Last week I was on Tenn, for a multitude of reasons. Glennon looked bad, had a lot of pressure in his face, made mistakes, and the secondary got beat.....bad. So, with that said.....I will most likely be on NC State -4.5 this weekend.
Turnovers kill. Mike Glennon had an uncharacteristically bad performence last week, throwing 4 pics. They also didn't have as balanced attack as they would have liked, throwing the ball 16 more times than they ran it. That happens when youre playing the whole game from behind.
N.C. State is still a fast team with some solid skill players. This presents a bad matchup for UCONN. They simply struggle to defend the pass. Last season they had the Big East's worst pass defense giving up 281 ypg in the air. I look for Glennon to capitalize on this, and get NC State up early. Their offensive line is better than it looked last friday night too. UCONN isn't a team that's going to be bringing a lot of extra guys with blitz' and generally likes to pressure the QB with it's front 4. I see this as an advantage with UCONN's DL being a bit more thin this week. They will most likely be without starter Sharmar Stephen, and senior backup Ted Jennings.
I'm not factoring in much from UCONN's opener against UMass, but I think one thing that should be looked at is their offense, and particularly the play at QB. First time starter Chandler Whitmer really didn't look good. 15-25 for 219, 0 TD's and 2 INT's. This against UMass......I really don't see a big time play maker at any skill position that NC State will have to key on. Another thing that kind of surprised me was the run game. As a collective unit they only averaged 3.4 ypc in the 1st game. They should have a more difficult time running the ball this week against NC St. and the ypc should decline. I see UCONN getting themselves in a situation where they could be behind 3 scores early and need to throw the ball. Look for NC States defense to be the turnover machine it was last season with an inexperienced QB in Whitmer making his second start.
Last week I was on Tenn, for a multitude of reasons. Glennon looked bad, had a lot of pressure in his face, made mistakes, and the secondary got beat.....bad. So, with that said.....I will most likely be on NC State -4.5 this weekend.
Turnovers kill. Mike Glennon had an uncharacteristically bad performence last week, throwing 4 pics. They also didn't have as balanced attack as they would have liked, throwing the ball 16 more times than they ran it. That happens when youre playing the whole game from behind.
N.C. State is still a fast team with some solid skill players. This presents a bad matchup for UCONN. They simply struggle to defend the pass. Last season they had the Big East's worst pass defense giving up 281 ypg in the air. I look for Glennon to capitalize on this, and get NC State up early. Their offensive line is better than it looked last friday night too. UCONN isn't a team that's going to be bringing a lot of extra guys with blitz' and generally likes to pressure the QB with it's front 4. I see this as an advantage with UCONN's DL being a bit more thin this week. They will most likely be without starter Sharmar Stephen, and senior backup Ted Jennings.
I'm not factoring in much from UCONN's opener against UMass, but I think one thing that should be looked at is their offense, and particularly the play at QB. First time starter Chandler Whitmer really didn't look good. 15-25 for 219, 0 TD's and 2 INT's. This against UMass......I really don't see a big time play maker at any skill position that NC State will have to key on. Another thing that kind of surprised me was the run game. As a collective unit they only averaged 3.4 ypc in the 1st game. They should have a more difficult time running the ball this week against NC St. and the ypc should decline. I see UCONN getting themselves in a situation where they could be behind 3 scores early and need to throw the ball. Look for NC States defense to be the turnover machine it was last season with an inexperienced QB in Whitmer making his second start.
NC state is probably my top play for this week. I'm also one of the few only other people who picked Tennessee over NC State opening week. Ucon's run game is overrated and their new QB proved he sucked. Glennon despite last week's performance is an NFL lvl QB and has shown that he can gash questionable secondaries. I can't believe this line ever opened up with State being an underdog; I wish I had grabbed it. Still, anything under 7 should be good at the least.
NC state is probably my top play for this week. I'm also one of the few only other people who picked Tennessee over NC State opening week. Ucon's run game is overrated and their new QB proved he sucked. Glennon despite last week's performance is an NFL lvl QB and has shown that he can gash questionable secondaries. I can't believe this line ever opened up with State being an underdog; I wish I had grabbed it. Still, anything under 7 should be good at the least.
not on N.C. State but i like this play, got too much bankroll out right now on parlays consisting of NFL teams, so my money tied up or i would be on this. nice analysis, nice play BOL
not on N.C. State but i like this play, got too much bankroll out right now on parlays consisting of NFL teams, so my money tied up or i would be on this. nice analysis, nice play BOL
@ MannyDaMammoth, I'm not really concerned about what the line ends up being. I see it as a blowout, getting pretty ugly, so even if it goes past 7, I would still feel good.
@fumble_rooskie, TY, and good luck with your parlays
@ MannyDaMammoth, I'm not really concerned about what the line ends up being. I see it as a blowout, getting pretty ugly, so even if it goes past 7, I would still feel good.
@fumble_rooskie, TY, and good luck with your parlays
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