Central Florida is 7-1 ATS for the year and an eye popping 10-1ATS last 11 road games.
This is the second stratight week that CF will be facing an uptempo and no huddle offense and they had some imporvement to make this week on Defense as they allowed way too much on defense to East Carolina who was 5-2 at the time and allowed EC a 71% 3rd down efficency last week. I actually like this ALOT as having a very similar offense to defend 2 weeeks in a row and having to focus on mistakes the previous week will be a HUGE benefit for the UCF Defense in my opinion.
Deefense is UCF's differentiator tonight.#9 in total yards, #16 pass,#13 in rush, #11 in points allowed. And again playing almost the same offense two weeks in a row leads common sense to believe that is a benefit tonight for UCF.
UCF offensively is the type of team that Houston struggles with because of the style more than anything else. UCF will keep Houstons offense off the field as long as they possilbly can with their size advantage, power football and working the clock.
Freshman Godfrey is a mobil QB that will need to play smart as he has done the last 2 weeks with 3TD passes and 1INT with 1 rushing TD completing 67% and 72%. At this point in the season it's time to forget about being a Freshman and his improvement week to week is showing that. 4Td, 4INT, and 5 rushing TD's for the season.
Running Back Ronnie Weaver for UCF has had a great year behind that large offensive line with a 4.9 per carry and 10TD's. Look for a big game against the pourus Houston Defense.
Houston Defense is going to have it's hands full and are much smaller up front. Ranked #98 against the rush is a disaster against this sort of team, #80 in points allowed, #79 in Total yards and #38 in passing defense (misleading as everyone runs against Houston).
No doubt Houston has a high octane offensive team with #8 in scoring, #13 in passing and #15 in total yards. However, as mentioned above UCF is coming off of victory over E Carolina that has a very similar style and I firmly beleive that gives a huge advantage to UCF.
RB Beall has impressive season numbers with 12 Td's, However 8 came in the first 4 games and he is banged up with a knee injury last week but is probable this week. He is only averaging 55 yards per game last 4 with 1Td per game.
Houston freshman QB (should have been 2nd or 3rd string but starts due to injuries). He has 11 TD's and 3 pics for the season, however looking a little deeper shows that 5 came against the #119 ranked Defense last week in Memphis and 3 aginast the #116 ranked passing defense in Rice......not quite the CFU caliber.
Special Teams: Houston has great kick returners and punt returners. UCF is just as explosive in this area. This is really a push.
Kicking definately goes to Houston as UCF is ranked #118 in Fg% and I'll give the punting to Houston as well. Frankly I don't see this has being of much importance as I don't see the game coming down to FG's.
My largest play for the week
Central Florida Knights -1