I have no play on the game but I did break it down and to me it's CAL or nothing in this one.
I see that 70% of the bets or so are on UCLA here. I'd be careful. I think CAL has a great shot of winning this one. They lost their last 2 home games by a combined 5 points to USC (it was their revenge game) and a solid Arizona squad. Prior to that they won 3 home contests to Arizona St, Oregon, and Oregon St.
UCLA has been home the whole month of February prior to last Thursday. They won a road game against Stanford (by 4) and now are playing their 2nd straight on the road.
Also, CAL is on 'revenge' here, having lost to UCLA by 2 points earlier this season. CAL is 3-1 ATS this year revenging a road loss so this team plays well in similar scenarios to today's. They are 2-0 ATS this year as a home doggie of 3 points or less, and 4-1 ATS over the last couple of years.
UCLA turns the ball over (ranked #290), doesn't generate turnovers on D (ranked #290), is a poor 3PT shooting team and is one of the worst from the 'charity stripe' making only 66.7% from there. To me these are 3 critical factors for teams to have consistent success on the road. UCLA is weak in all 3.
So I'll ask again, why is everyone on them tonight?