add Notre Dame +2 (-110) vs. Georgetown
-I like the Fightin’ Irish this year even with the departures of their
stud big guy and their point guard, but I’m not sure the rest of the
world agrees with me. I had Notre Dame as a 4-6 point favorite here so
seeing them getting two is enough for me to play based on variation
alone even if I didn’t like the Golden Domers. In essence, ND is a
perimeter shooting team who you want to play at home and fade on the
road. Their shooting is so impressive at home, and it comes in at such a
higher percentage that only the luck of the Irish could explain what
happens. Meanwhile, Georgetown has already fallen on the road @Temple
and looked shaky @Mizzou and @ODU so it’s very possible that they are a
similar type of team. GU doesn’t have the talented big guy who can
direct the offense like they’ve had in the past, which has hurt their
offensive efficiency, and they don’t have one who can get a thin
frontcourt in foul trouble. The way to beat ND in their house is to hope
they don’t break records from beyond the arc or to have a big guy who
can score consistently in the post. GU doesn’t have the latter and their
defense this year hasn’t been stellar so I think we’ll see ND get some
open jumpers and if they hit them they can win this game.
add Notre Dame +2 (-110) vs. Georgetown
-I like the Fightin’ Irish this year even with the departures of their
stud big guy and their point guard, but I’m not sure the rest of the
world agrees with me. I had Notre Dame as a 4-6 point favorite here so
seeing them getting two is enough for me to play based on variation
alone even if I didn’t like the Golden Domers. In essence, ND is a
perimeter shooting team who you want to play at home and fade on the
road. Their shooting is so impressive at home, and it comes in at such a
higher percentage that only the luck of the Irish could explain what
happens. Meanwhile, Georgetown has already fallen on the road @Temple
and looked shaky @Mizzou and @ODU so it’s very possible that they are a
similar type of team. GU doesn’t have the talented big guy who can
direct the offense like they’ve had in the past, which has hurt their
offensive efficiency, and they don’t have one who can get a thin
frontcourt in foul trouble. The way to beat ND in their house is to hope
they don’t break records from beyond the arc or to have a big guy who
can score consistently in the post. GU doesn’t have the latter and their
defense this year hasn’t been stellar so I think we’ll see ND get some
open jumpers and if they hit them they can win this game.
add Dayton -1.5 (-108) vs. George Mason
-Should have grabbed this at the open, but I’ll lay 1 ½ with a team
that I think is better and has the home court. I was on Dayton on Sunday
and they did not play well, but still won on the road against Seton
Hall. George Mason is a hard team to quantify right now as I’ve only
been involved with them once this year in a cover against Harvard, but
they are an experienced group who shouldn’t wilt under the UD pressure.
Regardless of their mental toughness, I think Dayton plays better
basketball. GMU was criticized all last season for their lack of defense
in CAA play, and this Dayton team is quicker than anyone GMU has seen
this season. Another problem for the Patriots is FT shooting, which was
atrocious last year and the team currently sits at only 65.5% on the
season. It’s odd to me to see kenpom giving GMU an outright win on UD’s
home floor by two points, but I must roll with the punches. Dayton F
Chris Johnson’s groin seems like an issue that could slow him tonight,
but he didn’t play much against Seton Hall either so I’m not sure how
big of a loss he is. He certainly brought energy to the team in Sunday’s
game, but I was more impressed with F Matt Kavanaugh’s performance on
the interior. GMU’s defensive statistics suggest a man defense, which
would be fine with me. I just hope GMU doesn’t play a zone because
that’s something they haven’t been able to figure out. The home
atmosphere should help the Flyers get this victory and I’m happy to be
in for less than a possession.
add Dayton -1.5 (-108) vs. George Mason
-Should have grabbed this at the open, but I’ll lay 1 ½ with a team
that I think is better and has the home court. I was on Dayton on Sunday
and they did not play well, but still won on the road against Seton
Hall. George Mason is a hard team to quantify right now as I’ve only
been involved with them once this year in a cover against Harvard, but
they are an experienced group who shouldn’t wilt under the UD pressure.
Regardless of their mental toughness, I think Dayton plays better
basketball. GMU was criticized all last season for their lack of defense
in CAA play, and this Dayton team is quicker than anyone GMU has seen
this season. Another problem for the Patriots is FT shooting, which was
atrocious last year and the team currently sits at only 65.5% on the
season. It’s odd to me to see kenpom giving GMU an outright win on UD’s
home floor by two points, but I must roll with the punches. Dayton F
Chris Johnson’s groin seems like an issue that could slow him tonight,
but he didn’t play much against Seton Hall either so I’m not sure how
big of a loss he is. He certainly brought energy to the team in Sunday’s
game, but I was more impressed with F Matt Kavanaugh’s performance on
the interior. GMU’s defensive statistics suggest a man defense, which
would be fine with me. I just hope GMU doesn’t play a zone because
that’s something they haven’t been able to figure out. The home
atmosphere should help the Flyers get this victory and I’m happy to be
in for less than a possession.
good luck tonight, was looking at the over on the hoyas/irish(144.5), just seems like both team should put up 70-80 tonight, as the Irish will get theirs and the Hoyas will have to try to keep up
good luck tonight, was looking at the over on the hoyas/irish(144.5), just seems like both team should put up 70-80 tonight, as the Irish will get theirs and the Hoyas will have to try to keep up
Im on ND big also... Very underrated at this point.
glad to hear it, and yes I agree they're flying under the radar at this point
CharmCity
add
Southern Cal +3.5 (-108) vs. Washington
-To put it simply, Washington is a very different team on the road,
especially when they play good defenses. UW is very talented and they
play great defense with a ton of pressure on the ball, but they simply
can’t score in the half-court against good defenses and I think they
will see one tonight in the Galen Center. I haven’t been shy about how
impressed I am with USC at this point in the season, and here’s another
opportunity for them to impress the committee as I think they’ll be a
bubble team for the NCAA tournament based on how terrible they were to
start the season. The Trojans have a big advantage on the interior with
bulk, and I expect them to play with two posts as long as they can
tonight leaving shooters on the outside when the Huskies are forced to
double. UW has a ton of length in their front court, but Alex Stepheson
is probably stronger than any combination Lorenzo Romar throws out there
at him and Nikola Vucevic has the polished offensive game that can
really make it tough for the visiting team. To me, Washington is built
perfectly to play up-tempo and shut down good wing players, but USC
doesn’t fit either of these areas and that is a good thing for me. USC
needs to use their advantages inside to put points on the board, but
probably also needs Jio Fontan or any of the diminutive guards to hit
some perimeter shots to win this game. Didn’t want to miss the hook so I
grabbed the 3.5 and I think USC can win this game.
Im on ND big also... Very underrated at this point.
glad to hear it, and yes I agree they're flying under the radar at this point
CharmCity
add
Southern Cal +3.5 (-108) vs. Washington
-To put it simply, Washington is a very different team on the road,
especially when they play good defenses. UW is very talented and they
play great defense with a ton of pressure on the ball, but they simply
can’t score in the half-court against good defenses and I think they
will see one tonight in the Galen Center. I haven’t been shy about how
impressed I am with USC at this point in the season, and here’s another
opportunity for them to impress the committee as I think they’ll be a
bubble team for the NCAA tournament based on how terrible they were to
start the season. The Trojans have a big advantage on the interior with
bulk, and I expect them to play with two posts as long as they can
tonight leaving shooters on the outside when the Huskies are forced to
double. UW has a ton of length in their front court, but Alex Stepheson
is probably stronger than any combination Lorenzo Romar throws out there
at him and Nikola Vucevic has the polished offensive game that can
really make it tough for the visiting team. To me, Washington is built
perfectly to play up-tempo and shut down good wing players, but USC
doesn’t fit either of these areas and that is a good thing for me. USC
needs to use their advantages inside to put points on the board, but
probably also needs Jio Fontan or any of the diminutive guards to hit
some perimeter shots to win this game. Didn’t want to miss the hook so I
grabbed the 3.5 and I think USC can win this game.
I was really leaning towards Southern Cal and you have definitely pursuaded me to take them now. However, I am already on GTown so I don't like to see you on the other side. I definitely think that Notre Dame is flying under the radar but that is exactly where they should be. They are not an elite team and GTown should be able to win this by close to double digits.
I was really leaning towards Southern Cal and you have definitely pursuaded me to take them now. However, I am already on GTown so I don't like to see you on the other side. I definitely think that Notre Dame is flying under the radar but that is exactly where they should be. They are not an elite team and GTown should be able to win this by close to double digits.
add Dayton -1.5 (-108) vs. George Mason -Should have grabbed this at the open, but I’ll lay 1 ½ with a team that I think is better and has the home court. I was on Dayton on Sunday and they did not play well, but still won on the road against Seton Hall. George Mason is a hard team to quantify right now as I’ve only been involved with them once this year in a cover against Harvard, but they are an experienced group who shouldn’t wilt under the UD pressure. Regardless of their mental toughness, I think Dayton plays better basketball. GMU was criticized all last season for their lack of defense in CAA play, and this Dayton team is quicker than anyone GMU has seen this season. Another problem for the Patriots is FT shooting, which was atrocious last year and the team currently sits at only 65.5% on the season. It’s odd to me to see kenpom giving GMU an outright win on UD’s home floor by two points, but I must roll with the punches. Dayton F Chris Johnson’s groin seems like an issue that could slow him tonight, but he didn’t play much against Seton Hall either so I’m not sure how big of a loss he is. He certainly brought energy to the team in Sunday’s game, but I was more impressed with F Matt Kavanaugh’s performance on the interior. GMU’s defensive statistics suggest a man defense, which would be fine with me. I just hope GMU doesn’t play a zone because that’s something they haven’t been able to figure out. The home atmosphere should help the Flyers get this victory and I’m happy to be in for less than a possession.
Can't understand why this opened as a Pk.....gotta play G. Mason here
add Dayton -1.5 (-108) vs. George Mason -Should have grabbed this at the open, but I’ll lay 1 ½ with a team that I think is better and has the home court. I was on Dayton on Sunday and they did not play well, but still won on the road against Seton Hall. George Mason is a hard team to quantify right now as I’ve only been involved with them once this year in a cover against Harvard, but they are an experienced group who shouldn’t wilt under the UD pressure. Regardless of their mental toughness, I think Dayton plays better basketball. GMU was criticized all last season for their lack of defense in CAA play, and this Dayton team is quicker than anyone GMU has seen this season. Another problem for the Patriots is FT shooting, which was atrocious last year and the team currently sits at only 65.5% on the season. It’s odd to me to see kenpom giving GMU an outright win on UD’s home floor by two points, but I must roll with the punches. Dayton F Chris Johnson’s groin seems like an issue that could slow him tonight, but he didn’t play much against Seton Hall either so I’m not sure how big of a loss he is. He certainly brought energy to the team in Sunday’s game, but I was more impressed with F Matt Kavanaugh’s performance on the interior. GMU’s defensive statistics suggest a man defense, which would be fine with me. I just hope GMU doesn’t play a zone because that’s something they haven’t been able to figure out. The home atmosphere should help the Flyers get this victory and I’m happy to be in for less than a possession.
Can't understand why this opened as a Pk.....gotta play G. Mason here
I was really leaning towards Southern Cal and you have definitely pursuaded me to take them now. However, I am already on GTown so I don't like to see you on the other side. I definitely think that Notre Dame is flying under the radar but that is exactly where they should be. They are not an elite team and GTown should be able to win this by close to double digits.
Stephen Bardo once made a point that being on the road costs you ten points, so if you think GTown wins by 12 then I can't blame you for taking the two. I simply think ND can win this SU and I have two points for a final possession game/backdoors 3s/pushes
I was really leaning towards Southern Cal and you have definitely pursuaded me to take them now. However, I am already on GTown so I don't like to see you on the other side. I definitely think that Notre Dame is flying under the radar but that is exactly where they should be. They are not an elite team and GTown should be able to win this by close to double digits.
Stephen Bardo once made a point that being on the road costs you ten points, so if you think GTown wins by 12 then I can't blame you for taking the two. I simply think ND can win this SU and I have two points for a final possession game/backdoors 3s/pushes
Stephen Bardo once made a point that being on the road costs you ten points, so if you think GTown wins by 12 then I can't blame you for taking the two. I simply think ND can win this SU and I have two points for a final possession game/backdoors 3s/pushes
nos, hot
I think the road costs you some points but not 10 but yeah I would say Georgetown is about 12 points better on a nuetral court. Good luck though and GO USC! and KU!
Stephen Bardo once made a point that being on the road costs you ten points, so if you think GTown wins by 12 then I can't blame you for taking the two. I simply think ND can win this SU and I have two points for a final possession game/backdoors 3s/pushes
nos, hot
I think the road costs you some points but not 10 but yeah I would say Georgetown is about 12 points better on a nuetral court. Good luck though and GO USC! and KU!
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