26-15 (4-0) (+12.3)
6-4 (+3.2) last week.....thanks mainly to larger plays on Ohio St and Ole Mrs.
Texas A&M -30 (1.25)
LSU -8 (1.25)
Wisconsin -21
checking out a few others
26-15 (4-0) (+12.3)
6-4 (+3.2) last week.....thanks mainly to larger plays on Ohio St and Ole Mrs.
Texas A&M -30 (1.25)
LSU -8 (1.25)
Wisconsin -21
checking out a few others
26-15 (4-0) (+12.3)
6-4 (+3.2) last week.....thanks mainly to larger plays on Ohio St and Ole Mrs.
Texas A&M -30 (1.25)
LSU -8 (1.25)
Wisconsin -21
checking out a few others
mega - same to you buddy
KSU - looking forward to the KSU game, BOL this week
doc - how's it going my friend, didn't see you much last week...hope you hit the books again
QB. lion
pipe - always a possibly team could be flat and with Ark. on deck......they were pretty flat/sloppy in LY 42-13 matchup....read SMU article today about new coach and he's telling them they've hit rock bottom.....he may be on to something there
Boise St -16.5
Florida +15.5 (0.75)
No Illinois +14.5 (0.75)
should do it for tonight.....waiting on numbers or possible movement on a couple others
mega - same to you buddy
KSU - looking forward to the KSU game, BOL this week
doc - how's it going my friend, didn't see you much last week...hope you hit the books again
QB. lion
pipe - always a possibly team could be flat and with Ark. on deck......they were pretty flat/sloppy in LY 42-13 matchup....read SMU article today about new coach and he's telling them they've hit rock bottom.....he may be on to something there
Boise St -16.5
Florida +15.5 (0.75)
No Illinois +14.5 (0.75)
should do it for tonight.....waiting on numbers or possible movement on a couple others
I think A&M was embarrassed that the Rice game was closer than it should have been. They have to ramp up for Ark next week. I think you are going to see a focused A&M team against an overmatched opponent for at least 3 quarters, then the scrubs will rap it up. It will be a quasi home game for Texas A&M at SMU...(A&M fans will be the majority in attendance.
I was on A&M last week...They should have covered...I think the jury is still out if they are elite (playoff), but they are definitely a top 10 team...
GL NOS
I think A&M was embarrassed that the Rice game was closer than it should have been. They have to ramp up for Ark next week. I think you are going to see a focused A&M team against an overmatched opponent for at least 3 quarters, then the scrubs will rap it up. It will be a quasi home game for Texas A&M at SMU...(A&M fans will be the majority in attendance.
I was on A&M last week...They should have covered...I think the jury is still out if they are elite (playoff), but they are definitely a top 10 team...
GL NOS
all
longhorn - similar to my thinking on A&M this week, GL man
doc - good to hear you had a good week....will have to take a look at UNT and BC as off the board teams later, BOL bud
Texas A&M 51 SMU 10 - Aggies own series over last 3 years 45-10 against better SMU teams....already flat last week against Rice so maybe more focused this week...SMU probably pretty fired up with new coach for first 5 minutes until getting hit in the mouth a few times...not really impressed with new coach's we've hit rock bottom approach....even if motivated questionable whether SMU has talent to do anything about it particularly on offense with unproven RS frosh QB....not sure will take advantage of garbage time as Gilbert was decent at (best work after game decided man)
LSU 30 Miss St 13 - LSU owns series avg. 35-14 over last four......not really trusting Tiger QBs so could be close to number if QB play is off similar to years with Jefferson at QB.....MSU dream goes to die in the only true death valley
Wisconsin 44 BG 14 - BG allowing 4.2 YPR to lesser rushing teams and 200+ a few times last year, front 7 probably breaks down in the 2nd half....only question is whether Gordon is fully healthy after 37 yds. last time out and whether offense can put up 40+...since BG allowing 50 per FBS game will lean yes
Boise St 41 ULL 17 - ULL best player WR Robinson out again and Broadway making a lot of mistakes with 6 INT...BSU offense should be able to move against defense allowing 5.2 YPR and 280 YPG through the air
Alabama 24 Florida 16 - believe FL defense can get a few stops against inexperienced QB and tougher than most to run against.....decent offense and Robinson good enough to get TD and a few FGs....maybe
Arkansas 27 NIU 20 - Razorbacks in TT and A&M sandwich....NIU tough against the run and known to play tough in these spots....Huskies might be able to run some against defense allowing 4.5 YPC
all
longhorn - similar to my thinking on A&M this week, GL man
doc - good to hear you had a good week....will have to take a look at UNT and BC as off the board teams later, BOL bud
Texas A&M 51 SMU 10 - Aggies own series over last 3 years 45-10 against better SMU teams....already flat last week against Rice so maybe more focused this week...SMU probably pretty fired up with new coach for first 5 minutes until getting hit in the mouth a few times...not really impressed with new coach's we've hit rock bottom approach....even if motivated questionable whether SMU has talent to do anything about it particularly on offense with unproven RS frosh QB....not sure will take advantage of garbage time as Gilbert was decent at (best work after game decided man)
LSU 30 Miss St 13 - LSU owns series avg. 35-14 over last four......not really trusting Tiger QBs so could be close to number if QB play is off similar to years with Jefferson at QB.....MSU dream goes to die in the only true death valley
Wisconsin 44 BG 14 - BG allowing 4.2 YPR to lesser rushing teams and 200+ a few times last year, front 7 probably breaks down in the 2nd half....only question is whether Gordon is fully healthy after 37 yds. last time out and whether offense can put up 40+...since BG allowing 50 per FBS game will lean yes
Boise St 41 ULL 17 - ULL best player WR Robinson out again and Broadway making a lot of mistakes with 6 INT...BSU offense should be able to move against defense allowing 5.2 YPR and 280 YPG through the air
Alabama 24 Florida 16 - believe FL defense can get a few stops against inexperienced QB and tougher than most to run against.....decent offense and Robinson good enough to get TD and a few FGs....maybe
Arkansas 27 NIU 20 - Razorbacks in TT and A&M sandwich....NIU tough against the run and known to play tough in these spots....Huskies might be able to run some against defense allowing 4.5 YPC
all - GL fellas
one stat we like to track for own purposes is ATS results away from spread since it tells us if handicapping was on track or somewhat lucky....so far this year 3-6 in games decided by less than TD when spread factored in....23-9 in games decided by TD or more....not catching many close ones so far
early numbers locked in on A&M, LSU and Badgers looking pretty good...maybe one week it will actually make a difference....not so much this year so far
adding
Cincinnati -28
UConn-USF under 46 (0.75)
small plays both on heritage.......Appalachian St +3 (0.5)....USM 2-25 SU lately and ASU should be able to run some against defense allowing 295 to Alcorn....ASU 27-20.....Missouri -13......so Missouri is only 8 points better than the Hoosiers on a neutral field.....surely seems unlikely....yes it is and don't care me Shirley......MO 38 Indiana 20.....keeping small though with SC on deck and offense with back door potential
Cincinnati 51 Miami OH 14 - Bearcats own series 45-5 average in the three years before last year's 14-0 .....defense will need to be a little tighter after giving up 34 last week....Hendrix should have some yards late however also making a few mistakes with 5 INTs and 48% comp.
UConn 19 USF 16 - missed shot at 47.5.....just plain sloppy....still worthwhile play with low scoring series 26 ppg combined last 4 in series....Huskies decent last week allowing 292 despite 38 points....USF Taggart talking about trying to establish running game
updated week 4
Texas A&M -30 (1.25)
LSU -8 (1.25)
Wisconsin -21
Boise St -16.5
Florida +15.5 (0.75)
No Illinois +14.5 (0.75)
Cincinnati -28
UConn-USF under 46 (0.75)
small plays (0.5) - Appalachian St +3, Missouri -13
looking for small degenerate play tomorrow night......and checking out some team totals later
all - GL fellas
one stat we like to track for own purposes is ATS results away from spread since it tells us if handicapping was on track or somewhat lucky....so far this year 3-6 in games decided by less than TD when spread factored in....23-9 in games decided by TD or more....not catching many close ones so far
early numbers locked in on A&M, LSU and Badgers looking pretty good...maybe one week it will actually make a difference....not so much this year so far
adding
Cincinnati -28
UConn-USF under 46 (0.75)
small plays both on heritage.......Appalachian St +3 (0.5)....USM 2-25 SU lately and ASU should be able to run some against defense allowing 295 to Alcorn....ASU 27-20.....Missouri -13......so Missouri is only 8 points better than the Hoosiers on a neutral field.....surely seems unlikely....yes it is and don't care me Shirley......MO 38 Indiana 20.....keeping small though with SC on deck and offense with back door potential
Cincinnati 51 Miami OH 14 - Bearcats own series 45-5 average in the three years before last year's 14-0 .....defense will need to be a little tighter after giving up 34 last week....Hendrix should have some yards late however also making a few mistakes with 5 INTs and 48% comp.
UConn 19 USF 16 - missed shot at 47.5.....just plain sloppy....still worthwhile play with low scoring series 26 ppg combined last 4 in series....Huskies decent last week allowing 292 despite 38 points....USF Taggart talking about trying to establish running game
updated week 4
Texas A&M -30 (1.25)
LSU -8 (1.25)
Wisconsin -21
Boise St -16.5
Florida +15.5 (0.75)
No Illinois +14.5 (0.75)
Cincinnati -28
UConn-USF under 46 (0.75)
small plays (0.5) - Appalachian St +3, Missouri -13
looking for small degenerate play tomorrow night......and checking out some team totals later
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