have Lost 6 in a row.
Lewis has an ERA of 3.13 on the road (5.81
at home). He has an ERA of 3.36 against Seattle with a 1.3 WHIP.
Fister has an ERA of 1.08 with a WHIP of 0.760 in his last 3 starts.
Rangers are 1-6 this year when the posted total is 7 or lower.
Kansas City Royals 37-55 (40%) @ Minnesota Twins 42-48 (47%)
L.
Hochevar, starting for Kansas City Royals, has a FIP of 4.79 (#175 in
MLB), xFIP of 4.22 (#146 in MLB), and tERA of 5.29 (#177 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .281, LOB% of 63%, and E-F of 0.67. He has a K/BB ratio of
1.58, with a WHIP of 1.38, and opponent BA of .27. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 51%, FB%: 31% for a 1.68 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 13%.
N. Blackburn, starting for Minnesota Twins,
has a FIP of 4.63 (#169 in MLB), xFIP of 3.98 (#101 in MLB), and tERA of
5.18 (#175 in MLB), with a BABIP of .303, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of
-0.38. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.87, with a WHIP of 1.45, and opponent BA
of .287. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 52%, FB%: 28%
for a 1.88 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 14%.
Kansas City Royals
have the #23 bullpen, #11 offense, and are rated #9 in fielding. They
have a road record of 13-28 (32%), ranked #30 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a
row.
Minnesota Twins have the #29 bullpen, #27 offense, and are
rated #12 in fielding. They have a home record of 21-19 (53%), ranked
#14 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Hochevar has a road ERA of
6.21 this year with a 1-4 record. He's 1-1 against Minny in 2011 with a
6.57 ERA. Blackburn has allowed 18 ER's in the last 13 innings pitched
(3 starts).
Odds: KCR +116 (46%) MIN -123 (55%) O/U = 9
Lean: OVER
=======================================
D.
Haren, starting for LAA Angels, has a FIP of 2.55 (#8 in MLB), xFIP of
3.05 (#14 in MLB), and tERA of 2.55 (#7 in MLB), with a BABIP of .261,
LOB% of 74%, and E-F of 0.09. He has a K/BB ratio of 5.7, with a WHIP of
0.96, and opponent BA of .214. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%:
16%, GB%: 45%, FB%: 39% for a 1.14 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 5%.
B.
McCarthy, starting for Oakland Athletics, has a FIP of 2.74 (#14 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.43 (#34 in MLB), and tERA of 3.2 (#15 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .315, LOB% of 63%, and E-F of 0.92. He has a K/BB ratio of
3.83, with a WHIP of 1.22, and opponent BA of .273. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 48%, FB%: 32% for a 1.48 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 4%.
LAA Angels have the #16 bullpen, #17 offense,
and are rated #5 in fielding. They have a road record of 24-20 (55%),
ranked #6 in MLB and have Won 4 in a row.
Oakland Athletics have
the #6 bullpen, #28 offense, and are rated #22 in fielding. They have a
home record of 23-21 (52%), ranked #15 in MLB and have Lost 4 in a row.
C.
Lewis, starting for Texas Rangers, has a FIP of 4.91 (#182 in MLB),
xFIP of 4.09 (#124 in MLB), and tERA of 4.95 (#161 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .263, LOB% of 76%, and E-F of -0.53. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.91,
with a WHIP of 1.24, and opponent BA of .244. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 16%, GB%: 32%, FB%: 52% for a 0.61 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 13%.
D. Fister, starting for Seattle Mariners, has
a FIP of 3.13 (#33 in MLB), xFIP of 3.79 (#83 in MLB), and tERA of 3.4
(#31 in MLB), with a BABIP of .292, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of -0.05. He
has a K/BB ratio of 3.04, with a WHIP of 1.17, and opponent BA of .253.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 35% for a 1.32
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 4%.
Texas Rangers have the #30
bullpen, #3 offense, and are rated #10 in fielding. They have a road
record of 21-23 (48%), ranked #16 in MLB and have Won 8 in a row.
Seattle
Mariners have the #18 bullpen, #30 offense, and are rated #17 in
fielding. They have a home record of 25-24 (51%), ranked #19 in MLB and
have Lost 6 in a row.
Lewis has an ERA of 3.13 on the road (5.81
at home). He has an ERA of 3.36 against Seattle with a 1.3 WHIP.
Fister has an ERA of 1.08 with a WHIP of 0.760 in his last 3 starts.
Rangers are 1-6 this year when the posted total is 7 or lower.
Thanks again my man, Going all in on S.F. tonight. Went to bed with 6.5 under in the bag, woke up SHOCKED!!! v That's baseball for ya, oh well, riding them tonight. Good Luck your self
Thanks again my man, Going all in on S.F. tonight. Went to bed with 6.5 under in the bag, woke up SHOCKED!!! v That's baseball for ya, oh well, riding them tonight. Good Luck your self
Thank you for taking the time to provide this wealth of information. I imagine the question has been asked before, which stat service do you subscribe to that provides this particular data?
Thank you for taking the time to provide this wealth of information. I imagine the question has been asked before, which stat service do you subscribe to that provides this particular data?
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